Title: Infinite Horizon Markov Economies
Primary area: other topics in machine learning (i.e., none of the above)
Keywords: Algorithmic game theory, Equilibrium computation, Markov pseudo-games, Markov exchange economies

Abstract: In this paper, we study a generalization of Markov games and pseudo-games that we call Markov pseudo-games, which like the former, captures time and uncertainty, and like the latter, allows for the players’ actions to determine the set of actions available to the other players. In the same vein as Arrow and Debreu, we intend for this model to be rich enough to encapsulate a broad mathematical framework for modeling economies. We then prove the existence of a game-theoretic equilibrium in our model, which in turn implies the existence of a general equilibrium in the corresponding economies. Finally, going beyond Arrow and Debreu, we introduce a solution method for Markov pseudo-games, and prove its polynomial-time convergence.

We then provide an application of Markov pseudo-games to infinite-horizon Markov exchange economies, a stochastic economic model that extends Radner’s stochastic exchange economy and Magill and Quinzii’s infinite horizon incomplete markets model. We show that under suitable assumptions, the solutions of any infinite horizon Markov exchange economy (i.e., recursive Radner equilibria—RRE) can be formulated as the solution to a concave Markov pseudo-game, thus establishing the existence of RRE, and providing first-order methods for approximating RRE. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in practice by building the corresponding generative adversarial policy neural network, and using it to compute RRE in a variety of infinite-horizon Markov exchange economies.