Title: Multilevel Control Functional
Primary area: probabilistic methods (Bayesian methods, variational inference, sampling, UQ, etc.)
Keywords: Variance Reduction, Monte Carlo

Abstract: Control variates are variance reduction techniques for Monte Carlo estimators. They play a critical role in improving Monte Carlo estimators in scientific and machine learning applications that involve computationally expensive integrals. We introduce \emph{multilevel control functionals} (MLCFs), a novel and widely applicable extension of control variates that combines non-parametric Stein-based control variates with multi-fidelity methods. We show that when the integrand and the density are smooth, and when the dimensionality is not very high, MLCFs enjoy a faster convergence rate. We provide both theoretical analysis and empirical assessments on differential equation examples, including Bayesian inference for ecological models, to demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed approach. Furthermore, we extend MLCFs for variational inference, and demonstrate improved performance empirically through Bayesian neural network examples.