Lok Sabha Question No. 4202 (UNSTARRED), answered on 2020-03-19
Subject: Anticipated Power Load
Ministry: POWER
Asked by: Dulal Chandra Goswami

## GOVERNMENT OF INDIA MINISTRY OF POWER

## LOK SABHA UNSTARRED QUESTION NO.4202 TO BE ANSWERED ON 19.03.2020

## ANTICIPATED POWER LOAD

†4202. SHRI DULAL CHAND GOSWAMI:

Will the Minister of POWER be pleased to state:

- (a) whether  the  Government  has  made  any  assessment  of  the  anticipated power  load  during  the  period  of  peak  demand  of  power  after  completion  of SAUBHAGYA Yojana and if so, the details thereof, State-wise;
- (b) whether the grid capacity is sufficient to meet the anticipated power load, if so, the details thereof; and
- (c) if  not,  whether  the  Government  proposes  to  formulate  any  scheme  to enhance the production and grid capacity accordingly?

## A N S W E R

THE  MINISTER  OF  STATE  (INDEPENDENT  CHARGE)  FOR  POWER,  NEW  & RENEWABLE ENERGY AND THE MINISTER OF STATE FOR SKILL DEVELOPMENT & ENTREPRENEURSHIP

( SHRI  R.K. SINGH)

(a) : Central  Electricity  Authority  (CEA)  conducts  Electric  Power  Survey (EPS) every five years for estimating the electricity demand of the country. The state wise demand as projected by the 19 th  EPS (published in January 2017) for the  year  2018-19  to  2026-27  is  given  at  Annexure.  The  impact  of  increase  in demand due to SAUBHAGYA Yojana has also been considered in this assessment.

(b) & (c) : As per National Electricity Plan (NEP) published in March 2018, likely installed  capacity to  meet  the  projected  energy  demand  in  2021-22  is  4,79,418 MW and in 2026-27 is 6,19,066 MW. To enhance generation capacity to meet the growing demand of power in the country, the following measures have been taken by Government of India to increase power production:

- (i) Thermal and hydro power plants are at various stages of construction in the country;

………..2.

- (ii) Nuclear Power projects of 1700 MW capacity are in an advanced stage of planning; and
- (iii) The  Government  has  a  target  of  1,75,000  MW  installed  capacity  from renewable sources, including solar, wind, biomass and small hydro; out of which 86,759 MW have been installed and 33,720 MW are under installation.

Requirement of transmission system addition in the country has been estimated for the period 2017-22 as part of National Electricity Plan (Volume II: Transmission). As per National Electricity Plan (Volume II: Transmission), about 110,000  ckm  of  transmission  lines  and  about  383,000  MVA  of  transformation capacity  in  the  substations  (at  220  kV  and  above  voltage  levels)  would  be required to be added during the period 2017-22. Out of this, during April 2017 to February 2020, 55,782 ckm and 2,21,658 MVA have been added to the electricity grid.

With this estimated generation installed capacity & additional transmission system, the electricity demand projected as per 19 th  Electric Power Survey (EPS) is likely to be fully met.

*************

19TH ELECTRIC POWER SURVEY FORECAST ALL INDIA & STATE WISE / UT WISE

## Electrical Energy Requirement (MU)  (Ex Bus) (Utilities only)

| State/UTs         |   2018-19 |   2019-20 |   2020-21 |   2021-22 |   2022-23 |   2023-24 |   2024-25 |   2025-26 |   2026-27 |
|-------------------|-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------|
| Delhi             |     34201 |     35380 |     36573 |     37778 |     38997 |     40224 |     41557 |     42904 |     44267 |
| Haryana           |     54062 |     57083 |     60336 |     63618 |     66747 |     70333 |     75110 |     80239 |     85743 |
| Himachal Pradesh  |     10523 |     10949 |     11394 |     11866 |     12360 |     12876 |     13417 |     13983 |     14576 |
| Jammu & Kashmir   |     16283 |     17109 |     18017 |     18819 |     19963 |     21161 |     22433 |     23795 |     25254 |
| Punjab            |     61076 |     64730 |     68502 |     72392 |     76826 |     81369 |     86027 |     90789 |     95658 |
| Rajasthan         |     79485 |     83168 |     87051 |     91216 |     95782 |    101200 |    108808 |    117219 |    126290 |
| Uttar Pradesh     |    123951 |    132476 |    141426 |    150797 |    159412 |    167731 |    176477 |    185674 |    195323 |
| Uttarakhand       |     15880 |     17007 |     18181 |     19406 |     20687 |     22029 |     23438 |     24920 |     26480 |
| Chandigarh        |      2070 |      2145 |      2223 |      2304 |      2388 |      2475 |      2566 |      2659 |      2756 |
| Northern Region   |    397530 |    420047 |    443704 |    468196 |    493162 |    519399 |    549833 |    582182 |    616345 |
| Goa               |      4802 |      5068 |      5332 |      5593 |      5855 |      6120 |      6389 |      6660 |      6932 |
| Gujarat           |    113187 |    120693 |    128368 |    136159 |    144186 |    152475 |    160989 |    169732 |    178693 |
| Chhattisgarh      |     31383 |     33463 |     35559 |     37840 |     40155 |     42661 |     45315 |     48146 |     51088 |
| Madhya Pradesh    |     81732 |     88022 |     94301 |     99871 |    104772 |    109727 |    114765 |    120027 |    125394 |
| Maharashtra       |    161926 |    171313 |    180338 |    189983 |    200288 |    211307 |    223171 |    235949 |    249628 |
| D. & N. Haveli    |      7653 |      8210 |      8775 |      9343 |      9920 |     10513 |     11120 |     11741 |     12373 |
| Daman & Diu       |      2327 |      2449 |      2577 |      2712 |      2855 |      3006 |      3166 |      3337 |      3517 |
| Western Region    |    403010 |    429217 |    455250 |    481501 |    508032 |    535810 |    564915 |    595591 |    627624 |
| Andhra Pradesh    |     63290 |     68034 |     73090 |     78540 |     84429 |     90794 |     97181 |    104072 |    111485 |
| Telangana         |     67680 |     75164 |     80700 |     84603 |     88130 |     91836 |     95776 |     99945 |    104345 |
| Karnataka         |     73636 |     77532 |     81622 |     85932 |     90381 |     95042 |     99916 |    105017 |    110368 |
| Kerala            |     27184 |     28535 |     29924 |     31371 |     32861 |     34393 |     35964 |     37582 |     39357 |
| Tamil Nadu        |    117505 |    123724 |    130189 |    136643 |    144145 |    152357 |    161349 |    170822 |    180989 |
| Puducherry        |      3254 |      3387 |      3521 |      3664 |      3809 |      3959 |      4114 |      4279 |      4448 |
| Southern Region   |    352549 |    376376 |    399047 |    420753 |    443754 |    468380 |    494301 |    521717 |    550992 |
| Bihar             |     28637 |     31017 |     35152 |     38416 |     41208 |     43926 |     46735 |     50717 |     54363 |
| Jharkhand         |     25880 |     27488 |     29052 |     30649 |     32209 |     33850 |     35544 |     37354 |     39252 |
| Odisha            |     29124 |     30302 |     31224 |     32164 |     33172 |     34163 |     35219 |     36326 |     37453 |
| West Bengal       |     61485 |     63979 |     66634 |     69361 |     72222 |     75264 |     78463 |     81915 |     85590 |
| Sikkim            |       548 |       577 |       607 |       638 |       669 |       702 |       737 |       773 |       810 |
| Eastern Region    |    145674 |    153363 |    162669 |    171228 |    179480 |    187906 |    196698 |    207085 |    217468 |
| Assam             |     10831 |     11894 |     12959 |     14051 |     15164 |     16355 |     17631 |     18998 |     20462 |
| Manipur           |      1592 |      1769 |      1925 |      2103 |      2300 |      2515 |      2760 |      3020 |      3300 |
| Meghalaya         |      2242 |      2378 |      2470 |      2566 |      2667 |      2771 |      2900 |      3036 |      3177 |
| Nagaland          |       930 |       992 |      1059 |      1129 |      1200 |      1275 |      1356 |      1441 |      1524 |
| Tripura           |      1394 |      1456 |      1525 |      1595 |      1661 |      1731 |      1796 |      1866 |      1930 |
| Arunachal Pradesh |      1089 |      1210 |      1345 |      1498 |      1669 |      1863 |      2081 |      2326 |      2601 |
| Mizoram           |       681 |       737 |       799 |       866 |       937 |      1013 |      1095 |      1181 |      1307 |
| North E. Region   |     18758 |     20437 |     22083 |     23809 |     25598 |     27523 |     29619 |     31869 |     34301 |
| Andaman & Nicobar |       385 |       414 |       446 |       475 |       504 |       535 |       566 |       598 |       632 |
| Lakshadweep       |        55 |        57 |        59 |        62 |        64 |        66 |        68 |        70 |        73 |
| All India         |   1317962 |   1399913 |   1483257 |   1566023 |   1650594 |   1739618 |   1836001 |   1939111 |   2047434 |

……….2.

ANNEXURE

ANNEXURE REFERRED TO IN REPLY TO PART (a) OF UNSTARRED QUESTION NO. 4202 TO BE ANSWERED IN THE LOK SABHA ON 19.03.2020. *************** State-wise demand as projected by the 19 th  EPS (published in January 2017) for the year

2018-19 to 2026-27

## 19TH ELECTRIC POWER SURVEY FORECAST ALL INDIA & STATE WISE / UT WISE PEAK ELECTRICITY DEMAND (MW)  (Ex Bus) (Utilities only)

| State/UTs         |   2018-19 |   2019-20 |   2020-21 |   2021-22 |   2022-23 |   2023-24 |   2024-25 |   2025-26 |   2026-27 |
|-------------------|-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------|
| Delhi             |      6764 |      6997 |      7233 |      7471 |      7712 |      7954 |      8217 |      8482 |      8751 |
| Haryana           |     10397 |     10975 |     11596 |     12222 |     12819 |     13501 |     14415 |     15398 |     16451 |
| Himachal Pradesh  |      1683 |      1751 |      1822 |      1898 |      1977 |      2059 |      2146 |      2236 |      2331 |
| Jammu & Kashmir   |      2565 |      2733 |      2920 |      3095 |      3332 |      3585 |      3859 |      4157 |      4482 |
| Punjab            |     12914 |     13559 |     14216 |     14886 |     15654 |     16431 |     17217 |     18009 |     18809 |
| Rajasthan         |     12540 |     13133 |     13761 |     14435 |     15176 |     16048 |     17282 |     18651 |     20131 |
| Uttar Pradesh     |     18821 |     20334 |     21948 |     23664 |     25331 |     26658 |     28053 |     29522 |     31064 |
| Uttarakhand       |      2536 |      2739 |      2953 |      3180 |      3420 |      3675 |      3945 |      4232 |      4538 |
| Chandigarh        |       441 |       457 |       474 |       491 |       509 |       527 |       546 |       566 |       587 |
| Northern Region   |     62279 |     65919 |     69766 |     73770 |     77929 |     82017 |     86776 |     91835 |     97182 |
| Goa               |       721 |       767 |       813 |       858 |       904 |       951 |       999 |      1047 |      1096 |
| Gujarat           |     17734 |     18937 |     20172 |     21429 |     22730 |     24079 |     25471 |     26908 |     28387 |
| Chhattisgarh      |      5080 |      5442 |      5809 |      6208 |      6613 |      7050 |      7513 |      8006 |      8518 |
| Madhya Pradesh    |     12829 |     13816 |     14802 |     15676 |     16445 |     17223 |     18014 |     18840 |     19682 |
| Maharashtra       |     23953 |     25544 |     27148 |     28866 |     30725 |     32717 |     34911 |     37269 |     39828 |
| D. & N. Haveli    |      1026 |      1112 |      1201 |      1291 |      1385 |      1483 |      1584 |      1689 |      1798 |
| Daman & Diu       |       366 |       385 |       405 |       426 |       449 |       473 |       498 |       525 |       553 |
| Western Region    |     58654 |     62728 |     66847 |     71020 |     75275 |     79748 |     84502 |     89528 |     94825 |
| Andhra Pradesh    |      9544 |     10259 |     11021 |     11843 |     12731 |     13690 |     14656 |     15698 |     16820 |
| Telangana         |     11262 |     12712 |     13757 |     14499 |     15338 |     16086 |     16885 |     17738 |     18653 |
| Karnataka         |     12169 |     12834 |     13534 |     14271 |     15033 |     15834 |     16674 |     17554 |     18481 |
| Kerala            |      4561 |      4788 |      5021 |      5263 |      5513 |      5770 |      6034 |      6305 |      6603 |
| Tamil Nadu        |     17230 |     18213 |     19240 |     20273 |     21471 |     22784 |     24225 |     25750 |     27392 |
| Puducherry        |       518 |       539 |       561 |       583 |       606 |       630 |       655 |       681 |       708 |
| Southern Region   |     52171 |     56007 |     59581 |     62975 |     66710 |     70579 |     74666 |     79002 |     83652 |
| Bihar             |      4904 |      5308 |      6016 |      6576 |      7054 |      7521 |      8003 |      8681 |      9308 |
| Jharkhand         |      4378 |      4656 |      4915 |      5193 |      5450 |      5733 |      6013 |      6326 |      6626 |
| Orissa            |      4816 |      5016 |      5176 |      5340 |      5517 |      5691 |      5878 |      6073 |      6273 |
| West Bengal       |     11267 |     11724 |     12191 |     12688 |     13318 |     13873 |     14435 |     15065 |     15680 |
| Sikkim            |       146 |       154 |       162 |       170 |       179 |       187 |       197 |       206 |       216 |
| Eastern Region    |     23868 |     25130 |     26633 |     28046 |     29500 |     30895 |     32319 |     34031 |     35674 |
| Assam             |      2091 |      2297 |      2502 |      2713 |      2979 |      3271 |      3590 |      3868 |      4166 |
| Manipur           |       303 |       339 |       372 |       410 |       453 |       499 |       553 |       611 |       667 |
| Meghalaya         |       427 |       453 |       470 |       488 |       508 |       528 |       552 |       578 |       605 |
| Nagaland          |       191 |       204 |       219 |       234 |       250 |       266 |       284 |       303 |       322 |
| Tripura           |       333 |       351 |       371 |       391 |       411 |       432 |       452 |       474 |       495 |
| Arunachal Pradesh |       202 |       224 |       249 |       278 |       309 |       345 |       386 |       431 |       482 |
| Mizoram           |       137 |       148 |       159 |       171 |       185 |       199 |       213 |       229 |       252 |
| North E. Region   |      3537 |      3856 |      4170 |      4499 |      4891 |      5319 |      5790 |      6235 |      6710 |
| Andaman & Nicobar |        78 |        84 |        91 |        97 |       103 |       109 |       115 |       122 |       129 |
| Lakshadweep       |        10 |        11 |        11 |        11 |        12 |        12 |        13 |        13 |        13 |
| All India         |    188360 |    200696 |    213244 |    225751 |    238899 |    252288 |    266844 |    282418 |    298774 |

******************