Lok Sabha Question No. 62 (STARRED), answered on 2018-02-07
Subject: Advance Estimates of GDP
Ministry: STATISTICS AND PROGRAMME IMPLEMENTATION
Asked by: BIDYUT BARAN MAHATO, NARANBHAI KACHHADIA

## GOVERNMENT OF INDIA

## MINISTRY OF STATISTICS AND PROGRAMME IMPLEMENTATION

## LOK SABHA STARRED QUESTION NO.  *62

TO BE ANSWERED ON WEDNESDAY, THE 7 TH  FEBRUARY, 2018

## ADVANCE ESTIMATES OF GDP

- *62. SHRI BIDYUT BARAN MAHATO: SHRI NARANBHAI KACHHADIYA:

Will the Minister of STATISTICS AND PROGRAMME IMPLEMENTATION be pleased to state:

- (a) whether his Ministry has released first advance estimates of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) recently, if so, the details and the outcome thereof, sector-wise;
- (b) the statistical/econometric model used for calculation of GDP growth for calculation of first advance estimates;
- (c)  whether  there  has  been  an  increase  in  the  national  income and the per capita income of the country during each of the last three years and the current year;
- (d) if so, the details of percentage increase in per capita income during the said period, State/UT-wise; and
- (e)  if  not,  the  reasons  therefor  and  the  measures  taken/being taken by the Government in this regard?

## ANSWER

MINISTER OF STATISTICS AND PROGRAMME IMPLEMENTATION (SHRI D. V. SADANANDA GOWDA)

- (a) to (e): A Statement is laid on the Table of the House.

Statement  referred  to  in  reply  to  parts  (a)  to  (e)  of  Lok  Sabha Starred Question No. *62 for answer on 07/02/2018.

(a): Yes, Madam. The First Advance Estimates of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) have been released by Central Statistics Office  (CSO)  on  05.01.2018.  It  contained  GDP  estimates  for  the year 2017-18 for the total economy. The GDP growth for the year 2017-18 was estimated to be 6.5%. Sector wise details measured in terms of Gross Value Added (GVA) are given below:

|                                                                                 | Gross Value Added (GVA)   | Growth rate              | Gross Value Added (GVA)             | Growth rate                         |
|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------|---------------------------|--------------------------|-------------------------------------|-------------------------------------|
|                                                                                 | 2017-18                   | 2017-18                  | 2017-18                             | 2017-18                             |
| Industry                                                                        | Current Prices Rs. Crore  | Current Prices Rs. Crore | Constant (2011-12) prices Rs. Crore | Constant (2011-12) prices Rs. Crore |
|                                                                                 |                           |                          |                                     | 2.1                                 |
| 2. Mining & quarrying                                                           | 341843                    | 13.2                     | 339972                              | 2.9                                 |
| 3. Manufacturing                                                                | 2422101                   | 7.3                      | 2112345                             | 4.6                                 |
| 4. Electricity, gas, water supply& other utility services                       | 368269                    | 7.5                      | 258672                              | 7.5                                 |
| 5. Construction                                                                 | 1109608                   | 6.6                      | 927085                              | 3.6                                 |
| 6. Trade, hotels, transport, communication and services related to broadcasting | 2825708                   | 12.1                     | 2329801                             | 8.7                                 |
| 7. Financial, real estate & professional services                               | 3186115                   | 10.3                     | 2606602                             | 7.3                                 |
| 8. Public administration, defence and Other Services                            | 2205463                   | 13.4                     | 1564473                             | 9.4                                 |
| GVA(Sum of 1 to 8 above)                                                        | 14897653                  | 9.0                      | 11871320                            | 6.1                                 |

(b):  GDP  growth  rate  for  the  year  2017-18  is  calculated  as percentage change in the GDP of that year over the GDP of the previous year.

(c): The National Income, measured as Net National Income (NNI) at market prices and Per Capita Income, measured as Per Capita Net National Income at market prices of the country during the last three years and current year at current prices have increased.  NNI  and  Per  Capita  NNI  at  constant  (2011-12)  and current prices along with their growth rates for the years 2014-15 to 2017-18 are given below:

|                      | Estimates at Current prices   | Estimates at Current prices   | Estimates at Current prices   | Estimates at Current prices   |
|----------------------|-------------------------------|-------------------------------|-------------------------------|-------------------------------|
|                      | 2014-15                       | 2015-16                       | 2016-17                       | 2017-18                       |
| NNI(Rs. crore)       | 10953761                      | 12076882                      | 13408211                      | 14710563                      |
| Per Capita NNI (Rs.) | 86454                         | 94130                         | 103219                        | 111782                        |
|                      | Estimates at Constant prices  | Estimates at Constant prices  | Estimates at Constant prices  | Estimates at Constant prices  |
|                      | 2014-15                       | 2015-16                       | 2016-17                       | 2017-18                       |
| NNI(Rs. crore)       | 9231556                       | 9982112                       | 10686776                      | 11404413                      |
| Per Capita NNI (Rs.) | 72862                         | 77803                         | 82269                         | 86660                         |

|                | Growth Rates at Current prices (%)   | Growth Rates at Current prices (%)   | Growth Rates at Current prices (%)   | Growth Rates at Current prices (%)   | Growth Rates at Constant prices (%)   | Growth Rates at Constant prices (%)   | Growth Rates at Constant prices (%)   | Growth Rates at Constant prices (%)   |
|----------------|--------------------------------------|--------------------------------------|--------------------------------------|--------------------------------------|---------------------------------------|---------------------------------------|---------------------------------------|---------------------------------------|
|                | 2014- 15                             | 2015- 16                             | 2016- 17                             | 2017- 18                             | 2014- 15                              | 2015- 16                              | 2016- 17                              | 2017- 18                              |
| NNI            | 10.7                                 | 10.3                                 | 11.0                                 | 9.7                                  | 7.6                                   | 8.1                                   | 7.1                                   | 6.7                                   |
| Per Capita NNI | 9.3                                  | 8.9                                  | 9.7                                  | 8.3                                  | 6.3                                   | 6.8                                   | 5.7                                   | 5.3                                   |

(d):  The  latest  State/UT-wise  details  available  with  the  CSO,  of percentage increase in per capita income, measured in terms of Net State Domestic Product at Constant Prices (base year 201112),  up  to  the  year  2015-16  are  given  in  the  Statement  at Annexure - I.

(e): Does not arise in view of (c) above.

*****

## ANNEXRE -  I

Statement referred to in reply to part (d) of the Lok Sabha Starred Question *62 for 7/2/2018

| PERCENTAGE INCREASE IN PER CAPITA NET STATE DOMESTIC PRODUCT AT CONSTANT PRICES; BASE YEAR 2011-12   | PERCENTAGE INCREASE IN PER CAPITA NET STATE DOMESTIC PRODUCT AT CONSTANT PRICES; BASE YEAR 2011-12   | PERCENTAGE INCREASE IN PER CAPITA NET STATE DOMESTIC PRODUCT AT CONSTANT PRICES; BASE YEAR 2011-12   | PERCENTAGE INCREASE IN PER CAPITA NET STATE DOMESTIC PRODUCT AT CONSTANT PRICES; BASE YEAR 2011-12   |
|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
| S. No.                                                                                               | State\UT                                                                                             | (% GROWTH OVER PREVIOUS YEAR)                                                                        | (% GROWTH OVER PREVIOUS YEAR)                                                                        |
| S. No.                                                                                               | State\UT                                                                                             | 2014-15                                                                                              | 2015-16                                                                                              |
| (1)                                                                                                  | (2)                                                                                                  | (3)                                                                                                  | (4)                                                                                                  |
| 1                                                                                                    | Andhra Pradesh                                                                                       | 8.0                                                                                                  | 10.4                                                                                                 |
| 2                                                                                                    | Arunachal Pradesh                                                                                    | 14.2                                                                                                 | 14.1                                                                                                 |
| 3                                                                                                    | Assam                                                                                                | 4.2                                                                                                  | 8.2                                                                                                  |
| 4                                                                                                    | Bihar                                                                                                | 2.0                                                                                                  | 5.8                                                                                                  |
| 5                                                                                                    | Chhattisgarh                                                                                         | 5.8                                                                                                  | 3.6                                                                                                  |
| 6                                                                                                    | Goa                                                                                                  | 28.0                                                                                                 | 10.9                                                                                                 |
| 7                                                                                                    | Gujarat                                                                                              | 8.6                                                                                                  | 10.0                                                                                                 |
| 8                                                                                                    | Haryana                                                                                              | 4.0                                                                                                  | 7.5                                                                                                  |
| 9                                                                                                    | Himachal Pradesh                                                                                     | 6.2                                                                                                  | 8.9                                                                                                  |
| 10                                                                                                   | Jammu & Kashmir                                                                                      | -2.8                                                                                                 | 14.4                                                                                                 |
| 11                                                                                                   | Jharkhand                                                                                            | 11.4                                                                                                 | 4.2                                                                                                  |
| 12                                                                                                   | Karnataka                                                                                            | 4.2                                                                                                  | 6.8                                                                                                  |
| 13                                                                                                   | Kerala                                                                                               | 4.3                                                                                                  | 6.5                                                                                                  |
| 14                                                                                                   | Madhya Pradesh                                                                                       | 3.4                                                                                                  | 6.1                                                                                                  |
| 15                                                                                                   | Maharashtra                                                                                          | 3.9                                                                                                  | 6.9                                                                                                  |
| 16                                                                                                   | Manipur                                                                                              | 6.4                                                                                                  | 3.5                                                                                                  |
| 17                                                                                                   | Meghalaya                                                                                            | -4.7                                                                                                 | 7.2                                                                                                  |
| 18                                                                                                   | Mizoram                                                                                              | 25.8                                                                                                 | 8.1                                                                                                  |
| 19                                                                                                   | Nagaland                                                                                             | 3.0                                                                                                  | 1.6                                                                                                  |
| 20                                                                                                   | Odisha                                                                                               | 4.5                                                                                                  | 4.9                                                                                                  |
| 21                                                                                                   | Punjab                                                                                               | 2.5                                                                                                  | 4.0                                                                                                  |
| 22                                                                                                   | Rajasthan                                                                                            | 4.7                                                                                                  | 5.1                                                                                                  |
| 23                                                                                                   | Sikkim                                                                                               | 7.0                                                                                                  | 7.1                                                                                                  |
| 24                                                                                                   | Tamil Nadu                                                                                           | 4.5                                                                                                  | 5.0                                                                                                  |
| 25                                                                                                   | Telangana                                                                                            | 5.7                                                                                                  | 7.6                                                                                                  |
| 26                                                                                                   | Tripura                                                                                              | 6.6                                                                                                  | 10.6                                                                                                 |
| 27                                                                                                   | Uttar Pradesh                                                                                        | 1.6                                                                                                  | 6.7                                                                                                  |
| 28                                                                                                   | Uttarakhand                                                                                          | 5.3                                                                                                  | 6.5                                                                                                  |
| 29                                                                                                   | Andaman & Nicobar Islands                                                                            | 6.5                                                                                                  | 7.1                                                                                                  |
| 30                                                                                                   | Chandigarh                                                                                           | 0.2                                                                                                  | 6.4                                                                                                  |
| 31                                                                                                   | Delhi                                                                                                | 5.5                                                                                                  | 6.6                                                                                                  |
| 32                                                                                                   | Puducherry                                                                                           | -9.3                                                                                                 | 8.7                                                                                                  |