2028 United States presidential election

The **2028 United States presidential election** will be the 61st quadrennial presidential election. The election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028, along with other state and federal elections. It will be the last presidential election to use population information from the 2020 census. Voters will elect a president and vice president to a four-year term. The winners of the election will be inaugurated on January 20, 2029. 

Donald Trump won the 2016 and 2024 elections and cannot run for re-election to a third term due to the Twenty-second Amendment. Trump's second term expires at noon on January 20, 2029.

Vice President JD Vance and Governors Ron DeSantis, Brian Kemp and Glenn Youngkin are potential contenders for the Republican presidential nomination. 

Governors Andy Beshear, Roy Cooper, Gavin Newsom, JB Pritzker, Josh Shapiro, and Gretchen Whitmer are potential contenders for the Democratic presidential nomination. 

## Background 
Donald Trump and JD Vance won the 2024 presidential election. Trump, who was elected president in 2016, but lost the election in 2020 to then-former vice president Joe Biden. Trump defeated incumbent vice president Kamala Harris, who began her campaign following Biden's drop out of the race. Republicans secured control of the Senate and retained a House majority.

## Eligibility and requirements 
Article II, Section 1, Clause 5 of the Constitution states for a person to serve as president must:

* be a natural-born citizen of the United States. 
* be at least thirty-five years old.
* be a permanent resident in the United States for at least fourteen years.

## Electoral map 
. Swing states are the states in lighter colors.]]
In the Electoral College, this results in major-party candidates primarily focusing their campaigns on swing states, which can swing between parties from election to election. These states are critical for a presidential candidate's path to victory. For 2028, the expected swing states are Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. The others include Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina, which all were won by Trump in 2024.

## Republican Party 
### Potential candidates 
#### Ron DeSantis 
Ron DeSantis has been the governor of Florida since 2019 and recently ran for the Republican nomination in 2024. He appeared in a debate with California governor Gavin Newsom hosted by Fox News' Sean Hannity in November 2023, in what was viewed by NBC News as a potential 2028 presidential bid.

#### Brian Kemp 
Brian Kemp has been the governor of Georgia since 2019. Kemp has been seen as a potential candidate as being term-limited as governor. New sources believe Kemp will either run for U.S. Senate in 2026 or for president in 2028.

#### JD Vance 
JD Vance has been the Vice President of the United States since 2025. He was elected vice president after winning the 2024 election as Trump's running mate. Vance is the frontrunner in the primary election, according to *The New York Times.* He has been dubbed the "MAGA heir-apparent" or "heir apparent of Trumpism" according to *USA Today.* *The Hill* stated that Vance's debate performance against Minnesota Governor Tim Walz in October 2024 improved his status as a presidential contender.

#### Glenn Youngkin 
Glenn Youngkin was the governor of Virginia from 2022 to 2026, and cannot run for re-election by the state's constitution to a second consecutive term. Youngkin has been reported as a possible candidate by *Politico*. According to *The Washington Post*, he is prepping for a 2028 presidential bid.

## Democratic Party 
### Potential candidates 
#### Andy Beshear 
Andy Beshear has been the governor of Kentucky since 2019. He was recently on the shortlist to be the vice presidential nominee for the 2024 election, and was seen as a potential replacement for President Joe Biden before he withdrew from the race. In October 2024, Beshear headlined an event for the New Hampshire Democrats, a key early primary state, where he promoted both himself and Vice President Kamala Harris to attendees, signaling his future aspirations. In response to ongoing speculation about his political ambitions, Beshear has stated in an interview with WDKY-TV that he will "see what the future holds", without actually ruling out a potential presidential run.

#### Roy Cooper 
Roy Cooper served as the governor of North Carolina from 2017 to 2025. He was considered a potential contender to be the vice presidential nominee for the 2024 election but removed himself from consideration. The *New York Times* mentioned that Cooper could be a contender for the Democratic party’s 2028 nomination. *Politico* has also referred to Cooper as a potential contender for the 2028 Democratic Party's presidential nomination.

#### Kamala Harris 
Kamala Harris was the vice president of the United States from 2021 to 2025. She became the nominee for president in the 2024 presidential election after Biden withdrew his bid, losing to Donald Trump. Harris, who has the largest donor network in the Democratic Party, may run for the presidency again in 2028 according to *The New York Times* Her loss in the last election could be seen as a disadvantage.

#### Gavin Newsom 
Gavin Newsom has served as the governor of California since 2019. Newsom has been viewed as a contender for the 2028 presidential election by *The New York Times*, *Politico*, He was seen as a potential replacement for Biden after his withdrawal from the 2024 election by *The New York Times*. According to *The New York Times*, Newsom was considering a bid for the presidency by September 2023. In November 2023, he was in a debate with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis hosted by Fox News' Sean Hannity. The debate was seen as a possible presidential bid by NBC News.

#### Dean Phillips 
Dean Phillips has served as the representative of Minnesota's 3rd congressional district since 2019. Phillips ran a campaign against Biden in the 2024 Democratic presidential primaries. Phillips received the second-highest number of delegates of any candidate in the primaries, but was unsuccessful. In an interview with *CBS Minnesota*, Phillips was asked about his future political aspirations. He ruled out a bid for the U.S. senate or the governor's office in 2026 but said, "never say never" regarding another presidential campaign in 2028. The *HuffPost* reported that after the election, Phillips said of his White House bid, “I would do it a thousand times again.” 

JB Pritzker has been the governor of Illinois since 2019. Pritzker is a potential Democratic contender, according to *Chicago Sun-Times*. With Newsom, he donated to Middleton.

#### Josh Shapiro 
Josh Shapiro has been the governor of Pennsylvania since 2023. Shapiro has been seen as a critical figure in Pennsylvania by Democratic strategists and officials, according to *Politico* and as a politician who could gain votes from white working-class voters, according to CNN. He was said to be a front-runner in the primary by *The Philadelphia Inquirer*. According to *The New York Times*, Shapiro was seen as a potential replacement for Biden. She disavowed a movement to replace Biden.

## Declined to be candidates 
The following individuals stated that they would not run for president and would not run for the Republican nomination:

* Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of incumbent president Donald Trump
* Donald Trump, 45th President and 47th President of the United States, (2017&ndash;2021; 2025&ndash;present)

The following individuals have stated they would not run for the Democrat nomination:

* John Fetterman, U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania (2023–present) and 34th Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–2023)
* Wes Moore, 63rd Governor of Maryland (2023&ndash;present) and CEO of Robin Hood Foundation (2017&ndash;2021)
*Tim Walz, 41st Governor of Minnesota (2019&ndash;present) and U.S. Representative from MN-1 (2007&ndash;2019)

The following candidates have declined interest in running: 

* Mark Cuban, billionaire businessman, co-owner of the Dallas Mavericks, and co-founder of 2929 Entertainment

## Opinion polling 
### Republican primary
#### Aggregate 
#### Nationwide 
#### Statewide 
##### California 
##### Florida 
##### Georgia 
##### South Carolina 
##### Maine 
##### New Hampshire 
##### Nevada 
##### North Carolina 
##### Ohio 
##### Texas 
##### Vermont 
### Democratic primary 
#### Aggregate 
#### Nationwide 
#### Statewide 
##### Alaska 
##### California 
##### Florida 
##### Maine 
##### New Hampshire 
##### North Carolina 
##### Nevada 
##### Ohio 
##### Texas 
##### Vermont 
### General election 
#### Nationwide 
##### JD Vance vs. Kamala Harris 
##### JD Vance vs. Gavin Newsom 
##### JD Vance vs. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 
##### JD Vance vs. Josh Shapiro 
##### JD Vance vs. Stephen A. Smith 
##### JD Vance vs. Gretchen Whitmer 
##### JD Vance vs. Pete Buttigieg 
##### Marco Rubio vs. Kamala Harris 
##### Marco Rubio vs. Gavin Newsom 
*

## Notes 
## References