Opinion polling for the next Israeli legislative election

In the run up to the next Israeli legislative election, scheduled to be held by 27 October 2026, various organisations are conducting opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel during the term of the twenty-fifth Knesset. This article lists the results of such polls.

## Seat projections 
;Legend
* **Government**
** Sum of the 37th government  parties: Likud, National Religious Party–Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, and United Torah Judaism. For polls conducted after 30 September 2024, polls include New Hope (which joined the government on that date). Coalition parties are highlighted in blue.
* **Opposition bloc**
** Sum of the 36th government parties (often referred to in media as the "opposition bloc" to the 37th government): The Democrats (a merger of Labor and Meretz), National Unity, Ra'am, Yesh Atid, and Yisrael Beiteinu. For more recent polls, this sum also includes Bennett 2026, a new party founded by Naftali Bennett (who served as prime minister of the 36th government). The sum excludes the non-government parties Balad and Hadash–Ta'al, as well as Noam, which had previously left the 37th government multiple times.

61 seats are required for a majority in the Knesset. If a bloc has a majority, the sum is displayed in bold with its background shaded in the leading party's colour.

### 2025 

### 2024 

### 2022–23 

### Channel 14 Direct Polls 
Direct Polls, published by Channel 14, is led by Shlomo Filber who is affiliated with Likud and its leader Benjamin Netanyahu. Filber is implicated in Case 4000 on charges of breach of trust; thus it may be advisable to approach their opinion polls with caution.

**2025**

**2024**

**2022–23**

## Voting intention polls (reported as percentages)
The following polls reported raw percentages of responses without calculating seat projections:

### 2024
## Scenario polls 
Most often, opinion polling about hypothetical scenarios is done in the same survey as the regular polling. This is why these scenario polls are paired for comparison purposes.

 

### Naftali Bennett scenarios
;Naftali Bennett's new party runs

;Naftali Bennett forms a new party

;Bennett 2026 does not run

### Other new right-wing opposition party scenarios
;New Hope splits from National Unity

;Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yoaz Hendel forms a new party

;Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yoav Gallant forms a new party

;Yoav Gallant forms a new party

;Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties

;Yossi Cohen forms a new party

;Yoaz Hendel forms a new party

;Yariv Levin forms a new party

;New anti-judicial overhaul right-wing party

### Other new party scenarios
;Gadi Eisenkot forms a new party

;New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders

;New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders with a new right wing liberal party

### Labor and Meretz run together (prior to merger)
; 
After Nov 2023, the questions ask if they should be led by Yair Golan. In July 2024, they merge and form The Democrats, under Golan's leadership.

### Alternative leadership scenarios
;Gadi Eisenkot leads National Unity

;Nir Barkat leads the Likud

;Yossi Cohen leads the Likud

;Yoav Gallant leads the Likud

### United right wing party outside the government
;Naftali Bennett forms a new party and forms an alliance with Yisrael Beiteinu and New Hope

;Naftali Bennett forms a new party and forms an alliance with Yisrael Beiteinu

;Yoaz Hendel and Naftali Bennett form a new party

;United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Ayelet Shaked and Gideon Sa'ar

;United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Ayelet Shaked and Gideon Sa'ar and a separate "Reservists' Party" led by Yoaz Hendel

;Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen join Yisrael Beiteinu

;Merger of Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen

### New right-wing opposition party and Labor-Meretz scenarios (prior to merger)
;Labor and Meretz run together under Yair Golan; Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Avigdor Lieberman form a new party

;Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list

;Merger of Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen & Labor and Meretz under Yair Golan

;New Hope splits from National Unity, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen and Yoaz Hendel form three separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list

;Yoav Gallant forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union

;Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union

;Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union

### Other scenarios and scenario combinations
;Naftali Bennett forms new party and Gadi Eisenkot becomes head of National Unity

;Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yossi Cohen becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union

;Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Nir Barkat becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union

;Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yoav Gallant becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union

;United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, and Gideon Sa'ar, and National Unity and Yesh Atid form an alliance

;Gadi Eisenkot joins Yesh Atid

;Merger of Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett

;Gadi Eisenkot joins Yisrael Beiteinu

## Leadership polling 
## Whether voters intend to vote for the same party that they did in 2022
The Israel Democracy Institute commissioned the Viterbi Center to gauge voting intentions of Israeli voters based on their voting history. 
In January 2023, they asked if voters would vote for the same party as they did in 2022. In that poll, 50% were certain they would, 22% think yes, 7% think no, and 4% were certain that they wouldn't. An additional 3% of those polled didn't vote in 2022 but planned to in the next election, 6% didn't and don't plan to vote, and 10% were undecided.

In October 2023, the question was asked again but centered around voting block. In that poll, 39.7% would vote for the same party as was voted for in 2022, 14.8% would vote for the same political bloc, 6.3% would vote for a party in a different bloc, and a combined 39.2% of those surveyed either wouldn't vote or were undecided.

The Institute also ran a series of surveys in 2024 asking people their re-voting intention, based on which party they voted for.

## Other questions
### Inclusion of ultra-orthodox parties in the next government
## Notes
## References