Guguwar Kamisy

An yi la'akari da guguwar Tropical Cyclone Kamisy mafi munin guguwar wurare masu zafi da ta shafi arewacin Madagascar tun 1911. Wani rikici na wurare masu zafi ya samo asali a kusa da Diego Garcia a ranar 3 ga Afrilu 1984 kuma daga baya ya koma yamma, ya kara karfi a cikin guguwa mai zafi kwana biyu bayan haka. Da aka ba da sunan Kamisy, guguwar ta kara karfi a hankali ta zama guguwa mai zafi a ranar 9 ga Afrilu. Kamisy ya kai iskõki na 170 km / h (105 mph) kafin ya sauka a arewacin Madagascar kusa da Diego Suarez. Ya raunana lokacin da ya shiga Tashar Mozambique, amma ya sake karfafawa a takaice a ranar 10 ga Afrilu. A wannan rana yayin da yake wucewa kusa da Mayotte, guguwar ta juya zuwa kudu maso gabas, ta sake buga Madagascar kusa da Majunga. Kamisy da sauri ya haye kasar. Bayan ya fito cikin Tekun Indiya daga gabar gabashin Madagascar, tsarin ya sake karfafawa cikin guguwa mai zafi kafin ya ɓace a ranar 16 ga Afrilu.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;

A arewacin Madagascar, Kamisy ya samar da iskar iska ta  km / h (155 , wanda ya lalata 80% na birnin Diego Suarez. Kimanin mutane 39,000 sun rasa gida a yankin, kuma akwai mutuwar biyar. A yammacin Madagascar, guguwar ta sauka   in) na ruwan sama  awanni 24 a Majunga, wanda ya lalata gonakin shinkafa a yankin bayan ya haifar da ambaliyar kogi. Bugu da ƙari, guguwar ta lalata kusan 80% na Majunga. A duk faɗin ƙasar, Kamisy ya haifar da lalacewar dala miliyan 250 da mutuwar mutane 68, tare da mutane 215 da suka ji rauni kuma 100,000 suka rasa gida. Mutane goma sha biyar sun mutu kuma wasu 30 sun ji rauni a Mahajanga. Bayan guguwar, an tura abinci na gaggawa da kayan kiwon lafiya cikin kasar. Baya ga tasirin da aka yi wa Madagascar, an ba da rahoton mutuwar daya da mummunar lalacewa a Tsibirin Comoro, inda aka lalata dukkan amfanin ayaba.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;

## Tarihin yanayi
Cyclone Kamisy ya samo asali ne daga wani yanki na convection wanda aka kafa a Taron watan Afrilu. A ranar 3 ga Afrilu, an sanya tsarin Dvorak rating na T2.0  kuma ofishin Météo-France a Reunion (MFR) ya inganta shi zuwa hadari mai zafi. Koyaya, Cibiyar Gargadi ta Hadari (JTWC) ba ta rarraba guguwar ba har zuwa wannan maraice. [nb 1] Guguwar da farko ta biye da yamma zuwa kudu maso yamma, amma bayan ɗan gajeren rauni a cikin mummunan yanayi, Kamisy ya fara juyawa yamma. A ranar 5 ga Afrilu, an inganta guguwar zuwa guguwa mai matsakaici a karo na biyu; JTWC ta bi shi kuma ta inganta Kamisy zuwa guguwar wurare masu zafi bayan sa'o'i da yawa yayin da yake kusan kilomita  (620  yammacin Diego Garcia.

Kamisy ya ci gaba da karuwa kuma a ranar 6 ga Afrilu, JTWC ta ba da rahoton cewa ya kai iskar guguwa duk da cewa MFR ta kiyasta iskar  km / h (50 . Tun da farko a ranar 7 ga Afrilu, duk da haka, an inganta Kamisy zuwa guguwa mai tsanani  saboda ya sami darajar T4.0 a kan sikelin Dvorak.  Bayan haka, guguwar ta fara zurfafawa cikin sauri. Daga baya a wannan rana, JTWC ta ba da sanarwar cewa Kamisy ya kai iskõki na  km / h (105 , daidai da guguwa ta tsakiya ta 2 a kan Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. A halin yanzu, MFR ta inganta tsarin zuwa tsananin guguwa. Bayan ɗan gajeren lokaci a cikin ƙarfi, guguwar ta kai ƙarfin ƙarfin  km / h (105  daga baya a wannan rana. Da farko a ranar 8 ga Afrilu, JTWC ta kiyasta cewa ya kai matsakaicin ƙarfinsa na  km / h (115 .  A wannan lokacin, an ba Kamisy darajar T6.0 ta hanyar fasahar Dvorak

Bayan ci gaba da tsananin ƙarfi na ƙasa da rana ɗaya, ya raunana dan kadan. A ranar 9 ga Afrilu, guguwar ta mamaye arewacin Madagascar a matsayin guguwa mai tsanani, kodayake JTWC ta ba da shawarar cewa Kamsiy ya fi karfi. Koyaya, da rana don guguwa ya fito a cikin matsanancin arewacin Mozambique Channel, inda ya wuce kusa da Mayotte, tare da ɗan canji a ƙarfi. Bayan juyawa kudu maso kudu maso yamma, Kamisy ya sake dawowa da ƙarfin guguwa na wurare masu zafi, amma ya ci gaba da raunana yayin da yake kusantar bakin teku. Duk da yake har yanzu guguwa ce ta wurare masu zafi, ta fadi a arewa maso tsakiyar kasar a ranar 12 ga Afrilu,  kusa da Tamative.  A lokacin da ya fadi, JTWC ta lura cewa Kamisy guguwa ce mai ƙanƙanta. Guguwar da sauri ta raunana a ƙasa kuma ta kasance mummunan yanayi a lokacin da ta fito cikin Tekun Indiya. Ba da daɗewa ba, guguwar ta sake karfafawa zuwa guguwa mai matsakaici, amma wannan yanayin ya kasance ɗan gajeren lokaci. JTWC ta rage Kamisy zuwa mummunan yanayi a karfe 06:00 UTC a ranar 14 ga Afrilu. Hukumar ta ba da gargadi na ƙarshe a kan tsarin washegari, duk da cewa MFR ta ci gaba da bin tsarin har zuwa safiya na 16 ga Afrilu. A wannan lokacin, Kamisy yana kusa da    kudu maso yammacin kudancin Madagascar.&nbsp;

## Tasirin

### Madagascar
A duk faɗin Madagascar, an bayar da rahoton mutuwar mutane 68  kuma mutane 100,000 sun rasa gida.  Lalacewar ta kai sama da dala miliyan 250 (1984 USD). An dauki Kamisy a matsayin mafi munin tsarin da ya buga Madagascar tun daga shekara ta 1911. A cewar Relief Web, an lalata gine-gine 7,000 aƙalla a wani ɓangare, gami da makarantu 1,020  da asibitoci 450.  Kimanin mutane 215 sun ji rauni saboda guguwar. Gabaɗaya, Kamisy ita ce guguwa mafi ƙarfi da ta mamaye ƙasar tsakanin 1980 da 1993.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;

A Diego Suarez, guguwar ta haifar da mummunar lalacewa, musamman a wuraren zama. Gidajen ajiya, makarantu, da sauran gine-ginen jama'a sun sami mummunar lalacewa. A ko' birni, kashi 80% na gine-ginen sun lalace  kuma garin ya lalace kashi 85%. An yanke wutar lantarki da ruwa a Diego Suarez .  A kusa, a Befaria, wani kuturu, wanda ke dauke da marasa lafiya 200 da iyalansu, ya lalace. An tilasta wa ƙaramin ƙauyen Mangaoka matsaw ƙasa   .  A Tamatave, an auna ruwan sama na yau da kullun na   in), kuma   in) ya fadi a cikin kwanaki shida. Saboda ruwan sama, kashi 70% na yawan mutanen garin sun koma ƙasa mai tsawo. A Antsiranana, 30,000 daga cikin mazauna 40,000 sun bar ba tare da gida ba kuma sun bar abinci ko ruwa kaɗan. A duk arewacin Madagascar, kimanin mutane 39,000 sun rasa gida a yankin; akwai mutuwar biyar.

## Manazarta