Guguwar Tropical Eliakim

**Guguwar Tropical Storm** *Eliakim* guguwa ce ta wurare masu zafi wacce ta shafi Madagascar kuma ta kashe mutane 21 a cikin 2018. Rashin lafiya na wurare masu zafi na bakwai, Guguwa ta wurare masu zafi ta shida na lokacin guguwar Kudancin Yammacin Tekun Indiya ta 2017-18, da guguwa na wurare masu wurare masu zafi a cikin 2018 don tasiri Madagascar,  An fara lura da Eliakim a matsayin yankin convection na yanayi kudu maso yammacin Diego Garcia a ranar 9 ga Maris. Yanayin ci gaba sun kasance masu kyau a kusa da shi, kuma a ranar 14 ga Maris, duka Cibiyar Gargadi ta Hadari (JTWC) da Météo-France La Réunion (MFR) sun fara bayar da gargadi game da Taron, tare da MFR ta sanya shi a matsayin Tropical Disturbance 7 da JTWC ta ba shi sunan *14S*. Kashegari, MFR ta inganta tsarin zuwa guguwa mai matsakaici, ta ba shi sunan Eliakim. Eliakim ya ci gaba da karuwa a cikin guguwa mai tsanani a ranar 15 ga Maris, tare da JTWC yana inganta shi zuwa guguwa ta Category 1-daidai a kan sikelin Saffir-Simpson a ranar 16 ga Maris. Eliakim ya sauka a Masoala a karfe 07:00 UTC, bayan haka MFR ya kiyasta matsakaicin iska mai ƙarfi na minti 10 na  km / h (70  a cikin tsarin. Eliakim ya raunana ya zama guguwa mai matsakaici kafin ya juya zuwa kudu kuma ya sake fitowa a kan ruwa a ranar 17 ga Maris. Duk da yanayin da ba shi da kyau, Eliakim ya sake karfafawa cikin guguwa mai tsanani a ranar 19 ga Maris kafin a sake shi cikin guguwar zafi mai matsakaici 6 hours bayan haka. Eliakim ya sauya zuwa guguwa mai zafi a ranar 20 ga Maris yayin da ya tashi daga Madagascar, tare da MFR ta ƙarshe ta bin tsarin a ranar 22 ga Maris.

Yankin waje na guguwar ya fara isa Madagascar a ranar 15 ga Maris, kuma a ranar 16 ga Maris, Eliakim ya sauka a Madagascar. An kwashe dubban mutane a yankunan da ba su da rauni, tare da shawarwari game da ruwan sama mai ƙarfi da iska mai ƙarfi. An lura da ambaliyar ruwa da ruwan sama mai yawa a yankuna da yawa, tare da matsakaicin millimeters 388 (15.3 in) na ruwan sama da aka rubuta a Île Sainte-Marie. Eliakim ya haifar da mutuwar mutane 21 a Madagascar, ya shafi wasu 60,000, kuma ya kori mutane 19,439. Hakanan ya shafi gine-gine, tare da gidaje 17,228, hanyoyi 15, wuraren kiwon lafiya 27, da ɗakunan ajiya 1,118 da ke fama da lalacewa. Ayyukan farfadowa ƙasar an kiyasta sun kai dala biliyan 10 na Malagasy ariary (dala miliyan 3.21). Sauran ƙasashe suma sun ci gaba da tasiri, tare da Réunion da ke karɓar kumbura na mita 5-6 (16-20 da kuma wasu sassan Kenya da ke fuskantar ambaliyar ruwa.

## Tarihin yanayi
A ranar 9 ga watan Maris a karfe 10:30 na UTC, Cibiyar Gargadi ta hadin gwiwa (JTWC) ta fara saka idanu kan wani yanki na yanayin yanayi wanda ke da kusan mil 335 (620 km; 385  kudu maso kudu maso yammacin Diego Garcia, tana kimanta yiwuwar ci gabanta a cikin rana mai zuwa kamar yadda yake ƙasa. Convection ya lalace, kuma yanayin ya kasance mai kyau saboda yanayin da ya dace da yanayin iska mai ƙarfi a 25-30 knots (45-55 km / h; 30-35 , Taron da Yanayin zafi na teku a yankin ya kai 28-29 ° C (82-84 ° F).  Météo-France La Réunion (MFR) ya fara saka idanu kan yankin washegari a karfe 12:00 UTC, yana kimanta haɗarin bunkasa cikin guguwa mai zafi a cikin kwanaki 5 masu zuwa a matsayin matsakaici. A ranar 11 ga watan Maris, MFR ta kara inganta hadarin tsarin na bunkasa cikin guguwa mai zafi a cikin kwanaki 5 masu zuwa zuwa. Wani ci gaba mai rarraba a ranar 12 ga Maris a 06:05 UTC ya nuna yaduwar ƙasa mai tsawo, kuma a 18:00 UTC, JTWC ya inganta damar ci gaban tsarin a cikin rana mai zuwa zuwa matsakaici yayin da iska ta ragu zuwa 15-20 knots (30-35 km / h; 15-25 . A ranar 14 ga watan Maris a 00:00 UTC, MFR ta inganta tsarin zuwa rikici na wurare masu zafi, ta sanya shi a matsayin rikici na Tropical 7.  JTWC ta tantance cewa ya ci gaba zuwa mummunan yanayi a lokaci guda, yana ba shi sunan *14S*. Wind shear ya ci gaba da raguwa zuwa 10-15 knots (20-30 km / h; 10-15 , kuma yayin da tsarin ya ci gaba na karfafawa da shirya,   MFR ya inganta 7 zuwa mummunan yanayi a ranar 14 ga Maris a 12:00 UTC,  kodayake tsarin ciki na tsarin ya kasance mai faɗi.

### Madagascar
A ranar 15 ga watan Maris, Météo Madagascar ta ba da jan gargadi ga yankuna a tsakiyar gabashin da arewacin Madagascar saboda ruwan sama mai karfi da iska mai karfi, kuma ta ba da gargadi na guguwa mai launin rawaya ga yankunan Alaotra-Mangoro, Analanjirofo, Atsinanana, Diana, Sava, Sofia, da gundumar Tsaratanana.  Ofishin Gudanar da Risques da Bala'o'i na Kasa ya tura kungiyoyi hudu zuwa Antalaha, Île Sainte-Marie, Maroantsetra, da Soanierana Ivongo a wannan rana. An kunna Ofishin Gudanar da Gaggawa na Shirin Copernicus a ranar 16 ga Maris,  tare da faɗakarwar guguwa da Météo Madagascar ke bayarwa ga yankunan Alaotra-Mangoro, Analanjirofo, Atsinanana, Sava, da gundumomin Bealanana, Befandriana-Nord, da Mandritsara. Har ila yau, hukumar ta bayar da faɗakarwar ja don sassan arewa da gabashin tsakiyar Madagascar saboda ruwan sama mai ƙarfi da iska mai ƙarfi. A wannan rana, an kwashe daruruwan mutane a arewa maso gabashin Madagascar,  tare da mutane 800 a Sambava da suka rasa muhallinsu. A ranar 18 ga watan Maris, an kwashe mutane 2,500  da 6,000.  A karfe 13:00 UTC (16:00 EAT), an bayar da jan gargadi ga yankin Vatovavy-Fitovinany saboda ruwan sama mai tsanani tare da iskar guguwa ta lokaci-lokaci. Yayin da Eliakim ya ƙaura daga ƙasar, an kuma ba da faɗakarwa mai launin shudi ga yankunan Amoron'i Mania, Analamanga, Betsiboka, Boeny, Bongolava, Diana, Haute Matsiatra, Itasy, Sava, Sofia, da Vakinankaratra. Hukumomi sun yi gargadi game da rushewar ƙasa da ambaliyar ruwa a yankuna da yawa, kuma suna ba da shawara game da tafiye-tafiye na teku. A ranar 19 ga watan Maris, Météo Madagascar ta bayar da jan gargadi don kudu maso gabashin Madagascar saboda iska mai karfi.h

## Manazarta