Guguwar Jude

**Guguwar Tropical Cyclone Jude** wata guguwa ce mai kisa wacce ta shafi Mozambique da Madagascar. Guguwa ta goma sha ɗaya da Guguwa ta wurare masu zafi ta takwas na lokacin guguwar ta Kudu maso Yammacin Tekun Indiya ta 2024-25, Jude ya samo asali ne daga tashin hankali a kudancin Tsibirin Chagos a ranar 6 ga Maris. An kiyasta asarar duka a dala miliyan 110.

## Tarihin yanayi
Météo-France ta hango wani tashin hankali a kudancin Tsibirin Chagos a ranar 6 ga watan Maris. Da farko an rarraba shi a matsayin yanki na yanayin damuwa, an inganta shi zuwa bakin ciki washegari. An kara inganta shi zuwa guguwa mai matsakaici a ranar 8 ga Maris, inda ya sami sunan Jude. Tsarin ya haye arewacin Madagascar kuma ya rasa wasu ƙungiyoyi, kafin ya sake tsarawa cikin sauri a cikin Mozambique Channel. A ranar 9 ga watan Maris, an inganta Jude zuwa guguwa mai tsanani yayin da yake kusa da Mozambique, kuma daga ƙarshe ya kai matsayin guguwa na wurare masu zafi jim kadan kafin ya sauka a ranar 10 ga watan Maris.

Cibiyar guguwar ta wuce kusa da Nampula a ranar 10 ga Maris da Blantyre, Malawi washegari, ta raunana zuwa mummunan yanayi.

A ranar 12 ga watan Maris, hanyar Jude ta juya zuwa kudu maso gabas kuma ta bi kwarin Zambezi River zuwa gabar teku, ta sake fitowa a bakin ta a cikin Gundumar Chinde a kusa da 22:30 UTC. Météo Madagascar ya sanya kudancin tsibirin a ƙarƙashin gargadi mai kore (pre-gargadi).  A ranar 13 ga watan Maris, tsarin ya raunana zuwa guguwa mai zafi a kudancin Mozambique Channel, wanda aka yi hasashen zai wuce arewacin tsibirin Europa, kuma an inganta faɗakarwar zuwa rawaya a Madagascar.

14 Maris, Jude ya inganta zuwa guguwa mai tsanani yayin da yake kusanci kudancin Madagascar, kuma an ɗaga faɗakarwar guguwa zuwa ja ga Lardin Toliara. Bayan 00:00 UTC a ranar 15 ga Maris, Jude ya sauka a kusa da Itampolo. Da yake fuskantar rikice-rikice a kan tsaunuka da kuma karuwar iska a sama, Yahuza ya zama mai saurin daidaitawa kuma ya raunana. Ya fita daga Tekun Indiya a gabashin arewa maso gabashin Ambovombe, Gundumar Taolagnaro . A 00:00 UTC a ranar 16 ga watan Maris, tsarin iska na Jude ya zama mai tsawo, kuma an rage shi zuwa guguwa mai zafi da ke motsawa da sauri zuwa gabas zuwa kudu maso gabas a cikin sabon sanarwar RSMC Réunion .  Wannan na ƙarshe ya zama extratropical washegari kuma Cibiyar Gargadi ta Hadari (JTWC) ta daina bin diddigin ta.

## Shirye-shiryen da tasiri

### Madagascar
A ranar 6 ga watan Maris, tsarin yanayi ya fara zama kudu maso yammacin tsibirin Diego Garcia a cikin Tekun Indiya, yana motsawa zuwa yamma. Bayan wucewa a Madagascar a ranar 8 ga watan Maris, akalla mutane 4,100 sun kamu da cutar a gundumomi 8 a fadin yankuna 5, ciki har da mutum daya da aka kashe, daya ya ji rauni, da kuma 3,617 da suka rasa muhallinsu, galibi a Gundumar Maroantsetra, a arewa. Ana karbar bakuncin wadanda suka rasa muhallinsu a cikin shafuka tara na wucin gadi. Har ila yau, fiye da gidaje 1,300 sun ambaliya, ciki har da 37 da suka lalace, kuma ɗakunan aji 37 sun nutse kuma wasu 3 sun lalace. Bayan mako guda, akalla mutane 15,000 sun kamu da cutar bayan guguwar Tropical Storm Jude ta sauka a karo na biyu a ranar 15 ga Maris, da farko a yankin Atsimo Andrefana a kudu. Guguwar ta haifar da mutuwar mutum daya kuma ta kori mutane 10,587 a fadin shafuka 24 na wucin gadi. Jude ya sauka kusan kilomita 70 a arewacin garin Itampolo a cikin Gundumar Ampanihy, sannan ya haye gundumomi da yawa a cikin Grand Sud (Ampanihy, Beloha, Tsihombe, Bekily), sannan Ambovombe da Amboasary suka biyo baya, kafin ya fita daga tsibirin ta hanyar Gundumar Tolagnaro a ranar 16 ga Maris

Yawancin lalacewar sun haifar da iska mai ƙarfi, kamar yadda yawancin garuruwa da birane a Grand Sud suna da rauni sosai kuma suna da matukar damuwa ga guguwa. Wannan kuma shi ne karo na farko da tsarin yanayi mai karfi ya haye duk yankin kudancin. Guguwar ta haifar da mummunar lalacewa, tare da gidaje 1,172 da ambaliyar ruwa, 1,640 da aka lalata, kuma 1,160 da aka lalata. Sashin Ilimi ya yi tasiri sosai, ya bar dalibai 48,000 daga makaranta, yayin da aka lalata ɗakunan aji 89 kuma 182 sun lalace. Tsarin yanayi mai tsanani tun watan Fabrairu - gami da Tropical Storm Elvis, yankin haɗuwa na wurare masu zafi, Tropical Cyclone Honde da Tropical Hurricane Jude - sun kawo ruwan sama mai tsanani, ƙara rikitar da samun dama a fadin Grand Sud. Gundumomi huɗu - Ampanihy, Bekily, Beloha da Tsihombe - sun kasance ba za a iya isa ta hanyar hanya ko sabis na Jirgin Sama na Majalisar Dinkin Duniya (UNHAS), suna hana isar da taimako. Bugu da ƙari, Ma'aikatar Tsaro da Tsaro ta Majalisar Dinkin Duniya (UNDSS) ta ƙuntata motsi na hanya a kan National Road 10, wanda ke haɗa Toliara, Betioky, Ampanihy, Beloha, Tsihombe, da Ambovombe saboda yanayin rashin samun dama. Guguwar ta fara sauka a arewacin Madagascar a ranar 8 ga watan Maris kafin ta koma Mozambique. Tasirin farko ya bar mutum daya ya mutu, daya ya ji rauni, kuma mutane 4,100 da suka shafa, ciki har da mutane 3,617 da suka rasa muhallinsu a wurare tara na wucin gadi, da farko a Gundumar Maroantsetra a arewa.

## Manazarta