Cigaba - Cibiyar Maido da Yanayi ta ƙasa

**Cigaba - Cibiyar Kula da Mayar da Yanayi ta ƙasa** wata tanki ce mai zaman kanta da aka kafa a cikin 2014, wacce ke Melbourne, Ostiraliya. Gidan yanar gizon su ya bayyana manufar Breakthrough a matsayin haɓakawa da haɓaka dabaru, ƙirƙira da bincike waɗanda ake buƙata don maido da yanayin zuwa yanayin aminci.

## Gabaɗaya
A cikin 2014, Cibiyar Kula da Al'umma ta Melbourne, wani ɓangare na Jami'ar Melbourne ta ba da harabar ta don Ci gaba: Dandalin Mayar da Yanayi na Ƙasa. A cikin 2017, Breakthrough ya shirya taron jama'a a Jami'ar Melbourne da kuma Jami'ar Ƙasa ta Ostiraliya, wanda ke nuna fim ɗin The Age of Consequences wanda ke mai da hankali kan tasirin tsaro na sauyin yanayi. Bako mai magana Sherri W. Goodman, tsohon Mataimakin Sakataren Tsaro na Amurka kan Tsaron Muhalli, kuma babban mai ba da gudummawa ga jerin rahotannin Amurka masu ban sha'awa game da yanayin yanayin, ya ba da bayyani kan mahimman batutuwa daga shirin.

A wannan shekarar ne Kamfanin Watsa Labarai na Ostiraliya ya watsa wani faifan bidiyo a kan batun hadurran yanayi, inda ya nuna wani rahoto daga Breakthrough. Rahoton ya bayyana cewa dumamar yanayi za ta haifar da munanan rikice-rikicen jin kai, da tilasta yin hijira, rashin zaman lafiya da rikici a Asiya-Pacific da duniya.

A cikin 2018, Breakthrough ya gabatar da ƙaddamarwa ga Kwamitin Harkokin Waje, Tsaro da Kasuwanci na Majalisar Dattijan Australiya wanda ke gudanar da bincike game da Barazana da Hatsari na dogon lokaci da Canjin Yanayi ga Tsaron Ƙasa da Tsaro na Ƙasashen Duniya. Ƙaddamar da Breakthrough ga kwamitin ya ce "Hanyoyin watsi da Paris-Post-Paris sun dace da 3 ° C ko fiye da dumamar yanayi, tare da yuwuwar haɓakar zafin jiki na 4-5 ° C. Haɗarin duniya sun haɗa da canje-canje masu ban mamaki ga tsarin aikin gona, tsarin ruwa da tsaro na abinci, da ambaliyar ruwa da bakin teku da kuma ƙaura ta tilastawa, wanda ke da damar da za a iya magance rikici na kasa da kasa, da kuma kara yawan hadarin nukiliya na kasa da kasa.

David Spratt, Daraktan Bincike na Breakthrough ya ce akwai raguwa tsakanin shaidun da aka gabatar ga binciken, cewa sauyin yanayi shine "haɗarin tsaro na kasa na yanzu da wanzuwa", da kuma shawarwarin da suka fito daga gare ta.

## Daraktoci
Luke Taylor shine Manajan Daraktan Cibiyar Nazari. David Spratt, marubucin Climate Code Red, shine darektan bincike. Giselle Wilkinson ita ce Daraktan Watsawa. Ian Dunlop, tsohon shugaban kungiyar Coal Association ta Ostiraliya kuma Shugaba na Cibiyar Daraktocin Kamfanoni ta Australiya babban memba ne na kwamitin ba da shawara na Breakthrough.

## Rahotanni
2017: A cikin 2017 an fitar da rahoton Bala'i Alley, yana gargadin rikicin 'yan gudun hijira a fadin Asiya-Pacific, saboda dumamar yanayi. A cikin 2018, Breakthrough ya buga rahoton Abin da ke ƙasa: Rashin Ra'ayin Halitta na Haɗarin Yanayi, tare da iyaka akan manufofin yanayi da ayyukan yanayi, David Spratt da Ian Dunlop suka rubuta, da kuma maballin Hans Joachim Schellnhuber. David Wallace-Wells daga Mujallar New York ya bayyana rahoton a matsayin mai ban tsoro. Alvin Stone daga Majalisar Binciken Ostiraliya, ya lura game da rahoton, "Ba a nufin wannan rahoton a matsayin "takardar kimiyya" ba, a maimakon haka an tsara shi don fassara kimiyya zuwa aiki da kuma nuna kasada..."

2018: A watan Yuni 2018, Breakthrough ya fitar da wani sabon rahoto mai taken Haɗarin tsaro da ke da alaƙa da yanayin yanayi: Tsarin yanayi yana kwatanta yanayin canjin yanayi na qiyama nan da 2050 idan ba mu yi aiki da wuri ba. Rahoton ya ce har yanzu shirye-shiryen da kasashen suka gabatar a birnin Paris a shekarar 2016 na rage hayakin da ake fitarwa zai haifar da dumamar yanayi a kimanin digiri 3. Breakthrough ya ce dumamar yanayi zai kasance mafi girma saboda adadin bai haɗa da madaukai na sake zagayowar carbon na dogon lokaci ba. An yi hasashen cewa nan da shekara ta 2050, yawan ruwan teku zai tashi da mita 0.5, yanayin muhallin Amazon zai durkushe, yankin Arctic ba zai yi kankara ba a lokacin rani, yawan amfanin gonakin duniya ya ragu da kashi biyar kuma fiye da rabin al'ummar duniya na fuskantar kwanaki 20 na zafi a shekara.

Rahoton ya ce "lalacewar da ba za ta iya jurewa ba" tana faruwa ga tsarin yanayi na duniya "wanda ke haifar da rudani inda firgicin siyasa ya zama ruwan dare kuma muna kan hanyar fuskantar ƙarshen wayewa". Adam Sobel, farfesa a fannin kimiyyar lissafi da lissafi a Jami'ar Columbia da ke New York wanda ya yi nazari kan yanayin yanayi da yanayin yanayi, ya ce yanayin da rahoton ya bayyana "ba su yi nisa a gare ni ba."

## Manazarta