Zaben gwamna na Jihar Kwara na 2023

An gudanar da **[[Zaben gwamnonin Najeriya 2023|Zaben gwamna]] na Jihar Kwara na 2023** a ranar 18 ga Maris 2023, don zabar Gwamnan da ke kan mulki na Jihar kwara, tare da Zaben Majalisar Dokokin Jihar Kwara da kuma wasu zabuka ashirin da bakwai na gwamna da zaɓen duk sauran gidajen majalisa na jihar. Zaben - wanda aka jinkirta daga ranar 11 ga watan Maris - an gudanar da shi makonni uku bayan Zaben shugaban kasa da zaben Majalisar Dokoki. An sake zabar mai mulki AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq (APC) da kashi 25.6% a kan dan takarar PDP Shuaib Yaman Abdullahi . 

Zaben fidda gwani, wanda aka shirya tsakanin 4 ga Afrilu da 9 ga Yuni 2022, ya haifar da sake zabar AbdulRazaq daga All Progressives Congress ba tare da hamayya ba a ranar 26 ga Mayu yayin da Jam'iyyar Peoples Democratic Party ta zabi Shuaib Yaman Abdullahi a ranar 25 ga Mayu. Ga Jam'iyyar Social Democratic Party, an soke zaben fidda gwani na farko a ranar 25 ga Mayu wanda ya haifar da sakewa a ranar 30 ga Mayu; Hakeem Lawal ya lashe zaben fidda gashin gashin gashi.

Kashegari bayan zaben, INEC ta ayyana AbdulRazaq a matsayin mai nasara tare da shi ya lashe kusan kuri'u 273,000 (~59% na kuri'un) don kayar da Abdullahi da kusan kuri'un 155,000 (~34% na kuri'u) yayin da Lawal ya kasance a matsayi na uku tare da kusan kuriʼu 19,000 (~4% na kuri'in).  Abdullahi ya yi zargin rashin daidaito na zabe amma bai fara kalubalantar shari'a ga sakamakon ba.

## Tsarin zabe
Ana zabar gwamnan jihar Kwara ta amfani da tsarin zagaye biyu. Don a zabe shi a zagaye na farko, dole ne dan takara ya sami kuri'un da yawa da kuma sama da kashi 25% na kuri'un a akalla kashi biyu bisa uku na yankunan kananan hukumomin jihar. Idan babu dan takara da ya wuce wannan ƙofar, za a gudanar da zagaye na biyu tsakanin babban dan takara kuma dan takara na gaba da ya sami kuri'u da yawa a cikin mafi yawan yankunan karamar hukuma.

## Tarihi
Jihar Kwara babbar jiha ce a Arewacin Tsakiya tare da ci gaban tattalin arziki da manyan yankuna na halitta amma suna fuskantar rashin ci gaban noma, sare daji, da rashin tsaro. Zaben jihar na 2019 ya sami babban canji ga APC na jihar. Kodayake APC ta lashe mafi yawan zabuka na 2015 a Kwara, yawancin masu rike da mukamai na APC sun bar jam'iyyar a 2018 don bin Sanata Bukola Saraki cikin PDP; duk da ikon da Daular Saraki ke da shi a kan siyasar Kwaran, ƙungiyar Ó Tó ge ge-da ke jagorantar APC ta mamaye jihar a cikin 2019. APC ya lashe dukkan kujerun majalisar dattijai guda uku kuma a cikin tsari, ta ci Saraki da yawa. Hakazalika, APC ta sami kujerun majalisa guda biyar da PDP ke rike da su don mamaye dukkan Zaben Majalisar Wakilai. A matakin jiha, APC ya sami gwamna da duka sai dai kujerar daya a Majalisar. Wadannan sakamakon, tare da shugaban kasa mai ci Muhammadu Buhari (APC) wanda ya lashe jihar da kusan kashi 70%, ya haifar da rarraba zaben 2019 a matsayin canjin girgizar kasa a siyasar jihar.

A lokacin yakin neman zabe na AbdulRazaq na 2019, ya dogara da alkawura kan inganta gaskiya na gwamnati, gyara sufuri, da hada jinsi da sauransu. Dangane da aikinsa, an yaba wa AbdulRazaq saboda manufofin ilimi, saka hannun jari na kiwon lafiya, nada majalisar ministocin jihar ta farko ta mata, da shirye-shiryen saka hannun jari. A gefe guda, an soki shi saboda rashin kula da rushewar dukiyar iyalin Saraki, zargin nuna bambanci na kabilanci da yanki yayin yin nadin KWASU, ya kori zaɓaɓɓun shugabannin karamar hukuma ba bisa ka'ida ba kuma ya kasa gudanar da zaɓen karamar hukuka na kundin tsarin mulki, da kuma tada bashin jihar.

## Zaben fidda gwani
Za a gudanar da zaben fidda gwani, tare da duk wani kalubale da zai iya samu ga sakamakon fidda gwamna, tsakanin 4 ga Afrilu da 3 ga Yuni 2022 amma an tsawaita lokacin zuwa 9 ga Yuni.[1][2] A cewar wasu 'yan takara da shugabannin al'umma daga gundumar Arewa, yarjejeniyar yanki ta ba da izini ta kafa Gundumar Sanata ta Arewa don samun gwamna na gaba tun bayan dawowar dimokuradiyya ta 1999, duk gwamnonin Kwara sun fito ne daga ko dai Gundumar Kwara ta Tsakiya ko Kwara ta Kudu.[3] Dangane da waɗannan kiran, PDP ta sanya zabar ta zuwa Arewa amma APC ba ta rufe firaministanta ga wadanda ba na Arewa ba kuma ta sake zabar AbdulRazaq, wanda ya fito daga Ilorin West a Kwara ta Tsakiya; SDP ta zabi Hakeem Lawal daga Ilorin East a cikin gundumar tsakiya.

### Dukkanin Majalisa Masu Ci gaba
Shekarar da ta gabata kafin zaben fidda gwani na APC ta sha wahala daga rikice-rikicen jam'iyya tsakanin bangarori biyu daban-daban, daya da ministocin Lai Mohammed da Gbemisola Ruqayyah Saraki suka goyi bayan ɗayan kuma Gwamna mai ci AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq. Kungiyoyin biyu sun gudanar da majalisa biyu daban-daban na jam'iyya a ƙarshen 2021 amma kamar yadda AbdulRazaq gwamna ne mai aiki, jam'iyyar ta kasa ta amince da majalisa a matsayin halatta. Bayan yanke shawara, yawancin magoya bayan jam'iyyar Mohammed-Saraki sun bar APC (musamman sun shiga Jam'iyyar Social Democratic Party).   Kodayake Mohammed ko Saraki ba su sauya sheka ba, masu sharhi sun bayyana cewa sauya shiku suna da damar cutar da APC a cikin babban zaben. Wani batu na jayayya shine kiran da kungiyoyin Kwara ta Arewa suka yi don a rarraba gwamna a yankin su; don yaki da waɗannan buƙatun, fitattun mambobin APC na arewa kamar Shugaban Majalisar Yakubu Danladi-Salihu da Sanata Suleiman Sadiq Umar sun gudanar da abubuwan da suka faru don tallafawa shirin sake zaben AbdulRazaq.

A ranar farko, AbdulRazaq shine dan takara daya kuma ya lashe zaben gaba daya. A cikin jawabinsa na karɓa, AbdulRazaq ya gode wa wakilai da jihar gaba ɗaya yayin da yake alkawarin ci gaba da aikin gwamnatinsa.

#### An zabi shi

* AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq: Gwamna (2019-yanzu)    Mataimakin Gwamna (2019yanzu) 
** Mataimakin Gwamna - Kayode Alabi: Mataimakin Gwamna (2019-yanzu) 

#### Ya ƙi

* Yakubu Danladi-Salihu: memba na Majalisar don Ilesha / Gwanara (2019-yanzu) da Kakakin Majalisar (2019-yanayin) 

### Jam'iyyar Demokradiyya ta Jama'a
A watan Disamba na 2021, Sakataren Talla na Kwara PDP Tunde Asholu ya ba da sanarwar cewa jam'iyyar ta sanya zaben gwamna a Gundumar Sanata ta Arewa ta Kwara.  Bayan 'yan watanni, tsohon shugaban majalisar dattijai Bukola Saraki (shugaban Kwara PDP) ya ba da sanarwar cewa za a kara yawan zabar jam'iyyar zuwa Edu, Moro, da Pategi LGAs; Saraki ya kuma sanar da cewa' yan takarar sun amince da amfani da hanyar yarjejeniya don zaben fidda gwamna. Tsohon ya kasance mai kawo rigima saboda Gwamna daya tilo da ya zo daga gundumar Arewa, Mohammed Shaaba Lafiagi, ya fito ne daga Edu kuma ta haka ne micro-zoning zuwa wannan yanki maimakon Baruten da Kaiama LGAs ba a yarda da su a cikin waɗannan LGAs da ke haifar da rikici na PDP na ciki; jayayya ta kara da wani kabilanci kamar yadda yankin Edu-Moro-Pategi ya fi rinjaye-Nupe yayin da Baruten daKaiama suka fi rinjaye Baatonu da Bokobaru, bi da bi. A gefe guda, 'yan takarar sun sake tabbatar da hanyar yarjejeniya a ranar 13 ga Afrilu 2022 bayan ganawa da Saraki a gidansa na Abuja.

A ranar farko, 'yan takara uku sun yi takara a zaben fidda gwani wanda ya ƙare tare da Shuaib Yaman Abdullahi ya fito a matsayin dan takarar jam'iyyar bayan sakamakon ya nuna shi ya lashe sama da kashi 90% na kuri'un wakilai. A cikin jawabinsa na karɓa, Abdullahi ya yi rantsuwa da lashe babban zaben kuma ya nemi jam'iyyar ta haɗu a kusa da shi. A ranar 17 ga Yuni, an zabi Gbenga Peter Makanjuola - tsohon memba na Majalisar Wakilai na Ekiti / Isin / Orepodun / Oke-ero - a matsayin mataimakin dan takarar gwamna.

#### An zabi shi

* Shuaib Yaman Abdullahi: dan takarar gwamna na APC na 2019  Mataki mai gudu - Gbenga Peter Makanjuola: tsohon memba na Majalisar Wakilai na Ekiti / Isin / Orepodun / Oke-ero [3]
** Abokin gudu - Gbenga Peter Makanjuola: tsohon memba na Majalisar Wakilai na Ekiti / Isin / Orepodun / Oke-ero 

* Aliyu Ahman-Pategi: tsohon memba na Majalisar Wakilai na Edu / Moro / Pategi 
* Mohammed Gana Yisa: tsohon Jakadan Japan kuma farfesa 

#### Ya janye

* M.M. Abubakar: ɗan kasuwa 
* Danusa Kawu Adam 
* Abubakar S. Ahmad 
* Ibrahim Biyu: tsohon Ministan Sufuri (2008-2010), tsohon memba na Majalisar, kuma tsohon Kakakin Majalisar 
* Mohammed Ajia Ibrahim: Dan takarar gwamna na PDP na 2019 kuma tsohon jami'in 'yan sanda (don yin takarar MHR don Ilorin West / Asa) 
* Baba Idris
* Abubakar M. Shamaki 

#### Ya ƙi

* Bolaji Abdullahi: Dan takarar gwamna na PDP na 2019; tsohon Ministan Wasanni (2012-2014); tsohon Minista na Ci gaban Matasa (2011-2012); kuma tsohon Kwamishinan Ilimi, Kimiyya da Fasaha (2007-2011) 
* Ali Ahmad: tsohon memba na Majalisar Dokoki na Ilorin ta Kudu (2015-2019), tsohon Kakakin Majalisar Dokoki (2015-2019) dan takarar gwamna na PDP na 2019, kuma tsohon memba na majalisar wakilai na Ilorin Gabas / Illinois ta Kudu (2011-2015) 
* Aisha Ahman-Pategi: tsohon Kwamishinan Ayyuka na Musamman (2019-2020) kuma tsohon Kwamishina na Karamar Hukumar da Harkokin Shugaba (2020) 
* Abdullah Alikinla: tsohon kwamishinan
* Razaq Atunwa: tsohon memba na Majalisar Wakilai na Asa / Illinois West (2015-2019), 2019 dan takarar gwamna na PDP, tsohon memba na majalisar dokokin Owode / Onire (2011-2015), tsohon Kakakin Majalisar Dokokin Jihar Kwara (2011-2015). 
* Ladi Hassan: Dan takarar gwamna na PDP na 2019, tsohon Babban Sakataren Hukumar Raya Babban Birnin Tarayya, kuma tsohon Kwamishinan Lafiya 
* Saka Isau: Dan takarar gwamna na PDP na 2019, tsohon Babban Lauyan Jiha da Kwamishinan Shari'a, kuma tsohon Sakataren Gwamnatin Jiha 
* Abdulwahab Issa: tsohon memba na Majalisar Wakilai na Ilorin Gabas / Illinois ta Kudu (2007-2011), tsohon Shugaban Karamar Hukumar Ilorin ta Kudu (2004-2007), kuma tsohon Shugaban Kar Karamar Hukumar ta Ilorin ta Gabas (1996-1997) 

### Jam'iyyar Social Democratic Party
A farkon 2022, manyan kungiyoyin mambobin APC sun sauya sheka zuwa SDP bayan rikicin jam'iyyar APC na ciki. Bayan maraba da sabbin mambobin, jagorancin Kwara SDP sun nuna amincewa da yiwuwar jam'iyyar a cikin babban zaben;  duk da haka yayin da fidda gwani ya kusa, yanki ya zama batun cikin gida yayin da kungiyoyin Kwara North suka bukaci a sanya zaben zuwa Arewa.  Ƙarin rikici tsakanin membobin jam'iyyar na dogon lokaci da sabbin masu sauya sheka na APC sun sauka cikin rikici na jam'iyya yayin da aka gudanar da majalisa biyu daban-daban a watan Afrilun 2022.

A ranar farko ta farko, wani babban dan takara (memba na Majalisar Abdulganiyu Saka Cook Olododo) ya janye yayin da sauran 'yan takara shida suka ci gaba zuwa zaben fidda gwani a Ilorin wanda ya ƙare a Hakeem Lawal ya ci nasara bayan an sanar da sakamakon ya nuna Lawal ya lashe kashi 54% na kuri'un wakilai.  Koyaya, wanda ya zo na biyu Shuaib Oba Abdulraheem ya kalubalanci sakamakon ga jam'iyyar ta ƙasa wacce ta amince da gudanar da zaben fidda gwani a ranar 30 ga Mayu. Lawal ya sake lashe zaben, tare da kashi 77% na kuri'un da ya lashe zaben a karo na biyu. Abdulraheem ya ci gaba da yin zanga-zanga kafin ya bar jam'iyyar don samun zaben NNPP. A tsakiyar watan Yuli, an sanar da Joshua Olayinka Olakunle - fasto daga Ora, Ifelodun LGA - a matsayin abokin gudu na Lawal.

#### An zabi shi

* Hakeem Lawal: Dan takarar gwamna na APC na 2019 kuma ɗan tsohon Gwamna Mohammed Alabi Lawal   Matashi mai gudu - Joshua Olayinka Olakunle: fasto kuma tsohon malami [4]
** Abokin gudu - Joshua Olayinka Olakunle: fasto kuma tsohon malami 

#### An kawar da shi a firamare

* Shuaib Oba Abdulraheem: tsohon Mataimakin Shugaban Jami'ar Ilorin (ya sauya sheka bayan zaben fidda gwani don samun nasarar gudanar da zaben fidda gashin gwamna na NNPP)  
* Tajudeen Abdulkadir Audu: Dan takarar gwamna na 2019 
* Sunday Babalola: injiniya 
* Kale Belgore: tsohon mataimakin Gwamna AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq kuma ɗan'uwan ɗan siyasa Dele Belgore 
* Khaleel Bolaji: tsohon kwamishinan 

#### Ya janye

* Abdulganiyu Saka Cook Olododo: memba na Majalisar Wakilai na Ilorin Gabas / Illinois ta Kudu (don sake tsayawa takara a matsayin MHR na Ilorin Gabas / Illinois ta Kudancin)   

## Yaƙin neman zaɓe
Bayan zaben fidda gwani, masana sun sake jaddada gasa na babban zaben yayin da suke lura da ci gaba da ficewa daga APC zuwa SDP da kuma kiran da za a rarraba yankin zuwa Gundumar arewa, wanda PDP kawai ta saurara. An ga ficewar APC a matsayin mai lalacewa ga AbdulRazaq a cikin watanni bayan Zaben gwamna na jihar Osun na 2022 - rarrabuwa a cikin Osun APC ya taimaka wajen kawar da mai mulki na APC yayin da abokan hamayyarsa na ciki suka taimaka wa wasu jam'iyyun;  duk da haka, an kuma lura cewa manyan mambobin APC guda biyu - Ministan Bayanai da Al'adu Lai Mohammed da Ministan Jiha na Ma'adinai da Karfe Gbem Ruisolayah Saraki - sun bayyana sun rabu da magoya bayanta da ke goyon bayan Lawal yayin da Saraki ta ta ta ya sulhunta

A watan Yulin da Agusta, an lura da kamfen ɗin AbdulRazaq da Abdullahi a matsayin daga cikin kamfen ɗin zabe da yawa waɗanda suka yi amfani da mummunan gobarar Kasuwar Alanamu don hawk don kuri'u. An ga wuraren yakin neman gobara bayan kasuwa na ƙarin tabbaci cewa Gundumar Tsakiya za ta zama filin yaƙi don zaben; daga baya rahoto a watan Satumba ya mayar da hankali kan gaskiyar cewa duk manyan 'yan takara ban da Abdullahi sun fito ne daga Gundumar tsakiya. Hakanan, an dauki Gundumar Arewa ta Abdullahi a matsayin mai aminci a gare shi yayin da aka rarraba Gundumar Kudu a matsayin yaƙi tsakanin AbdulRazaq da Abdullahi . 

A watan Oktoba, AbdulRazaq ya fara gudanar da zauren gari a duk fadin jihar tare da sauran zaɓaɓɓun jami'ai. PDP ta nuna rashin amincewa da abubuwan da suka faru, tana mai da'awar cewa tsara abubuwan da suka shafi yakin neman zabe a matsayin "taron zauren gari" da gwamnan ya yi ba daidai ba ne yayin da amfani da kudaden jama'a don abubuwan da suka gabata ya lalace. Daga baya a wannan watan, masana sun sake jaddada yiwuwar tasirin da ke tattare da rikice-rikice a cikin APC zai iya samu a yakin neman zabe na AbdulRazaq. A watan da ya biyo baya, a ranar 7 ga Nuwamba, an saki zaben farko na jama'a - wanda NIO Polls ya gudanar kuma Anap Foundation ta ba da izini - don tseren tare da nuna babban jagora ga AbdulRazaq yayin da Abdullahi da Lawal suka biyo baya a karo na biyu da na uku, bi da bi. Sabanin haka, Adebola Bakare - sakataren kasa na Kungiyar Kimiyya ta Siyasa ta Najeriya - ya yi imanin cewa zaben ya kasance mai banƙyama a ƙarshen Disamba 2022 tare da da da'awar cewa Abdullahi har yanzu yana cin nasarar yankin arewa amma yanzu Lawal ya samu a yankin kudu yayin da AbdulRazaq ke jagorantar yankin tsakiya.

Ya zuwa 2023, an sauya hankali sosai ga zaben shugaban kasa a ranar 25 ga Fabrairu. A cikin zaben, Jihar Kwara ta zabi Bola Tinubu (APC); Tinubu ya lashe kashi 56.1% na kuri'a'un don kayar da Atiku Abubakar (PDP) da kashi 29.1% da Peter Obi (LP) da kashi 6.6%. Kodayake sakamakon bai kasance mai ban mamaki ba kamar yadda Kwara ke cikin Tinubu ta kudu maso yamma kuma tsinkaye sun fi son shi, jimlar ta haifar da karuwar mayar da hankali ga yakin AbdulRazaq saboda nasarar Tinubu. Binciken yakin neman zabe na gwamna a yayin zaben shugaban kasa ya lura da yanayin yanki da na addini na musamman yayin da yake jaddada tasirin ci gaba da rarrabuwar APC. Duk da rikicin APC, hasashen EiE-SBM ya tsara AbdulRazaq don cin nasara bisa ga "ƙaddamar da APC a zaben tarayya".

## Babban Zabe

### Sakamakon

#### Ta hanyar gundumar sanata
Sakamakon zaben ta gundumar sanata.

#### Ta hanyar mazabar tarayya
Sakamakon zaben ta mazabar tarayya.

#### Ta hanyar karamar hukuma
Sakamakon zaben ta kananan hukumomi.

## Manazarta