Guguwar Dikeledi

**Guguwar Tropical Dikeledi** ta kasance guguwa mai zafi da ta dade tana ratsa kudancin tekun Indiya a watan Disamba 2024 da Janairu 2025. Dikeledi, wanda ke nufin hawaye a cikin Sotho, ita ce guguwa ta hudu mai suna hadari kuma ta uku mai tsananin zafi na 2024-25 Kudu-maso-Yammacin tekun Indiya. Ya kafa kudu da Java, Indonesia a matsayin ƙasa mai zafi a ranar 30 ga Disamba 2024, ta ratsa kudancin Tekun Indiya kafin ya shiga cikin tekun Kudu maso Yamma a Tekun Indiya a ranar 4 ga Janairu, da ofishin Météo-Faransa a Réunion (MFR) yana sa ido kan tsarin bayan kwana biyu. A rana mai zuwa, MFR ya haɓaka tsarin zuwa ɓacin rai na wurare masu zafi, tare da haɓaka mai zurfi da haɓakawa da hotunan microwave overpass wanda ke ba da shawarar zagayawa ya fara tsarawa. MFR ta haɓaka ɓacin rai zuwa matsakaicin guguwa na wurare masu zafi a ranar 9 ga Janairu, sannan kuma guguwa mai zafi washegari. Dikeledi ya yi kasa a kusa da Antsiranana, Madagascar a ranar 12 ga Janairu. Ƙididdiga daga Gallagher Re yana sanya asarar dalar Amurka miliyan 20.

## Tarihin yanayi
Dikeledi ya samo asali ne a kudancin Java, Indonesia a matsayin ƙananan wurare masu zafi a kan 30 Disamba 2024 kuma BoM ya ba da lambar yabo ta 08U kafin ya ratsa kudancin Tekun Indiya zuwa yankin RSMC La Reunion na alhakin marigayi a kan 4 Janairu 2025. Advanced scatterometer data a kan 6 Janairu nuna cewa low-matakin low-matakin da aka elongated a kan kudanci / ph5 m. gefe. Meteo-Faransa ta kuma ce har yanzu ba a tsara tsarin da ke da alaƙa ba, amma duk da haka ta fara ba da gargaɗi da ƙarfe 12:00 UTC a wannan rana yayin da ta keɓe tsarin a matsayin Yankin yanayi na tashin hankali. Cibiyar Gargadi na Haɗin Kan Typhoon (JTWC) ta ba da Faɗakarwar Ƙirƙirar Cyclone (TCFA) akan wannan tsarin a ranar 7 ga Janairu yayin da ya zama mafi tsari. A rana mai zuwa, Meteo-Faransa ya haɓaka 05 zuwa yanayin zafi na wurare masu zafi, tare da zurfin haɗuwa da haɓakawa da hotunan microwave overpass wanda ke ba da shawarar zagayawa ya fara tsarawa, sannan RSMC ya sanya wa tsarin sunan Dikeledi a farkon 9 ga Janairu. Duk da haka, JTWC ta riƙe TCFA, amma duk da haka ta ba da misali da ƙaƙƙarfan cibiyar zagayawa mai ƙanƙanta tare da zurfafa ƙonawa a kan cibiyar.[5] A ranar 11 ga Janairu, MFR ta bayar da rahoton cewa Dikeledi ya ƙaru zuwa guguwar yanayi mai zafi, tare da iska mai gudun kilomita 130/h (mph 81). Bayan da aka yi rauni kadan, guguwar ta afkawa kusa da Antsiranana, Madagascar a ranar 12 ga Janairu. Bayan haka, Dikeledi ya raunana baya zuwa matsayin guguwa na wurare masu zafi yayin da yake kan ƙasa, yana fitowa cikin tashar Mozambik kusa da Nosy-Be. Yayin da guguwar ta tunkari gabar tekun Mozambik, guguwar ta sake samun matsayin guguwa mai zafi a ranar 13 ga watan Janairu, inda ta yi kasa a lardin Nampula jim kadan bayan haka. Guguwar ta karkata zuwa kudu, guguwar ta yi rauni zuwa yanayin yanayi mai zafi a kan kasa, amma nan da nan ta sake bullowa cikin tashar Mozambique. Da yake hanzari zuwa kudu maso gabas, Dikeledi ya karfafa komawa zuwa ga tsananin guguwar a ranar 15 ga Janairu, saboda ruwan dumi da yanayi mai kyau. Wucewa kudu maso yamma na kudancin Madagascar, ya ƙara ƙarfafa zuwa wani mummunan guguwa mai zafi a ranar 16 ga Janairu, tare da ƙoƙon iskar 175 km/h (110 mph); Dikeledi ya karya tarihin guguwar da ta fi kusa da kudu na wannan tsananin a cikin kwandon, wanda ya zarce na Cyclone Anggrek a shekarar 2024.[13] Daga baya a wannan rana, iska mai ƙarfi ta sa guguwar ta yi rauni cikin sauri, kuma guguwar ta rikiɗe zuwa wani guguwar da ta wuce a ranar 17 ga Janairu.

## Shirye-shirye

### madagaskar
A ranar 11 ga watan Janairu, gwamnatin Madagascar ta ba da rahoton cewa, Dikeledi zai iya haifar da guguwa mai tsawon mita 8 (26 ft) na ruwan sama 120 mm (4.7 in) na ruwan sama, iska 110 km / h (68 mph) da gust 150 km / h (93 mph), wanda zai iya haifar da ambaliya da zabtarewar ƙasa a duk arewa maso gabashin tsibirin. an ba da faɗakarwar ja don "haɗari na kusa" don Bealanana, Antsohihy, da Analalava. Kungiyar agaji ta Save the Children ta ce kananan yara 22,500 a kasar za su fuskanci bala'in guguwar, wanda ta yi gargadin cewa ka iya haifar da matsalar jin kai a yankin. Ofishin kula da ayyukan jin kai na Majalisar Dinkin Duniya OCHA ya ce akwai yiyuwar samun ruwan sama mai karfin gaske da zabtarewar kasa a arewacin Madagascar a tsawon tsakanin 11 zuwa 13 ga watan Janairu, wanda zai iya shafar mutane 45,082, wanda ake sa ran samun ruwan sama mai tsawon mm 170 (6.7 in) a yankin Antsiranana.

## Manazarta