Political budget cycles in new versus established democracies
By: Adi Brender, Allan Drazen.
Contributors: Drazen, Allan.; National Bureau of Economic Research.
Series: NBER working paper series ;; working paper 10539; Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) ;; working paper no. 10539.
Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research
Published: 2004
Place of publication: Cambridge, MA
Language: eng
Format: Electronic resource
Subjects: Budgets -- Case studies.; Business cycles -- Case studies.; Democracy -- Case studies.; New democracies -- Case studies.
Genres: Case studies.
Description: "Like other recent studies, we find the existence of a political deficit cycle in a large cross-section of countries.  However, we find that this result is driven by the experience of new democracies'.  The strong budget cycle in those countries accounts for the finding of a budget cycle in larger samples that include these countries; when these countries are removed from the larger sample, so that only established' democracies remain, the political budget cycle disappears.  The political deficit cycle in new democracies accounts for findings in both developed and less developed economies, for the finding that the cycle is stronger in weaker democracies, and for differences in the political cycle across governmental and electoral systems.  Our findings may reconcile two contradictory views of pre-electoral manipulation, one arguing it is a useful instrument to gain voter support and a widespread empirical phenomenon, the other arguing that voters punish rather than reward fiscal manipulation"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.
Notes: Includes bibliographical references.
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Mode of access: World Wide Web.