Estimating and controlling the cost of extending technology
Subtitle: a revision and extension
By: O. Douglas Moses
Contributors: Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Dept. of Administrative Sciences
Publisher: Naval Postgraduate School; Available from National Technical Information Service
Published: 1989
Place of publication: Monterey, Calif; Springfield, Va
Language: eng
Number of pages: 34
Subjects: COST ESTIMATES; STATE OF THE ART; TECHNOLOGY FORECASTING
Other titles: NPS-54-89-06.
Description: When firms undertake new development projects, there is considerable uncertainty as to the      amount of cost that will eventually be incurred. This study tests hypotheses concerning the      relationships between extensions in technology and costs, and provides approaches for      estimating and controlling costs. The study begins by examining the techniques currently      available for measuring the state-of-the-art of technology. Next, methods for quantifying the      incremental progress represented by a particular project are reviewed and extended. Third,      relationships between technology measures and development time and development costs are      formulated and tested. Fourth, variance measures related to development cost are specified.      Fifth, relationships between the scope of the development phase of a program and      subsequent production costs are examined. Finally, the idea of a development cost premium,      used to relate development costs to production costs, is introduced and tested. The      workability of the approach for cost prediction and control is tested and demonstrated by      using technological and cost data from 18 satellite programs. (kr)
Notes: Cover title.

"NPS-54-89-06."

"March 1989."

AD A206 475.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 29-30)

aq/aq cc:9116 03/26/97.