The Solar Deployment System (SolarDS) model
Subtitle: documentation and sample results
By: Paul Denholm, Easan Drury, and Robert Margolis
Contributors: Drury, Easan; Margolis, Robert M. (Robert Mark); National Renewable Energy Laboratory (U.S.)
Series: NREL/TP -- 6A2-45832; NREL/TP -- 6 A 2-45832.
Publisher: National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Published: 2009
Place of publication: Golden, Colo
Language: eng
Format: [electronic resource] :
Number of pages: 52
Subjects: Photovoltaic power generation
Description: The Solar Deployment System (SolarDS) model is a bottom-up, market-penetration model that simulates the potential adoption of photovoltaics (PV) on residential and commercial rooftops in the continental United States through 2030. NREL developed SolarDS to examine the market competitiveness of PV based on regional solar resources, capital costs, electricity prices, utility rate structures, and federal and local incentives. This report provices details on the model, which uses the projected financial performance of PV systems to simulate PV adoption for building types and regions then aggregates adoption to state and national levels. The main components of SolarDS include a PV performance simulator, a PV annual revenue calculator, a PV financial performance calculator, a PV market share calculator, and a regional aggregator. The model simulates a variety of installed PV capacity for a range of user-specified input parameters. PV market-penetration levels from 15 to 193 GW by 2030 were simulated in preliminary model runs. SolarDS results are primarily driven by three model assumptions: (1) future PV cost reductions, (2) the maximum PV market share assumed for systems with given financial performance, and (3) PV financing parameters and policy-driven assumptions, such as the possible future cost of carbon emissions.
Notes: Title from title screen (viewed November 9, 2009).

"September 2009."

Includes bibliographical references (p. 31-35).

DE-AC36-08-GO28308 PVD9.1210

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