Use of climate change scenarios for building simulation
Subtitle: the CIBSE future weather years
Series: CIBSE technical memoranda -- volume TM48; TM (Chartered Institution of Building Services Engineers) -- 48.
Publisher: CIBSE Chartered Institute of Building Services Eng
Published: 2009
Place of publication: London
Language: eng
Number of pages: 26
ISBN-13: 9781680150261; 9781906846015
Subjects: Climatic changes; Climate Change; Climat; Changements; Climate change
Description: Climate change has become a reality and further and accelerating change is expected over the next few decades. It is likely that the UK will experience milder winters and hotter and more extreme summers. These changes will impact on building performance, particularly with regard to cooling and ventilation, with implications for the quality of the indoor environment, energy consumption and carbon emissions. Assessment of these factors at the design stage is currently based on computer simulations made using historical weather data. Such simulations are fundamentally limited therefore in their ability to provide a true picture of future performance: it is possible that a generation of buildings are being constructed that will cope poorly with the demands that future climate will place on their envelopes, interior spaces and systems. There are also important questions regarding existing buildings - how, when and to what extent they will need to be adapted to cope with future climate change. --
Notes: Includes bibliographical references.
Table of contents: title: 1.; title: Introduction -- -- 2.; title: Adaptation to climate change:; title: Adaptation and mitigation ; The need for adaptation ; Climate change scenarios ; Policy and frameworks -- -- 3.; title: Hourly weather data:; title: The CIBSE weather years ; CIBSE test reference year ; CIBSE design summer year ; Uses of hourly weather data -- -- 4.; title: Global climate change scenarios:; title: General circulation models ; Emissions scenarios ; IPCC AR4 projections -- -- 5.; title: UK regional climate change projections:; title: Regional scenarios: key concepts ; UKCIP02 ; UKCP09 -- -- 6.; title: Temporal downscaling: generation of the weather years:; title: Dynamical downscaling ; Analogue scenarios ; Time series adjustment ('morphing') ; Statistical models (weather generators) ; Choice of downscaling method -- -- 7.; title: Future developments. -- -- Appendices: -- A1.; title: The morphed weather years ; -- A2.; title: Solar radiation algorithms.