The Black Swan
Subtitle: The impact of the highly improbable
By: Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
Edition: 1st ed.
Publisher: Random House
Published: 2007
Place of publication: New York
Language: eng
Number of pages: 366
ISBN-13: 9781400063512
Subjects: Uncertainty (Information theory) -- Social aspects; Forecasting
Description: ABOUT THIS BOOK

A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.
Notes: Includes bibliographical references (p. [331]-358) and index.