An examination of the USMC Combat Active Replacement Factor (CARF) determination system
By: by Glenn F. Lindsay
Contributors: Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Dept. of Operations Research
Publisher: Naval Postgraduate School; Available from National Technical Information Service
Published: 1985
Place of publication: Monterey, Calif; Springfield, Va
Language: eng
Number of pages: 57
Subjects: LOGISTICS PLANNING; MARINE CORPS EQUIPMENT; LOGISTICS  MANAGEMENT
Other titles: NPS-55-85-005.
Description: Combat Active Replacement Factors, or CARFs, are logistics planning factors currently      used by the U.S. Marine Corps as estimates of equipment losses in future conflicts.      Adapted Army replacement factors are currently a prime source for CARF values, but      verification of these values is difficult. This report examines two alternate means of      estimating CARF values for comparative purposes. The first employs mean-time-to-loss      estimates for various equipment types, and several scenario-oriented models are given for      mapping these values into CARFs. Professional military judgement provides another way      of estimating CARF values, and a procedure is given by which the judgment of many      experts can be aggregated to provide CARF information. A demonstraction of the      procedure is given, employing actual data from twenty-three judges who rated 'chance of      loss' for twenty-one equipment types. Keywords: Replacement factor, combat losses,      scaling.
Notes: Title from cover.

"NPS-55-85-005."

"February, 1985."

AD A156 526.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 56-57)

aq/aq cc:9116 05/27/98