re-examination of the predictability of economic activity using the yield spread
By: James D. Hamilton, Dong Heon Kim
Contributors: Kim, Dong Heon, 1966-; National Bureau of Economic Research.
Series: NBER working paper series -- no. 7954; Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) -- working paper no. 7954.
Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research
Published: 2000
Place of publication: Cambridge, MA
Language: eng
Number of pages: 26
Subjects: Gross domestic product -- Forecasting.; Interest rates -- Forecasting.; Government securities.; Business cycles -- Forecasting.; Economic forecasting.
Other titles: Predictability of economic activity using the yield spread.
Notes: "October 2000."

JEL no. E32, E37, E43.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 20-23).

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Electronic version available via the Internet at the NBER World Wide Web site.