Forecasting Navy issue and receipt workload at Defense Logistics Agency depots
By:  Perry A. Warbrick
Publisher: Naval Postgraduate School; Available from National Technical Information Service
Published: 1996
Place of publication: Monterey, Calif; Springfield, Va
Language: eng
Number of pages: 66
Subjects: COST ESTIMATES; WORKLOAD; SUPPLY DEPOTS
Description: Each year the Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) asks the military services to estimate their      future issue and receipt workload demands at DLA distribution depots. DLA uses these      estimates to determine expected costs and revenues at the distribution depots. Accurate      workload forecasting allows DLA planners to establish appropriate surcharges for their      services. Inaccurate estimates can lead to higher costs to DLA and, ultimately, to the Navy.      We evaluate current Navy forecasting methods and develop several causative factors that      influence issue and receipt workload. We present single and multiple regression models to      predict future issue and receipt demands and compare these models with those currently      used by Naval Supply Systems Command. Our results suggest that causal based modeling      is a feasible alternative to current models and may more accurately estimate future issue and      receipt workload for the Navy.
Notes: Thesis advisor(s): K.R. Gue, Shu Liao.

"December 1996."

Thesis (M.S. in Management) Naval Postgraduate School, December  1996.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 61).

Approved for public release; distribution unlimited.

US Navy (USN) author.

dk/dk cc:9116 5/15/97