Evaluation of the Shreveport predictive policing experiment
By: Priscillia Hunt, Jessica Saunders, John S. Hollywood
Contributors: Saunders, Jessica M., 1978- author; Hollywood, John S., 1973- author; Rand Corporation; Rand Safety and Justice (Program); National Institute of Justice (U.S.)
Publisher: RAND Corporation
Published: 2014
Place of publication: Santa Monica, CA
Language: eng
Number of pages: 62
ISBN-13: 9780833086914
Subjects: Statistical methods; Forecasting; Police administration; Regression analysis; Law enforcement; Offenses against property; Social prediction; Case studies; Crime prevention; Prevention
Description: "Even though there is a growing interest in predictive policing, to date there have been few, if any, formal evaluations of these programs. This report documents an assessment of a predictive policing effort in Shreveport, Louisiana, in 2012, which was conducted to evaluate the crime reduction effects of policing guided by statistical predictions. RAND researchers led multiple interviews and focus groups with the Shreveport Police Department throughout the course of the trial to document the implementation of the statistical predictive and prevention models. In addition to a basic assessment of the process, the report shows the crime impacts and costs directly attributable to the strategy. It is hoped that this will provide a fuller picture for police departments considering if and how a predictive policing strategy should be adopted. There was no statistically significant change in property crime in the experimental districts that applied the predictive models compared with the control districts; therefore, overall, the intervention was deemed to have no effect. There are both statistical and substantive possibilities to explain this null effect. In addition, it is likely that the predictive policing program did not cost any more than the status quo."--"Abstract" on web page.
Notes: "RAND Corporation research report series."--Web page (PDF).

"RR-531-NIJ."--Cover page 4.

"The research described in this report was sponsored by the National Institute of Justice and was conducted in the Safety and Justice Program within RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment."--Verso of title page.

Includes bibliographical references (pages 61-62).

"This project was supported ... by the National Institute of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, U.S. Department of Justice."--Verso of title page. "... by Award No. 2009-IJ-CX-K114."