Effective Management Decision Making An Introduction
Publisher: Bookboon.com
Published: 2013
ISBN-13: 9788740301205
Table of contents: title: Content; title: 1. Chapter 1; title: 1.1. Effective Management Decision Making: Introduction; title: 1.2. The Duality of Decision Making?; title: 1.3. Types of Business and Management Decisions; title: 1.4. Who is involved in Decision Making?- The Decision Body; title: 1.5. The three phased model; title: 1.6. Summary; title: 1.7. Key terms and glossary; title: 2. Chapter 2; title: 2.1. Developing rational models with qualitative methods and analysis: Data forecasting; title: 2.2. Simple Averaging Forecasting; title: 2.3. Moving Averages; title: 2.4. Exponential Smoothing Data Forecasting; title: 2.5. Errors, accuracy and confidence; title: 2.6. Causal forecasting (explanatory forecasting); title: 2.7. Non-linear Forecasting and multiple regression– Curve fitting; title: 2.8. Multiple regression and partial regression analysis; title: 2.9. Complete worked non linear forecasting example with seasonality; title: 2.10. Summary; title: 2.11. Key Terms and glossary; title: 3. Chapter 3; title: 3.1. Developing rational models with quantitative methods and analysis: probabilities; title: 3.2. The Decision tree – a map of the solution set; title: 3.3. Decision Analysis; title: 3.4. More on probabilities: Expected Monetary Values (EMVs); title: 3.5. Revising problem information – Bayes Theorem; title: 3.6. The Value of Sample and Perfect Information; title: 3.7. Summary; title: 3.8. Key Terms and glossary; title: 3.9. Chapter closing question; title: 4. Chapter 4; title: 4.1. Developing rational models with quantitative methods and analysis: Distribution Functions and Queuing Theory; title: 4.2. The mathematical function: discrete and continuous variables; title: 4.3. The discrete distribution – the binomial function; title: 4.4. Extending binomial number sequences; title: 4.5. The Poisson sequence; title: 4.6. Queuing Theory; title: 4.7. Examples of poisson problems; title: 4.8. More examples of poisson problems:; title: 4.9. Queuing Theory – Modelling reality; title: 4.10. Defining the queuing characteristics; title: 4.11. Example of M/M/ system; title: 4.12. Queuing cost analysis of M/M/ models; title: 4.13. M/M/k queues; title: 4.14. The economic analysis of queues; title: 4.15. Other queuing systems and different waiting line structures; title: 4.16. Example of an arbitrary service time queue; title: 4.17. Summary; title: 4.18. Key terms and glossary; title: 5. Chapter 5; title: 5.1. Developing holistic models with qualitative methods of decision analysis: Irrationality in Management Decision Making; title: 5.2. The Monte Carlo Simulation; title: 5.3. Systems thinking about decisions; title: 5.4. Checkland’s Soft System Methodology (SSM) – Mode; title: 5.5. Summary; title: 5.6. Key terms and glossary; title: 6. Chapter 6; title: 6.1. The individual in decision making: Heuristics in Management Decision Making:; title: 6.2. More on the cognitive view – schematas and heuristics; title: 6.3. More on heuristics; title: 6.4. Summary; title: 6.5. Key terms and glossary; title: 7. Chapter 7; title: 7.1. The role of groups in decision making and long term decision making methods and analysis; title: 7.2. Group decision making – is it really better?; title: 7.3. Group communication; title: 7.4. Convergent thinking emergence in groups- The Abilene Paradox; title: 7.5. Convergent thinking emergence in groups- The Groupthink phenomenon; title: 7.6. Futures forecasting and decision making; title: 7.7. Summary; title: 7.8. Glossary; title: 8. References