Evaluation of combat
By: by Donald Barr, Maurice Weir, James Hoffman
Contributors: Weir, Maurice Dean; Hoffman, James C. (James Charles); Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Dept. of Mathematics
Publisher: Naval Postgraduate School; Available from National Technical Information Service
Published: 1991
Place of publication: Monterey, Calif; Springfield, Va
Language: eng
Number of pages: 23
Subjects: Weapon system effectiveness; Mathematical methods; Combat effectiveness; Battles
Other titles: NPS-MA-92-001.
Description: Assessment of effects of changes in weapons systems or battle tactics is difficult because of      the variations in battles and the resulting instability of measures of combat effectiveness. Even      in the relatively stable conditions of designed experimentation, traditional measures may fail to      reflect important battle events and dynamics, and sample sizes are driven high in an effort to      overcome large variances. This variation in results makes the design, conduct and evaluation      of combat experimentation a challenging endeavor, indeed. We develop and examine a      measure of combat effectiveness, based on Lanchester models, which we call the battle trace.      The battle trace is a measure of ongoing battle results, measured as a function of time into the      battle. We discuss how such measures can be used to compare effects of factor levels in      designed comparisons, and we describe an application to evaluation of human factors in      combat simulations.
Notes: Cover title.

"NPS-MA-92-001."

"Technical report for period October 1991."

AD-A243 322.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 19)

aq/aq cc:9116 04/14/97.