China's exports and employment
By: Robert C. Feenstra, Chang Hong
Contributors: Hong, Chang; National Bureau of Economic Research
Series: NBER working paper series -- working paper 13552; Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) -- working paper no. 13552.
Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research
Published: 2007
Place of publication: Cambridge, MA
Language: eng
Format: [electronic resource] /
Description: "Dooley et al (2003, 2004a,b,c) argue that China seeks to raise urban employment by 10-12 million persons per year, with about 30% of that coming from export growth.  In fact, total employment increased by 7.5-8 million per year over 1997-2005.  We estimate that export growth over 1997-2002 contributed at most 2.5 million jobs per year, with most of the employment gains coming from non-traded goods like construction.  Exports grew much faster over the 2000-2005 period, which could in principal explain the entire increase in employment.  However, the growth in domestic demand led to three-times more employment gains than did exports over 2000-2005, while productivity growth subtracted the same amount again from employment.  We conclude that exports have become increasingly important in stimulating employment in China, but that the same gains could be obtained from growth in domestic demand, especially for tradable goods, which has been stagnant until at least 2002"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.
Notes: Title from PDF file as viewed on 11/15/2007.

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