Analysis to inform defense planning despite austerity
By: Paul K. Davis
Contributors: National Defense Research Institute (U.S.); Rand Corporation
Publisher: RAND Corporation
Published: 2014
Place of publication: Santa Monica, CA
Language: eng
Number of pages: 171
ISBN-13: 9780833085078
Copyright date: 2014
Subjects: Military planning; Evaluation; Decision making; Mathematical models
Description: Defense analysis can do a better job supporting policymakers dealing with multiple objectives and deep uncertainties. This will involve seeing through the fog with simple analysis and undergirding results with depth as necessary. It will emphasize balancing across objectives and hedging against both uncertainty and disagreement among policymakers. Modern methods for doing so are available but they require displacing some familiar processes and demanding more from analysis. Once decisions are made, analysis should help policymakers explain, convince, and shape implementation guidance with sharpened requirements, forcing functions, and metrics for monitoring, feedback, and adaptation.
Notes: "RR-482-OSD"--Cover page 4.

"RAND National Defense Research Institute."

Includes bibliographical references (pages 155-171).

"The research described in this report was prepared for the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) and conducted within the International Security and Defense Policy Center of the RAND National Defense Research Institute, a federally funded research and development center by OSD, the Joint Staff, the Unified Combatant Commands, the Navy, the Marine Corps, the defense agencies, and the defense Intelligence Community."
Table of contents: title: Preface; title: Summary; title: A setting of great national security challenges; title: Analysis to aid decisionmaking; title: Concrete suggestions for analysis; title: Creating capability models; title: Finding suitable options; title: Integrating with portfolio analysis; title: Conclusions; title: Appendixes; title: Bibliography.