An assessment of the effects of changing family circumstances on the size and diversity of future military accessions
By: Jeffrey S. Weis,  Alvin J. Van Steenbergen
Contributors: Van Steenbergen, Alvin J.; Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.) 
Publisher: Naval Postgraduate School; Available from National Technical Information Service
Published: 1997
Place of publication: Monterey, Calif; Springfield, Va
Language: eng
Number of pages: 125
Subjects: FAMILIES (HUMAN); CHILDREN
Description: This thesis examines the relationship between changing family circumstances and the educational outcomes of      children, and derives the implications of changes in family background on the quality and diversity of future      military recruiting pools. The data sources for this thesis were the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, maintained      and published by the University of Michigan, and the March Current Population Surveys, maintained and      published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. We estimated the effect of family background variables such as      family income, parental education levels, and number of siblings, on the likelihood of children either completing      high school or attending college. We then used these relationships to simulate the rates of high school completion      and college attendance for nationally representative samples of children selected from the March 1974/1975 and      1993/1994 Current Population Surveys. The results indicate that today's children from white families will likely      complete high school at lower rates but attend college at somewhat higher rates, as compared to people who      were children in the early 197Os. Today's children who are growing up in minority families will likely graduate      from high school at lower rates, and today's black and Hispanic children who do complete high school will be      less likely to attend college, again compared to children from the 197Os. These trends suggest that military      recruiters will likely have more difficulty recruiting from among all youth for enlistment, and may have less success      in finding minority officers.
Notes: Thesis advisors, Mike D. Cook and Stephen L. Mehay.

AD-A331 223.

Thesis (M.S. in Management) Naval Postgraduate School, March 1997.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 123-124)

dk/dk cc:9116 11/6/97.