Systemic crises and growth
By: Romain Ranciere, Aaron Tornell, Frank Westermann.
Contributors: Tornell, Aaron.; Westermann, Frank, 1970-; National Bureau of Economic Research.
Series: NBER working paper series ;; working paper 11076; Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) ;; working paper no. 11076.
Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research
Published: 2005
Place of publication: Cambridge, MA
Language: eng
Format: Electronic resource
Subjects: Financial crises -- Mathematical models.; Economic development -- Mathematical models.
Description: "In this paper, we document the fact that countries that have experienced occasional financial crises have, on average, grown faster than countries with stable financial conditions.  We measure the incidence of crisis with the skewness of credit growth, and find that it has a robust negative effect on GDP growth.  This link coexists with the negative link between variance and growth typically found in the literature.  To explain the link between crises and growth we present a model where weak institutions lead to severe financial constraints and low growth.  Financial liberalization policies that facilitate risk-taking increase leverage and investment.  This leads to higher growth, but also to a greater incidence of crises.  Conditions are established under which the costs of crises are outweighed by the benefits of higher growth"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.
Notes: Includes bibliographical references.
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