An analytical model for forecasting Navy Officer career paths
By: by Paul R. Milch
Contributors: Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Dept. of Operations Research
Publisher: Naval Postgraduate School; Available from National Technical Information Service
Published: 1988
Place of publication: Monterey, Calif; Springfield, Va
Language: eng
Number of pages: 23
Subjects: OFFICER PERSONNEL; CAREERS; NAVAL PERSONNEL
Other titles: NPS-55-88-009.
Description: A mathematical model, using semi Markov Processes, is suggested for the career paths of      military officers. The model consists of a rectangular array of nodes with rows      representing activity types and columns representing successive tours. Thus each billet of      an officer is described by an activity type and a tour number. The duration of such a billet,      called a tourlength, is considered fixed, given the activity type and the tour number.      Transitions from activities in one tour to activities in the next tour are governed by distinct      transition probability matrices. A formula is developed for the expected number of      personnel occupying any activity in any tour sometime in the future, given the current      numbers of occupants (incumbents) in all billet types and the planned numbers of      accessions in the future. Finally, an example is presented that is applicable to the Surface      Warfare Officer Community of the Navy. (sdw)
Notes: Title from cover.

"NPS-55-88-009."

"September 1988."

AD A199 770.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 19-20)

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