Future babble
Subtitle: why expert predictions are next to worthless, and you can do better
By: Dan Gardner
Publisher: Dutton
Published: 2010
Place of publication: New York
Language: eng
Number of pages: 305
ISBN-13: 9780525952053
Subjects: Fallacies (Logic); Perception; Thought and thinking; Uncertainty
Description: Gardner presents landmark research debunking the whole expert prediction industry and explores our obsession with the future.
Notes: Includes bibliographical references and index.
Table of contents: title: Introduction; title: The unpredictable world; title: In the minds of experts; title: The experts agree : expect much more of the same; title: Unsettled by uncertainty; title: Everyone loves a hedgehog; title: When prophets fail; title: The end is nigh.