Energy to 2050
Subtitle: Scenarios for a Sustainable Future
By: International Energy Agency
Publisher: OECD Publishing
Published: 2004
Place of publication: Paris
Language: eng
Format: [electronic resource] /
Number of pages: 224
ISBN-13: 9789264019058
Subjects: Force and energy; Power (Mechanics); Power resources; Ecology; Euthenics; Nature and nurture; Adaptation (Biology)
Description: Analysing the interaction between energy and climate change mitigation issues requires the adoption of a long-term perspective – looking up to fifty years ahead. This volume examines ‘exploratory scenarios’ and ‘normative scenarios’. These long-term scenarios complement the IEA’s World Energy Outlook, which presents a mid-term business-as-usual scenario with some variants. The analysis in this volume seeks to stimulate new thinking in this critical domain.
Table of contents: title: Foreword; title: Acknowledgements; title: Background; title: -What are Scenarios and Why are They Useful?; title: Different Types of Scenarios; title: Objectives and Purpose of this Study; title: Outline of Book Contents; title: 1. Long-Term Energy and Environment Scenarios: The Literature; title: -General Methodological Aspects; title: Review of Recent Scenario Work; title: Global Scenarios; title: Shell's Scenarios; title: Stockholm Environmental Institute - Global Scenario Group; title: World Business Council for Sustainable Development; title: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Scenarios; title: Millennium Project; title: Country Scenarios; title: Canada: Energy Technology Futures; title: The Netherlands: Long-Term Outlook for Energy Supply; title: The United Kingdom Foresight Program - Energy Futures; title: A Critique of Scenarios; title: 2. Three Exploratory Scenarios to 2050; title: -Background; title: Methodology; title: Background; title: The Scenarios; title: Scenario 1. Clean, but not Sparkling. 2000-2025 Riding on Good Intentions; title: Scenario 2. Dynamic but Careless. 2003-2015 Abundant Energy Resources; title: Scenario 3. Bright Skies. 2003-2050 Lowering the Emissions Curve; title: Comments and Implications of the Three Exploratory Scenarios; title: 3. A Normative Scenario to 2050: The SD Vision Scenario; title: -Background; title: Normative Characteristics; title: Building a Reference Framework; title: A Normative Case: The SD Vision Scenario; title: Regional Implications of the SD Vision Scenario; title: Policy Implications; title: Conclusions; title: 4. Conclusions; title: -Building Useful Scenarios; title: Drawing Out Insights: What Does the Literature Tell Us?; title: Developing a New Scenario: The Explorative Approach; title: Moveing to Policy Intervention: The SD Vision Scenario; title: Where Do We Go From Here?; title: Appendix I. Scenarios from the Literature Reviewed; title: Appendix II. Scenario Comparisons; title: References; title: Glossary