Uncertainties in environmental modelling and consequences for policy making
By: edited by Philippe Baveye, Jaroslav Mysiak, Magdeline Laba
Series: NATO science for peace and security series. Series C, environmental security
Publisher: Springer
Published: 2009
Place of publication: Dordrecht; London
Language: eng
Number of pages: 401
ISBN-13: 9789048126347; 9789048126354
Subjects: Environmental reporting; Environmental impact analysis; Environmental policy; Mathematical models; Environmental auditing; Uncertainty (Information theory)
Description: Mathematical modelling has become in recent years an essential tool for the prediction of environmental change and for the development of sustainable policies. Yet, many of the uncertainties associated with modelling efforts appear poorly understood by many, especially by policy makers. This book attempts for the first time to cover the full range of issues related to model uncertainties, from the subjectivity of setting up a conceptual model of a given system, all the way to communicating the nature of model uncertainties to non-scientists and accounting for model uncertainties in policy decisions. Theoretical chapters, providing background information on specific steps in the modelling process and in the adoption of models by end-users, are complemented by illustrative case studies dealing with soils and global climate change. All the chapters are authored by recognized experts in their respective disciplines, and provide a timely and uniquely comprehensive coverage of an important field.
Notes: Includes bibliographical references and index.