Probability models for assessing the value of battle damage assessment in the defense against sequential theater missile attacks
By: Shing-Jen Song
Publisher: Naval Postgraduate School; Available from National Technical Information Service
Published: 1996
Place of publication: Monterey, Calif; Springfield, Va
Language: eng
Format: Electronic resource
Number of pages: 46
Description: This thesis seeks to use probability models to investigate the effects and value of battle damage assessment (BDA) information availability on sequential tasks encountered in the defense against missile attacks. Different levels of information will have different impacts on the outcome of the battle. Additional information could increase the effectiveness of the defensive weapon system. On the other hand, the enemy could use deception techniques, electronic warfare (EW) and Decoy measures on the information-gathering methods to disrupt the acquisition of information which would decrease the effectiveness of defensive weapons. In the models, we show how to best allocate limited resources; i.e. the available kill time, to maximize the reward. We define a measure of effectiveness (MOE) for information which can be used for evaluating information value and decision making. We discuss different strategic alternatives and information value for both defenders and attackers in electronic warfare (EW).
Notes: Thesis advisor(s): Donald P. Gaver, Patricia A. Jacobs.

"March 1996."

Thesis (M.S. in Operations Research) Naval Postgraduate School, March 1996.

Includes bibliographical references.

"Approved for public release, distribution unlimited"--Cover.

Also Available online.

Mode of access: World Wide Web.

System Requirements: Adobe Acrobat reader.

Republic of China Navy author.

dk/dk cc:9996 11/8/96