Estimating relationships in simulation models using regression
Subtitle: an application to military retirement costing
By: by K.J. Euske, G.W. Thomas, and D.F. Smith
Contributors: Thomas, George W.; Smith, Donald F.; Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Dept. of Administrative Sciences
Publisher: Naval Postgraduate School; Available from National Technical Information Service
Published: 1985
Place of publication: Monterey, Calif; Springfield, Va
Language: eng
Number of pages: 24
Subjects: COST ESTIMATES; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; SIMULATION; RETIREMENT (PERSONNEL); MILITARY PERSONNEL
Other titles: NPS-54-85-010.
Description: This article demonstrates a procedure for using regression analysis to develop estimating      equations that simply and quickly predict the effects on system performance of changes in      parametric values of complex interrelation- ships imbedded in a full mathematical simulation      model. Though a analytic solution to the relationships may be possible, the time and other      resources necessary to generate such a solution may exceed those available. The resulting      estimating equations facilitate understanding of the system being simulated, enable users to      more easily conduct sensitivity analysis and answer what-if questions, and assist the selling of      the simulation results to potential users. The procedure includes criteria for selection of:      variables to be analyzed, the sensitivity range, the value increments, and the functional form.      The example utilized is a simulation model developed for estimating future military retirement      costs. (Author)
Notes: Title from cover.

"NPS-54-85-010."

AD A165 186.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 23)

aq/aq cc:9116 01/19/99.