JLospinoso/sie — Issue #21: Investigate Convergence Ratio Issues
Author: JLospinoso
Created: 2011-11-20 14:46:50+00:00
State: open

There are some convergence issues with the s50 estimation. The ratios are too big:

***** Lospi.SienaDotNet.Test.Acceptance.Inference.Estimation.Parameter.MethodOfMoments.EstimationOfTheS50DataTest.ModelConvergesForS50
[Info] 'SienaDotNet' Loading the S50 Dataset into an observation set
[Info] 'SienaDotNet' Constructing a method of moments estimator.
[Info] 'SienaDotNet' The model to be estimated:NetworkPaceEffect`1 net Pace Period:0 1.87 NetworkPaceEffect`1 net Pace Period:1 1.65 OutdegreeEffect`1 net NetworkEvaluation -2.32 ReciprocityEffect`1 net NetworkEvaluation 2.35 TransitiveTripletsEffect`1 net NetworkEvaluation 0.61 DissimilarityNetworkEffect`1 net alc NetworkEvaluation -0.21 EgoContinuousCovariateEffect`1 net alc NetworkEvaluation 0.01 AlterContinuousCovariateEffect`1 net alc NetworkEvaluation -0.03
[Info] 'SienaDotNet' Using 3 _observations:
[Info] 'SienaDotNet' ***Variables
[net,
=======
Binary _network net:
=======
Number of actors: 50
Number of ties : 113
=======
]***Covariates
[alc,
Actor 0 -1840148545 3Actor 1 -1840148544 2Actor 2 -1840148547 2Actor 3 -1840148546 2Actor 4 -1840148541 3Actor 5 -1840148540 4Actor 6 -1840148543 4Actor 7 -1840148542 4Actor 8 -1840148537 2Actor 9 -1840148536 4Actor 10 -850028464 5Actor 11 1878854891 5Actor 12 -2012827878 3Actor 13 716055477 3Actor 14 1119340004 4Actor 15 -446743937 4Actor 16 -43459410 2Actor 17 -1609543351 4Actor 18 -493798104 3Actor 19 -2059882045 2Actor 20 -850028467 1Actor 21 1878854888 3Actor 22 -2012827881 4Actor 23 716055474 3Actor 24 1119340001 3Actor 25 -446743940 4Actor 26 -43459413 2Actor 27 -1609543354 2Actor 28 -493798107 3Actor 29 -2059882048 1Actor 30 -850028466 4Actor 31 1878854889 4Actor 32 -2012827880 3Actor 33 716055475 2Actor 34 1119340002 3Actor 35 -446743939 4Actor 36 -43459412 2Actor 37 -1609543353 3Actor 38 -493798106 2Actor 39 -2059882047 1Actor 40 -850028461 4Actor 41 1878854894 4Actor 42 -2012827875 2Actor 43 716055480 5Actor 44 1119340007 2Actor 45 -446743934 2Actor 46 -43459407 2Actor 47 -1609543348 2Actor 48 -493798101 1Actor 49 -2059882042 1]
[Info] 'SienaDotNet' ***Variables
[net,
=======
Binary _network net:
=======
Number of actors: 50
Number of ties : 116
=======
]***Covariates
[alc,
Actor 0 -1840148545 1Actor 1 -1840148544 2Actor 2 -1840148547 3Actor 3 -1840148546 3Actor 4 -1840148541 3Actor 5 -1840148540 4Actor 6 -1840148543 4Actor 7 -1840148542 5Actor 8 -1840148537 2Actor 9 -1840148536 5Actor 10 -850028464 5Actor 11 1878854891 5Actor 12 -2012827878 2Actor 13 716055477 4Actor 14 1119340004 4Actor 15 -446743937 5Actor 16 -43459410 4Actor 17 -1609543351 3Actor 18 -493798104 5Actor 19 -2059882045 3Actor 20 -850028467 1Actor 21 1878854888 2Actor 22 -2012827881 4Actor 23 716055474 3Actor 24 1119340001 4Actor 25 -446743940 4Actor 26 -43459413 2Actor 27 -1609543354 2Actor 28 -493798107 3Actor 29 -2059882048 3Actor 30 -850028466 4Actor 31 1878854889 2Actor 32 -2012827880 4Actor 33 716055475 2Actor 34 1119340002 3Actor 35 -446743939 4Actor 36 -43459412 2Actor 37 -1609543353 3Actor 38 -493798106 2Actor 39 -2059882047 1Actor 40 -850028461 3Actor 41 1878854894 5Actor 42 -2012827875 2Actor 43 716055480 5Actor 44 1119340007 2Actor 45 -446743934 2Actor 46 -43459407 2Actor 47 -1609543348 3Actor 48 -493798101 2Actor 49 -2059882042 2]
[Info] 'SienaDotNet' ***Variables
[net,
=======
Binary _network net:
=======
Number of actors: 50
Number of ties : 122
=======
]***Covariates
[alc,
Actor 0 -1840148545 3Actor 1 -1840148544 2Actor 2 -1840148547 3Actor 3 -1840148546 2Actor 4 -1840148541 4Actor 5 -1840148540 4Actor 6 -1840148543 3Actor 7 -1840148542 4Actor 8 -1840148537 2Actor 9 -1840148536 4Actor 10 -850028464 5Actor 11 1878854891 5Actor 12 -2012827878 2Actor 13 716055477 3Actor 14 1119340004 5Actor 15 -446743937 4Actor 16 -43459410 4Actor 17 -1609543351 3Actor 18 -493798104 5Actor 19 -2059882045 3Actor 20 -850028467 3Actor 21 1878854888 3Actor 22 -2012827881 2Actor 23 716055474 3Actor 24 1119340001 4Actor 25 -446743940 3Actor 26 -43459413 3Actor 27 -1609543354 4Actor 28 -493798107 3Actor 29 -2059882048 4Actor 30 -850028466 4Actor 31 1878854889 4Actor 32 -2012827880 3Actor 33 716055475 2Actor 34 1119340002 4Actor 35 -446743939 4Actor 36 -43459412 3Actor 37 -1609543353 4Actor 38 -493798106 3Actor 39 -2059882047 1Actor 40 -850028461 4Actor 41 1878854894 5Actor 42 -2012827875 4Actor 43 716055480 5Actor 44 1119340007 2Actor 45 -446743934 2Actor 46 -43459407 2Actor 47 -1609543348 4Actor 48 -493798101 3Actor 49 -2059882042 3]
[Info] 'SienaDotNet' Using state _simulator of type Lospi.SienaDotNet.Inference.Simulation.StateSimulator`2[Lospi.SienaDotNet.Modeling.States.CachedMarkovState,Lospi.SienaDotNet.Modeling.Models.Model].
[Info] 'SienaDotNet' Using derivative estimator of type Lospi.SienaDotNet.Inference.Estimation.Derivative.ScoreTypeDerivativeEstimator.
[Info] 'SienaDotNet' Using 7 _processors.
[Info] 'SienaDotNet' **** Initial parameter estimates

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' NetworkPaceEffect`1 net Pace Period:0 1.873

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' NetworkPaceEffect`1 net Pace Period:1 1.652

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' OutdegreeEffect`1 net NetworkEvaluation -2.319

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' ReciprocityEffect`1 net NetworkEvaluation 2.348

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' TransitiveTripletsEffect`1 net NetworkEvaluation 0.611

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' DissimilarityNetworkEffect`1 net alc NetworkEvaluation -0.206

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' EgoContinuousCovariateEffect`1 net alc NetworkEvaluation 0.007

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' AlterContinuousCovariateEffect`1 net alc NetworkEvaluation -0.031

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' ****

****************************************************************

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' **** Parameter estimates

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' NetworkPaceEffect`1 net Pace Period:0 1.883 1.179

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' NetworkPaceEffect`1 net Pace Period:1 1.655 1.017

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' OutdegreeEffect`1 net NetworkEvaluation -2.363 0.403

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' ReciprocityEffect`1 net NetworkEvaluation 2.348 0.262

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' TransitiveTripletsEffect`1 net NetworkEvaluation 0.614 0.077

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' DissimilarityNetworkEffect`1 net alc NetworkEvaluation -0.200 0.051

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' EgoContinuousCovariateEffect`1 net alc NetworkEvaluation 0.015 0.107

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' AlterContinuousCovariateEffect`1 net alc NetworkEvaluation -0.028 0.049

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' ****

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' **** Convergence ratios

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' NetworkPaceEffect`1 net Pace Period:0 -0.996

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' NetworkPaceEffect`1 net Pace Period:1 -0.996

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' OutdegreeEffect`1 net NetworkEvaluation -7.390

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' ReciprocityEffect`1 net NetworkEvaluation -5.442

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' TransitiveTripletsEffect`1 net NetworkEvaluation -2.134

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' DissimilarityNetworkEffect`1 net alc NetworkEvaluation -5.570

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' EgoContinuousCovariateEffect`1 net alc NetworkEvaluation -6.936

[Info] 'SienaDotNet' AlterContinuousCovariateEffect`1 net alc NetworkEvaluation -6.853