a new projection NBC news projects that Hillary Clinton will win in the state of Virginia 13 electoral votes. Here's how it says shaking out right now. Clinton had it 48 40 percent over Trump. What does this mean to the electoral map? Let's take you down to the ice and see where things stand. Trump with 168. Clinton with 122 as our map begins to fill in. But there are some states in gray right there who are going to create a lot of stomachs and drama in both campaigns tonight. Let's go to Chuck Todd right now who is with some of our pollsters to get a little read on what we're seeing here and how we got here. I'm with Bill McIntyre for Public and Fred Yang, Democrat. These guys are the brains behind the film is the other story here not only in the not only have we seen in the excerpts blowing through the roof the Trump voter. But as Bill noted your college educated white voter she's doing well but she's not doing as well as they expected so. It doesn't cancel out what he got and listen this was always out of reach for him when he was fighting with his own party. That's why it was viewed as so calamitous when he went to war with Republicans. The intra party fighting was viewed as disastrous. But that hasn't really been the case for the last few weeks. The closing weeks of this campaign have had Republicans even Paul Ryan who we were talking about in the last hour singing off of the same song. Don't forget about Clinton. Don't forget health care either. They. They. They. When when those premiums went up they obviously their research said go after it because he hammered hammered hammered health care within a system Bill Clinton who said you know we all know this this this the law you know he said something to Raghatory about Obamacare which gave them them fuel gave them ammunition and what was different about the post Comey period was that he had ammunition and he used it. He'd been a very inefficient candidate until that moment when the Colme letter hit he became a very efficient a very disciplined almost a traditional kind of candidate and this is what it yielded Kevin Tipples is admission right now Kevin what's the mood where you are and what are people talking about? Well Lester I think it's one of amazement and perhaps a little bit of surprise thrown in because people here last night We're attending one of the final Donald Trump rallies here at any point did you ever think that Michigan it might actually come down to Michigan never I never thought it would happen And what about you I mean Michigan did not seem to be in play this was supposed to be a Democrat state. We are ready to be in play we were excited for something new and different and Donald Trump is that person. What is what is Donald Trump represent to you that is different he tells it like it is he isn't politically correct which is sometimes good and sometimes not but you know where he's coming from. Well I have to ask you as a woman why did you vote for him because he tells it like it is I have a lot of friends who tell it like it is and you can trust them you have to sort through some of the weeds but when you get to the gist of it you know he's speaking strong words and that he's going to live up to those words. This was a rather subdued crowd up until about 45 minutes ago Lester and that's when the result started to come in I think people here got excited when they saw what was going on in Ohio which of course I believe it's still too close to call and then it started coming in here people started talking about the number of people that voted in the Detroit area which seemed to be low and then here which has been a Republican sort of island in this in this state of Michigan but after this evening I mean who knows it's all up in the air who knows what's going to happen here Lester. All right Kevin Tillis thanks very much and I know in the crush of that room in the noise you may have missed but Ohio has been called as a Donald Trump state Donald Trump wins Ohio and let's let's let's drill down on Ohio because it may be a highly Jackson because it may tell us a little bit what else is going on the Midwest and here's what we're seeing in Ohio which could be reflected in Michigan which is another one of these upper Midwest states and obviously the one we're talking about tonight look at this it wasn't immigration it wasn't foreign policy or terrorism that ended up giving Trump the win according to our exaples it was the economy 54% of Ohio voters said that was the most important issue to them and of the voters who said that the economy was the most important issues and actually of Ohio voters overall more of them thought that Donald Trump would better handle the economy his message on trade seemed to resonate this is something that we heard from Trump in the closing months of his campaign in the last few weeks as he made trip after trip after trip after trip to Ohio pressing this message the other thing driving his victory in Ohio he is the projected winner there take a look at this next board here it's what we've been talking about all night white voters without a college degree look at the margin for the Republican candidate in 2012 it was 56% Donald Trump outperformed Mitt Romney this year and look at what happened with the Democratic candidate in 2012 Barack Obama got 42% Hillary Clinton under performed him by five points so that is something that we're going to look to see if that is matched in Michigan given the similarities between the populations there Lester. Howley Jackson thanks we're going to take a quick break we're going to continue to keep it close eye on those two close to call states and there are many of them and another round of poll closings coming up including a big one California state. And of course we'll have the current conversations. Decision I get a question Walker now. He's not new information at Clinton headquarters here in New York. Lester good evening the Clinton campaign projecting confidence in this nail-biter of a race I just heard from one top official who says they still have a path to 270 and they say they are on that path why because they have one Colorado and Virginia but the path includes holding Wisconsin and Michigan they would then have to win Pennsylvania and either in Nevada or New Hampshire so those are the states that they are watching at this hour now they point out that in terms of Wisconsin Madison is still out that's obviously a heavy college area so you're going to get younger voters they think they can clinch that area and then Michigan destroyed us out a lot of African American voters of course President Obama has been there trying to energize his base and that part of the Obama coalition. I can tell you that there are jitters here among top Clinton supporters who are gathered at the Javits Center some of them acknowledging to me they are quite concerned about the fact that this race is a whole lot closer than they were anticipating but again at this hour the Clinton campaign stressing that they still have a path to 270 and they think they can get there. Lester listening to that path Kristen we're sending Chuck with his pad and up to the map here. Look the path is the path is one state right now I mean yes we may need to worry we'll worry about Nevada and New Hampshire when we get there. And Wisconsin she noted. And Wisconsin there's no doubt but let's get to know Michigan a little bit here. We still got more than 50% of the vote out but ultimately let's take a look at what Wayne County is going to do. So right now Clinton is winning it almost by 30 points let's go back to 2012 just to get an idea of the total vote that you'll see out of it. So we have 220,000 votes in there so far if you go to Wayne in 2012 she's see President Obama won it by almost 50 points. He got nearly all 370,000 net out of there. So my point is that's what you're going to be wanting to watch tonight. Number one is going to be how much it looks like there we go. How much does she get out of here still very little of Detroit in but she needs to net. She doesn't need a net as much as Obama got out of there but she needs a net probably 275 to 300,000 votes just out of Wayne County. So we got a ways to go but that's just a simple way of just watching Michigan right now. Why are you at the mat can you put on the show square Florida is we haven't we haven't checked in a little bit let's go ahead and go to it here. I didn't I'm sorry to have a spot. So I didn't I could have navigated simpler look. Vote keeps coming in she hasn't really narrowed the gap very well. It's just not there unless there's magic boxes of ballot boxes somewhere that we don't know about. I can keep telling you there is you know the remaining vote is basically here in Palm Beach, Broward Miami and I think there's one precinct in Monroe that's left. But by the way I was talking to a Florida Florida expert of mine about how how has Trump done this and it's essentially these Tampa X Urban counties. Okay both North and South in the Tampa market. He just blew through every single vote total estimate that Democrats had and frankly even Republicans just blew through. Look she did her job in Hillsboro. Normally how Hillsboro goes single most you could say it was the most important swing county in the country over the last 16 years. But this is not enough. She's going to win Hillsboro and lose the state. That doesn't happen very often but that's the story of what's happened in rural America. Hey everybody talking about how Trump didn't have much of a get out the vote operation. But apparently not that he relies so heavily on the Republican Party and there was already grousing from some inside states about they're not being sufficient get out the vote. Well the vote got out. We're going to take a break lots more ahead of this decision night than America.