2011年葡萄牙立法選舉

葡萄牙在2011年6月5日舉行大選，選出全共和國議會230席議員。 佩德羅·帕索斯·科埃略（Pedro Passos Coelho）領導的中間偏右社會民主黨 擊敗時任總理若瑟·蘇格拉底領導的社會黨。"Portugal PM quits after losing austerity vote ", Al Jazeera, 23 March 2011. Retrieved 27 March 2011. 在投票率創下歷史新低的情況下，中間偏右政黨囊括近130席席次，達總席次的56%，得票率僅達50%。而人民党持續2009年以來的態勢，創下1983年以來的最佳成績，而社民黨超越民調結果，贏得與2002年若泽·曼努埃尔·巴罗佐相同的席次。在全國二十個選區中，佩德羅·帕索斯·科埃略拿下里斯本、波爾圖、法魯、亞速群島等十七個選區。

社會黨在本次選舉遭受嚴重挫敗，不僅失去11個選區，且是1991年以來首度得票率低於30%。蘇格拉底因而在選舉日當晚宣布辭去總書記。社會黨也失去他所在的布朗庫堡選區。極左派政黨左翼集團大敗，失去半數議會席次。整體而言，葡萄牙左派支持率落後右派政黨十個百分點，是1991年代社民黨阿尼巴爾·卡瓦科·席爾瓦拿下絕對多數以來的最大差距。右派政黨社民黨及人民黨取得過半席次，可以組建聯合政府。連同席爾瓦總統，自1974年康乃馨革命以來，37年來總統和總理同屬右翼。

投票率是葡萄牙史上新低紀錄，僅僅只有58%。

 背景 

 選舉制度 

 政黨 
左翼集團
联合民主联盟
社會黨
社會民主黨
人民党

 議題 

 國外影響 

歐盟紓困

經濟前景

國際貨幣基金組織紓困

 民調 
 日期 民調機構 社會黨 社會民主黨 人民黨 左翼集团 联合民主联盟其他/未決定  差距 6/5 選舉結果 28.1%74席 38.7%108席 11.7%24席 5.2%8席 7.9%16席 8.5%0席 10.7%  6/5 Exit Poll - RTP1Universidade Católica 26.0% – 30.0%67 – 77席 37.0% – 42.0%104 – 114席 11.0% – 14.0%22 – 28席 5.0% – 7.0%8 – 11席 7.0% – 9.0%14 – 18席 5.0% – 8.0%0 – 1席 11.0%12.0% <small> 6/5 Exit Poll - SICEurosondagem 25.5% – 29.7%69 – 77席 38.3% – 42.5%102 – 109席 11.1% – 13.9%22 – 25席 4.5% – 6.7%7 – 10席 6.8% – 9.0%15 – 16席 — 12.8% <small> 6/5 Exit Poll - TVIINTERCAMPUS 24.4% – 28.8%64 – 78席 37.7% – 42.5%107 – 121席 10.1% – 13.7%12 – 28席 3.8% – 7.0%4 – 12席 6.2% – 9.4%11 – 20席 6.6% – 9.8%0 – 1席 13.3%13.7% <small> 6/2 Eurosondagem 31.0% 35.5% 13.0% 6.3% 8.2% 6.0% 4.5% <small> 5/31–6/2 Aximage 29.2% 37.4% 12.5% 6.7% 8.0% 6.2% 8.2% <small> 6/1 Eurosondagem 31.1% 35.9% 13.0% 5.9% 7.8% 6.3% 4.8% <small> 5/29–6/1 Aximage 30.1% 36.3% 12.4% 6.6% 8.1% 6.5% 6.2% <small> 5/28–6/1 INTERCAMPUS 31.1% 36.5% 11.6% 6.0% 7.4% 7.3% 5.4% <small> 5/31 Eurosondagem 31.3% 35.4% 13.4% 6.0% 7.9% 6.0% 4.1% <small> 5/28–31 Marktest 30.1% 38.5% 9.7% 4.5% 8.5% 8.7% 8.4% <small> 5/30 Eurosondagem 32.2% 35.5% 12.6% 6.3% 7.6% 5.8% 3.3% <small> 25/8–29 Universidade Católica 31.0% 36.0% 11.0% 7.0% 8.0% 7.0% 5.0% <small> 5/29 Eurosondagem 32.1% 34.7% 12.9% 6.3% 7.7% 6.3% 2.6% <small> 5/25–29 INTERCAMPUS 32.3% 37.0% 12.7% 5.2% 7.7% 5.2% 4.7% <small> 5/27 Eurosondagem 32.4% 33.7% 13.2% 6.4% 7.8% 6.5% 1.3% <small> 5/26 Eurosondagem 32.3% 33.9% 13.4% 6.3% 7.9% 6.2% 1.6% <small> 5/21–26 INTERCAMPUS 34.1% 35.8% 11.3% 6.5% 7.7% 4.5% 1.7% <small> 5/25 Eurosondagem 32.5% 33.6% 12.8% 6.5% 8.1% 6.5% 1.1% <small> 5/24 Eurosondagem 32.0% 33.7% 13.2% 6.7% 8.1% 6.3% 1.7% <small> 5/23 Eurosondagem 32.6% 33.1% 13.7% 6.6% 7.6% 6.4% 0.5% <small> 5/21–22 Universidade Católica 36.0% 36.0% 10.0% 6.0% 9.0% 3.0% 0.0% <small> 5/18–22 INTERCAMPUS 33.2% 39.6% 12.1% 5.6% 6.6% 3.0% 6.4% <small> 5/14–18 Aximage 29.5% 31.1% 12.9% 5.2% 7.3% 14.0% 1.6% <small> 5/11–15 INTERCAMPUS 35.4% 36.1% 12.6% 6.2% 7.5% 2.2% 0.7% <small> 5/7–12 INTERCAMPUS 36.8% 33.9% 13.4% 6.0% 7.4% 2.4% 2.9% <small> 5/9–10 Marktest 33.4% 39.7% 9.0% 4.8% 6.5% 6.6% 6.3% <small> 5/4–8 INTERCAMPUS 35.1% 36.2% 10.9% 6.5% 7.7% 3.6% 1.1% <small> 5/2–5 INTERCAMPUS 34.8% 37.0% 10.5% 7.0% 7.9% 2.8% 2.2% <small> 4/28–5/3 Eurosondagem 32.5% 35.8% 11.1% 6.6% 7.7% 6.3% 3.3% <small> 4/29–5/2 Aximage 28.3% 31.5% 11.2% 7.7% 9.3% 12.0% 3.2% <small> 4/30–5/1 Universidade Católica 36.0% 34.0% 10.0% 5.0% 9.0% 6.0% 2.0% <small> 4/14–19 Eurosondagem 32.7% 36.3% 11.3% 6.9% 7.8% 5.0% 3.6% <small> 4/15–17 Marktest 36.1% 35.3% 7.5% 6.0% 8.1% 7.0% 0.8% <small> 4/8–10 INTERCAMPUS 33.1% 38.7% 9.4% 7.6% 8.1% 3.1% 5.6% <small> 4/2–3 Universidade Católica 33.0% 39.0% 7.0% 6.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% <small> 3/28–30 Aximage 28.4% 34.8% 10.8% 6.5% 8.5% 11.0% 6.4% <small> 3/27–30 Eurosondagem 30.4% 37.3% 10.7% 7.7% 8.4% 5.5% 6.9% <small> 3/24–26 INTERCAMPUS 32.8% 42.2% 8.7% 7.9% 7.1% 1.3% 9.4% <small> 3/23：若瑟·蘇格拉底因不信任動議通過而下台，確定舉行提前選舉"José Sócrates demitiu-se ", Sol, 23 March 2011. Retrieved 31 August 2011. 3/18–23 Marktest 24.5% 46.7% 6.3% 8.9% 6.7% 6.9% 22.2% <small> 3/3–7 Aximage 27.9% 37.9% 8.9% 6.5% 10.7% 8.1% 10.0% <small> 2/23–28 Eurosondagem 30.6% 36.9% 9.9% 7.7% 8.6% 6.3% 6.3% <small> 2/17–23 Marktest 29.1% 47.8% 4.2% 5.9% 6.1% 6.9% 18.7% <small> 2/3–8 Eurosondagem 29.3% 36.3% 10.2% 9.5% 9.2% 5.5% 7.0% <small> 2/1–3 Aximage 27.8% 37.8% 9.5% 6.5% 9.3% 9.1% 10.0% <small> 1/19–21 Eurosondagem 30.3% 37.4% 9.6% 9.3% 8.4% 5.0% 7.1% <small> 1/16–19 INTERCAMPUS 30.8% 36.8% 5.8% 7.3% 7.1% 12.2% 6.0% <small> 1/5–11 Eurosondagem 29.6% 37.3% 10.1% 9.0% 8.8% 5.2% 7.7% <small> 1/3–6 Aximage 25.4% 38.3% 8.8% 7.5% 9.9% 10.1% 12.9% <small> 2011 12/10–15 INTERCAMPUS 30.1% 41.6% 7.7% 10.7% 8.8% 1.1% 11.5% <small> 12/5–7 Aximage 27.2% 39.8% 8.8% 7.4% 8.4% 8.4% 12.6% <small> 12/2–7 Eurosondagem 30.3% 36.2% 9.6% 9.3% 8.4% 6.2% 5.9% <small> 11/16–19 Marktest 26.9% 44.3% 6.9% 8.7% 6.7% 6.5% 17.4% <small> 11/12–17 INTERCAMPUS 30.5% 39.2% 8.5% 11.0% 9.7% 1.1% 8.7% <small> 11/4–9 Eurosondagem 30.0% 36.9% 9.3% 9.2% 8.8% 5.8% 6.9% <small> 10/26–29 Aximage 26.5% 35.2% 9.1% 8.4% 9.8% 11.0% 8.7% <small> 10/23–25 Universidade Católica 26.0% 40.0% 7.0% 12.0% 8.0% 7.0% 14.0% <small> 10/19–24 Marktest 25.1% 42.0% 8.1% 9.8% 8.3% 6.7% 16.9% <small> 10/6–12 Eurosondagem 35.3% 35.3% 8.0% 7.8% 8.4% 5.2% 0.0% <small> 10/4–6 INTERCAMPUS 32.0% 35.2% 9.1% 10.6% 11.1% 2.0% 3.2% <small> 10/1–4 Aximage 31.7% 30.6% 10.2% 8.6% 7.6% 11.3% 1.1% <small> 9/14–17 Marktest 35.7% 38.0% 6.7% 6.5% 6.5% 6.6% 2.3% <small> 9/6–9 Aximage 33.8% 32.1% 7.9% 8.3% 8.6% 9.3% 1.7% <small> 9/1–7 Eurosondagem 36.0% 35.8% 8.4% 7.1% 7.7% 5.0% 0.2% <small> 7/28–8/2 Eurosondagem 35.0% 36.0% 9.0% 7.2% 8.0% 4.8% 1.0% <small> 7/20–26 Marktest 33.3% 37.3% 7.5% 8.5% 6.8% 6.6% 4.0% <small> 7/16–19 INTERCAMPUS 34.4% 39.2% 5.9% 9.0% 9.5% 2.0% 4.8% <small> 7/8–11 Euroexpansão 31.7% 41.0% 3.8% 6.5% 6.3% 10.7% 9.3% <small> 7/1–6 Eurosondagem 33.7% 36.2% 9.6% 7.7% 8.0% 4.8% 2.5% <small> 7/1–4 Aximage 30.6% 34.9% 6.7% 8.2% 10.4% 9.2% 4.3% <small> 6/19–21  Universidade Católica 34.0% 37.0% 6.0% 6.0% 10.0% 7.0% 3.0% <small> 6/15–20 Marktest 24.1% 47.7% 6.9% 8.9% 6.0% 6.4% 23.6% <small> 6/2–8 Eurosondagem 34.8% 34.9% 10.1% 7.7% 7.5% 5.0% 0.1% <small> 6/1–7 Aximage 30.5% 31.6% 7.4% 9.7% 9.9% 10.9% 1.1% <small> 5/18–20 Marktest 27.6% 43.9% 7.5% 7.7% 7.1% 6.2% 16.3% <small> 5/13–18 Eurosondagem 36.2% 33.0% 11.3% 7.1% 7.7% 4.7% 3.2% <small> 5/4–7 Aximage 30.2% 31.5% 8.2% 8.6% 10.4% 11.1% 1.3% <small> 4/27–30 INTERCAMPUS 35.8% 41.6% 5.8% 7.8% 7.8% 1.2% 5.8% <small> 4/20–25 Marktest 34.0% 39.8% 4.5% 8.3% 7.2% 6.2% 5.8% <small> 4/8–13 Eurosondagem 36.0% 28.5% 13.1% 8.0% 8.2% 6.2% 7.5% <small> 4/5–8 Aximage 32.2% 30.4% 10.8% 8.3% 8.7% 9.6% 1.8% <small> 3/29：佩德羅·桑塔納·洛佩斯當選社民黨黨魁Sá, Paula; Coelho, Hugo Filipe; Mangas, Francisco; "Passos esmagador obtém garantia de união interna ", Diário de Notícias, 27 March 2010. Retrieved 27 March 2011. 3/16–21 Marktest 35.6% 30.8% 9.9% 11.0% 6.6% 6.1% 4.8% <small> 3/6–9 Universidade Católica 41.0% 33.0% 10.0% 6.0% 6.0% 4.0% 8.0% <small> 3/5–9 Aximage 34.0% 25.1% 11.5% 8.9% 7.4% 13.1% 8.9% <small> 3/4–9 Eurosondagem 36.9% 26.2% 14.8% 8.8% 8.4% 4.9% 10.7% <small> 2/23–27 INTERCAMPUS 40.4% 34.4% 7.8% 10.1% 6.3% 1.0% 6.0% <small> 2/16–21 Marktest 35.9% 30.9% 9.5% 10.6% 6.8% 6.3% 5.0% <small> 2/10–13 Aximage 32.4% 26.3% 10.7% 9.2% 8.3% 13.1% 6.1% <small> 2/4–9 Eurosondagem 38.1% 26.9% 13.6% 8.4% 8.3% 4.7% 11.2% <small> 2/2–5 Aximage 33.8% 24.8% 12.1% 8.6% 8.7% 12.0% 9.0% <small> 1/19–23 Marktest 40.5% 29.2% 10.2% 5.5% 8.5% 6.1% 11.3% <small> 1/7–12 Eurosondagem 38.0% 27.4% 12.1% 9.3% 8.4% 4.8% 10.6% <small> 1/6–11 Aximage 33.4% 26.5% 11.7% 10.0% 8.2% 10.2% 6.9% <small> 2010 12/7–10 Aximage 32.5% 24.4% 12.0% 10.5% 7.7% 12.9% 8.1% <small> 11/25–12/1 Eurosondagem 38.5% 26.9% 12.7% 9.2% 7.7% 5.0% 11.6% <small> 11/17–19 Marktest 41.7% 25.6% 12.1% 8.0% 6.5% 6.1% 16.1% <small> 11/6–8 Aximage 35.2% 27.3% 10.3% 8.8% 7.8% 10.6% 7.9% <small> 10/29–11/3 Eurosondagem 38.8% 27.5% 12.5% 8.4% 8.0% 4.8% 11.3% <small> 10/0–24 Marktest 42.9% 23.7% 12.5% 8.8% 6.0% 6.1% 19.2% <small> 10/12–15 Aximage 35.3% 25.4% 9.7% 10.8% 6.0% 12.8% 9.9% <small>  2009/9/27 選舉結果 36.6%97席 29.1%81席 10.4%21席 9.8%16席 7.9%15席 6.2%0席 7.5% <small>

 結果 
反對黨以比民調更大的差距擊敗執政黨。社民黨领袖佩德罗·帕索斯·科埃略成為總理候選人。

 政府組閣 

 注釋 

 外部連結 
 2011年議會選舉橘果
 葡萄牙司法部官方選舉結果網站
 葡萄牙選舉委員會
 NSD: European Election Database - Portugal

 參見 
 葡萄牙政治
 葡萄牙政黨列表
 葡萄牙選舉

Category:2011年葡萄牙
Category:2011年欧洲选举
Category:葡萄牙選舉