Opinion polling for the next Israeli legislative election

In the run up to the next Israeli legislative election, scheduled to be held by 27 October 2026, various organisations are conducting opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel during the term of the twenty-fifth Knesset. This article lists the results of such polls.

 Seat projections 

Legend
 Government
 Sum of the 37th government  parties: Likud, National Religious Party–Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, and United Torah Judaism. For polls conducted after 30 September 2024, polls include New Hope (which joined the government on that date). Coalition parties are highlighted in blue.
 Opposition bloc
 Sum of the 36th government parties (often referred to in media as the "opposition bloc" to the 37th government): The Democrats (a merger of Labor and Meretz), National Unity, Ra'am, Yesh Atid, and Yisrael Beiteinu. For more recent polls, this sum also includes Bennett 2026, a new party founded by Naftali Bennett (who served as prime minister of the 36th government). The sum excludes the non-government parties Balad and Hadash–Ta'al, as well as Noam, which had previously left the 37th government multiple times.

61 seats are required for a majority in the Knesset. If a bloc has a majority, the sum is displayed in bold with its background shaded in the leading party's colour.

 2025 
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditShasUTJGov. total Bennett2026YeshAtidB&W–NUYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total29 AugustLazarMaariv23 4 7 8 7 4925 9 4 12 6 10 66 5  22 AugustLazarMaariv21 4 7 8 7 4726 10 4 11 5 12 68 5  15 AugustLazarMaariv23 4 7 9 7 50 24 9 5 12 5 10 65 5 – 30–31 JulyLazarMaariv25  7 9 8 49 25 8 4 12 6 12 67 4  23–24 JulyLazarMaariv25  7 10 7 49 24 9 5 12 5 11 66 5 – 17 JulyYossi TaktikaZman Israel30 4 5 8 7 54 26 7 4 10 5 9 61 5 – 16–17 JulyLazarMaariv26 4 7 9 7 53 22 8 6 11 5 10 62 5  14–16 JulyShas and United Torah Judaism announce that they would withdraw from the government9–10 JulyLazarMaariv24 4 7 9 7 51 25 7 7 10 6 10 65 4  7 JulyNational Unity changes its name in the Knesset to Blue and White-National Unity2–3 JulyLazarMaariv27  7 9 8 51 24 9 6 9 5 11 64 5  MidgamHaHadashot 1226  6 9 8 49 24 9 6 10 5 12 66 5  30 June – 1 JulyGadi Eisenkot and Matan Kahana announce that they will leave National Unity and resign from Knesset25–26 JuneLazarMaariv25  7 9 7 48 25   8 8 9 6 11 67 5  25 JuneKantarKan 1128  7 9 7 51 24 8 7 10 6 9 64 5  24–25 JuneLazarWalla26 – 6 9 7 48 24 8 8 10 5 11 66 5 – 24 JuneMidgamHaHadashot 1226  6 9 8 49 24 9 7 9 5 12 66 5   20 JuneLazarMaariv26  6 10 7 49 24 9 7 10 6 11 67 4  18 JuneMaagar MochotChannel 1327  6 10 7 50 24 7 7 11 4 11 64 6  13–25 JuneIran–Israel war 11 JuneMaagar MochotChannel 13 24 –                 9                 10                 7                  50                 27   8                 78                 5                  9                646                   -   8 JuneBennett 2026 (a new party led by former prime minister Naftali Bennett) is registered as a partyNational Unity announces that it will hold a leadership election in 2025 Current seats36  7  6     11   7  68   –                  24  8   6   5   4   47  5   

DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditShasUTJGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total 6 JuneMidgamHaHadashot 1222 –                 9                 10                 8                  49                  12                 15                 19                 5                  15                 665                   21–22 MayLazarMaariv23 –                 9                 9                  7                  48                 15                 16                 19                 4                  12                 666                   –    6–7 MayLazarMaariv23                  9                 9                  7                  48                  13                 16                 17                 5                  16                 675                      2 MayLazarMaariv214	9                 9                  7                  50                  13                 16                 16                 5                  15                 655                  –   21 AprKantar24	9                 10                 8                  51                  13                 16                 16                 5                  14                 645                      18 AprLazarMaariv22–	11                 10                  7                  50                  11                 15                 17                 5                  17                 655                  –   6 AprMidgamHaHadashot 1224	10                 10                 8                  52                 14                 14                 14                 5                  16                 635                     4 AprLazarMaariv244					9                  10                 6                  53                 14                 14                 16                 5                  13                 625                     2 AprNaftali Bennett files to register a new party under the placeholder name Bennett 2026Otzma Yehudit's Almog Cohen resigns his Knesset seat and is replaced by Mafdal-RZ's Zvi Sukkot27 MarThe Knesset approves a judicial reform bill24 MarNoam leaves the Netanyahu government19–20 MarLazarMaariv225					10                 10                 7                  54                 12                 16                 16                 4                  12                 60	                6                     18–19 MarLazarMaariv23	10                 10                 7                  50                 13                 17                 17                 4                  14                 655                     19 MarOtzma Yehudit rejoins the Netanyahu government 13 Mar  New Hope signs agreement to merge into Likud in advance of the next election Current seats36  7  6     11   7  68   24  8   6   5   4   47  5   

DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocSupportOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZShasUTJ NewHopeGov. totalOtzmaYehuditSupp. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total12–13 MarLazarMaariv244					10                 7                     45                 9                  54                 12                 17                 17                 4                  10                 60	                6                     11 MarMaagar MochotChannel 13265					10                 7                     48                 7					55                 11                 18                 15                 5                  11                 60	                5                     5–6 MarLazarMaariv224					10                 7                     43                 9                  52                 14                 17                 15                 4                  12                 626                     5 MarMidgamHaHadashot 12254					9                  8                     46                 8                  54                 14                 16                 12                 5                  14                 615                     26–27 FebLazarMaariv234					9                  7                     43                 9                  52                 12                 16                 16                 5                  14                 635                     19–20 FebLazarMaariv224					10                 7                  –                  43                 9                  52                 13                 17                 16                 4                  12                 626                  –                  17 FebMidgamHaHadashot 12255					9                  8                     47                 7                  54                 13                 17                 12                 5                  14                 615                     5–6 FebLazarMaariv244					9                  7                     44                 9                  53                 13                 17                 15                 4                  12                 616                     5 FebMaagar MochotChannel 13264					10                 7                     47                 9					56                 8                  17                 16                 5                  12                 58	                6                     29–30 JanLazarMaariv214974184914191551366523 JanMidgamHaHadashot 12244974485214181361364522–23 JanLazarMaariv2141074295113181651264522 JanSmith ConsultingThe Truth Machine26 597–47855121616511605–21 JanOtzma Yehudit leaves the Netanyahu government; will provide continued support from outside the coalition;Otzma gains a seat and Mafdal loses one due to the Norwegian law  Current seats32  6   11   7  4   61  7	68	 24  8   6   5   4   47  5   

DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditShasUTJ NewHopeGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total15–16 JanLazarMaariv23 471075114171551364	58 JanLazarMaariv22 461074914191551366	53 JanLazarMaariv24 46975015181651165	5

 2024 
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJ NewHopeGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total27 DecLazarMaariv23	–					8				    –					10					7					–					48                 16					20                 15					4					11					66	6					–					25 DecMidgamHaHadashot 1223 4					8					–					9					7						51					15					19	                14					5					11		            64	5						18–19 DecLazarMaariv24		9				    –					9					7						49                 15					20                 14					4					12					65	6						13 DecKantarKan 1126 	8					–					10					8						52					15					19                 14					5					10					63	5						12 DecMidgamHaHadashot 1225 	9					–					9					8						51					16					19	                13					5					11		            64	5						11–12 DecLazarMaariv25		8				    –					10					7						50                 14					19                 14					5					13					65	5						11 DecMaagar MochotChannel 13265					9					–					10                 7                     57                 13                 19                 12                 4                  10                 58	                5                     4–5 DecLazarMaariv22	4	                7				    –					9					8						5015					19                 14					5					12					65	5						29 NovLazarMaariv24	4	                7				    –					9					7						51					15					19                 14					5					11					64	5						26 NovMidgamHaHadashot 1225 	9					–					9					8						51					15					18	                14					5					12		            64	5						20–21 NovLazarMaariv25		8				    –					9					8						50					15					19                 14					5					12					65	5						18 NovMidgamHaHadashot 1226 	8					–					9					8						51					15					19	                13					5					12		            64	5						15 NovLazarMaariv23		8				    –					10					7						48					14					20                 15					5					13					67	5						8 NovLazarMaariv24		8				    –					10					7						49					15					19                 14					5					13					66	5						6 NovMaagar Mochoti24 News26 	10					–					10					7						53					12					20	                16					5					9					62	5						6 NovMidgamHaHadashot 1225 	8					–					10					8						51					15					20	                13					5					11		            64	5						30–31 OctLazarMaariv23	4	                8				    –					10					7					–	                52					13					20                 14					5					11					63	5					–	                28 OctMidgamHaHadashot 1226 	8					–					10					8						52					13					22	                13					5					10		            63	5						22–23 OctLazarMaariv25		8				    –					10					7						50					14					21                 15					5					10					65	5						19 OctMaagar MochotChannel 1325	5					8					–					10					7					–	                55					13					21	13					4					9					60	                5					–	                18 OctLazarMaariv23	4                	7				    –					10					7						51					14					20                 14					5					10					63	6						9–10 OctLazarMaariv24	4                	7				    –					10					7						52					14					20                 14					5					10					63	5						30 SepLazarMaariv26	4                	7				    –					10					7						54					14					19                 14					5					9					61	5						Current seats32	7					6					1					11					7					4					68	24					8					6					5					4					47					5						30 SepNew Hope rejoins the Netanyahu  government

DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityNewHopeYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total29 SepMidgamHaHadashot 1225 	6					–					10					8					49					15					21	                	14					5					11		            66	5						25–26 SepLazarMaariv25	4                	8				    –					10					6					53					15					19                 	14					4					9					61	6						18–19 SepLazarMaariv24	4                	8				    –					9					7					52					15					21	                	14					4					9					63	5						16 SepMaagar MochotChannel 1321					5					9					–					10					7					52					13					22	–	                14					6					8					63	5					–	                11–12 SepLazarMaariv24	4                	9				    –					9					7					53					15					21	                	14					4					8					62	5						9 SepMidgamHaHadashot 1222 	9					–					10					8					49					15					21	                	14					5					11		            66	5						4–5 SepLazarMaariv23	4                	9				    –					9					7					52					13					22	                	15					4					8					62	6						4 SepKantarKan 1122					4					8					–					10					7					51					14					23	–	                14					5					8					64	5					–	                30 AugLazarMaariv21	4                	9					–					9					8					51					14					21	15					4					9					63	6						26 AugMaagar Mochoti24 News22 5					8					–					9					8					52					11					21	                	14					5					11					62	6						22 AugMidgamHaHadashot 1222 	8					–					10					8					48					15					22		14					5					11		            67	5						21–22 AugLazarMaariv22	4                	10					–					9					7					52					15					20	                	14					5					9					63	5						16 AugLazarMaariv22 4                	9					–					9					7					51					14					21                 	15					4					9					63	6						12 AugLazarMaariv23	                4                	10					–					9					7					53					12					24	14					4					8					62	5						7–8 AugLazarMaariv22	4                	10					–					10					7					53					13					20	                	15					5					9					62	5						31 JulLazarMaariv21                 4                	10					–					10					7					52					13					22		15					5					8					63	5						26 JulLazarMaariv23	4                	9					–					10					7					53					14					23		12					4					8					61	6						25 JulMaagar MochotChannel 1321					5					11					–					9					7					53					13					23		12					5					8					61	6						16–17 JulLazarMaariv21					4                	10					–					9					7					51					13					23		14					4					9					63	6						12 JulDelegates from Labor and Meretz approve a merger and form The Democrats10–11 JulLazarMaariv20					4                	10					–					9					7					50					13					24		14					5					9					65	5						9 JulTimor Groupi24 News21					–					10					–					11					8					50					15					22	–	14					6					8					65	5					–	7 JulMaagar MochotChannel 1321					4					10					–					10					8					53					13					25		12					4					9					63	4						Current seats32	7					6					1					11					7					64	24					8					4					6					5					4					51					5						

DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityNewHopeShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.28 JunLazarMaariv21					15						9					–					24		10					7					14					5					5					6					4						47					68	24 JunMidgamHaHadashot 1220					15						9					–					23		10					8					14					5					5					 11			47					68	23 JunMaagar MochotChannel 1321					12					5					10					–					25		9					8					11					4					5					10			53					62	19 JunLazarMaariv22					16						9					–					23		10					7					14					5					5					5					4						48					67	13 JunLazarMaariv21					15					5					9					–					24		10					7					14					5					5					5							52					63	10 JunKantarKan 1122					16					4					9					–					23		10					7					12					5					5					7							52					63	10 JunMidgamHaHadashot 1219					15					4					10					–					22		10					8					13					5					5					9			51					64	10 JunMaagar MochotChannel 1320					13					5					9					–					25		10					7					12					5					5					9			51					64	9 JunBenny Gantz announces his exit from the coalition and calls for new elections; he and other members of National Unity resign from the coalition afterwards5–6 JunLazarMaariv20					15					4					10					–					27		10					7					11					5					5					6							51					64	2 JunKantarKan 1121					14					4					9					–					27	–					10					7					12					5					5					6					–					–					51					64	29–30 MayLazarMaariv22					14					4					10					–					25		10					7					10					4					5					5					4						53					62	29 MayMidgamHaHadashot 1221					13					5					9					–					25		10					7					10					5					5					10			52					63	28 MayYair Golan is elected head of the Labor Party23 MayKantarKan 1122					16					4					9					–					29		10					7					10					4					5						4						52					63	22–23 MayLazarMaariv20					14						10					–					29		9					7					11					5					6					4					5						46					68	18 MayBenny Gantz announces an 8 June deadline regarding National Unity's membership in the coalition16 MayMidgamHaHadashot 1219					16					4					9					–					29		10					8					11					5					5						4						50					65	15–16 MayLazarMaariv19					14					5					9					–					30		9					7					12					5					5						5						49					66	10 MayLazarMaariv17					13					4					9					–					32		10					7					11					4					5					4					4						47					68	7 MayHamidgam Project & Stat NetChannel 1319					15					6					12					–					30		10					7					10					6					5								54					61	1–2 MayLazarMaariv19					13					5					10					–					31		9					7					12					5					5						4						50					65	30 AprMidgamHaHadashot 1218					15					4					10					–					31		10					8					10					5					5						4						50					65	30 AprKantarKan 1121					15					5					9					–					29		10					7					11					4					5						4						52					63	26 AprLazarMaariv21					13					4					9					–					29	4					9					7					11					4					5						4						50					65	21 AprHamidgam Project & Stat NetChannel 1320					15					7					9					–					30	–					8					7					11					4					5					4					–					–					51					64	17–18 AprLazarMaariv21					13					4					9					–					31		9					7					12					5					5						4						50					65	10–11 AprLazarMaariv19					15						10					–					30	4					9					7					12					5					5						4						45					70	7 AprMidgamHaHadashot 1219					15					–					9					–					32	–					11					8					11					5					5					–					5					–					47					68	7 AprKantarKan 1121					14						10					–					30	4					10					7					10					5					5						4						48					67	3 AprLazarMaariv17					15					4					9					–					32	4					9					6					11					4					5						4						45					70	28 MarYair Lapid wins reelection as head of Yesh Atid27–28 MarLazarMaariv19					12						10					–					33	4					10					7					10					5					5						5						46					69	25 MarNew Hope leaves the government20–21 MarLazarMaariv17					12					5					10					–					35		10					6					10					5					5						5						48					67	13–14 MarLazarMaariv18					11					4					9					–					36	4					10					6					9					4					5						4						47					68	13 MarKantarKan 1121					14						8					–					30	5					10					7					11					5					5						4						46					69	13 MarCamil FuchsChannel 1317					14					4					9					–					34	6					9					7					8					4					4					–					4					–					46					70	13 MarMidgamHaHadashot 1218					13						8					–					33	5					11					7					11					5					5						4						44					71	Current seats32	24					7					6					1					8					4					11					7					6					5					5					4							64	51					13 MarNew Hope splits from National Unity

DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.12 MarMidgamHaHadashot 1219					14						9					–					35	11					7					10					5					5						5						46					69	7 MarLazarThe Jerusalem Post18					10					4					9					–					41	10					6					9					4					5					4							47					67	6–7 MarLazarMaariv18					10					4					9					–					40	10					6					9					5					5						4						47					68	3 MarCamil FuchsChannel 1317					12					5					9					–					39	9					7					9					5					4					–					4					–					47					69	28–29 FebLazarMaariv18					12						9					–					41	10					6					10					4					5						5						43					72	27 Feb2024 Israeli municipal elections25 FebThe Israeli Labor Party announced that a leadership election (without Merav Michaeli) will be held in May 202421–22 FebLazarMaariv18					13						10					–					39	10					6					10					4					5						5						44					71	14–15 FebLazarMaariv18					12						10					–					40	9					7					10					5					5						4						44					71	11 FebCamil FuchsChannel 1318					13					6					8					–					37	9					7					10					4					4					–					4					–					48					68	11 FebMidgamHaHadashot 1218					15						9					–					37	11					7					9					5					5						4						45					70	7–8 FebLazarMaariv17					12					5					10					–					36	9					7					10					5					5						4						48					67	31 Jan – 1 FebLazarMaariv18					12					4					9					–					38	9					6					10					5					5						4						46					69	30 JanMidgamHaHadashot 1218					14					4					8					–					37	10					7					8					5					5						4						47					68	24–25 JanLazarMaariv16					13					4					8					–					40	9					7					9					5					5						4						44					71	21 JanCamil FuchsChannel 1316					14					6					8					–					37	9					7					9					5					5					–					4					–					46					69	17–18 JanLazarMaariv16					13					4					9					–					39	9					6					10					5					5						4						44					71	11 JanMidgamHaHadashot 1218					14					4					8					–					35	11					7					9					5					5						4						48					67	10–11 JanLazarMaariv16					13					4					8					–					39	9					7					10					5					5					–					4					–					44					71	7 JanKantarKan 1120					14					4					8					–					33	10					7					10					5					5						4						49					66	3–4 JanLazarMaariv19					14					4					8					–					36	9					6					10					5					5						4						46					69	

 2022–23 
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.28 DecCamil FuchsChannel 13161558–3897864–4–457127–28 DecLazarMaariv171347–389711554447120–21 DecLazarMaariv181347–389710554457018 DecMidgamHaHadashot 1218158–371179555447113–14 DecLazarMaariv171447–39879555437211 DecCamil FuchsChannel 13181557–3797855–4–46696–7 DecLazarMaariv181546–38971045444711 DecLazarMaariv20147–409710454437222–23 NovLazarMaariv18137–43978555417416 NovMidgamHaHadashot 12171547–361079555457015–16 NovLazarMaariv171446–4287855442738–9 NovLazarMaariv181445–4097955443721–2 NovLazarMaariv181545–39878556427325–26 OctLazarMaariv191754–36878556437218–19 OctLazarMaariv181555–40877456437212 OctThe Knesset approves adding National Unity to the government as part of the emergency wartime government and the Israeli war cabinet11–12 OctLazarMaariv191545–4177655642737 OctThe Gaza war begins4–5 OctLazarMaariv281664–291076554556027–28 SepLazarMaariv281754–281076555546126 SepCamil FuchsChannel 13261664–27107655–44536226 SepMidgamHaHadashot 1228189271076555546126 SepKantarKan 1127189301075554536220–21 SepLazarMaariv261655–311076554536213–14 SepLazarMaariv271655–31976554536213 SepCamil FuchsChannel 13251865–28107665–4–536210 SepMidgamHaHadashot 122618929107655552636–7 SepLazarMaariv261764–30107565453624 SepCamil FuchsChannel 13252065–26107665–4–536230–31 AugLazarMaariv271754–311075554536224–25 AugLazarMaariv271664–301075564546016–17 AugLazarMaariv281555–31107555455609–10 AugLazarMaariv281664–2997655554614 AugMidgamHaHadashot 12262092810765545263252046–28107655–4–52633 AugReligious Zionist Party and The Jewish Home merge2–3 AugLazarMaariv271655–30975655536226–27 JulMaagar MochotIsrael Hayom27219281074545536325–26 JulLazarMaariv281655–30975645546225 JulMidgamHaHadashot 1228198281076554536225 JulCamil FuchsChannel 13251755–30107665–4–526323 JulKantarKan 1127171030975555–536220 JulCamil FuchsChannel 13262165–2997665–––536219–20 JulLazarMaariv281755–29975555546113 JulLazarMaariv281855–26976565546013 JulCamil FuchsChannel 13252155–2797674–4–51659 JulKantarKan 112817929107655–4–54619 JulMidgamHaHadashot 122820926107655454615 JulLazarMaariv292055–2697555455605 JulCamil FuchsChannel 13261876–26107664–4–566028–29 JunPanels PoliticsMaariv271955–28975564536125 JunMidgamHaHadashot 12271810281076644546225 JunCamil FuchsChannel 13242065–28107664–4–526421–22 JunPanels PoliticsMaariv261754–30976565516315 JunPanels PoliticsMaariv241755–32975565506415 JunCamil FuchsChannel 13241755–2897665–44506115 JunMidgamHaHadashot 12271810271076555546111–12 JunSmith ConsultingAmit Segal261865–28107565–4–546111 JunCamil FuchsChannel 13241965–28107566–4–52627–8 JunPanels PoliticsMaariv261864–3197655451641 JunMidgamArutz Sheva261856–28107664–4–546231 May – 1 JunPanels PoliticsMaariv261864–29976564526230 MayMidgamHaHadashot 122618102810766455363261846–281076645536324 MayPanels PoliticsMaariv271865–27976465546024 MayCamil FuchsChannel 13251854–2997465–44506117–18 MayPanels PoliticsMaariv251675–28986565546014 MayMidgamHaHadashot 122718102710765555461271846–271076555546114 MayKantarKan 11281810261076555556014 MayCamil FuchsChannel 13251885–30108565–––565912 MayPanels PoliticsMaariv271754–27108646654607 MayCamil FuchsChannel 13241974–29107655–4–52637 MayMidgamHaHadashot 122418112910765555263231857–29107655552634–5 MayPanels PoliticsMaariv251755–311086454536230 AprCamil FuchsChannel 13221865–2897655–54496730 AprKantarKan 1125189301076564516326–27 AprPanels PoliticsMaariv231764–2810765644506421 AprPanels PoliticsMaariv261955–27976466–526216 AprMidgamHaHadashot 12242011281075555526313 AprPanels PoliticsMaariv261954–26976464451639 AprCamil FuchsChannel 1320211129965564–446584–5 AprPanels PoliticsMaariv252066–251076465546027 MarKantarKan 112522112110756544536127 MarMidgamHaHadashot 12252212231076555546126 MarCamil FuchsChannel 1328241118975554–4556022–23 MarPanels PoliticsMaariv282656–191075455–565916 MarCamil FuchsChannel 13282713131076655––585716 MarMidgamHaHadashot 12292312171076655585316 MarKantarKan 11282412171176654585715–16 MarPanels PoliticsMaariv292465–169864445–57598–9 MarPanels PoliticsMaariv272557–1610764544–56595 MarCamil FuchsChannel 1328271214976656––565928 FebMidgamHaHadashot 12292612141176654595626–27 FebKantarKan 11292613151075654595624 FebPanels PoliticsMaariv262757191075554556020 FebCamil FuchsChannel 13272612141075654–456553 FebMidgamHaHadashot 12302414141176554625326 JanPanels PoliticsMaariv3127581597544560561 JanCamil FuchsChannel 13312612128766444–585829 DecThe thirty-seventh government of Israel is sworn in23 DecPanels PoliticsMaariv352612109844–444645221 DecNetanyahu notifies the president that he managed to form a government.1 NovElection results3224141211765546451

 Channel 14 Direct Polls 

Direct Polls, published by Channel 14, is led by Shlomo Filber who is affiliated with Likud and its leader Benjamin Netanyahu. Filber is implicated in Case 4000 on charges of breach of trust; thus it may be advisable to approach their opinion polls with caution.

2025
DateRefGovernment blocSupportOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZNoamShasUTJ NewHopeGov. totalOtzmaYehuditSupp. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total10 Apr335		    –                  10                 8                  –		    56                6                  62        5                    8                  18                  5                   17                  53 		    5                  –   17 Mar345		    –                  11                 8                  –		    58                 6                  64        6                  8                  14                 5                  18                 51		    5                     21 JanOtzma Yehudit leaves the Netanyahu government; will provide continued support from outside the coalition; Otzma gains a seat and Mafdal loses one due to the Norwegian law Current seats32  6   1   11   7  4   61  7	68	 24  8   6   5   4   52  5   

DateRefGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJ NewHopeGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total2 Jan3455–108–6281513512535
2024
DateRefGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJ NewHopeGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total12 Dec34 5					6					–					10					8						63 10					14	                11					5					12		            52		            5						28 Nov31 4					8					–					10					8						61 8					14	                15					5					12		            54		            5							19 Nov33 4					6					–					11					8						62 8					14	                14					5					12		            53		            5							6 Nov33 5					6					–					10					8						62 8					16	                14					5					10		            53		            5							27 Oct33 5					6					–					10					8						62 9					14	                14					5					11		            53		            5							15 Oct33 4					7					–					10					8						62 8					15	                15					5					10		            53		            5							Current seats32	7					6					1					11					7					4					68	24					8					6					5					4					47					5						30 SepNew Hope rejoins the Netanyahu  government

DateRefGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityNewHopeYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total29 Sep31	5                	6					–					11					8					619					15						15					5					10					54					5						26 Sep30	5                	7					–					10					8					60					9					15						15					6					11					56					4						19 Sep30	5                	6					–					10					8					59					10					17						13					5					11					56					5						5 Sep29	5                	7					–					9					8					58					10					18						13					6					11					58					4						29 Aug30	4                	6					–					10					8					58					11					17						13					5					11					57					5						15 Aug28	4                	8					–					10					8					58					12					16						14					6					10					58					4						8 Aug28	5                	7					–					10					8					58					13					16						14					6					9					58					4						12 JulDelegates from Labor and Meretz approve a merger and form The Democrats4 Jul24	6                	9					–					10					8					57					13					17						13					6					10					59					4						Current seats32	7					6					1					11					7					64	24					8					4					6					5					4					51					5						

DateRefLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityNewHopeShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.25 Jun26	13					6					8					–					17						10					8					14					6					4					8							58					58					20 Jun24	13					5					10					–					18						10					8					14					6					4					8							57					59					10 Jun26	12					5					10					–					17						10					8					13					6					4					9							59					57					9 JunBenny Gantz announces his exit from the coalition and calls for new elections; he and other members of National Unity resign from the coalition afterwards30 May27	12					4					9					–					19						10					8					13					6					4					8							58					58					28 MayYair Golan is elected head of the Labor Party18 MayBenny Gantz announces an 8 June deadline regarding National Unity's membership in the coalition16 May25	14					5					10					–					20						10					8					8					6					4					6					4						58					58					9 May25	13					5					9					–					23					–					10					8					8					6					4					5					4					–					57					59					14 Apr26	11					5					9					–					22						10					8					11					6					4					4					4						58					58					7 Apr22					11					5					10					–					23	4					10					8					8					6					4					4					5					–					55					61	31 Mar24	13					6					10					–					22						10					8					8					6					4					5					4						58					58					28 MarYair Lapid wins reelection as head of Yesh Atid25 MarNew Hope leaves the government13 Mar25	12					4					9					–					22					6					10					8					9					6					4						5						56					60					Current seats32	24					7					6					1					8					4					11					7					6					5					5					4							64	51					13 MarNew Hope splits from National Unity

DateRefLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.27 Feb24					10					5					10					–					27	10					8					11					5							6					4					57					59					27 Feb2024 Israeli municipal elections25 FebThe Israeli Labor Party announced that a leadership election (without Merav Michaeli) will be held in May 202413 Feb28	12					5					9					–					26					9					8					9					6					4						4						59					57					14 Jan26					14					4					8					–					29	10					8					9					4					4						4						56					60					6 Jan25					14					5					9					–					27	9					8					10					5					4						4						56					60					
2022–23
DateRefLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.21 Dec271448–281071165565912 OctThe Knesset approves adding National Unity to the government as part of the emergency wartime government and the Israeli war cabinet7 OctThe Gaza war begins21 Sep311655–271076544585814 Sep301645–28107754456606 Sep301565–281077444585831 Aug311555–26106855457593 AugReligious Zionist Party and The Jewish Home merge3 Aug301655251077555575824 Jul31145528977554575813 Jul30145628977554575829 Jun301455–281078544575915 Jun281456–28107855456598 Jun311555261077554585714 May311655–271076544585830 Apr311454–281176554585816 Apr30145429108655457592 Apr311755–241077554585728 Mar301965–231076554585716 Mar322366–15117655462535 Mar322266–151177554625322 Feb–312377–131186554–64512 Feb302468–121286554––645129 DecThe thirty-seventh government of Israel is sworn in21 DecNetanyahu notifies the president that he managed to form a government.1 NovElection results3224141211765546451

 Voting intention polls (reported as percentages)
The following polls reported raw percentages of responses without calculating seat projections:

2024
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBalad "A new right-wing party"LikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. totalDec Viterbi CenterIsraeli Democracy Institute 20.5  5.6			     5.6				 			 6.1				 11.0				 48.8  8.9				 11.0				 8.9				 5.8				 10.02        	    44.62       	     2.3				 1.5	             7.8	            Oct Viterbi CenterIsraeli Democracy Institute 19.4  4.3			     8.9				 			 6.3				 6.1				 45.0  9.4				 12.6				 8.9				 2.8				 9.6          	     43.3          	 2.0				 2.0                7.6	            30 SepNew Hope rejoins the Netanyahu  government2022 election result23.41  10.84	 8.25				 5.88				48.38	 17.79				 9.08	 4.48				 4.07				 6.85  42.28				 3.75				 2.91	             –	            

DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBalad "A new right-wing party"LikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityNewHopeYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. totalSep Viterbi CenterIsraeli Democracy Institute 18.6  4.3			     8.4				 			 6.3				 5.6				 43.2  9.6				 13.7				 –  10.1				 2.8				 10.2          	     46.4	 2.1				 2.1	             6.3	            Aug Viterbi CenterIsraeli Democracy Institute 15.6			     2.1			     9.4				 			 6.0				 5.5				 38.6  12.6				 16.8  9.0				 3.0				 10.7          	     52.1	 2.1				 1.1	             6.2	            Jun Viterbi CenterIsraeli Democracy Institute 12.5			     2.8	 		     7.9				 			 6.5				 7.5				 37.2  9.8				 12.9 22.4   4.5				 9.8          	     58.8	 1.4				 1.4	             –	               12 JulDelegates from Labor and Meretz approve a merger and form The DemocratsJune Viterbi CenterIsraeli Democracy Institute 11.4			     2.4			     7.3				 			 6.7				 6.1				 33.9  11.4				 21.1 0.4  11.8				 4.1				 13.4          	     62.2	 2.8				 1.4	            2022 election result23.41  10.84	 8.25				 5.88				48.38	 17.79				9.08	 4.48				 4.07				 6.85  42.28				 3.75				 2.91	             –	            

DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBalad Other Don't knowLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnity NewHopeYisraelBeiteinuRa'amLaborMeretzOpp. total9 JunBenny Gantz announces his exit from the coalition and calls for new elections; he and other members of National Unity resign from the coalition afterwards28 MayYair Golan is elected head of the Labor Party31 Mar – 2 Apr Viterbi CenterIsraeli Democracy Institute 7.68			     3.07			     5.99				 			 3.99				 6.14				 28.42  12.90				16.59 1.23                4.15				 3.23				 2.30             	 4.30				 44.70	 2.92				 2.30	             2.15   21.04 May Viterbi CenterIsraeli Democracy Institute 14.3			     3.7			     7.8				 			 6.7				 7.6				  40.1  15.5				 21.9 1.3  8.4				 2.2				 3.7          	     3.7				 41.2	 2.2				 1.1	             – –1–6 May  Viterbi CenterIsraeli Democracy Institute 9.04			     2.56			     0.45				 			 4.37				 5.57				 26.66  11.30				15.81 0.75               5.72				 3.46				 2.56             	 2.56				 42.17	 1.66				 0.75	             1.66   27.11 April Viterbi CenterIsraeli Democracy Institute 10.7			     4.1			     8.6				 			 5.8				 8.3				 37.5               16.0				22.3 1.8  5.6				 3.0				 3.0          	     5.1				 56.8	 3.0				 2.6	             – –31 Mar – 3 Apr  Viterbi CenterIsraeli Democracy Institute 12.42			     1.86			     6.83				 			 4.04				 5.28				 30.59  7.30				19.86 2.48				 6.21				 2.33				 1.55          	 2.64  			 42.39	 3.57				 1.40	             0.93   21.27 28 MarYair Lapid wins reelection as head of Yesh Atid25 MarNew Hope leaves the government13 MarNew Hope splits from National UnityMarch Viterbi CenterIsraeli Democracy Institute 16.7			     2.4			     6.4				 			 6.2				 5.3				 42.5  11.4				 31.8 3.1  7.1				 4.9				 2.0          	     3.7				 47.5	 0.8				 1.9	             – –28 Feb – 4 Mar  Viterbi CenterIsraeli Democracy Institute 13.79			     2.21			     5.15				 			 5.88				 5.51				 32.72  12.50				32.35 7.35				 5.51				 2.02          	 4.04				 61.95	 1.47				 2.02	             2.57  2.21 Feb  Viterbi CenterIsraeli Democracy Institute 15.6			     2.6			     6.4				 			 6.2				 5.3				 42.5  6.4				31.8 7.1				 4.9				 2.0          	 3.7				 55.9	 0.8				 1.9	             – –27 Feb2024 Israeli municipal elections25 FebThe Israeli Labor Party announced that a leadership election (without Merav Michaeli) will be held in May 20242022 election result23.41  10.84	 8.25				 5.88				48.38	 17.79				9.08	 4.48				 4.07				 3.69				 3.16				 42.28				 3.75				 2.91	             2.67	              

 Scenario polls 
Most often, opinion polling about hypothetical scenarios is done in the same survey as the regular polling. This is why these scenario polls are paired for comparison purposes.



Naftali Bennett scenarios
Naftali Bennett's new party runs
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditShasUTJGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuBennett2026Ra'amDemocratsOpp. total8 JuneBennett 2026 (a new party led by former prime minister Naftali Bennett) is registered as a party 6 JuneLazarMaariv22 –                 9                 10                 8                  49                  12                 15                 19                  –  5                  15                 665                   –   20  –	 8                  9                  8                  45                 9                  8                  10                 27   6                   11                  71 4                 –    4 JuneMaagar MochotChannel 1324  8                  10                 7                  49                 8                  9                  9                 27           4                  10                  674                 	   4 JuneMidgamHaHadashot 1222  8                  10                 8                  48                 9                  7                  10                 24          5                  12                  67  5                 	   30 MayLazarMaariv23 –                 9                 9                  8                  49                  14                 16                 19                  –  4                  13                 666                   –   19  –	 8                  9                  8                   44                   10                  –                  10                  28   –                   9                  57  –                 –    21–22 MayLazar Maariv23 –                 9                 9                  7                  48                  15                 16                 19                  –  4                  12                 666                   –   20  –	 8                  9                  7                   44                   11                  9                  11                  28   4                   7                  70  6                 –    6–7 MayLazar Maariv23                 9                 9                  7                  48                  13                 16                 17                  –                  5                  16                 675                      21  	 9                  9                  7                   46                   10                  9                  10                  24   5                   11                  69  5                     2 MayLazarMaariv214	                9                  9                  7                  50                 13                 16                 16                  –                  5                  15                 65 5                  –    19  –	 9                  9                  7                   44                   10                  8                  11                  26   5                   11                  71  5                 –    18 April 2025LazarMaariv22–	11                 10                  7                  50                  11                 15                 17                 5                  17                 60 5                  –    19  –	 10                  9                  7                   45                   8                  7                  10                  29   5                   11                  65  5                 –   2 AprNaftali Bennett files to register a new party under the placeholder name Bennett 2026

Naftali Bennett forms a new party
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJNewHopeGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuNaftali BennettRa'amDemocratsOpp. total 21 MarLazarMaariv19    5	 9	 –	 9	 7	 –	 49    8	 9     9	 25	4	 10	 65	6	 –	 5 March 2025MidgamHaHadashot 1225 4	8					–					9					8					–	54					14					16	                12								5					14		            61	5					–	24 0	7					–					9					8					–	48					11					9					8					24	5					10		            675					–	4–5 Dec 24Lazar Maariv22	4	                7				    –					9					8						51					15					19                 14								5					12					65	5						20                 	7					–					8					7						42					11					13					7					27	5					10		            735						29 Nov 24Lazar Maariv24	4	                7				    –					9					7						51					15					19                 14								5					11					64	5						21                 –	                7					–					8					8					–	                44					12					13					7					25	5					9		            715					–                  26 Nov 24MidgamHaHadashot 1225 	9					–					9					8						51					15					18	                14								5					12		            64	5						23 	7					–					9					8						47					10					10					9					23	5					11		            685						20–21 Nov 24Lazar Maariv25		8				    –					9					8						50					15					19                 14								5					12					65	5						21                 –	                7					–					8					8					–	                44					12					14					7					24	5					9		            715					–                  18 Nov 24MidgamHaHadashot 1226 	8					–					9					8						51					15					19	                13								5					12		            64	5						24 –					6					–					9					8					–					47					10					10					9					23	                5					11		            685					–					15 Nov 24Lazar Maariv23		8				    –					10					7						48					14					20                 15								5					13					67	5						21                 –	                7					–					9					7					–	                44					11					13					7					26	5					9		            715					–                  6 Nov 24Maagar Mochoti24 News26 	10					–					10					7						53					12					20	                16								5					9					62	5						23					–	                9					–					9					7					–	                48					8					12					8					27	5					8		            684					–	                30–31 Oct 24Lazar Maariv23	4	                8				    –					10					7					–	                52					13					20                 14								5					11					63	5					–	                19                 –	                7					–					10					7					–	                43					10					15					8					24	5					10		            725					–                  28 Oct 24MidgamHaHadashot 1226 	8					–					10					8						52					13					22	                13								5					10		            63	5						24 	7					–					10					8						49					10					13					8					21	                5					9		            665					   18 Oct 24Lazar Maariv23	4                	7				    –					10					7						51					14					20                 14								5					10					63	6						18                 4	                7					–					10					7					–	                46					11					13					9					23	5					8		            695					–                  
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityNewHopeYisraelBeiteinuNaftali BennettRa'amDemocratsOpp. total30 SepLazar Maariv26	4                	7				    –					10					7					54					14					19                 	14								5					9					61	5						234	                7					–					8					7					49					11					13					–	                10					20	                5					7		            665					–                  29 SepMidgamHaHadashot 1225 	6					–					10					8					49					15					21	                	14								5					11		            66	5						23 	5					–					10					8					46					12					13						9					20	                5					10		            695					   25–26 SepLazar Maariv25	4                	8				    –					10					6					53					15					19                 	14								4					9					61	5						20					4	                8					–					9					7					48					12					12					–	                10					21	4					7		            666					–                  18–19 SepLazar Maariv24	4                	8				    –					9					7					52					15					21	                	14								4					9					63	5						20					4	                8					–					8					7					47					11					13					–	                11					21	4					8		            685					–                  9 SepMidgamHaHadashot 1222 	9					–					10					8					49					15					21	                	14								5					11		            66	5						20 	8					–					10					8					46					11					13						9					20	5					11		            695					   30 AugLazar Maariv21	4                	9					–					9					8					51					14					21	15								4					9					63	6						19					4	                8					–					9					7					47					11					14					–	                9					23	4					6		            676					–                  26–27 AugMaagar Mochoti24 News22 5	                8					–					9					8					52					11					21	                	14								5					11		            626						18					5	                6					–					9					8					46					7					12						9					27	4					9		            686					   22 AugMidgamHaHadashot 1222 	8					–					10					8					48					15					22		14								5					11		            675						19						7					–					10					8					44					11					13						10					21	5					11		            715					   
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityNewHopeShasUTJBennettYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.13 Mar 24MidgamHaHadashot 1218					13						8					–					33	5					11					7								11					5					5						4						44					18					12					–					8					–					28		11					7					12					10					5					5					–					4					–					44					

DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJ BennettYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.16 Nov 23MidgamHaHadashot 1217					15					4					7					–					36	10					7								9					5					5						5						45					17					14						7					–					25	10					7					17					8					5					5					–					5					–					41					1–2 Nov 23LazarMaariv18					15					4					5					–					39	8					7								8					5					5						6						42					17					13					4					5					–					28	7					7					17					6					5					5					–					6					–					40					1 Jun 23MidgamArutz Sheva26					18					5					6					–					28	10					7								6					6					4					–					4					–					54					25					15					5					6					–					25	10					7					8					5					6					4					–					4					–					53					30 Apr 23Camil FuchsChannel 1322					18					6					5					–					28	9					7								6					5					5					–					5					4					49					21					17					5					5					–					24	8					7					8					6					5					5					–					5					4					46					16 Apr 23MidgamHaHadashot 1224					20					11		28	10					7								5					5					5						5						52					24	18					9		24	10					7					8					5					5					5						5						50					

Bennett 2026 does not run
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladBennett2026LikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditShasUTJGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total25 JuneKantarKan 1128  7 9 7 51 8 7 10 6 9 40 5  24 31  7 10 8 56 14 13 15 6 11 59 5  – 20 JuneLazarMaariv26  6 10 7 49 9 7 10 6 11 43 4  24 27  6 10 8 51 13 13 19 6 14 59 4  – 

Other new right-wing opposition party scenarios

New Hope splits from National Unity
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityNewHopeShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.11 Feb 24Camil FuchsChannel 1318					13					6					8					–					37	9					7					10					4					4					–					4					–					48					18					13					6					8					–					32	5					9					7					10					4					4					–					4					–					48					

Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yoaz Hendel forms a new party

DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditShasUTJ NewHopeGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuBennettHendelRa'amDemocratsOpp. total  4 Apr 25LazarMaarivMultiple sources:244					9                  10                 6                  –                  53                 14                 14                 16                   5                  13                 625                      21  –	 8                  9                  7                   –                   45                   8                  8                  9                  24   8   4                   9                  66 5                   –   

Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yoav Gallant forms a new party
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladGallantLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJNewHopeGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuNaftaliBennettRa'amDemocratsOpp. total8 Nov 24Lazar Maariv24		8				    –					10					7						49					15					19                 14								5					13					66	5									19                 –	                7					–					10					7					–	                43					11					11					7					23	5					9		            665					–                  6			        

Yoav Gallant forms a new party
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladGallantLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJNewHopeGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total18 Nov 24MidgamHaHadashot 1226 	8					–					9					8						51					15					19	                13					5					12		            64	5									26 –	                7					–					9					8					–	                50					14					14					12					5					12		            57					5					–                  8			        
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityNewHopeShasUTJGallantYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.16 May 24MidgamHaHadashot 1219					16					4					9					–					29		10					8								11					5					5						4						50					65	19					15					4					9					–					25	–					10					8					6			        10					5					5					–					4					–					56					59	                

Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidRZPOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityNewHopeShasUTJBennettCohenYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.13 Mar 24Camil FuchsChannel 1317					14					4					9					–					34	6					9					7											8					4					4					–					4					–					46					15					10					4					7					–					21	–					9					6					18					11					8					4					4					–					4					–					41					

Yossi Cohen forms a new party
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJCohenYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.16 Nov 23MidgamHaHadashot 1217					15					4					7					–					36	10					7								9					5					5						5						45					16					16						7					–					29	10					7					12					8					5					5					–					5					–					40					16 Apr 23MidgamHaHadashot 1224					20					11		28	10					7								5					5					5						5						52					22					19					11		25	10					7					6					5					5					5						5						50					

Yoaz Hendel forms a new party
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladBennett2026ReservistsLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditShasUTJGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total25–26 JuneLazarMaariv25  7 9 7 48 8 8 9 6 11 42 5  25 – 23  7 9 7 46 8 7 9 5 10 38 5  25 8 20 JuneLazarMaariv26  6 10 7 49 9 7 10 6 11 43 4  24 – 24  5 10 7 46 8 6 9 5 11 34 5  23 7 
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJHendelYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.20–21 Sep 23LazarMaariv26					16					5					5					–					31	10					7								6					5					5						4						53					26	14					–					–					–					26	–					–					8					6					–					–					–					–					–					52					3 Sep 23LazarThe Jerusalem Post–					–					–					–					–					–					–					–								–					–					–					–					–					–					–					26	16					5					4					–					26	10					7					7					4					5					5					–					5					–					52					1 Jun 23MidgamArutz Sheva26					18					5					6					–					28	10					7								6					6					4					–					4					–					54					24					17					5					6					–					27	10					7					4					6					6					4					–					4					–					52					22–23 Mar 23Panels PoliticsMaariv28	26					5					6					–					19					10					7								5					4					5						5					–					56					27	22					5					6					–					14					10					7					6					4					5					5					4					5					–					55					

Yariv Levin forms a new party
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidRZPOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJLevinYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.24 May 23Camil FuchsChannel 1325					18					5					4					–					29	9					7								4					6					5					–					4					4					50					22					18					5					4					–					26	9					7					6					4					6					5					–					4					4					53					

New anti-judicial overhaul right-wing party
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidRZPOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityNewRight-WingPartyShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.22–23 Mar 23Panels PoliticsMaariv28	26					5					6					–					19								10					7					5					4					5						5					–					56					27	24					5					6					–					16					8					10					7					4					4					5					–					4					–					55					16 Mar 23MidgamHaHadashot 1229	23					12		17								10					7					6					6					5						5						58					26	21					12		14					10					10					7					5					5					5					–					5					–					55					

Other new party scenarios
Gadi Eisenkot forms a new party
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditShasUTJGov. total Bennett2026YeshAtidBlue& WhiteYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsEisenkotOpp. total30–31 JulyLazarMaariv25  7 9 8 49 23 7 4 9 6 10 8 67 4  25 JulyLazarMaariv25  7 10 7 49 24 9 5 12 5 11 – 66 5 – 24 – 7 10 7 49 22 9 4 11 5 10 6 66 5 – 23 JulyLazarChannel 1324 – 7 10 7 48 24 9 6 10 5 11 4 62 6 – 16–17 JulyLazarMaariv26 4 7 9 7 53 22 8 6 11 5 10 – 62 5  26 4 7 8 7 52 18 7 5 10 5 9 9 63 5  2–3 JulyLazarMaariv27  7 9 8 51 24 9 6 9 5 11 – 65 5  28  7 9 8 52 19 9 5 8 5 11 11 64 5  

New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityProtestPartyShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.24–25 Jan 24LazarThe Jerusalem Post16					13					4					8					–					40				9					7					9					5					5						4						44					71	16					12					4					8					–					36	9	9					7					9					5					5					–					–					–					44					71	10 Sep 23MidgamHaHadashot 1226					18					9		29				10					7					6					5					5						5						52					63	26	15					9		26	8					10					7					5					5					5						4						52					63	9–10 Aug 23LazarMaariv28					16					6					4					–					29				9					7					6					5					5						5						54					61	27	13					5					4					–					25					11					9					7					5					5					5						4						52					63	4 Aug 23MidgamHaHadashot 1226					20					9		28				10					7					6					5					5						4						52					63	26	17					9		26	10					10					7					5					5					5								52					63	7 May 23Camil FuchsChannel 1324					19					7					4					–					29				10					7					6					5					5					–					4					–					52					63	24					18					7					4					–					29	5					10					7					6					5					5					–					–					–					52					63	

New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders with a new right wing liberal party
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityProtestPartyShasUTJRight WingLiberalPartyYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.13–14 Sep 23LazarMaariv27					16					5					5					–					31				9					7								6					5					5						4						53					26	14					5					5					–					25					5					9					7					9					5					5					5								52					10 Aug 23Direct PollsChannel 14–					–					–					–					–					–								–					–								–					–					–					–					–					–					–					29	10					4					4					–					21					12					10					7					7					6					5					5								54					

Labor and Meretz run together (prior to merger)

After Nov 2023, the questions ask if they should be led by Yair Golan. In July 2024, they merge and form The Democrats, under Golan's leadership.

DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityNewHopeShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.29–30 May 24Lazar Maariv22					14					4					10					–					25		10					7					10					4					5					5					4						53					62	22					13					4					10					–					25	–					10					7					10					4					5					10		–					53					62	16 May 24Midgam HaHadashot 1219					16					4					9					–					29		10					8					11					5					5						4						50					65	19					14					4					9					–					27	–					10					8					11					5					5					8		–					50					65	16 Nov 23MidgamHaHadashot 1217					15					4					7					–					36	– 10					7					9					5					5						5						45					70	16					16					–					–					–					29	––					–					–					–					5					9		–					45					70	11 Jun 23Camil FuchsChannel 1324					19					6					5					–					28	– 10					7					5					6					6					–					4					–					52					62	24					17					6					5					–					27	– 10					7					5					6					6					7		–					52					62	31 May–1 Jun 23Panels PoliticsMaariv26					18					6					4					–					29	– 9					7					6					5					6						4						52					62	26					15					6					5					–					28	– 9					7					6					5					5					8			53					62	16 Apr 23MidgamHaHadashot 1224					20					11		28	– 10					7					5					5					5						5						52					63	24					18					11		26	– 10					7					5					5					5					9			52					63	

Alternative leadership scenarios
Gadi Eisenkot leads National Unity
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.30 Jan 24MidgamHaHadashot 1218					14					4					8					–					37	10					7					8					5					5						4						47					68	18					13					4					8					–					38	10					7					8					5					5						4						47					68	21 Jan 24Camil FuchsChannel 1316					14					6					8					–					37	9					7					9					5					5					–					4					–					46					69	16					13					5					8					–					39	9					7					9					5					5					–					4					–					45					70	

Nir Barkat leads the Likud
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.21 Jan 24Camil FuchsChannel 1316					14					6					8					–					37	9					7					9					5					5					–					4					–					46					69	21					13					5					8					–					35	9					7					8					5					5					–					4					–					50					65	6–7 Sep 23LazarMaariv26					17					6					4					–					30	10					7					5					6					5						4						53					62	27					16					6					5					–					28	10					7					5					6					5					–					5					–					55					60					

Yossi Cohen leads the Likud
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.28 Dec 23Camil Fuchs Channel 1316					15					8					5					–					38	9					7					8					6					4					–					4					–					45					71	23					14					8					5					–					33	9					7					7					6					4					–					4					–					52					62	

Yoav Gallant leads the Likud
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.6–7 Sep 23LazarMaariv26					17					6					4					–					30	10					7					5					6					5						4						53					62	26					17					7					5					–					27	10					7					5					6					5					–					5					–					55					60					

United right wing party outside the government
Naftali Bennett forms a new party and forms an alliance with Yisrael Beiteinu and New Hope
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityNewHopeYisraelBeiteinuNaftaliBennettRa'amDemocratsOpp. total4 SepKantarKan 1122					4					8					–					10					7					51					14					23	–	                14								5					8					64	5					–	                20					–	                8					–					10					7					45					12					18					27	5					8		            705					–                  
Naftali Bennett forms a new party and forms an alliance with Yisrael Beiteinu
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityNewHopeYisraelBeiteinuNaftaliBennettRa'amDemocratsOpp. total17 SepKantarKan 11ㅤ																																									                	                								        											                						                20					4	                9					–					10					7					46					12					15					–	                28	5					8		            686					–	                16 SepMaagar MochotChannel 1321					5					9					–					10					7					52					13					22	–	                14								6					8					63	5					–	                19					4	                9					–					10					7					49					9					14					–	                34	4					6		            674					–	                22 AugMidgamHaHadashot 1222 	8					–					10					8					48					15					22		14								5					11		            675						20						8					–					10					8					46					12					15						26	5					11		            695					   

Yoaz Hendel and Naftali Bennett form a new party
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidRZPOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJHendel &BennettYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.1 Jun 23MidgamArutz Sheva26					18					5					6					–					28	10					7								6					6					4					–					4					–					54					25					15					5					5					–					25	10					7					9					5					6					4					–					4					–					52					

United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Ayelet Shaked and Gideon Sa'ar
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJNewHopeYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alDemsBaladGov.10–11 JulLazarMaariv20					13					4	                10					–					24	9					7						14					5					5					9						50					18					12					4					9					–					16					9					7					27	5					5					8					   47					3–4 JulLazarMaariv											                					–																																																			19					12					–					9					–					16					9					7					29	5					5					9					–					44					
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJNewHopeYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.28 Jun 24LazarMaariv21					15						9					–					24	10					7						14					5					5					6					4						47					19					13					–					8					–					17					10					7					27	5					5					5					4					–					44					

United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Ayelet Shaked and Gideon Sa'ar and a separate "Reservists' Party" led by Yoaz Hendel
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJNewHopeYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alDemsBaladReservistsGov.3–4 JulLazarMaariv											                					–																																																						18					11					–					8					–					15					9					7					27	5					5					9					–					6					42					

Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen join Yisrael Beiteinu
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityNewHopeShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.29–30 May 24LazarMaariv22					14					4					10					–					25		10					7					10					4					5					5					4						53					62	20					12					4					7					–					18					–					10					10					21	4					6					4					4					–					51					63	

Merger of Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityNH+Bennett+CohenShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.30 Apr 24MidgamHaHadashot 1218					15					4					10					–					31		10					8					10					5					5						4						50					16					11					4					8					–					22	18					10					8					7					5					5					6					–					–					46					13 Mar 24MidgamHaHadashot 1218					13						8					–					33	5					11					7					11					5					5						4						44					17					12					–					7					–					25	17					11					7					10					5					5					–					4					–					42					

New right-wing opposition party and Labor-Meretz scenarios (prior to merger)

Labor and Meretz run together under Yair Golan; Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Avigdor Lieberman form a new party
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityNewHopeYisraelBeiteinuBennett+CohenShasUTJRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.24 Jun 24MidgamHaHadashot 1220					15						9					–					23		14								10					8					5					5					11			47					18					13					–					8					–					17					25	10					8					5					5					11		–					44					23 Jun 24Maagar MochotChannel 1321					12					5					10					–					25		11								9					8					4					5					10			53					18					10					4					8					–					14					34	9					7					4					4					8		–					46					10 Jun 24MidgamHaHadashot 1219					15					4					10					–					22		13								10					8					5					5					9			51					18					15					–					9					–					18					23	10					8					5					5					9		–					45					29 May 24MidgamHaHadashot 1221					13					5					9					–					25		10								10					7					5					5					10			52					21	12					4					9					–					21	16		10					7					5					5					10			51					

Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidRZPOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJBennettCohenYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.10 Jun 24MidgamHaHadashot 1219					15					4					10					–					22	10					8											13					5					5					9			51					17					15					–					9					–					18	10					8					9					4					11					5					5					9		–					44					11 Jan 24MidgamHaHadashot 1218					14					4					8					–					35	11					7											9					5					5						4						48					15					10					4					7					–					25	10					7					10					6					7					5					5					9		–					43					28 Dec 23Camil FuchsChannel 1316					15					5					8					–					38	9					7											8					6					4					–					4					–					45					15					10					–					–					–					23	–					–					15					6					–					–					–					7		–					–					21 Dec 23Direct PollsChannel 1427					14					4					8					–					28	10					7											11					6					5								56					22	7					4					6					–					17					9					7					10					8					6					5					5					14			48					18 Dec 23MidgamHaHadashot 1218					15						8					–					37	11					7											9					5					5						5						44					15					10						7					–					23	11					7					13					9					6					5					5					9			40					

Merger of Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen & Labor and Meretz under Yair Golan
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityNR+Bennett+CohenShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.10 Jun 24Maagar MochotChannel 1320					13					5					9					–					25		10					7					12					5					5					9			51					64	16					8					5					8					–					20					24	9					6					7					5					5					7		–					44					71	21 Apr 24Hamidgam Project & Stat NetChannel 1320					15					7					9					–					30	–					8					7					11					4					5					4					–					–					51					64	15					8					5					8					–					15					32	6					6					7					4					5					9		–					40					75	

New Hope splits from National Unity, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen and Yoaz Hendel form three separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityNewHopeShasUTJBennettCohenHendelYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.7 Mar 24LazarThe Jerusalem Post18					10					4					9					–					41	10					6														9					4					5					4							47					16					9						9					–					28		10					6					9					5					5					6					5					5					7			41					

Yoav Gallant forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJGallantYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.Opp.3 Mar 24Camil FuchsChannel 1317					12					5					9					–					39	9					7								9					5					4					–					4					–					47					69	16					9					5					9					–					31	9					7					9					8					5					4					8		–					55					61	

Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJCohen &BennettYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.7 Dec 23KantarAttila Somfalvi–					–					–					–					–					–					–					–								–					–					–					–					–					–					–					17					12					4					6					–					29	9					7					10					8					4					6					8		–					44					

Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJBennettYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.30 Nov 23KantarAttila Somfalvi–					–					–					–					–					–					–					–								–					–					–					–					–					–					–					18					12					4					7					–					28	9					7					12					7					5					6					7		–					45					14 Nov 23KantarAttila Somfalvi–					–					–					–					–					–					–					–								–					–					–					–					–					–					–					16					12					4					6					–					27	9					7					14					6					5					6					8		–					42					

Other scenarios and scenario combinations
Naftali Bennett forms new party and Gadi Eisenkot becomes head of National Unity
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamShasUTJNewHopeGov. totalYeshAtidNationalUnityYisraelBeiteinuNaftali BennettRa'amDemocratsOpp. total 17 February 2025MidgamHaHadashot 1225 57					–					9					8						54					13					17	                12								5					14		            61	5					23 4	7					–					9					8					–	51					9					8					7					23	5					12		            645					–	

Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yossi Cohen becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJBennettYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.30 Nov 23KantarAttila Somfalvi–					–					–					–					–					–					–					–								–					–					–					–					–					–					–					21					13					4					8					–					26	9					7					8					6					5					6					7		–					49					

Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Nir Barkat becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJBennettYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.30 Nov 23KantarAttila Somfalvi–					–					–					–					–					–					–					–								–					–					–					–					–					–					–					18					13					4					10					–					27	9					7					8					6					5					6					7		–					48					

Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yoav Gallant becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamNationalUnityShasUTJBennettYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alLaborMeretzBaladGov.30 Nov 23KantarAttila Somfalvi–					–					–					–					–					–					–					–								–					–					–					–					–					–					–					17					12					4					11					–					27	9					7					9					6					5					6					7		–					48					

United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, and Gideon Sa'ar, and National Unity and Yesh Atid form an alliance
DatePolling firmPublisherLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditNoamYeshAtidNationalUnityShasUTJNewHopeYisraelBeiteinuRa'amHadash–Ta'alDemsBaladGov.7 JulMaagar Mochot Channel 1321					4	                10					–					13					25	10					8						12					4					4					9						53					18					4					10					–					21		10					8					32	4					4					9					–					50					

Gadi Eisenkot joins Yesh Atid
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditShasUTJGov. total Bennett2026YeshAtidBlue& WhiteYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total2–3 JulyLazarMaariv27  7 9 8 51 24 9 6 9 5 11 65 5  28  7 9 7 51 21 15 4 9 5 10 64 5  

Merger of Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditShasUTJGov. total Bennett2026YeshAtidBlue& WhiteYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total2–3 JulyLazarMaariv27  7 9 8 51 24 9 6 9 5 11 65 5  27 4 6 9 8 54 25 9 4 8 5 10 61 5  

Gadi Eisenkot joins Yisrael Beiteinu
DatePolling firmPublisherGovernment blocOpposition blocHadash–Ta'alBaladLikudMafdal–RZOtzmaYehuditShasUTJGov. total Bennett2026YeshAtidBlue& WhiteYisraelBeiteinuRa'amDemocratsOpp. total2–3 JulyLazarMaariv27  7 9 8 51 24 9 6 9 5 11 65 5  27 4 7 9 7 54 18 8 4 17 5 9 61 5  

 Leadership polling 

Whether voters intend to vote for the same party that they did in 2022
The Israel Democracy Institute commissioned the Viterbi Center to gauge voting intentions of Israeli voters based on their voting history. 
In January 2023, they asked if voters would vote for the same party as they did in 2022. In that poll, 50% were certain they would, 22% think yes, 7% think no, and 4% were certain that they wouldn't. An additional 3% of those polled didn't vote in 2022 but planned to in the next election, 6% didn't and don't plan to vote, and 10% were undecided.

In October 2023, the question was asked again but centered around voting block. In that poll, 39.7% would vote for the same party as was voted for in 2022, 14.8% would vote for the same political bloc, 6.3% would vote for a party in a different bloc, and a combined 39.2% of those surveyed either wouldn't vote or were undecided.

The Institute also ran a series of surveys in 2024 asking people their re-voting intention, based on which party they voted for.
DateBaladHadash-Ta'alShasLaborLikudMeretzNational UnityOY/RZRa'amUTJYesh AtidYisrael Beiteinu Dec 2024 61%  51%  57% 46% 54%62%34%63%65%84%28%52%Oct 202449%54%54%48%50%67%43%60%55%82%29%59%Sep 202440%53%50%47%46%71%45%55%62%79%29%53%Aug 202429%44.5%68%51%39%74%48%51%55%71%31%66.5%Jul 202428%39%74%45%39%66%48%52%58%69.5%31%72%Jun 202436%44%76%37%36%60%58%59%56%72%35.5%78%May 202440%54%77%24%37%48%63%56%55%80%32%70%Apr 202449%59%74%20%38%55%70%63%63%89%32%65%

Other questions
Inclusion of ultra-orthodox parties in the next government
DatePolling firmPublisherWould likeWould dislikeUndecided21 Jun 24MidgamHaHadashot 12305614

Notes

References

Category:Israel