2023 Ecuadorian general election

Snap general elections are scheduled to be held in Ecuador in August 2023. Current president Guillermo Lasso was eligible for a second term, however he declined to run.
Overview
The officials elected — to both the executive and legislative branches — will serve out the remainder of the current presidential and legislative terms (2021–2025). A regular election for a full four-year term will happen in early 2025.
Background
Originally scheduled for 2025, the general elections were moved forward earlier after President Lasso used the muerte cruzada measure which dissolved the National Assembly to avoid impeachment.

Advancing to the 15 October run-off, Luisa González of the Citizen Revolution Movement came in first place, winning 33% of the vote with Daniel Noboa of the National Democratic Action coming in second place with 24% of the vote. Noboa's second-place finish was seen as surprising and an upset. Noboa ended up beating González with 52% of the votes in the runoff election, a similar result to that of Guillermo Lasso in 2021, making Noboa the President-elect of Ecuador. At 35 years old, he is the youngest president in the country's history.

 Presidential candidates 
 Declared 
NameBornExperienceAnnouncedRefx150px|border
Otto Sonnenholzner (age )
Guayaquil, GuayasVice President of Ecuador (2018–2020)x150px|border
Yaku Pérez Guartambel (age )
Cuenca, AzuayProvincial Prefect of Azuay Province (2019–2020)and 2021 presidential candidatex150px|border
Jan Topić (age )
Guayaquil, GuayasBusinessmanx150px|border
Daniel Noboa Azín (age )
Guayaquil, GuayasMember of the National Assembly (2021–2023)x150px|border
Bolívar Armijos Velasco1980(age )
San Lorenzo, EsmeraldasPresident of CONAGOPARE (2014–2019)x150px|border
Xavier Hervas(age )
Guayaquil, GuayasPresident of NovaAlimentos S.A. Christian Zurita(age )Quito, PichinchaInvestigative journalistx150px|border
Luisa González (age )
Quito, PichinchaMember of the National Assembly (2021–2023)

Deceased
 NamePersonalExperienceHome provinceVice PresidentCampaignRefx150px|borderFernando Villavicencio–(aged )Member of the National Assembly(2021–2023) ChimborazoAndrea González Nádercenter|60x60px MC25

Declined
 Guillermo Lasso, the incumbent president of Ecuador (since 2021) and founder of CREO.
 Jaime Nebot, Mayor of Guayaquil (2000–2019), member of the National Congress (1990–1992, 1998–2000), Governor of Guayas Province (1984–1988) and 1992 and 1996 presidential candidate (party endorsed Topic).
 Andrés Arauz, President of the Citizen Revolution Movement (2020–2021) and 2021 presidential candidate (runs for vice presidency).
 Jorge Glas, Vice President of Ecuador (2013-2018) (declines his nomination and endorses González).

Polling
Run-of
DatePollsterParticipantsMarginof errorDaniel NoboaLuisa GonzálezBlankNullUndecided14 October Omar Maluk 16,4863%50.9%49.1% ---47.8%46.1%6.1% --15 October [projection]CIT Peru1,2002,8%49,14%50,86% ---50,42%49,52% ---12 October 45%44,02%10,8% ---10 October Dado Duro EC1,4852,8%38.6%39.6%12.4%9.3%9 October Negocios & Estratégias 1,0003.1%49.94%50.06% ---6 October Six suspects in the assassination of Fernando Villavicencio are killed in Guayaquil Pennitenciary.5 October Omar Maluk11,2353%48.9%51.1% ---4 October NEO Consulta3,7501.6%48.9%51.1% ---4 October Negocios & Estratégias3,0001.8%44%42.8%5.3%7.8%1 October Official Second Round Presidential Debate is held in Quito. 15 September Omar MalukEcuador en Directo TV /  Facebook / Lisa Sigue Subiendo / 14 September 20238,0002%52.3%47.7% – – –10 SeptemberComunicaliza5,3811.3%39.7%34.0%11.8%14.4%6 SeptemberClick Report3,0403%55.2%44.8% – –45.8%37.2%12.5%4.5% –5 SeptemberNEO Consulta2,1002.1%49.6%50.4% – – –42.0%42.7%8.6%6.7% –2 SeptemberComunicaliza6,0021.3%54.9%45.1% –12.9%43.1%35.4%8.6%

First round
DatePollsterParticipantsMargin of errorNoboaGonzálezSonnenholznerPérezVillavicencioZuritaHervasTopićArmijosBlankNullUndecided2023 general election20 August 202323.47%33.61%7.06%3.97%16.37%0.49%14.67%0.36%2.046.7711–12 AugustComunicaliza3,6411.62%3.3%24.9%8.2%5.8%14.5%1.6%21.7%0.3%9.5%10.2%9 August Fernando Villavicencio is assassinated at a campaign rally in Quito and, subsequently, replaced by Zurita. 9 AugustCedatos1,8033.1%3.7%35.4%7.5%11.9%18.4%–4.1%18%0.9%–––2.5%24%5.1%8.1%12.5%–2.8%12.2%0.6%11.9%2.8%17.5%6 AugustClick Report3,0403%6.8%29.3%9.2%14.4%7.5%–6.8%9.6%6.8%16.9%3.2%–5 AugustTelcodata6,6001.2%2.0%30.5%6.5%7.7%6.8%–1.6%13.1%0.2%7.6%23.8%2 AugustIPSOS2,4901.96%4%29%16%10%12%–5%9%1%11%5%2 AugustTelcodata6,6311.2%2.1%29.8%7.7%8.8%7.4%–2.2%10.1%0.3% 7.5%23.9%27 JulyTracking1,2505%3.2%23.2%19.4%10.1%9.2%–4.5%3.8%0.7%14.1%2.6%9.2%26 JulyComunicaliza3,5391.7%4.2%28.6%12.6%8.1%9.2%–4.4%4.4%0.5%13.6%14.5%23 July Agustín Intriago, Mayor of Manta, is assassinted.20 JulyEstrategas Infinity1,5492.5%3.1%30.9%11.9%10.0%7.8%–5.0%5.2%0.3%11.9%3.0%11.0%18 JulyCedatos1,3003.1%4.4%26.6%7.5%12.5%13.2%–6.0%3.2%0.5%2.6%16.1%7.6%9 JulyNumma1,6042.7%6.4%33.8%17.5%15.1%10.2%–6.9%8.5%1.6%–––3–9 JulyTracking1,2505%4.6%24.2%15.2%11.5%8.0%–5.4%4.5%0.6%10.3%15.3%20 June–8 JulyOmar Maluk7,1063%4.4%40.1%14.7%13.6%9.1%–10.3%7.1%0.6%–––3.7%33.8%12.4%11.5%7.7%–8.7%6.0%0.5%5.9%9.8%5–6 JulyComunicaliza3,3141.7%4.5%26.8%12.8%10.3%9.3%–6.5%3.0%0.1%12.1%14.1%Metria1,2002.8%3.1%37.8%18.2%11.0%7.5%–1.7%6.5%›1%10.1%–4.0%22–26 JuneNegocios & Estrategias3,5241.7%4%52%14%13%4%–9%5%0%–––3%41%11%10%7%–3%4%0% 21%–1%30%8%8%5%–2%2%0%6%38%23–26 JuneMercanalis4,0003%7%38%9%12%10%–8%14%2%–––5%27%6%9%7%–5%10%1%12%18%–Data Encuesta4,2003.4%5.2%28.1%9.6%16.6%9.3%–7.3%14.8%–––9.1%19–20 JuneEstrategas Infinity3,6451.62%4.3%28.0%9.9%8.8%8.3%–6.1%2.5%0.5%3.9%15.9%11.8%16–18 JuneComunicaliza3,6561.62%3.8%25.9%11.2%10.3%8.0%–6.2%2.6%0.4%13.2%18.4%5–9 JuneData Encuesta4,8003.4%4.2%27.8%7.6%14.8%7.1%–6.2%14.2%–––17.9%

Results

References

Category:2023 in South America
Category:2023 elections
Category:2020s in Ecuador
Category:2020s elections in South America
Category:General elections
Category:August 2023 events