2021 Canadian federal election

The 2021 Canadian federal election took place on September 20, 2021 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 44th Parliament of Canada.

The latest date of the vote was scheduled for October 16, 2023, which is determined by the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act, which requires federal elections to be held on the third Monday in October in the fourth calendar year after the polling day of the previous election.

However, on August 15, 2021, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau requested a dissolution of parliament from Governor General Mary Simon.  On September 20, Trudeau and the Liberal Party was projected to have won 155 seats, allowing them to form a minority government.

Opinion polling
800px|thumb|left|Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 44th Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.

 Polling firm Last dateof polling Link CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Other Marginof error Samplesize Polling method Lead Forum Research    PDF  31  28  19  7  8  5  3  ±3 pp  1,203  IVR 3 Mainstreet Research    Twitter  30.1 33.1  19.1  5.9  3.9  5.6  2.2    1,331  IVR 3.0

 Leadership polls 
Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on who would make the best Prime Minister:

 October 2020 – present 

Polling firmLast date
of pollingLinkJustin TrudeauErin O'TooleJagmeet SinghYves-François BlanchetAnnamie PaulMaxime BernierUnsureLeadNanos ResearchPDF36.320.812.65.25.35.214.6±3.1 pp15.5Innovative ResearchMay 5, 2021HTML442023246 21 Ipsos  HTML 42 25 17 8 7  ±3.5 pp17Nanos ResearchPDF40.118.913.22.34.12.918.5±3.1 pp21.2Nanos ResearchPDF38.919.313.72.24.73.218.0±3.1 pp19.6 Research Co.  PDF40 15 12 3 2 2 25 ±3.1 pp25Nanos ResearchPDF36.722.014.43.75.63.414.2±3.1 pp14.7Nanos ResearchPDF34.024.515.24.24.64.114.2±3.1 pp9.5Nanos ResearchPDF38.124.713.55.44.64.19.6±3.1 pp13.4Nanos ResearchPDF38.523.913.34.64.23.212.3±3.1 pp14.6Nanos ResearchPDF39.320.313.13.23.92.417.7±3.1 pp19.0Nanos ResearchPDF 38.221.113.23.62.22.219.6±3.1 pp17.1 Research Co.  PDF39 22 13 3 2 2 ±3.1 pp17Nanos ResearchPDF 37.519.713.53.93.22.319.9±3.1 pp17.8Nanos ResearchPDF 38.520.314.53.41.82.019.5±3.1 pp18.2Nanos ResearchPDF39.020.112.72.82.51.921.0±3.1 pp18.9Nanos ResearchPDF37.721.612.62.92.72.120.5±3.1 pp16.1Nanos ResearchPDF 38.523.011.11.92.92.520.1±3.1 pp15.0Nanos ResearchPDF37.122.511.62.84.02.119.7±3.1 pp14.6

 August 2020 – October 2020 

Polling firmLast date
of pollingLinkJustin TrudeauErin O'TooleJagmeet SinghYves-François BlanchetElizabeth MayMaxime BernierUnsureLeadNanos ResearchPDF35.622.813.23.13.32.119.9±3.1 pp12.8Nanos ResearchPDF34.420.215.24.24.01.520.5±3.1 pp14.2

Notes

References

Category:2020s elections in Canada
Category:2021 elections
Category:September 2021 events
Category:Canadian federal elections
federal election