Teori keputusan

Teori keputusan (atau teori pemilihan tidak boleh dikelirukan dengan teori pilihan) ialah kajian mengenai pilihan ejen.Steele, Katie and Stefánsson, H. Orri, "Decision Theory", The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy (Winter 2015 Edition), Edward N. Zalta (ed.), URL =  Teori keputusan dapat dipecah menjadi dua cabang: teori keputusan normatif, yang menganalisis hasil keputusan atau menentukan keputusan optimum yang diberikan kekangan dan andaian, dan teori keputusan deskriptif, yang menganalisis bagaimana agen sebenarnya membuat keputusan yang mereka lakukan.

 Rujukan 

 Bacaan lanjut 

  (an overview of the philosophical foundations of key mathematical axioms in subjective expected utility theory – mainly normative)



  (covers normative decision theory)

  (translation of 1931 article)

 de Finetti, Bruno.  "Foresight: its Logical Laws, Its Subjective Sources," (translation of the 1937 article in French) in H. E. Kyburg and H. E. Smokler (eds), Studies in Subjective Probability, New York: Wiley, 1964.
 de Finetti, Bruno. Theory of Probability, (translation by AFM Smith of 1970 book) 2 volumes, New York: Wiley, 1974-5.
 De Groot, Morris, Optimal Statistical Decisions. Wiley Classics Library. 2004. (Originally published 1970.) .
  (covers both normative and descriptive theory)

 Khemani, Karan, Ignorance is Bliss: A study on how and why humans depend on recognition heuristics in social relationships, the equity markets and the brand market-place, thereby making successful decisions, 2005.
 Klebanov, Lev. B., Svetlozat T. Rachev and Frank J. Fabozzi, eds. (2009). Non-Robust Models in Statistics, New York: Nova Scientific Publishers, Inc.
  A rational presentation of probabilistic analysis.



  Reprinted in Shafer & Pearl. (also about normative decision theory)
  http://psychclassics.yorku.ca/Peirce/small-diffs.htm




 Ramsey, Frank Plumpton; "Truth and Probability" (PDF), Chapter VII in The Foundations of Mathematics and other Logical Essays (1931).




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Kategori:Sains formal
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Kategori:Teori keputusan