Tim Tanggap COVID-19 Imperial College

Tim Respons COVID-19 Imperial College (Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team - ICCRT) adalah tim penasihat dan sains yang dibuat oleh Imperial College London untuk mempelajari penyakit koronavirus 2019 dan menasihati pemerintah Britania Raya. Laporan pertamanya diterbitkan pada tanggal 17 Januari 2020. Tim ini dipimpin oleh Neil Ferguson.

 Laporan 

NomorTanggalJudul 16 2020-04-23 Role of testing in COVID-19 control  The report estimates COVID-19 testing's impact as reducing transmission by 25~33% from populations tested, but also allowing early release from quarantines and creation of Immunity passport based on antibody tests. Tests face technical, legal, and ethical challenges. Tests while helping are complementary to other more potent actions such as self-isolation when symptoms arises, contact tracing and quarantines. 15 2020-04-17 Strengthening hospital capacity for the COVID-19 pandemic  Reports presents the J-IDEA pandemic planner "a hospital planning tool to calculate how much capacity in terms of beds, staff and ventilators is obtained by implementing healthcare provision interventions affecting the management of patient care in hospitals".142020-04-03Online Community Involvement in COVID-19 Research & Outbreak Response: Early Insights from a UK Perspective132020-03-30Estimating the number of infections and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in 11 European countries122020-03-26The global impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression112020-03-24Evidence of initial success for China exiting COVID-19 social distancing policy after achieving containment102020-03-20Public response to UK Government recommendations on COVID-19: population survey, 17-18 March 202092020-03-16Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand82020-03-11Symptom progression of COVID-1972020-03-09Estimating infection prevalence in Wuhan City from repatriation flights62020-02-21Relative sensitivity of international surveillance52020-02-15Phylogenetic analysis of SARS-CoV-242020-02-10Severity of 2019 novel coronavirus (nCoV)32020-01-25Transmissibility of 2019-nCoV22020-01-22Estimating the potential total number of novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases in Wuhan City, China12020-01-17Estimating the potential total number of novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases in Wuhan City, China

 Estimasi 
 Estimasi untuk 11 negara Eropa per 28 Maret 2020 
Jumlah populasi yang terinfeksi Prediksi ICCRTPenghitungan WHO per 29 Maret Negara Populasi Terinfeksi
(95% range) Terinfeksi
(rerata %) Kasus
(est.) Kasus Terdekteksi
(% pop.) Austria 8,999,973 0.36%-3.1% 1.1%  8291 % Belgia 11,579,502 1.3%-9.7% 3.7%  9134 % Denmark 5,785,741 0.40%-3.1% 1.1%  2201 % Prancis 65,227,357 1.1%-7.4% 3.0%  37145 % Jerman 83,792,987 0.28%-1.8% 0.72%  52547 % Italia 60,496,082 3.2%-26% 9.8%  92472 % Norwegia 5,407,670 0.09%-1.2% 0.41%  3845 % Spanyol 46,767,543 3.7%-41% 15%  72248 % Swedia 10,081,948 0.85%-8.4% 3.1%  3447 % Swiss 8,637,694 1.3%-7.6% 3.2%  13152 % Britania Raya 67,803,450 1.2%-5.4% 2.7%  17093 %

 Estimasi untuk dunia 
Perkiraan dampak strategi pengendalian selama 250 hari dengan 3 skenario berbeda.
 Tidak terkendali
 Terkendali dengan 0.2 kematian per 100.000 kasus per minggu
 Terkendali dengan 1.6 kematian per 100.000 kasus per minggu

  Skenario #1 Skenario #2 Skenario #3 Infeksi  Kematian  Infeksi  Kematian  Infeksi  Kematian Asia Timur & Tenggara  2.117.131.000  15.303.000  92.544.000  442.000  632.619.000  3.315.000 Asia Selatan  1.737.766.000  7.687.000  111.703.000  475.000  629.164.000  2.693.000 Eropa & Asia Tengah  801.770.000  7.276.000  61.578.000  279.000  257.706.000  1.397.000 Amerika Utara  326.079.000  2.981.000  17.730.000  92.000  90.529.000  520.000 Amerika Selatan & Karibia  566.993.000  3.194.000  45.346.000  158.000  186.595.000  729.000 Timur Tengah & Afrika Utara  419.138.000  1.700.000  30.459.000  113.000  152.262.000  594.000 Afrika  1.044.858.000  2.483.000  110.164.000  298.000  454.968.000  1.204.000 Total  7.013.734.000  40.624.000  469.523.000  1.858.000  2.403.843.000  10.452.000

 Lihat pula 
 Neil Ferguson (epidemiologis)

 Referensi 

 Pranala luar 
 COVID-19 Response Team Reports

Kategori:Amerika Serikat dalam tahun 2020
Kategori:Organisasi terkait pandemi Covid-19
Kategori:Imperial College Faculty of Medicine