Guguwar Kenneth

Guguwar Tropical mai tsanani Kenneth ita ce guguwar da ta fi karfi a wurare masu zafi da ta fadi a Mozambique tun lokacin da aka fara rikodin zamani. Guguwar ta kuma haifar da mummunar lalacewa a Tsibirin Comoro da Tanzania. Guguwa ta goma sha huɗu ta wurare masu zafi, guguwa ta sha huɗu mai rikodin rikodin, da guguwa mai tsanani ta wurare masu wurare masu zafi na 2018-19 Kudancin Yammacin Tekun Indiya, Kenneth ya samo asali ne daga wani guguwa wanda ofishin Météo-France a kan La Réunion (MFR) ya fara ambata a ranar 17 ga Afrilu. MFR ta sa ido kan Taron a cikin kwanaki masu zuwa, kafin ta sanya shi a matsayin Tropical Disturbance 14 a ranar 21 ga Afrilu. Wannan rikici ya kasance a cikin yanayi mai kyau a arewacin Madagascar, wanda ya ba shi damar karfafawa cikin mummunan yanayi kuma daga baya guguwa mai zafi, duka biyu a rana mai zuwa. Guguwar ta fara wani lokaci na saurin karuwa, a ƙarshe ta kai ga guguwa mai tsanani na wurare masu zafi tare da iskõki masu tsayi na minti 10 na  km / h (134  da mafi ƙarancin matsin lamba na 934 hPa (27.58 inHg). A wannan lokacin, Kenneth ya fara fuskantar sake zagayowar ido kuma ya raunana dan kadan, kafin ya sauka daga baya a wannan rana a matsayin guguwa mai zafi. A sakamakon hulɗar ƙasa, Kenneth ya zama mara tsari yayin da ya sauka kuma ya lalace cikin sauri daga baya. Guguwar ta koma kudu, tare da MFR ta soke duk manyan gargadi ga biranen cikin gida. An sake rarraba Kenneth a matsayin mummunan rauni bayan ya fadi, tare da MFR ta ba da gargadi a tsakar dare UTC a ranar 26 ga Afrilu. Ayyukan guguwa sun samo asali ne daga bakin tekun Mozambique a ranar 27 ga Afrilu yayin da tsarin ya fara tafiya zuwa arewa. Kenneth ya sake fitowa daga bakin tekun arewacin Mozambique a ranar 28 ga Afrilu, kafin ya ɓace washegari.

A cikin ƙasar Comoros; Iska da ruwan sama na Kenneth sun haifar da akalla mutuwar bakwai. An kiyasta lalacewar a dala miliyan 345. Kafin faɗuwar Kenneth, hukumomin yankin sun kwashe mutane sama da 30,000 a hanyar guguwar a arewacin Mozambique. Kenneth ya kashe mutane 45 a Mozambique. 

A ranar 17 ga Afrilu, MFR ta fara sa ido kan wani vortex a arewacin Madagascar. MFR ta ci gaba da saka idanu kan tsarin a cikin kwanaki masu zuwa, tana lura da karuwar zurfin convection a ranar 21 ga Afrilu. A ranar 22 ga Afrilu a karfe 12:00 UTC, MFR ta fara bayar da shawarwari game da tsarin, ta sanya shi a matsayin Tropical Disturbance 14. Ba da daɗewa ba, Cibiyar Gargadi ta Hadari (JTWC) ta ba da faɗakarwar fashewar guguwa ta wurare masu zafi, tana mai lura da cewa tashin hankali yana cikin yanayi mai kyau tare da ƙananan iska mai tsaye da Yanayin zafi na teku na 29-30 ° C (84-86 ° F).  Da farko a ranar 23 ga Afrilu, JTWC ta fara bayar da gargadi game da tsarin, ta rarraba shi a matsayin Tropical Cyclone 24S. Bayan 'yan sa'o'i bayan haka, MFR ta inganta tsarin zuwa mummunan yanayi yayin da yake motsawa zuwa yamma, a ƙarƙashin tasirin ƙananan zuwa matsakaicin matakin da ke tudun. MFR ta inganta bakin ciki zuwa matsakaiciyar guguwa mai zafi a 12:00 UTC, ta ba da sunan Kenneth ga guguwar. A wannan lokacin, MFR ta bayyana cewa yanayin zafi na girgije ya ragu zuwa -90 ° C (-130 ° F) kuma cewa tsarin tsarin ya inganta.

Ba da daɗewa ba bayan an ambaci sunansa, Kenneth ya fara karuwa cikin sauri, tare da JTWC yana lura da cewa fasalin ido mai tasowa ya bunkasa. A kusa da 00:00 UTC a ranar 24 ga Afrilu, MFR ta inganta tsarin zuwa guguwa mai tsanani. Bayan 'yan sa'o'i, JTWC ta bi wannan tsari, ta inganta Kenneth zuwa daidai da guguwa ta Category 1 a kan sikelin guguwar Saffir-Simpson. A karfe 12:00 UTC, MFR ta inganta Kenneth a cikin rikodin rikodin guguwa na goma na yanayi na kakar. A wannan lokacin, MFR ta bayyana cewa ido yana ƙoƙari ya samo asali a cikin tsakiya mai zurfi na guguwar, kuma wannan shear iska ta fara raguwa. A kusa da 18:00 UTC, Kenneth ya ƙarfafa zuwa daidai da babban guguwa na Category 3. A wannan lokacin, Filin jirgin saman Hahaya International a tsibirin Comoros na Grand Comore ya ba da rahoton iskõki na  km / h; 41  yayin da Kenneth ke kusa da    zuwa arewa. Bayan sa'o'i shida, MFR ta inganta Kenneth zuwa matsayi mai tsanani na guguwa, tana lura da cewa guguwar tana da zobe mai sanyi sosai kuma cewa ainihin ya zama mafi ƙanƙanta. A ranar 25 ga Afrilu, a karfe 06:00 UTC, Kenneth ya kai tsananin ƙarfi, tare da iska mai ƙarfi na minti 10 na  km / h (134  da mafi ƙarancin matsin lamba na 934 hPa (27.58 inHg). A wannan lokacin, Kenneth yana da ido mai zurfi wanda ke kewaye da convection mai ƙarfi; duk da haka, guguwar ta fara fuskantar sake zagayowar maye gurbin ido. A halin yanzu, JTWC ta kiyasta cewa Kenneth ya kai matsayi na Category 4-daidai da guguwa mai zafi, tare da iska mai ƙarfi na minti 1 na  km / h (140 .  Yayin da Kenneth ya kusanci bakin tekun Mozambique, tsarin sannu a hankali ya fara raunana saboda sake zagayowar ido da tasirin rikice-rikice na hulɗar ƙasa. Daga baya a wannan rana, a 13:15 UTC, Kenneth ya sauka a Mozambique a matsayin guguwa mai karfi, a arewacin Pemba, tare da iska mai tsayi na minti 1 na  km / h (140 , daidai da guguwa ta Category 4. Wannan ya sanya Kenneth mafi tsananin guguwa mai zafi a cikin tarihin Mozambique.Brandon Miller (25 April 2019).  Wannan kuma ya nuna karo na biyu a cikin tarihin Mozambique wanda guguwa biyu suka sauka a lokacin wannan lokacin guguwa a tsananin guguwa mai zafi ko mafi girma."Tens of thousands evacuated as Cyclone Kenneth hits Mozambique".     
Bayan sauka, an sake rarraba Kenneth a matsayin mummunan yanayi, tare da iska mai ƙarfi na minti 10 na  km / h (96 , a ƙasa da ƙarfin guguwa mai zafi. Yayin da guguwar ta ci gaba da shiga cikin ƙasa, sai ta lalace cikin sauri. Ba da daɗewa ba, JTWC ta ba da gargadi na ƙarshe akan tsarin. Tsakiyar tsakiya ta Kenneth ta ragu sosai, tare da karamin yanki kawai da ya rage a kan ƙasa. Duk da cewa har yanzu yana cikin yanayi mai kyau, Kenneth ya ci gaba da raunana cikin sauri saboda hulɗa da ƙasa. A 00:00 UTC a ranar 26 ga Afrilu, MFR ta ba da gargadi na ƙarshe a kan Kenneth, ta ba da rahoton iska mai ƙarfi na minti 10 na  km / h (40 , yayin da tsarin ya kasance kusan    a cikin ƙasa a Mozambique. Kenneth ya ci gaba da raunana, tare da iskõkinsa suna fadowa ƙasa da ƙarfin guguwa yayin da yake ci gaba da motsi zuwa kudu. A ranar 27 ga Afrilu, tsawa ta tashi a bakin tekun Mozambique, kodayake cibiyar Kenneth ta kasance a kan ƙasa, yayin da tsarin ya fara motsawa zuwa arewa. A ranar 28 ga Afrilu, Kenneth ya fito daga bakin tekun arewacin Mozambique, amma ya ci gaba da raunana saboda yanayin da ba shi da kyau. Daga baya, Kenneth ya ɓace da karfe 12:00 UTC a ranar 29 ga Afrilu.  

 Shirye-shiryen da tasiri 
Gabaɗaya, Kenneth ya kashe akalla mutane 52 kuma an kiyasta lalacewar aƙalla dala miliyan 345.Nhundu, Kenneth; Sibanda, Melusi; Chaminuka, Petronella. 

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