Apparent infection rate

Hakindo mboros nannduɗo ko limto tolno yahrude yeeso ñawu nguu, tuugiingu e peeje potɗe huutoreede ngam ƴeewde no ñawu nguu yahrata e sahaaji ceertuɗi.

Ko adii fof, peeje potɗe e tolno ñawu nguu ina cuɓee ngam wonde metrik tolno ñawu nguu. Yeru, metrik ina waawi wonde keewal nokkuuji leɗɗe ɗe mboros oo toɗɗii walla keewal leɗɗe e nder yimɓe hollirooɓe mborosaaji maayɗi. Ndeen peeje tolno ñawu nguu ina ƴettee e nder sahaaji, tawa kadi ko mbaydi hiisiwal ina waɗee. Model oo tuugii ko e miijooji ɗiɗi :

yahrude yeeso ñawu nguu ina haɗee e keewal ƴiiƴam heddiiɗam ɗam ; be
so tawiino ɗum rewaani laawol, keewal mboros oo ina hollita ɓeydagol esponensiyal.

Ina woodi parametru gooto r, woni tolno mboros nannduɗo. Ina waawi hiisaade e analitik huutoraade foormula

r

=

1

t

2

−

t

1

leɗɗe

e

[

x

2

(

1

−

x

1

)

x

1

(

1

−

x

2

)

]

{\displaystyle r={\frac {1}{t_{2}-t_{1}}}\log _{e}\nano[{\frac {x_{2}(1-x_{1})}{x_{1}(1-x_{2})}}\nyaamo]}

ha toy

r woni limre infection nanndunde

t1 woni waktu fotde adannde

t2 woni waktu fotde ɗiɗaɓere

x1 woni keewal mboros fotnoo e sahaa t1

x2 ko keewal mboros fotnoo e sahaa t2

 Ƴeew kadi 
Rajo odds

Limre jibinannde basis

 Tuugnorgal