List of large-scale temperature reconstructions of the last 2,000 years

large scale temperature reconstructions yuya zaŋti yuma 2,000 din gari la  nyɛ climate reconstructions ka di nyɛ binshɛli din niŋ kpaŋmaŋ pam zaŋti wuntaŋ tulim lahabaya polo yuma 2,000 din gari la.

instrumental temperature record nyɛla bin shɛli din gbaai yuun kɔbigi ni pihinu (150) din gari la koŋko n-ti global scale ka reconstruction zaŋ chaŋ di piligu mi daa jandi climate proxies. Tuuli din daa yɛn wuhi ni climate nyɛla din taɣi,  Hubert Lamb's 1965 n-daa nyɛ ŋun ti lahabali din be gbaŋ ni ka di nyɛ wuntaŋ tulim lahabali zaŋti  central England.

Quantitative reconstructions nyɛla din niŋdi saha kam ni di sɔŋ ka wuntaŋ tulim bi paai kamani 20th century wuntaŋ ni daa tuli shɛm. Ka ŋun daa nyɛ lahabali ŋɔ nyɛ  ka daa zaŋ li niŋ  hockey stick graph. Yuuni 2010 polo bɛ daa nyɛ sɔŋsim  two dozen reconstructions nim sani, ka bɛ zaa daa laɣim ni bɛ nyɛ  pre-20th century "shaft" ni yɛn niŋ shɛm..

Yuya ŋɔ nyɛla  reconstructions ni niŋ doli taba shɛm 
 “Civilization and Climate”.
  "The early medieval warm epoch and its sequel".
  "Simulated northern hemisphere temperature departures 1579–1880".
  "Reconstructed Northern Hemisphere annual temperature since 1671 based on high-latitude tree-ring data from North America".
  "Little Ice Age summer temperature variations; their nature and relevance to recent global warming trends".
  "Was there a ‘medieval warm period’, and if so, where and when?".
  "Global interdecadal and century-scale climate oscillations during the past five centuries".
  "Arctic Environmental Change of the Last Four Centuries".
  "High resolution reconstructed Northern Hemisphere temperatures for the last few centuries: using regional average tree ring, ice core and historical annual time series".

Cited in IPCC TAR
The IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR WG1) of 2001 cited the following reconstructions supporting its conclusion that the 1990s was likely to have been the warmest Northern Hemisphere decade for 1,000 years:, 2.3.2.2 Multi-proxy synthesis of recent temperature change .
  "Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries"
  "High-resolution palaeoclimatic records for the last millennium: interpretation, integration and comparison with General Circulation Model control-run temperatures".
  "Climate change record in subsurface temperatures: A global perspective".
  "Northern hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium: Inferences, uncertainties, and limitations".
  "Annual climate variability in the Holocene: interpreting the message of ancient trees".
  "How Warm Was the Medieval Warm Period?".

Cited in NRC Report (North Report)
 highlighted six recent reconstructions, one of which was not cited in AR4:
   "Temperature trends over the past five centuries reconstructed from borehole temperatures"

Cited in IPCC AR4
The IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4 WG1) of 2007 cited the following reconstructions in support of its conclusion that the 20th century was likely to have been the warmest in the Northern Hemisphere for at least 1,300 years:, Section 6.6: The Last 2,000 Years .
 Jones et al. (1998) [also in TAR], calibrated by  "The Evolution of Climate Over the Last Millennium".
 Mann, Bradley & Hughes (1999) [also in TAR]
 Briffa (2000) [also in TAR], calibrated by  "Large-scale temperature inferences from tree rings: a review".
 Crowley & Lowery 2000 "How Warm Was the Medieval Warm Period?" [also in TAR]
  "Low-frequency temperature variations from a northern tree ring density network".
  "Low-Frequency Signals in Long Tree-Ring Chronologies for Reconstructing Past Temperature Variability", recalibrated by  "Extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere land temperature variability over the past 1000 years".
  "Global surface temperatures over the past two millennia."
  "Borehole climate reconstructions: Spatial structure and hemispheric averages".
  "Extracting a climate signal from 169 glacier records".
  "Proxy-based Northern Hemisphere surface temperature reconstructions: Sensitivity to method, predictor network, target season, and target domain".
  "Highly variable Northern Hemisphere temperatures reconstructed from low- and high-resolution proxy data".
  "On the long-term context for late twentieth century warming".
  "The spatial extent of 20th-century warmth in the context of the past 1200 years".
  "Climate sensitivity constrained by temperature reconstructions over the past seven centuries".

Cited in IPCC AR5
The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5 WG1) of 2013 examined temperature variations during the last two millennia, and cited the following reconstructions in support of its conclusion that for average annual Northern Hemisphere temperatures, "the period 1983–2012 was very likely the warmest 30-year period of the last 800 years (high confidence) and likely the warmest 30-year period of the last 1400 years (medium confidence)":,  Chapter 5, Executive Summary p. 286, and Section 5.3.5: Temperature Variations During the Last 2000 Years pp. 409–410 .
 Pollack and Smerdon (2004) [also in AR4]
 Moberg et al. (2005) [also in AR4]
 D'Arrigo, Wilson & Jacoby (2006) [also in AR4]
 Frank, Esper & Cook (2007)  "Adjustment for proxy number and coherence in a large-scale temperature reconstruction".
 Hegerl et al. (2007) "Detection of human influence on a new, validated 1500–year temperature reconstruction".
  "Millennial temperature reconstruction intercomparison and evaluation".
 Loehle & McCulloch (2008) "Correction to: A 2000-year global temperature reconstruction based on non-tree ring proxies".
  "Proxy-based reconstructions of hemispheric and global surface temperature variations over the past two millennia".
  "Global Signatures and Dynamical Origins of the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly".
  "A New Reconstruction of Temperature Variability in the Extra-Tropical Northern Hemisphere During the Last Two Millennia".
  "The extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere temperature in the last two millennia: Reconstructions of low-frequency variability".
 Leclercq & Oerlemans (2012) "Global and Hemispheric temperature reconstruction from glacier length fluctuations".
 "Northern Hemisphere temperature reconstruction during the last millennium using multiple annual proxies".

Further reconstructions
 "Reconstructing hemispheric-scale climates from multiple stalagmite records".
  "Evaluation of proxy-based millennial reconstruction methods".
  "A late Quaternary climate reconstruction based on borehole heat flux data, borehole temperature data, and the instrumental record"
  "Recent warming reverses long-term arctic cooling".
  "A Bayesian Algorithm for Reconstructing Climate Anomalies in Space and Time".
  "Reconstruction of the Extratropical NH Mean Temperature over the Last Millennium with a Method that Preserves Low-Frequency Variability".
  "Northern Hemisphere temperature patterns in the last 12 centuries".
 "A Reconstruction of Regional and Global Temperature for the Past 11,300 Years"
 (78 researchers, corresponding author Darrell S. Kaufman) "Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia"
Raphael Neukom, Nathan Steiger, Juan José Gómez-Navarro, Jianghao Wang & Johannes P. Werner 2019 "No evidence for globally coherent warm and cold periods over the preindustrial Common Era" 
PAGES 2k Consortium 2019 "Consistent multidecadal variability in global temperature reconstructions and simulations over the Common Era"

Notes

Kundivihira 

1915

1965

1979

1989

1990 

 (pb: ).
1993 

1994

1995

1996

 (pb: ) pdf 
1997

1998
  Corrigendum: 

1999

.
2000

2001

 (pb: )
 (pb: )
2002

2003

2004

2005
. Corrigendum:  date=2011-03-07

2006

, Figure 1
. (North Report)
2007

  (pb: )
2008

2009

2010

 "ICCER"

2011
 (reply to comments by A. Moberg)
2012

2013



  (78 researchers, corresponding author Darrell S. Kaufman)
 pdf

Large scale temperature reconstructions of the last 2,000 years
Category:Historical climatology
Category:Hockey stick controversy