Patrick Michaels

Patrick Michaels was a former state climatologist at the University of VirginiaCharlottesville Daily Progress: "Former climatologist will pursue research work"Pat Michaels (1950 – 2022). co2coalition.org, 16 July 2022. and a "Senior Fellow in Environmental Studies" at the Cato Institute. Michaels used to be the token global warming denier among real climatologists, though he seems to have been replaced by Richard Lindzen in more recent years due to some of his notorious cases of screw-ups and outright fraud, such that he has lost any semblance of plausible deniability at this point.
==Heat sinks and flunking math==
Michaels was a big proponent of the repeatedly debunked denialist talking point about "urban heat sinks." The "urban heat sinks" or "urban heat islands" hypothesis claims that warming is an artifact of weather stations placed too close to cities, which radiate excess heat and cause the stations to pick up misleadingly high temperatures. (Anthony Watts is famous for making similar claims and utterly failing to prove it.) In 2004, he published a paper with economist Ross McKitrick (previously known for his cherry-picking in an earlier paper with Steve McIntyre) that found a correlation between warming and GDP levels. Michaels trumpeted this as proof of the urban heat sink hypothesis, saying the paper had gone through "four years of one of the most rigorous peer reviews ever."Settling Global Warming Science, TCS Daily
The paper was published in the journal Climate Research, which subsequently ran another paper showing that their models didn't reproduce the independent data.R.E. Benestad's reply in Climate Research The reason for this goof? The input for latitude measurements in the program Michaels was using expected input in radians instead of degrees!McKitrick mucks it up, Crooked Timber
The urban heat island effect also fails to explain a number of other things, including the fact that rural weather stations show the same warming trend as urban ones,Does urban heat island effect exaggerate global warming trends?, Skeptical Science tropospheric warming,Satellite measurements of warming in the troposphere, Skeptical Science and ocean warming.Cooling oceans? Skeptical Science
Climate Research had already been at the center of a controversy in 2003 after the Soon & Baliunas paper was published, which put the review process of the journal into question. Apparently, the review process got even worse as Michaels' terrifically flawed work was published. Michaels and Climate Research were mentioned in the Climategate e-mails, which were subsequently quote mined by deniers to find "evidence" that climatologists were "redefining the peer-reviewed literature." One e-mail from Tom Wigley is a common quote mine used to imply that the scientists were attempting to get Michaels' doctorate revoked (emphasis added to distinguish quote mine):
==If the data don't comply, you must falsify!==
Michaels, however, had earlier disabused those paying attention of any notion that he was merely ignorant or a humongous screw-up. In testimony before Congress in 1998, he presented a graph from a 1988 paper by NASA's James Hansen predicting future carbon dioxide levels and temperature changes. Michaels attempted to use this to show that "the models were broken," but neglected to mention that the original graph included three scenarios and that he had just erased all the lines but the least accurate one. Stand back, this is science!
Michaels' graph rose from the dead in 2006 after Al Gore's An Inconvenient Truth was released. Soon after, Paul Krugman wrote an op-ed in the New York Times noting that Michaels had just erased the lines and called it "fraud, pure and simple," which caused a bout of denier drama.Swift Boating the Planet, New York Times Willis Eschenbach of McIntyre's Climate Audit blog tried his hand at falsifying Hansen's graph. Tim Lambert of Deltoid took Michaels and Eschenbach to task, labeling it yet another case of "Climate Fraudit." A couple of years later, McIntyre himself defended Michaels' graph and Lambert debunked it yet again.Deltoid: Fraud, pure and simple, Climate Fraudit, Steve McIntyre defends Pat Michaels' fraud
After this fiasco, Michaels claimed he had found "proof" that models were massively flawed by arguing that southern Greenland had shown very little warming… except this was actually in line with predictions, which he conveniently "forgot" to mention.Strawmen on Greenland, Real Climate
Of course, none of this cost Michaels his job nor did it keep him from continuing to churn out this crap. Nor did it stopped the zombie lies about Hansen's "failed predictions" from becoming doctrine among deniers.
==Admission of shilling==
In an interview with Fareed Zakaria on CNN, Michaels admitted to being bankrolled by fossil fuel interests:
==External links==
*Cato profile, everyone laugh
*Profiles at Logical Science and DeSmog Blog
*Deltoid category for Michaels
*Michaels Mischief, Skeptical Science
*The Cato Institute's Generous Funding of Patrick Michaels, PRWatch
*Pat Michaels, Virginia “State Climatologist”? A critical perspective on the issues, Climate Science Watch
==References==
Category:Climatologists
Category:Global warming denialists
Category:Pseudoscience promoters
Category:Shysters