A common trend across all fuels is a growing concentration of trade flows to Asia. Overall,Asia’s share of global oil and gas trade rises from around half today to around two-thirds by2040. China accounts for much of this, and our projections suggest a deepeningin energy ties between China and key suppliers in the Middle East, Russia and Central Asia....Natural gas trade increases much faster than the pace of demand growth. Driven by policyefforts to improve air quality, China’s net import needs more than triple over the outlookperiod, and its gas imports rise to the level of the European Union. Russia remains theworld’s largest natural gas exporter throughout the period, followed by the Middle Eastand North America.[Международное энергетическое агенство "Прогноз развития энергетики 2018" IEA WEO 2018]