Zelensky had fallen

What if Zelensky was killed during the start of Russian invasion of Ukraine?
1989: Phobos 2 enters Mars orbit and became a fully successful mission. (POD)
2014: Start of the war in Donbass.
February 2022: Russia invades Ukraine. Zelensky is killed by Chechen assassins.
March 2022: Kyiv falls to the invaders, the rump government moves to Lviv.
April 2022: Yanukovych returns to Ukraine.
May 2022: On Russian WWII victory day, Yanukovych is proclaimed as the president of "legitimate Ukraine". Fall of Mariupol.
June 2022: Russian hit squads began to take out some activists worldwide who oppose their invasion, hoping to spread fear.
July 2022: Russian hacking group Killnet breaks into several databases and infrastructure systems.
August 2022: Some hackers of IT Army Ukraine were abducted and brought across to Russia. Information about Russian war crimes began to trickle out. 
September 2022: Due to continued support for the Lviv rump government, Russia began partial mobilization across its nation. China starts preparations to invade Taiwan.
November 2022: Multiple North Korean missile tests. China began moving troops to the coastal areas. Killnet hacked US satellites.
December 2022: Chinese diplomats send a stern letter to US listing demands and ultimatums to resolve the "Taiwan crisis".
January 2023: Chinese navy began harassing vessels near Taiwan.
February 2023: China accidentally shot down a Thai civilian airplane.
March 2023: Invasion of Taiwan.
===Long term effects===
* Reduction of the global space of freedom and democracy and automatic increase of the global space of authoritarianism and kleptocracy.
* The renaissance and strengthening of Trumpism in the USA and the popularity of Putin in Europe.
* The critical decline of the USA's authority as the leader of the West and the strengthening of anti-Americanism in Europe.
* Strengthening of Chinese influence in Europe with the help of Europeans, as a lesser evil compared to neighboring Russia.
* The right to use force will gain more weight than the force of law decades in advance due to:
* loss of significance of the "The Declaration on Principles of International Law concerning Friendly Relations and Co-operation among States" by which the participating states are to be guided in their mutual relations and of the Final Act of the CSCE of 1975;
* final devaluation and marginalization of the UN and the OSCE;
* final discrediting of security guarantees rendered by nuclear states to non-nuclear ones;
* final collapse of the nuclear non-proliferation regime;
* inability of the world's leading security alliance, NATO, to stop the war on its eastern borders.
* Final loss of sovereignty and absorption of Belarus by Russia.
* Russia's destruction of weak democracies in Moldova and Georgia.
* Growth of the potential of Russian authoritarianism and aggression due to the absorption of the resources of Ukraine and Belarus (human, agricultural, critical raw materials, transport and energy infrastructure).
* Deployment of tactical nuclear weapons of the Russian Federation on the territory of Ukraine and Belarus near the eastern borders of NATO.
* Multiplicative effect of increasing aggressiveness of other authoritarian regimes — China, Iran and North Korea.
* Strengthening of the Russian-Iranian axis with provoking wars in the Middle East - with Saudi Arabia and Israel.
* Strengthening the tyranny of the Assad regime in Syria.
* Emergence of new nuclear states (Iran, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt, Turkey, South Korea, etc.) against the background of the general inability of the West to maintain the established status quo of nuclear non-proliferation and security.
* Transformation of the Black Sea into a Russian-Turkish condominium under Russian domination.
* Orbanization of Central and Southern Europe: Hungary, Bulgaria, and Slovakia are pragmatically reorienting themselves to the strong trendsetter — Moscow.
* Dysfunction of regional cooperation formats: V4 and 3SI.
* Withdrawal of individual countries from NATO on the initiative of pro-Russian governments, namely Hungary and Bulgaria.
* China's military "reintegration" of Taiwan.
* Accelerating the establishment of China's dominance in the South China Sea is a fait accompli.
* Increasing aggressiveness of Serbia, renewed attempts to retake Kosovo and carry out a coup in Montenegro.
* Disintegration of Bosnia and Herzegovina, a new war in the Balkans, which will be provoked by Russia and Serbia in order to weaken the EU and NATO.
* Dysfunction of NATO as an organization that failed to curb the aggressor in its conflict with the country on the eastern flank of the Alliance.
* Increasing conflict in Europe due to "unfair borders", including between EU and NATO member states:
* Trianon revisionism of the Hungarian regime with territorial claims to its neighbors — Slovakia and Romania;
* Hungarian-Slovak conflict over Ukrainian Transcarpathia;
* Escalation of the Greek-Turkish conflict due to Turkey's efforts to regain the "blue homeland" (part of the Greek islands of the Aegean Sea).
* Strengthening of the Russian threat to the Baltic countries and Poland, Russia's breakthrough of the Suwałki Gap to connect with the Kaliningrad region and isolate the Baltic countries from Poland.
* Demand of the Russian Federation on the Baltic countries and NATO to withdraw from the Alliance and declare a neutral status under the threat of aggression.
* Russia's separation of Northern Kazakhstan with its oil resources and deposits of critical raw materials.
* Facilitation of further covert Chinese absorption of Russia, in particular, the mineral resources of Eastern Siberia and the Far East.
* Russia's occupation of the Norwegian archipelago of Svalbard (Spitzbergen).
* Transition of the Arctic under the control of the Chinese-Russian tandem under the Chinese leadership.
* Displacement by China and Russia of Western companies and Western influences from Central Asia (primarily from Kazakhstan), where large deposits of energy resources, critical raw materials, rare earth metals and uranium ore are concentrated.
* Control over the Trans-Caspian International Transport Corridor and the South Caucasus Energy Corridor (due to the loyal regime in Georgia), which will complicate the supply of oil, gas, and uranium ore to the EU from non-Russian sources.
* Strengthening the orientation of the countries of the Middle East and North Africa towards Russia and China.
* Provocation by Russia of new waves of migration from Africa to Europe using its presence in the CAR, Mali and spreading its influence to other countries of the Sahel and Equatorial Africa.
* Destabilization of the national financial systems of EU member states and the euro zone due to the need for significant additional spending on defense, defense industry, and social benefits.
* Creating a situation of chaos in the West by covert malicious actions of Russia to cut deep-water fiber optic lines in the Atlantic between Europe and North America.
* Freezing of the "green transition" of Europe, collapse of the Paris climate agreement due to the need for an urgent reorientation of investments in the defense and security sectors.
* Re-weaponization of energy and food resources through the control of Ukrainian and Kazakh products.