Enderronian federal election, 2018

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2014 ← 	20 October 2018 	20 October 2018 	→ 2022
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All 150 seats in the Enderronian Parliament76 seats needed for a majority	All 150 seats in the Enderronian Parliament76 seats needed for a majority	All 150 seats in the Enderronian Parliament76 seats needed for a majority	All 150 seats in the Enderronian Parliament76 seats needed for a majority
Turnout 	18,773,549 (94.67%) ( 2.40pp) 	18,773,549 (94.67%) ( 2.40pp) 	18,773,549 (94.67%) ( 2.40pp)
 	 	 	
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Leader 	Lisa Kelsey Chan 	Matt Eriksen 	Martin Brooks
Party 	Social Democrats 	Liberal 	National
Leader since 	3 November 2015 	16 June 2016 	17 January 2003
Leader's seat 	Taylor (NP) 	Hannigan (WE) 	Fairfax (FL)
Last election 	74 seats, 35.52% 	67 seats, 38.70% 	6 seats, 4.99%
Seats won 	87 	51 	7
Seat change 	13 	16 	1
Popular vote 	7,113,298 	6,093,894 	1,150,819
Percentage 	37.89% 	32.46% 	6.13%
Swing 	2.37pp 	6.24pp 	1.14pp
TPP 	53.32% 	46.68% 	
TPP swing 	2.34pp 	2.34pp 	
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Leader 	Kelly Tan 	Jim Ronald Ralph 	Isabella Bjornstad
Party 	Greens 	Democrats 	Pirate
Leader since 	11 May 2017 	19 August 2006 	4 October 2016
Leader's seat 	Wentworth (WE) 	Contested Jenkins (WS) (lost) 	Carrera (NP)(won seat)
Last election 	1 seat, 8.11% 	1 seat, 9.49% 	New party
Seats won 	2 	1 	1
Seat change 	1 	0 	1
Popular vote 	2,012,524 	1,214,649 	488,112
Percentage 	10.72% 	6.47% 	2.26%
Swing 	2.61pp 	3.02pp 	2.26pp
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Winning party by electorate 	Winning party by electorate 	Winning party by electorate 	Winning party by electorate
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Prime Minister before election 	Prime Minister before election 	Elected Prime Minister 	Elected Prime Minister
Lisa Kelsey ChanSocial Democrats 	Lisa Kelsey ChanSocial Democrats 	Lisa Kelsey ChanSocial Democrats 	Lisa Kelsey ChanSocial Democrats
A federal election was held in Enderron on Saturday 15 September 2018 to elect the 150 members of the 19th Enderronian Parliament.
The incumbent Social Democratic Party minority government, led by Prime Minister Lisa Kelsey Chan, was re-elected, winning a substantial outright majority and defeating the opposition Liberal Party of Enderron, led by Matt Eriksen. The Social Democratic Party gained 13 seats to finish with its highest number of seats since 1998. Conversely, the Liberals lost 16 seats for a total of 51, and suffered a swing of more than 6 percent, in the party's worst result since it was formed in 2000. Several seats held by the Liberal Party and its predecessors for decades, particularly in the southern prefectures, fell to the Social Democrats. Most notably, the Social Democrats won a majority of the seats in Lawrencia for the first time since 1994, and its highest proportion of seats in Westhaven since 1974.
Several minor parties also made a strong showing, in particular the Enderronian Greens, the Enderron National Party and the new Pirate Party Enderron. Pirate Party leader Isabella Bjornstad was elected to become her party's sole MP. The Greens and Nationals also made slight gains in both popular vote and seats. The Enderron Democrats lost a third of their vote but narrowly retained their one seat.
Despite the Liberals' poor showing, Eriksen declared he would stay on as leader. He would go on to lose the leadership to his deputy Macey Novakova in a leadership spill in July 2019.
==Results==
↓ 	↓ 	↓ 	↓
87 	5 	7 	51
Social Democrats	Oth	Nat	Liberal
 	 	 	 	 	 	
Party 	Party 	Votes 	% 	Swing 	Seats 	+/−
 	Social Democrats 	7,113,298 	37.89 	2.37 	87 	13
 	Liberal 	6,093,894 	32.46 	6.24 	51 	16
 	Greens 	2,012,524 	10.72 	2.61 	2 	1
 	Democrats 	1,214,649 	6.47 	3.02 	1 	0
 	National 	1,150,819 	6.13 	1.14 	7 	1
 	Pirate 	488,112 	2.26 	2.26 	1 	1
 	Other 	764,083 	4.07 	0.88 	1 	0
Two-party-preferred vote	Two-party-preferred vote	Two-party-preferred vote	Two-party-preferred vote	Two-party-preferred vote	Two-party-preferred vote	Two-party-preferred vote
 	Social Democrats 	10,010,056 	53.32 	2.34 	87 	13
 	Liberal 	8,763,493 	46.68 	2.34 	51 	16
Total 	Total 	18,773,549 	100 	 	150 	
Independents: Michelle Gallagher
===Results by region===
Party 	Party 	Party 	Central	West	East	North	Total
rowspan="2"	Social Democrats	Seats: 	50 	11 	17 	9 	87
Vote: 	Social Democrats	 	 	 	 	37.89	
rowspan="2"	Liberal 	Seats: 	24 	19 	6 	2 	51
Vote: 	Liberal 	 	 	 	 	32.46	
rowspan="2"	National 	Seats: 	0 	2 	2 	3 	7
Vote: 	National 	 	 	 	 	6.13 	
rowspan="2"	Greens 	Seats: 	2 	0 	0 	0 	2
Vote: 	Greens 	 	 	 	 	10.72	
rowspan="2"	Democrats 	Seats: 	0 	1 	0 	0 	1
Vote: 	Democrats 	 	 	 	 	6.47 	
rowspan="2"	Pirate 	Seats: 	1 	0 	0 	0 	1
Vote: 	Pirate 	 	 	 	 	2.26 	
rowspan="2"	Other 	Seats: 	0 	0 	0 	1 	1
Vote: 	Other 	 	 	 	 	4.07 	
Total seats	Total seats 	Total seats	77 	33 	25 	15 	150
===Seats changing hands===
Seat 	2014 election	2014 election 	2014 election 	2014 election	Swing 	2018 election	2018 election 	2018 election 	2018 election
Seat 	Party 	Party 	Member 	Margin 	Swing 	Margin 	Member 	Party 	Party
Brooklyn, JZ 	 	Liberal 	Gladys Nielson 	4.42 	–5.66 	1.24 	Kristine Oakley 	Social Democrats	
Carrera, NP 	width="1%" 	Liberal 	Harper Leong 	9.41 	–11.15	1.74 	Isabella Bjornstad	Pirate 	width="1%"
Cook, PL 	 	Liberal 	Jackson Brough 	1.44 	–2.70 	1.26 	John Rudd 	Social Democrats	
East Lynn, NP 	 	Liberal 	Heather Lansberry 	0.37 	–3.84 	3.47 	Jocelyn Storer 	Greens 	
Epping, NP 	 	Liberal 	Fred Sherry 	4.96 	–5.03 	0.07 	Carolyn Harrison 	Social Democrats	
Epsom, NS 	 	Liberal 	Neil Wells 	6.14 	–7.49 	1.45 	Tom Kennett 	Social Democrats	
Essendon, FL 	 	Liberal 	Tomiko Kanda 	2.72 	–5.72 	3.00 	Brett Langley 	Social Democrats	
Kingston, NP 	 	Liberal 	Hailey Gillam 	0.67 	–6.41 	5.74 	Jeremy Mitschke 	Social Democrats	
Macquarie, KA 	 	Liberal 	Peter Shuman 	3.41 	–5.94 	2.53 	Charlie Knight 	National 	
Meiling Bay, JZ 	 	Liberal 	Alyssa Liu 	1.43 	–1.55 	0.12 	Jim Powell 	Social Democrats	
Rockingham North, CO	 	IndependentTim Boxhall was elected as a Liberal MP in 2006, but left that party in 2017 to sit as an independent.	Tim Boxhall 	4.75 	N/A 	0.80 	Greg Dalton 	Social Democrats	
Seven Mile, PL 	 	Liberal 	Nicholas Laferriere	5.51 	–7.65 	2.14 	Tina Kothari 	Social Democrats	
Stanley, LR 	 	Liberal 	Jeremy Wansey 	7.50 	–9.98 	2.48 	Jacqui Mander 	Social Democrats	
Sunnyvale, WS 	 	Liberal 	Brian Reisman 	2.11 	–6.38 	4.27 	Ivan Hawthorn 	Social Democrats	
Watford, PL 	 	Liberal 	Don Dansby 	3.85 	–10.53	6.68 	Steph Barris 	Social Democrats	
Wollstonecraft, LR 	 	Liberal 	Jason Harding 	7.24 	–8.79 	1.55 	Chris Alcroft 	Social Democrats	
==Background==
===Parties===
Name	Name 	Ideology 	Party leader 	Seats 	Seats
Name	Name 	Ideology 	Party leader 	2014 result	At dissolution
 	Social Democratic Party 	Social democracy 	Lisa Kelsey Chan	/ 	/
 	Liberal Party 	Conservative liberalism	Matt Eriksen 	/ 	/
 	Enderron National Party 	Agrarianism 	Martin Brooks 	/ 	/
 	Enderron Democrats 	Right-wing populism 	Jim Ronald Ralph	/ 	/
 	Enderronian Greens 	Green politics 	Kelly Tan 	/ 	/
 	IndependentsIndependents who sat in Parliament as of the end of the parliamentary term were Tim Boxhall and Michelle Gallagher.	– 	– 	/ 	/
==Pendulum==
SOCIAL DEMOCRATIC SEATS (87)	SOCIAL DEMOCRATIC SEATS (87)	SOCIAL DEMOCRATIC SEATS (87)	SOCIAL DEMOCRATIC SEATS (87)
Marginal 	Marginal 	Marginal 	Marginal
Epping (NP) 	Carolyn Harrison 	SDP 	0.07
Meiling Bay (JZ) 	Jim Powell 	SDP 	0.12
West Lynn (NP) 	Terri Scott 	SDP 	0.23 v GRN
Akagi (TJ) 	Satsuki Minami 	SDP 	0.35
Rockingham Nth (CO) 	Greg Dalton 	SDP 	0.80
Rhinehart (WE) 	Raymond Sen 	SDP 	0.88 v GRN
Brooklyn (JZ) 	Kristine Oakley 	SDP 	1.24
Cook (PL) 	John Rudd 	SDP 	1.26
Epsom (NS) 	Tom Kennett 	SDP 	1.45
Wollstonecraft (LR) 	Chris Alcroft 	SDP 	1.55
Hexham (NP) 	Tristen Zhang 	SDP 	1.75
Forrest (MA) 	Michael Fergerson 	SDP 	2.01 v ENP
Seven Mile (PL) 	Tina Kothari 	SDP 	2.14
Palmerston West (LS) 	Omar Wahed 	SDP 	2.15
Stanley (LR) 	Jacqui Mander 	SDP 	2.48
MacDonnell (WE) 	Damian Firestone 	SDP 	2.77
Essendon (FL) 	Brett Langley 	SDP 	3.00
St Claire (PL) 	Sydney Wieling 	SDP 	3.30 v GRN
Wolseley (NS) 	Lisa Day 	SDP 	3.79
Forsythia (NS) 	William Dewitt 	SDP 	3.84
Gibson (PL) 	Magi Kukowski 	SDP 	4.01
Sunnyvale (WS) 	Ivan Hawthorn 	SDP 	4.27
Nakamura (TJ) 	Rin Fujiwara 	SDP 	4.48
Kitaoka (TJ) 	James Tsuji 	SDP 	4.51
Castlebrook (WE) 	Phil Bancroft 	SDP 	4.67
Mulherin (LS) 	Li Min Jiang 	SDP 	4.99
Nord (WS) 	David Henneman 	SDP 	5.24
Fuller (WS) 	Jodie Scanlon 	SDP 	5.66
Burwood (NP) 	Robert Mahon 	SDP 	5.72
Kingston (NP) 	Jeremy Mitschke 	SDP 	5.74
Fairly safe 	Fairly safe 	Fairly safe 	Fairly safe
Griffith (NC) 	Julie Shaloub 	SDP 	6.20
Mizuoka (KA) 	Jack Lotus 	SDP 	6.53
Watford (PL) 	Steph Barris 	SDP 	6.68
Reed (WE) 	Kendra Lu 	SDP 	7.06
Hacking (NS) 	Emma Pryor 	SDP 	7.19
Jingcheng (LS) 	Anika Kwok 	SDP 	7.20 v ENP
Queenstown (NS) 	Geri Campanelli 	SDP 	7.41
Coburn (NS) 	Sally Jean Marquette 	SDP 	7.91
Endeavour (CO) 	Thomas van Veen 	SDP 	8.14
Jackson (WE) 	Ross Deng 	SDP 	8.28
Southend (WS) 	Justine Perry 	SDP 	8.87
Thorpe (JZ) 	Maria Sabol 	SDP 	9.02
Parnell (WE) 	Nathan Folley 	SDP 	9.57
Palmerston East (LS) 	Terry Lenihan 	SDP 	9.60
Torrens (WE) 	David Zeng 	SDP 	9.98 v GRN
Safe 	Safe 	Safe 	Safe
Lyndhurst (NS) 	Marco Chiung 	SDP 	10.12
Grey (NS) 	Kurt Sidoti 	SDP 	10.36
Durston (TJ) 	Alison Tsuji 	SDP 	10.47
Stewart (NP) 	Rick Perras 	SDP 	11.43
Port William (WS) 	Ziggy Duggan 	SDP 	11.58
Karburgh (NC) 	Alex Banuelos 	SDP 	12.03
Berkeley (PL) 	Bob Crouch 	SDP 	12.44
Chung'an (LS) 	Kelly Donovan Carter 	SDP 	12.58
Higashi (TJ) 	Naomi Takahashi 	SDP 	12.95
Kin Loong (SY) 	Pavel Kyung 	SDP 	13.08
Kensington (WE) 	Ben Janik 	SDP 	13.49
Lewisham (NP) 	Carli O'Hara 	SDP 	13.69
Taralga (KA) 	Colleen Scrivener 	SDP 	13.78
Devon (PL) 	Kate Salguero 	SDP 	14.04
Shirakawa C (TJ) 	Yukiko Hirata 	SDP 	14.10 v TFP
Bexley (WE) 	Kiana Stone 	SDP 	14.68
Lighthorse (PL) 	Nate Kirkby 	SDP 	14.88
Dover (NC) 	Tim Lunday 	SDP 	15.16
Nanshan (LS) 	Lily Chen 	SDP 	15.58
Strachan (NS) 	Ronald Siu 	SDP 	15.99
Shangzhou (LS) 	Frank Nguyen 	SDP 	16.00
Heathbridge (WE) 	Scott Birkholz 	SDP 	16.23
Rockingham Sth (CO) 	Nick Fenech 	SDP 	16.75
Monash (NS) 	Steve Lomas 	SDP 	17.07
Taylor (NP) 	Lisa Kelsey Chan 	SDP 	17.32
Nishihama (TJ) 	Liz Coure 	SDP 	17.62
Harvey (TJ) 	Megan Wang 	SDP 	17.97
Rosslea (JZ) 	Leon McCullough 	SDP 	18.34
Sutherland (MA) 	James Radovich 	SDP 	19.02
Leightonfield (NS) 	Mary Castilleja 	SDP 	19.32
Pollock (NP) 	Corey Woo 	SDP 	19.90
Very safe 	Very safe 	Very safe 	Very safe
Linden (WE) 	Kim Flowers 	SDP 	20.51
Nottingham (MA) 	Edison Chee 	SDP 	20.63
Cheltenham (CO) 	Mike Woods 	SDP 	21.53
Shirakawa South (TJ) 	Hiroko Layton 	SDP 	21.58
Denison (JZ) 	Mari Lee 	SDP 	21.87
Douglas (NP) 	Mark Serio 	SDP 	22.33
Woodleigh (NS) 	Candice Smith 	SDP 	23.62
Reedijk (CO) 	Jason Vickery 	SDP 	24.10 v DEM
Victoria (PL) 	Jennifer Williamson 	SDP 	24.25
Charlestown (NC) 	Stephanie Wilder 	SDP 	24.97
Anderson (WE) 	Tony Yang 	SDP 	26.16
LIBERAL SEATS (51) 	LIBERAL SEATS (51)	LIBERAL SEATS (51)	LIBERAL SEATS (51)
Marginal 	Marginal 	Marginal 	Marginal
Prince Edward (KA) 	Jerri Mei-Lin Wei 	LPE 	0.02
Olympia (WE) 	John Kelch 	LPE 	0.31
Orange (WS) 	Michael Turnbull 	LPE 	0.61
Braddon (NS) 	Noel Lafontant 	LPE 	1.25
Jenkins (WS) 	Tom Callahan 	LPE 	1.42
Sjoberg (WE) 	Paul Wagner 	LPE 	2.48
Franklin (WE) 	Linda Tran 	LPE 	2.50
Duyfken (SY) 	Georgia Higgs 	LPE 	2.51
Kamijima (TJ) 	Richard Akiyama 	LPE 	3.28
Taiping (LS) 	Phillip Wilkie 	LPE 	4.59
Dawson (PL) 	Lily Miraglia 	LPE 	4.99
Hannigan (WE) 	Matt Eriksen 	LPE 	5.65
Fairly safe 	Fairly safe 	Fairly safe 	Fairly safe
Shellbourne (NP) 	Kari Dyck 	LPE 	6.23
Thompson (WE) 	Andrew Kittinger 	LPE 	6.24
Hawthorne (PL) 	Luke Barrientos 	LPE 	6.84
Mayfair (CO) 	Ed Calderon 	LPE 	7.00
Rochester (NP) 	Rose Bradshaw 	LPE 	7.15
Itabashi (TJ) 	Adrian Fenner 	LPE 	7.89
Whetstone (WE) 	Jared Flint 	LPE 	8.10
Oxley (CO) 	Sam Cormack 	LPE 	8.77
Druitt (CO) 	Syreeta Kapoor 	LPE 	8.90
Normanhurst (CO) 	Emily Gothardt 	LPE 	9.23
Rijkens (TJ) 	Nick Pisano 	LPE 	9.34
Richmond (FL) 	Lauren Schrantz 	LPE 	9.84
Safe 	Safe 	Safe 	Safe
Burleigh (NP) 	Melissa Oakes 	LPE 	10.42
Bayswater (WE) 	Kim Jamison 	LPE 	10.73
Jansen (WE) 	Tamara Everett 	LPE 	11.13
New England (JZ) 	Chris Buckley 	LPE 	11.43
Dykstra (WE) 	Davina Charon 	LPE 	12.55
Marshall Bay (CO) 	Dora Jiang 	LPE 	12.98 v ENP
White Beach (NP) 	Sharon Ritworth 	LPE 	13.14
Southcott (WE) 	Vincent Muller 	LPE 	13.31
Middle Range (WS) 	Tyson Parker 	LPE 	14.10
Warwick (FL) 	Theo Stefanos 	LPE 	14.76
Keppel (NS) 	Kate Poole 	LPE 	14.80
Roscoe (WS) 	Brian Keogh 	LPE 	15.70
Ashbrook (FL) 	Niall Nguyen 	LPE 	16.24
Campbell (FL) 	John Taggart 	LPE 	16.25
Kawayama (TJ) 	Emily Song 	LPE 	17.43
Minato (TJ) 	Marilyn Richards 	LPE 	17.66
Docklands (WE) 	Craig Ahlquist 	LPE 	18.24
Aston (NP) 	Tom Gargiulo 	LPE 	18.82 v GRN
Harrison (AV) 	Macey Novakova 	LPE 	18.89
Cowper (WS) 	Daniel Hartin 	LPE 	19.27
Rock Valley (NS) 	Dominic Chao 	LPE 	19.54
Very safe 	Very safe 	Very safe 	Very safe
Mackenzie (AV) 	Tom Wellington 	LPE 	20.44
Wilson (CO) 	Jo Brigman 	LPE 	21.35
Arlington (LR) 	Ronny Maliszewski 	LPE 	22.20 v ENP
Lyons (AV) 	Donna Pasquariello	LPE 	22.84
Hamilton (WS) 	Nicole Meaney 	LPE 	23.00
Brighton (WE) 	Gemma Smith 	LPE 	27.24
CROSSBENCH SEATS (12)	 	 	
Scott (CO) 	Pauline Morrison 	DEM 	0.44 v LPE
Carrera (NP) 	Isabella Bjornstad	PPE 	1.74 v SDP
Macquarie (KA) 	Charlie Knight 	ENP 	2.53 v LPE
East Lynn (NP) 	Jocelyn Storer 	GRN 	3.47 v SDP
Goulburn (KA) 	Michelle Gallagher	IND 	4.32 v LPE
Dalton (MA) 	Spencer Bartell 	ENP 	7.11 v SDP
Mount Gilbert (MA) 	Kylie Moore 	ENP 	8.67 v LPE
Kennedy (WS) 	Ian Gillard 	ENP 	10.70 v LPE
Wentworth (WE) 	Kelly Tan 	GRN 	12.46 v SDP
Fairfax (FL) 	Martin Brooks 	ENP 	13.42 v LPE
Greenberg (GB) 	Mike Weitzman 	ENP 	18.85 v SDP
Sierra (SA) 	Vince Stanton 	ENP 	22.89 v SDP
==Opinion polling==
===Graphical summary===
===Poll results===
{| class="wikitable" style="margin: auto; text-align: center; width:650px; font-size: 9pt; line-height:16px"
! rowspan="3" width="18%"|Date
! colspan="7"|Primary vote
! rowspan="74" width="1%"|
! colspan="2"|TPP vote
|-
! width="9%"|LP
! width="9%"|SDP
! width="9%"|Dem
! width="9%"|Grn
! width="9%"|ENP
! width="9%"|Oth
! rowspan="2" width="9%"|Lead
! width="9%"|LP
! width="9%"|SDP
|-
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| Election
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