Middle East Crisis (DKdarwinkeck)

The Middle East Crisis or as the public popularly calls it: Iran's War was a conflict that would see an end to the Saudi-Iranian Proxy War and with 3 countries from the proxy conflict have their respected territories and country itself restored. This would also see the downfall of the Iranian Mullah Regime and Bashar's Regime in Syria and Iran. The US would have to keep some of their forces in Iraq, Syria and Yemen to help maintain order and find replacement governments.
== Prelude: ==
2018: War in Yemen intensifies with Saudi-led coalition troops constantly battering Houthis. FSA forces are on the brink of defeat by Assad's forces and the Russian Air Force.
thumb|alt=|2 Russian Su-25s over Damascus
In Iraq, the United States coalition faces trouble as Shia militias make ground against US positions. The UAE aids the coalition by launching air strikes against Shia militias but it does little to turn the tide of the war. The PLO hardens their stance against Israel by continuous bombardments against cities like Jerusalem. Tensions are at their peak between Saudi Arabia and Iran.
2019: Iran seizes the British tanker, Stena Impero off the Omani Coast and the ship is driven to Iran with the crew held as hostage. The United Kingdom and France deploy aircraft in Al Dhafra Airbase in the UAE for more strikes against Shia militias. Trump insists that the UAE and Kuwait send forces to Iraq. On July 9th, Kuwaiti and Emirati soldiers enter Iraq cutting off supply lines for the Shia militias. An Omani tanker is seized by Iranian corvettes in an attempt to force the UK and France to leave from Al Dhafra Airbase. The UN places sanctions on Iran for this matter. The conflict in Libya intensifies day by day with the countries supporting the many factions handing the factions military vehicles. The UN calls for de-escalation of the Libyan war but is ignored.
thumb|Gaddafi Loyalist T-55|alt=2020: Qasem Soleimani is killed in Baghdad by a US drone strike. Iran retaliates with Operation Marty Soleimani which launched ballistic missiles against a US base in Iraq. 80 US soldiers are killed. The Quds Force is weakened. Several Libyan factions ally themselves with Iran. Tensions continue to increase and with the Libyan conflict at spillover point, NATO is forced to deploy bombers in Tunisia. French Mirage 2000, British V bombers and United States F-35, F-117 Nighthawk, B-52 and F-22s bomb pro Iranian factions in Libya. Morocco and Algerian tensions are at an all time high due to disputes with the Western Sahara. Belarus sends military advisors on behalf of Iran. The United States lands troops in Kuwait and advances through southern Iraq taking Basra. In September 8th, the Tehran Pact was formed with the members of:
* Iran
* Syria
* Iraq
* Libya
* Algeria
* Russia
* Kazakhstan
* China
*Belarus
* North Korea
* Palestine
thumb|Tehran Pact members in red.|alt=
A military alliance meant to be a counterweight to Saudi Arabia and it's allies. Activity later dies down after the formation of the Tehran Pact. The United States thinks its over but it isn't.
== War starts ==
2022: Iran frustrated at the lack of progress the Tehran Pact has made since 2020, Iran then fires the first shots of war by launching drone strikes on Saudi oil fields and launching drone strikes against US bases in Iraq. Iran then seizes two ships. Iran seizes the Costa Serena outside of the Emirati coast and seizes a Spanish tanker and German cruise ship, MS Europa 2 off the Strait of Hormuz. Spain, Germany and Italy retaliated with sanctions on Iran.
thumb|Iranian gunboat|alt=
United States and Saudi Arabia have enough and the Middle East Crisis starts. Immediately, US forces from Kuwait launch a full on offensive against Iran who had now deployed their main army. Iran immediately blocks the Strait of Hormuz with their navy cutting off trade with the world and Gulf states. Israel launches Operation David's March. A two-pronged attack to knock Syria and Palestine out of the war. Syria launches artillery bombardments on Israeli positions on the Golan Heights and Syrian general, Ali Abdullah Ayyoub launches a miscalculated assault on Israel. Being forced to rout out of Israel, the Syrian forces are forced to retreat under constant pounding by IDF forces. The United Kingdom, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Australia and New Zealand join the war on the behalf of the United States. The rest of NATO refuses to join the conflict. Iran launches a volley of ballistic missiles into Iraq causing severe casualties on the coalition side. Iraqi forces who had pledged their allegiance to Iran invades Kuwait after regaining lost ground. Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain and the UAE forces achieve a decisive beached in Kuwait and prepare for a counteroffensive.
thumb|Kuwait M84 tanks preparing for a counteroffensive.|alt=
China sends an expeditionary force to Iran. From there they would be dispatched in Iraq and Syria to stop the ongoing Israeli offensive. Russian naval vessels including the Kuznetsov Aircraft Carrier to reinforce Iran's naval blockade. The Strait of Hormuz becomes a flashpoint with the British and American Navy engaging the Iranian and Russian Navy. Morocco declares war on Algeria after an artillery strike on Moroccan territory. Both get stuck in a stalemate due to mountains on their border. Pro Iranian factions in Libya accidentally launch rocket strikes into Egypt. Egypt retaliates with an invasion into Libya. Russia attempts to create a defensive air shield in Tehran and Baghdad by deploying S-400 SAM systems, 9K37 Buks, and 9K330 Tors. The USS Gerald R. Ford and HMS Queen Elizabeth sinks several Russian and Iranian ships and the USS Benfold sinking the Kuznetsov Carrier.
thumb|Russian corvette sinking in the Strait of Hormuz.|alt=
Russia and Iran retreat their navies from the Strait of Hormuz. The UAE, Oman and US marines from the USS Wasp take the Iranian island of Qeshm. German forces arrive in Saudi Arabia and are deployed in Yemen. Italian and Spanish forces land in Israel and reinforce the line in southern Lebanon against Hezbollah and the Amal Movement. French GIGN and marines from the Charles de Gaulle carrier and US marines from the USS Nimitz and USS Wasp reinforce the line in Kuwait and the joint armies retake their ground in southern Iraq and retaking Basra in the process. Australian and New Zealand forces would land in northern Saudi Arabia and begin an offensive which would see massive fighting.
thumb|Saudi M1 Abrams in western Iraq.|alt=
Turkey who had closed the borders with Iraq and Syria enters the conflict after Syrian Government forces and Russian bombers had mistakenly attacked the Turkish border outside the Turkish city of Kilis with Syria mistaking it for an FSA stronghold. Turkey retaliates with an invasion of Syria.
thumb|Turkish soldiers in Syria 5 hours after the offensive.|alt=
Israeli and Turkish forces make progress in Syria with a collapsing Syrian army. Taking this opportunity, Kurdish and FSA fighters launch an uprising in Damascus. Turkey and Israel then attack the Russian base in Latakia. The Russian jets are destroyed. Syria surrenders. Bashar Al Assad flees to Moscow under a disguise. Turkey then turns their attention towards Iraq.
== 2023 ==
Coalition forces bogged down by ISIS and Al Qaeda forces endure some of the most harsh of street fighting. In Ramadi, Saudi, Australian and New Zealand forces launching constant bombardments against Al Qaeda forces in the city. In Nasiriyah, French, British and Qatari forces are forced to be entrenched after ISIS forces in buildings began to cause havoc on the convoys. Najaf saw the most of the harsh fighting with hand-to-hand combat, thousands of Jordanian and Saudi casualties. Russia and Kazakhstan send volunteers to the Iraqi front which was becoming a meat grinder. Iranian forces are then deployed to the north of Iraq to then launch a counteroffensive against the Jordanian and Saudi forces fighting in Najaf. In Yemen, the Saudi coalition and German forces make gains against the Houthi insurgents. US marines launch an amphibious assault on the Houthi-held city of Aden.
thumb|US LVTP-7A1 amphibious assault vehicles landing in Aden, Yemen.|alt=
Oman invades ISIS held parts in Yemen and make staggering progress. Kazakh soldiers deployed in Iraq reinforce the collapsing Iraqi defenses in Nasiriyah with remnants of ISIS insurgents fleeing. Kurdish fighters launch a joint offensive with French forces against Iranian soldiers. 
Chinese battlegroups who were deployed in Baghdad as military police are deployed to retake Basra. The Shatt Al Arab Waterway is taken by Emirati forces against a poorly defended Iraqi defense. 
thumb|Convoy of UAE Leclerc Tanks outside the Shatt Al Arab Waterway|alt=
German armored divisions are sent to the front in Iraq landing through Kuwait, the joint Saudi Arabian, German, Emirati and American force heads straight for Baghdad. The UAE eager to test the biggest MLRS system ever built, the Jobaria Defense System Multiple Cradle Launcher, they send the MLRS trucks to Iraq. Without consulting their allies, Iran launches chemical agents against coalition fighters. The US condemns Iran for chemical agents with China defended Iran with Xi Jinping saying "伊朗刚刚发起了自卫行动。没有理由谴责伊朗。" (Translation: Iran just launched a self-defense operation. There is no reason to condemn Iran.) in a speech in the UN. The Emirates although having some relations with Iran cut ties put more sanctions on Iran followed by Israel and Yemen. Iran's economy was beginning to tank. Turkey feeling threatened by the chemical weapons invaded Iraq with soldiers in gas masks to prevent illness by Iran's chemical agents. Russian soldiers in Baghdad originally routed for Basra were rerouted to stop the Turkish advance. US B-52 bombers begin a daily bombardment over Baghdad escorted by A6 Tram Intruders armed with anti-radar missiles, F-14 Tomcats, F-16 Fighting Falcons and another bomber squadron consisting of B-2 Spirits. The anti-air shield over Baghdad is torn to bits. Tehran Pact forces retreat to the safety of Iran under constant pounding by coalition and Kurdish fighters only leaving a heavy demoralized and weakened Iraqi force with only 30 soldiers, 5 tanks and 2 fire support vehicles. After a small fight, the fighters in Baghdad surrender. Iraq surrenders entirely. Spain and the US land troops in Morocco and begin a rapid advance against Algeria. Egypt gains ground against the pro-Iranian faction in Libya and is in sight of Tripoli.
== 2024 ==
With ground, air and naval superiority, the US coalition invades Iran. Qatari, British, Emirati, American, Australian and Saudi troops invade Iran via the Persian Gulf and occupied Qeshm Island. Turkey invades Iran through the highways that connect the two countries. Remaining coalition forces invade Iran through the Iraqi border. They make staggering progress but while gaining ground, the mountain ranges become a challenge. Iranians, Russians, Kazakhs and Chinese entrench themselves in the Zagros Mountain Ranges.
thumb|Iranian soldiers in the Zagros Mountains|alt=
Seeing how the war may threaten Turkmenistan, they join the Tehran Pact while orginally having diplomatic support. To make matters worse for Iran, Kurds in Iran launch an uprising in Tabriz, Tehran and Isfahan. The Kurdish rebels in Iraq and Syria form the Republic of Kurdistan and using equipment from the Syrian and Iraqi armies, they launch another offensive opening another front in the invasion.
Iran launches volleys of chemical agents at the coalition troops but when in chemical proof uniforms and gas masks, it does little effect on them. Coalition forces push further into Iran but during the battle that would see how the war progressed, The Battle of Zagros Mountains, an Emirati recon team found Iran's hidden ballistic missile arsenal inside several mountains and found lines of trucks full of warheads. With a confirmed report of what Iran's ballistic missiles could carry, several NATO, ASEAN, Arab League and EU countries placed more sanctions on Iran. Joe Biden orders the missiles to be confiscated for research. The US beachhead in Aden was a major pushback against the Houthi rebels without supplies and are heavily demoralized. Saudi armor later rolled into Sana'a with cheers from Yemeni civilians after harsh occupation by Houthi rebels. Houthi rebels, ISIS and Al Qaeda surrender in Yemen. Yemen joins the Saudi coalition.
2025: Egypt takes Tripoli after a siege that wore down Gaddafi Loyalists and pro-Iranian factions. Algeria and Libya leave the war entirely and to avoid harsh terms, they repay war reoperations to the Saudi coalition. Turkey takes Tabriz in an armor run. Isfahan is taken by the coalition after a decisive victory after they cleared the Zagros Mountains. Iran attempts to build defensive lines along the outskirts of Tehran but spies warned the coalition of the plan. The coalition began bombing runs on defensive lines under construction using occupied zones in Iran as forward airports and bases.
thumb|UAE Mirage 2000 taking off to conduct a bombing run|alt=
Israeli, Italian and Spanish forces enter southern Lebanon while coming under poundings by the Amal Movement and Hezbollah. The Lebanese Front, a pro-Israel militia fights the Amal Movement while Israel advances. In Palestine, Israel makes good progress as well on the Gaza Strip. Palestine calls for a truce and Israel agrees. Lebanon later leaves the war forcing Israel, Spain and Italy to send their troops back to Israel. Mass riots break out in Tehran due to a tanking economy, the coalition getting closer and with so many soldiers lost, it was unbearable. On the diplomatic front, peace talks open up in Ankara, Turkey to discuss the treaty of the conflict. Russian, Chinese and Kazakh soldiers who were on the frontlines are deployed as military police against the rioters. It wasn't easy for the US as well. Iran and America had taken numerous beatings and with the American public was protesting for Joe Biden to withdraw from Iran.
thumb|Anti-War protesters in Washington D.C urging Biden to end the war|alt=
== Ankara Accords ==
On July the 8th, 2025: Iran calls for truce. The Ankara Accords are signed with the following articles:
# Iran's nuclear program will be terminated and all missiles and warheads will be disarmed.
# Iran's army will be dissolved to only 100 soldiers. All tanks, planes, helicopters, IFVs, APCs and navy ships will be decommissioned. 
# Kurdistan will become independent having north Syria and Iraq as Kurdish land.
# After all Arabs settle in Palestine, Israel will annex the Gaza Strip.
# Libya will be governed by the Government of National Accord and UN army to keep order in Libya.
# All ships seized by Iran are to be freed and any prisoners to be freed as well.
# Iran's dictatorship will be removed and all members of the dictatorship will be put on trial in Dubai.
# Syria will be governed under president Amaan Basr Dahi (Arabic: أمان بصر ضاحي) a pro-US Syrian.
# Syria's army will be 1,000 soldiers and all APCs will be refitted for civilian use and auctioned off.
# Iraq will be governed by a president under Ahmed Hussein Khalifa.
# A UN army will maintain peace and order in Iraq until the army is reformed.
# Lebanon will be governed under a pro-US government with a UN army in place to combat the remaining insurgents.
# Iran's new government will be a pro-US government.
# Iran will cede land to Kurdistan.
# All Chinese, Kazakh and Russian troops will leave Iran and Belarusian military advisors will leave.
# The Tehran Pact will be dissolved.
# Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, Palestine, Algeria, Libya and Iran will recognize Israel.
# Yemen's Hadi Government will stay in power and the Southern Movement gaining independence. 
# Iran will pay 500,000 Iranian Rial to the coalition for damages and casualties.
#Sunni militias are given administration on northern/western Iraq. Shia militias will have administration on central/eastern Iraq. Both sides are restricted from combat. Any combat heard will respond with instant trade ban.
#United States, France, United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, Spain, Australia and New Zealand will occupy southern Iraq to restore order until 2030.
#The US and allies will not withdraw from the Middle East.
Signed: United States, Russia, China, Iran, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Lebanon, Yemen, Jordan, Germany, Spain, Italy, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Iraq, Syria, Turkey, Palestine, Libya, Algeria, United Kingdom, France, Oman, Bahrain, Australia, New Zealand, Kurdistan, Egypt, Morocco, Turkmenistan and Kyrgyzstan. 
Casualties:
Saudi coalition: 679,000
Tehran Pact: 893,012
== Aftermath ==
The Middle East wars come to an end after 77 years. The global economy took a hit due to Iran's naval blockade with several oil rigs and oil fields still burning. Bashar Al Assad is taken to the Dubai Trials after an ultimatum by NATO forced Russia to take Assad to the trials. Assad is sentenced to 55 years in prison. Rouhani is sentenced with life imprisonment. 
Category:Scenario
Category:Middle East
Category:Crisises
Category:Wars
Category:Geopolitics 2020s
Category:Iran
Category:United States
Category:NATO
Category:Saudi Arabia
Category:China
Category:United Arab Emirates
Category:Russia