2022 United States House of Representatives elections (SophiaNyberg Scenario)

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections occurred on November 8, 2022.
== Incumbents defeated ==
=== In General Elections ===
==== Democrats to Republicans ====
* Arizona 2: Democrat Tom O'Halleran lost to Republican Eli Crane.
* Florida 2: Democrat Al Lawson lost to Republican Neal Dunn in redistricting.
* New Jersey 7; Democrat Tom Malinowski lost to Republican Tom Kean.
* Virginia 2; Democrat Elaine Luria lost to Republican Jen Kiggans.
==== Republicans to Democrats ====
* New Mexico 2: Republican Yvette Herrell lost to Democrat Gabriel Vazquez.
* Ohio 1: Republican Steve Chabot lost to Democrat Greg Landsman.
* Texas 34: Republican Mayra Flores lost to Democrat Vicente Gonzalez in redistricting.
==== Democrats to Populists ====
* Massachussetts 1: Democrat Richard Neal lost to Populist Andy Morse.
* Hawaii 1: Democrat Ed Case lost to Populist Doug Chin.
== States ==
=== Alabama ===
==== 1st district ====
Incumbent Jerry Carl (R) easily won re-election.
==== 2nd district ====
Incumbent Barry Moore (R) easily won re-election.
==== 3rd district ====
Incumbent Mike Rogers (R) easily won re-election.
==== 4th district ====
Incumbent Robert Aderholt (R) easily won re-election.
==== 5th district ====
Incumbent Mo Brooks (R) ran for Senate. The winner of the Republican primary for this district, Dale Strong, was elected in a landslide, as expected.
==== 6th district ====
Incumbent Gary Palmer (R) easily won re-election.
==== 7th district ====
Incumbent Terri Sewell (D) easily won re-election.
=== Alaska ===
Incumbent Mary Peltola (Populist) of the at-large district narrowly won re-election in the instant runoff. She was supported by the Democrats.
=== Arizona ===
==== 1st district ====
Incumbent David Schweikert (R) was very vulnerable due to his multiple scandals and his certification of the election. Delina DiSanto, a nurse, ran as the Populist candidate, and she was supported by the Democrats. On top of that, Donald Trump told supporters on Truth Social that he would support a primary of Schweikert due to his certification of the election. Although Schweikert won that primary, his primary challenger, businessman Elijah Norton, ran as an independent. This funneled enough votes from Schweikert that he lost to DiSanto.
==== 2nd district ====
Incumbent Tom O'Halleran (D) lost to Republican Eli Crane due to his district being gerrymandered by the Republicans.
==== 3rd district ====
Incumbent Ruben Gallego (D) easily won re-election.
==== 4th district ====
Incumbent Greg Stanton (D) heavily outperformed the district's partisanship to easily win re-election.
==== 5th district ====
Incumbent Andy Biggs (R) easily won re-election.
==== 6th district ====
Incumbent Ann Kirkpatrick (D) retired. Juan Ciscomani won the Republican primary and Kirsten Engel won the Democratic primary. The Super PAC of the pro-Trump faction of the Populist Party, Make It Great, attacked Ciscomani for his support of DACA, and due to this consistent and efficient attack Engel narrowly won.
==== 7th district ====
Incumbent Raúl Grijalva (D) easily won re-election.
==== 8th district ====
Incumbent Debbie Lesko (R) was re-elected unopposed.
==== 9th district ====
Incumbent Paul Gosar (R) was re-elected unopposed.
=== Arkansas ===
==== 1st district ====
Incumbent Rick Crawford (R) easily won re-election.
==== 2nd district ====
Incumbent French Hill (R) heavily outperformed the district's partisanship to easily win re-election.
==== 3rd district ====
Incumbent Steve Womack switched to the Populist Party after the new chair of the House Republican Conference, Elise Stefanik, said on a hot mic that Womak was not welcome in the caucus due to him voting to establish a January 6 commission. Steve Womack's 2010 primary challenger, Cecile Bledsoe, ran for the Republican nomination. The Democrats refused to run a candidate against Womack and effectively supported him. Mike Gallagher, the leader of the Populist Party Congressional Committee, was caught saying this on a hot mic: 
"According to some research done by the PPCC, Cecile Bledsoe was one of the primary sponsors of Act 273, which increased the number of signatures required to be listed on the ballot from one thousand to five thousand. This is a heavy restriction on third parties and is done by the GOP to suppress opposition. Therefore, all third parties, regardless of ideology should help Steve Womack, leading to a genuinely competitive race in the state of Arkansas. "
Womack was supported by many third parties - the American Solidarity Party, the Reform Party, the Citizens party, the Forward Party, the Unity Party and the Alliance Party. Womack was also supported by the Independent Voter Project (IVP).
On October 18, 2022, local news was filming a large traffic accident in Springdale, and Bledsoe's car was very close to the accident and was injured. However, the road had seen a similar traffic accident about a month before, although it was much more minor. At a debate three days later, Womack brought up the accident, saying in a memorable moment: "Cecile Bledsoe didn't even know about a car accident in Springdale in the same place where she drove three days ago. If she is so reckless with driving her own car, how can she represent us in Congress? " Bledsoe failed to respond. The attack was further amplified when the PPCC used it in a radio and news ad across the district. 
Womack very narrowly won the election by 334 votes, 
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