114th Adorian Election

←113th - 6 February 2024 - 115th→
==Electoral System==
Further information: AES explanatory doc, PMA explanatory doc
The National Assembly elects all of her 85 seats in a Simulated and Popular Vote hybrid in which the election schedule uses a 4:1 ratio of AES to Popular Vote. This election will use AES with the next 1 also using AES.
The main component of the AES is the popular vote which comprises 40% or more while the other 60% or less is simulated based on other factors such as propaganda, party activity, Party member notability, bills proposed, etc composing the rest of the electorate. At the very most AES accounts for 60% of seats which serves as a bonus system for activity but if these AES seats were not earned due to inactivity throughout the term then they are reimbursed to be popular vote seats. The AES is overseen by Matthew V. Independent Candidates function outside of the AES and only require 1/85th (1.18%) of the Popular Vote.
==Background==
=== One-day centre-left minority government ===
Soon after the results of the 113 election were published, a political deadlock arose: the Conservative Party of Adoria, which won by a large margin, could not form a right-wing majority in the Assembly. 
On the evening of 22 January 2024, the leaders of the Social Democratic Party, the Green Liberal Party and the Adorian Pirate Party made a surprise announcement of their intention to form a centre-left minority coalition led by Kristian Gyldenløve. The minority government initially had only 32 seats, 11 seats short of the 43 seats required for a majority. It was one of the smallest ruling coalitions in Adorian history.https://discord.com/channels/777243295684100156/1124544552129277972/1199075805536473108
The Adorian Red Front soon joined the minority coalition, its leader Platel was appointed minister without portfolio. New Vision refused to join the coalition, citing the lack of "a clear mandate," and accusing the coalition members of "[ignoring] the election results." It was also suggested that support for the minority government could come from Movimento Otto Sentiere. The center-right Democratic People's Party was also invited to provide support to the government.https://discord.com/channels/777243295684100156/1124544552129277972/1199083487966277743
=== Establishment of the centre-right government ===
On 23 January 2024, a center-right majority government led by Lucius Vorenus was submitted to President Tomi. The CPA was able to assemble a fragile coalition with exactly one seat more than half the seats in the Assembly (with the support of an independent, F). Members of the right-of-center government included the CPA, DPP, Libertarian Party of Adoria and Adorian Republican Party. The DPP leader, Costanzo Da Costa, becameDeputy Prime Minister of Adoria.https://discord.com/channels/777243295684100156/788628286649008129/1199370286064210001
=== Government actions ===
At the end of January, the 113th budget, created by LPA leader Soy Trap, was adopted. He himself called this budget “the most libertarian in the history of Adoria.” The adoption of the budget in the Assembly caused difficulties, as 40 people voted for the budget and 40 against it. Vice President SomeRandomGuy exercised his casting vote and voted to accept the budget, thereby breaking the tie.https://discord.com/channels/777243295684100156/1124544552129277972/1201634747240165386
The opposition heavily criticized the budget, with Alice Roosevelt, the newly elected leader of the Social Democratic Party (SDP), expressing concerns to a République Reporter about the potential impact on the average Adorian. She argued that the budget's cuts to education and the welfare state could have severe consequences for both the nation's future and its economic health. The SDP further condemned the Vice President's role, labelling the decision to break the tie as “shameful” & undemocratic- warning of potential long-term repercussions that this budget will have. 
Soon after the adoption of the budget, there were rumors that the SDP was preparing a vote of no confidence in the government due to its weakness and the adoption of a controversial budget.https://discord.com/channels/777243295684100156/1124544552129277972/1201636801639632956
The government coalition soon suffered its first major defeat in the Assembly: the decision to ratify Sweden's membership in NATO was supported by a majority of the voting members of the Assembly, mainly SDP, GLP and NV. The government (as well as some of the opposition represented by the ARF) opposed ratification. The joint vote by the ARF and LPA, sparked criticism of the latter, as the LPA usually publicly speaks about the “danger of the red menace.”https://discord.com/channels/777243295684100156/1124544552129277972/1202633855945670746
=== Ecuador hostage crisis ===
On 25 January 2024, it became known that a group of 66 Adorian students and teachers studying the local flora and fauna of Ecuador were captured by local cartel militants, who took them to an unknown location and demanded a ransom from the Adorian government. To complicate the situation, there was no Adoria embassy in Ecuador.https://discord.com/channels/777243295684100156/788244202701586462/1200102548086984774
On January 30, the Adoria government, represented by Defense Minister Auber, conducted a secret military operation codenamed Mountain Guardian. After receiving the green light from the Ecuadorian government, Adorian ground and air forces moved to the building where local police discovered the hostages. The cartel members were quickly caught off guard and consequently were unable to provide any meaningful defense, as the few who resisted were easily eliminated by the superior professional military forces.https://discord.com/channels/777243295684100156/788244202701586462/1201705997551550464
The vast majority of poorly equipped criminals chose to surrender at the sight of military helicopters and airplanes. Of the approximately 42 cartel members present in the area, four were killed, six fled the area, and 32 were captured and handed over to Ecuadorian police. Although the plan was risky due to its violent nature, the plan was considered a success with all 66 hostages rescued and taken out of Ecuador.
=== Coalition collapse ===
On 4 February 2024, Prime Minister Vorenus announced the Executive Order entitled "Reforms to Rules and Regulations Governing Education." The Executive Order sought to promote traditional values and roles within schools and saw widespread condemnation from parties across the political spectrum. The Democratic People's Party promptly proposed a bill to repeal the Executive Order, which was then passed with overwhelming support.
On the evening of 5 February 2024, the day before the elections, the Democratic People's Party and the Libertarian Party of Adoria announced that, in opposition to the Executive Order of the previous day, they had decided to withdraw from the coalition and join the opposition for the remainder of the assembly term. Ministers from the DPP and LPA, including Deputy Prime Minister Costanzo Da Costa, subsequently resigned with immediate effect. CPA co-leader CobraVortex was appointed Deputy Prime Minister for the remainder of the government's short term.https://discord.com/channels/777243295684100156/1124544552129277972/1204169140894441482
After the DPP and LPA left the government, the opposition decided to hold a vote of no confidence, but the VONC was rejected by Matthew V before the vote due to the fact that the Assembly's term was coming to an end.
==Opinion polls and predictions==
Fieldworkdate	Pollingfirm 	Samplesize	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	Lead
Fieldworkdate	Pollingfirm 	Samplesize	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	Lead
18 Jan 2024 	Previous election result	145 	3 	— 	2 	4 	23 	3 	1	6 	6 	2 	32 	3 	9
2 Feb 2024 	Econ. Daily 	 	RV	7 	RV	2 	11 	4 	—	15 	17 	18 	13 	0 	1
4 Feb 2024 	SCT 	 	RV	3-4	RV	1-2	22-24	1-2	—	15-16	12-14	8-9	15-17	1-2	5-9
4-6 Feb 2024 	GNN 	24 	RV	15 	RV	3 	21 	3 	1	10 	11 	5 	13 	3 	6
6 Feb 2024 	Final result 	169 	RV	7 	RV	0 	11 	2 	2	21 	16 	12 	14 	0 	5
==Results==
Party 	Party	Party 	Leader 	Seats %	+/-	Seats 	+/- 	Coalition
 	GLP 	Green Liberal Party 	Noot & Gojo 	24.71% 	 	Government	 	
 	DPP 	Democratic People's Party 	Costanzo 	18.82% 	 	Government	 	
 	CPA 	Conservative Party of Adoria	Lucius & Cobra 	16.47% 	 	 	 	
 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	
Opposition	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	
 	LPA 	Libertarian Party of Adoria 	Soy Trap 	14.12% 	 	Opposition	 	
 	SDP 	Social Democratic Party 	Alice & SoleSol	12.94% 	 	 	 	
 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	
Opposition	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	
 	RV 	Red Vision 	Gillman 	8.24% 	 	Government	 	
 	APP 	Adorian Pirate Party 	Lux & Hyort 	2.35% 	 	 	 	
 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	
Opposition	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	
 	M8S 	Movimento Otto Sentiere 	Otto & Baron 	0.00% 	 	 	 	
 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	
Extraparl.	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	
 	ARP 	Adorian Republican Party 	Sethyy 	0.00% 	 	 	 	
 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	
Extraparl.	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	
 	IND 	Independent 	Olivia 	1.18% 	NEW	 	Opposition	
 	IND 	Independent 	Flurcie 	1.18% 	NEW	 	Government	
==Aftermath==
==See Also==
*1113th Adorian Election
*115th Adorian Election
*51st Adorian Presidential Election
*Voter Turnout
==References==
Category:General elections