Bayesian analysis of neutrinos observed from supernova SN-1987A
We present a Bayesian analysis of the energies and arrival times of the neutrinos from supernova SN 1987A detected by the Kamiokande II, IMB, and Baksan detectors, and find strong evidence for two components in the neutrino signal: a long time scale component from thermal Kelvin-Helmholtz cooling of the nascent neutron star, and a brief $(\ensuremath{\sim}1 \mathrm{s}),$ softer component similar to that expected from emission by accreting material in the delayed supernova scenario. In the context of this model, we show that the data constrain the electron antineutrino rest mass to be less than 5.7 eV with 95% probability. Our analysis takes advantage of significant advances that have occurred in the years since the detections in both our understanding of the supernova mechanism and our ability to analyze sparse data. This has led to significant improvement over previous studies in two important respects. First, our comparison of the data with parametrized models of the neutrino emission uses a consistent and straightforward Bayesian statistical methodology. This methodology helps us distinguish the complementary tasks of parameter estimation and model assessment, and fully accounts for the strong, nonlinear correlations between inferred values of neutrino emission model parameters. It also clarifies and improves the derivation of the likelihood function (the probability for the data), improving on earlier derivations in two ways: more consistent accounting for the energy-dependent efficiencies of the detectors; and inclusion of the empirically measured detector background spectra. These improvements lead to significant differences between our inferences and those found in earlier studies. Inclusion of detector background spectra proves crucial for proper analysis of the Baksan data and for demonstrating its consistency with data from other detectors. Second, we compare the data with a much wider variety of neutrino emission models than was explored previously, several of them inspired by recent numerical calculations of collapse and explosion based on the delayed supernova mechanism. This allows us to compare predictions of both the prompt and delayed mechanisms with the data, and ensures that our conclusions are robust. We find that two-component models for the neutrino signal are $\ensuremath{\sim}100$ times more probable than single-component models. Moreover, single-component models imply a radius and binding energy for the nascent neutron star significantly larger than those implied by even the stiffest acceptable equations of state for neutron star matter. In contrast, the radius and binding energy implied by two-component models are in agreement with predictions. Taking this agreement with prior expectations into account increases the odds in favor of two-component models by more than an order of magnitude. The inferred characteristics of the neutrino emission are in spectacular agreement with the salient features of the theory of stellar collapse and neutron star formation that had developed over several decades in the absence of direct observational data. We compare our work with previous work that used more conventional ``frequentist'' methods (including our own previous maximum likelihood analysis). We identify several methodological and technical weaknesses in earlier analyses, and show how these are overcome in our Bayesian analysis.

title: Likelihood methods and classical burster repetition
abstract: We develop a likelihood methodology which can be used to search for evidence of burst repetition in the BATSE catalog, and to study the properties of the repetition signal. We use a simplified model of burst repetition in which a number Nr of sources which repeat a fixed number of times Nrep are superposed upon a number Nnr of non‐repeating sources. The instrument exposure is explicitly taken into account. By computing the likelihood for the data, we construct a probability distribution in parameter space that may be used to infer the probability that a repetition signal is present, and to estimate the values of the repetition parameters. The likelihood function contains contributions from all the bursts, irrespective of the size of their positional errors—the more uncertain a burst’s position is, the less constraining is its contribution. Thus this approach makes maximal use of the data, and avoids the ambiguities of sample selection associated with data cuts on error circle size. We present the results ...

title: Evidence for reionization at z ∼ 6: Detection of a gunn-peterson trough in a z = 6.28 quasar
abstract: We present moderate-resolution Keck spectroscopy of quasars at z = 5.82, 5.99, and 6.28, discovered by the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS). We find that the Ly? absorption in the spectra of these quasars evolves strongly with redshift. To z ~ 5.7, the Ly? absorption evolves as expected from an extrapolation from lower redshifts. However, in the highest-redshift object, SDSSp J103027.10+052455.0 (z = 6.28), the average transmitted flux is 0.0038 ? 0.0026 times that of the continuum level over 8450 ? 20, on the optical depth to Ly? absorption at z = 6. This is a clear detection of a complete Gunn-Peterson trough, caused by neutral hydrogen in the intergalactic medium. Even a small neutral hydrogen fraction in the intergalactic medium would result in an undetectable flux in the Ly? forest region. Therefore, the existence of the Gunn-Peterson trough by itself does not indicate that the quasar is observed prior to the reionization epoch. However, the fast evolution of the mean absorption in these high-redshift quasars suggests that the mean ionizing background along the line of sight to this quasar has declined significantly from z ~ 5 to 6, and the universe is approaching the reionization epoch at z ~ 6.

title: High-energy observations of XRF 030723: Evidence for an off-axis gamma-ray burst?
abstract: We report High Energy Transient Explorer 2 (HETE-2) Wide Field X-ray Monitor (WXM) and French Gamma Telescope observations of XRF 030723 along with observations of the XRF afterglow made using the 6.5 m Magellan Clay telescope and Chandra. The observed peak energy E of the νFν burst spectrum is found to lie within (or below) the WXM 2-25 keV passband at 98.5% confidence, and no counts are detected above 30 keV. Our best-fit value is E = 8.4 keV. The ratio of X-ray to γ-ray flux for the burst follows a correlation found for GRBs observed with HETE-2, and the duration of the burst is similar to that typical of long-duration GRBs. If we require that the burst isotropic equivalent energy Eiso and Epk satisfy the relation discovered by Amati et al. (2002), a redshift of z = 0.38 can be determined, in agreement with constraints determined from optical observations. We are able to fit the X-ray afterglow spectrum and to measure its temporal fade. Although the best-fit fade is shallower than the concurrent fade in the optical, the spectral similarity between the two bands indicates that the X-ray fade may actually trace the optical fade. If this is the case, the late-time rebrightening observed in the optical cannot be due to a supernova bump. We interpret the prompt and afterglow X-ray emission as arising from a jetted GRB observed off-axis and possibly viewed through a complex circumburst medium that is due to a progenitor wind.

title: The Extinction toward the GRB 970228 Field
abstract: We determine the local Galactic extinction toward the field of gamma-ray burst GRB 970228 using a variety of methods. We develop a maximum-likelihood method for measuring the extinction that compares galaxy counts in different bands in the field of interest to those in a field of known extinction, and we apply this method to the GRB 970228 field. We also measure the extinction by comparing the observed broadband colors of stars in the GRB 970228 field to the colors of library spectra of the same spectral type. Finally, we estimate the extinction using the neutral hydrogen column density and the amount of infrared dust emission toward this field. Combining the results of these methods, we find a best-fit Galactic extinction in the optical of AV = 1.09, which implies that the intrinsic afterglow of GRB 970228 is significantly brighter and bluer than it appears.

title: Evidence that gamma-ray bursts repeat and are Galactic in origin
abstract: We describe work which has provided evidence that there are two distinct classes of γ-ray bursts, that the bursts repeat, and that they are Galactic in origin.

title: Measurement of dijet electroproduction at small jet separation
abstract: Deep-inelastic scattering data in the range 150 < Q^2 < 35000 GeV^2 are used to investigate the minimum jet separation necessary to allow accurate description of the rate of dijet production using next-to-leading order perturbative QCD calculations. The required jet separation is found to be small, allowing about 1/3 of DIS data to be classified as dijet, as opposed to approximately 1/10 with more typical jet analyses. A number of precision measurements made using this dijet sample are well described by the calculations. The data are also described by the combination of leading order matrix elements and parton showers, as implemented in the QCD based Monte Carlo model RAPGAP.

title: Investigation of power corrections to event shape variables measured in deep-inelastic scattering
abstract: As the high abstention rate during the last european election shows, it seems that a large part of the european population is rather sceptical towards the european integration process. One ascribe this "euroscepticism" to the European Union communication. Our paper aims to evaluate this hypothesis which is not as obvious as it seems first. To do so we have evaluated the communication policy which as been set up by the European Commission (before the Romano Prodi Presidence) to conclude that the lack of a real european public sphere is probably a better explanation of this phenomenon.

title: On the rise of the proton structure function F2 towards Low x
abstract: A measurement of the derivative ( ∂ ln F 2 / ∂ ln x ) Q 2 ≡− λ ( x , Q 2 ) of the proton structure function F 2 is presented in the low x domain of deeply inelastic positron–proton scattering. For 5×10 −5 ⩽ x ⩽0.01 and Q 2 ⩾1.5 GeV 2 , λ ( x , Q 2 ) is found to be independent of  x and to increase linearly with ln Q 2 .

title: Inelastic photoproduction of J/psi mesons at HERA
abstract: An analysis of inelastic photoproduction of \(J/\psi\) mesons is presented using data collected at the ep collider HERA corresponding to an integrated luminosity of above 80 pb-1. Differential and double differential cross sections are measured in a wide kinematic region: \(60 < W_{\gamma p} < 260\) GeV,\(1 < p_{t, \psi}^2 < 60 {\rm GeV}^2\) and 0.05<z<0.9, where z is the fraction of the energy of the exchanged photon transferred to the \(J/\psi\) meson in the rest frame of the target proton. Cross sections at \(z\lesssim 0.3\) are presented for the first time. Theoretical calculations within the Colour Singlet Model at NLO for direct photon processes are shown to give a good description of the data in the medium z region (0.3<z<0.9) up to the highest \(p_{t, \psi}^2\) values. A calculation using a kt factorisation approach in LO in the Colour Singlet Model is also able to describe these data. The data in the full z range are also compared to LO calculations within a non-relativistic QCD framework including colour octet and colour singlet contributions for direct and resolved photons. It seems possible to reconcile data and theory with modest contributions from colour octet processes. The polarisation of the \(J/\psi\) meson is measured as a function of z and \(p_{t, \psi}\) and is reasonably described by the theoretical predictions.

title: Search for leptoquark bosons in ep collisions at HERA
abstract: A search for scalar and vector leptoquarks coupling to first generation fermions is performed using the e(+) p and e(-) p scattering data collected by the H1 experiment between 1994 and 2000. The data correspond to a total integrated luminosity of 117 pb(-1). No evidence for the direct or indirect production of such particles is found in data samples with a large transverse momentum final state electron or with large missing transverse momentum. Constraints on leptoquark models are established. For leptoquark couplings of electromagnetic strength, leptoquarks with masses up to 275-325 GeV are ruled out at 95% confidence level. These limits improve and supercede earlier H1 limits based on subsamples of the data used here.