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Navigation Path : Home &gt; The European Central Bank &gt; Legal framework &gt; All ECB opinions &gt; CON / 2008/19
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Proposal for a regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council adapting a number of instruments subject to the procedure referred to in Article 251 of the Treaty to Council Decision 1999/468 / EC , as amended by Decision 2006/512 / EC , with regard to the regulatory procedure with scrutiny ( COM ( 2007 ) 741 ) , pdf 391 kB , en
Predlog uredbe Evropskega parlamenta in Sveta o prilagoditvi nekaterih aktov , za katere se uporablja postopek iz člena 251 Pogodbe , Sklepu Sveta 1999/468 / ES , kakor je bil spremenjen s Sklepom 2006/512 / ES , glede regulativnega postopka s pregledom ( COM ( 2007 ) 741 ) , pdf 409 kB , sl
Proposal for a regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council adapting a number of instruments subject to the procedure referred to in Article 251 of the Treaty to Council Decision 1999/468 / EC , as amended by Decision 2006/512 / EC , with regard to the regulatory procedure with scrutiny ( COM ( 2008 ) 71 ) , pdf 394 kB , en
Predlog uredbe Evropskega parlamenta in Sveta o prilagoditvi nekaterih aktov , za katere se uporablja postopek iz člena 251 Pogodbe , Sklepu Sveta 1999/468 / ES , kakor je bil spremenjen s Sklepom 2006/512 / ES , glede regulativnega postopka s pregledom ( COM ( 2008 ) 71 ) , pdf 418 kB , sl
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EDITORIAL 8 December 2005 - Monthly Bulletin
8 . december 2005 - Mesečni bilten
At its meeting on 1 December 2005 , the Governing Council of the ECB decided to increase the minimum bid rate on the main refinancing operations of the Eurosystem by 25 basis points to 2.25% .
Svet ECB je na seji 1 . decembra 2005 sklenil , da poviša izklicno obrestno mero za operacije glavnega refinanciranja Eurosistema za 25 bazičnih točk na 2,25% .
The interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility were also increased by 25 basis points to 3.25% and 1.25% respectively .
Prav tako je za 25 bazičnih točk povišal obrestno mero za odprto ponudbo mejnega posojanja in odprto ponudbo deponiranja likvidnosti čez noč , ki sedaj znašata 3,25% oziroma 1,25% .
In line with the changes in the ECB 's monetary policy framework in March 2004 , these decisions came into effect at the start of the new reserve maintenance period on 6 December .
V skladu s spremembami okvira denarne politike ECB , ki so bile sprejete marca 2004 , so ti sklepi začeli veljati z začetkom novega obdobja izpolnjevanja obveznih rezerv ( 6 .
On the basis of its regular economic and monetary analyses , the Governing Council decided to increase the key ECB interest rates by 25 basis points after two and a half years of maintaining rates at historically low levels .
decembra 2005 ) . Na podlagi redne ekonomske in denarne analize je Svet ECB sklenil , da poviša ključne obrestne ECB za 25 bazičnih točk , potem ko je obrestne mere dve leti in pol ohranjal na zgodovinsko nizkih ravneh .
The decision to increase interest rates was warranted so as to adjust the accommodative stance of the ECB 's monetary policy and thus take into account the risks to price stability identified in the economic analysis and confirmed by cross-checking with the monetary analysis .
Svet je sprejel odločitev za povišanje obrestnih mer zato , da prilagodi spodbujevalno denarno politiko ECB in tako upošteva tveganja za ohranitev stabilnosti cen , ki jih je razkrila ekonomska analiza in z navzkrižnim preverjanjem potrdila tudi denarna analiza .
The Governing Council 's decision will contribute to keeping medium to long-term inflation expectations in the euro area solidly anchored at levels consistent with price stability .
Odločitev Sveta ECB bo prispevala k temu , da ostanejo srednjeročna in dolgoročna inflacijska pričakovanja v euroobmočju zanesljivo zasidrana na ravni , ki je skladna s stabilnostjo cen .
Such anchoring of inflation expectations is a prerequisite for monetary policy to make an ongoing contribution towards supporting economic growth in the euro area .
Zasidranje inflacijskih pričakovanj je temeljni pogoj , da lahko denarna politika še naprej prispeva k spodbujanju gospodarske rasti v euroobmočju .
In fact , interest rates across the entire maturity spectrum continue to remain very low in both nominal and real terms .
Obrestne mere so v celotnem razponu ročnosti nominalno in realno še vedno na zelo nizki ravni .
Thus , the monetary policy of the ECB remains accommodative and continues to lend considerable support to sustainable economic activity and job creation .
Denarna politika ECB je tako še vedno spodbujevalna in v precejšnji meri podpira trajno gospodarsko rast in ustvarjanje delovnih mest .
The Governing Council will continue to monitor closely all developments with respect to risks to price stability .
Svet ECB bo tudi v prihodnje pozorno spremljal vsa gibanja , povezana s tveganji za ohranitev stabilnosti cen .
Starting with the economic analysis underlying the Governing Council 's assessment , recent data and survey evidence indicate that economic activity has strengthened in the second half of this year .
Najnovejši podatki in anketni kazalniki iz ekonomske analize , na kateri temelji ocena Sveta ECB , kažejo , da se je gospodarska aktivnost v drugi polovici letošnjega leta okrepila .
According to Eurostat 's first estimate , real GDP growth was 0.6% quarter on quarter in the third quarter of 2005 , after 0.3% in the first and 0.4% in the second quarter .
Po Eurostatovi prvi oceni se je BDP v tretjem četrtletju leta 2005 glede na prejšnje četrtletje realno povečal za 0,6% , potem ko je bila rast 0,3% v prvem in 0,4% v drugem četrtletju .
Moreover , the information on business confidence broadly remains consistent with continued economic growth towards the end of the year .
Poleg tega podatki o zaupanju podjetij še naprej kažejo na nadaljevanje gospodarske rasti do konca leta .
Looking ahead , on the external side , ongoing growth in global demand should support euro area exports , while on the domestic side , investment should benefit from continued favourable financing conditions and the robust growth of corporate earnings .
V prihodnjem obdobju naj bi med zunanjimi dejavniki naraščajoče svetovno povpraševanje spodbujalo izvoz euroobmočja , med domačimi dejavniki pa naj bi nespremenjeni ugodni pogoji financiranja in vztrajna rast dobičkov podjetij pozitivno vplivali na naložbe .
Private consumption should grow broadly in line with expected developments in real disposable income .
Zasebna potrošnja naj bi se povečevala bolj ali manj skladno s pričakovanim gibanjem realnega razpoložljivega dohodka .
At the same time , the outlook for economic activity remains subject to downward risks , relating mainly to higher than expected oil prices , concerns about global imbalances and weak consumer confidence .
Kljub temu so obeti za gospodarsko rast tudi v prihodnje pod vplivom negativnih tveganj , ki so povezana predvsem z višjimi cenami nafte od pričakovanih , svetovnimi neravnovesji in šibkim zaupanjem potrošnikov .
This assessment is broadly consistent with the December 2005 Eurosystem staff projections .
Te ocene so večinoma skladne z decembrskimi projekcijami strokovnjakov Eurosistema .
Euro area real GDP is projected to grow at rates of between 1.2% and 1.6% in 2005 , and between 1.4% and 2.4% in 2006 and 2007 .
Po napovedih se bo rast realnega BDP v euroobmočju v letu 2005 gibala med 1,2% in 1,6% , v letih 2006 in 2007 pa med 1,4% in 2,4% .
Most recent forecasts by international organisations give a similar picture .
Najnovejše napovedi mednarodnih organizacij dajejo podobno sliko .
In comparison with the September 2005 ECB staff projections , the ranges projected for real GDP growth in 2005 and 2006 have been revised slightly upwards .
V primerjavi z letošnjimi septembrskimi projekcijami strokovnjakov ECB so bili razponi napovedane rasti realnega BDP za leto 2005 in 2006 nekoliko popravljeni navzgor .
Turning to price developments , recent increases -- mainly in energy prices -- have lifted headline inflation rates to levels significantly in excess of 2 %.
Na področju cenovnih gibanj je nedavno povečanje cen , predvsem cen energije , skupno inflacijo potisnilo na raven , ki znatno presega 2 %.
According to Eurostat 's flash estimate , annual HICP inflation was 2.4% in November 2005 , compared with 2.6% and 2.5% in the two preceding months .
Po prvi oceni Eurostata je novembra 2005 medletna inflacija , merjena z indeksom HICP , znašala 2,4 odstotka , potem ko je bila septembra 2,6 - odstotna in oktobra 2,5 - odstotna .
It is likely that annual HICP inflation rates will remain elevated in the short term . In interpreting current inflation rates , it is important to make a clear distinction between temporary , short-term factors , on the one hand , and factors of a more lasting nature , on the other .
Medletne stopnje inflacije , merjene z indeksom HICP , bodo kratkoročno verjetno ostale na višji ravni . Pri analizi sedanjih stopenj inflacije je treba jasno razlikovati med začasnimi in kratkoročnimi dejavniki ter dejavniki trajnejšega značaja .
In that respect , it is of crucial importance to take a strictly forward-looking perspective , which does not allow much comfort to be drawn from the current , comparatively lower rates for measures of inflation that exclude certain components , such as energy or certain categories of food .
Pogled s te perspektive pa ne dopušča , da bi se zadovoljili s trenutno dokaj nizkimi stopnjami inflacije , če upoštevamo merila , ki izločajo nekatere elemente , kot so energija in posamezne skupine hrane .
Such measures of « core » inflation have , at least in the past , been shown to lag behind , rather than lead , the developments in headline inflation .
Pri merilih osnovne inflacije se je vsaj v preteklosti izkazalo , da ta prej zaostaja za gibanji skupne inflacije , kot da bi jih napovedovala .
In addition , the increase in energy prices to a large extent reflects higher global demand for energy .
Poleg tega rast cen energije v precejšnji meri kaže na povišano svetovno povpraševanje po energiji .
While it is difficult to quantify precisely this effect , it would appear inappropriate to exclude energy from the price index and at the same time retain other items , such as internationally traded manufactured goods .
Čeprav je ta dejavnik težko natančno številčno opredeliti , iz indeksa najbrž ne bi smeli izključiti komponent energije in hkrati obdržati druge elemente , kot npr .
Owing to the same forces of globalisation , these goods currently exhibit little upward movement in prices and even suggest a downward trend .
industrijsko blago , s katerim se trguje v mednarodni menjavi . Zaradi istih globalizacijskih trendov cene teh proizvodov rastejo počasi ali pa se celo znižujejo .
All in all , in line with the monetary policy strategy of the ECB , a comprehensive and forward-looking analysis of the main underlying developments driving the outlook for price stability is warranted .
Gledano v celoti , je skladno s strategijo denarne politike ECB potrebna celovita in v prihodnost usmerjena analiza glavnih gibanj , ki vplivajo na prihodnje možnosti za cenovno stabilnost .
This comprehensive assessment encompasses the information contained in various measures of inflation .
Ta celovita ocena upošteva tudi informacije , ki jih dajejo različna merila inflacije .
An important input into the Governing Council 's analysis is provided by the Eurosystem staff projections .
Pomemben prispevek k analizi Sveta ECB predstavljajo tudi projekcije strokovnjakov Eurosistema .
The projections indicate average HICP inflation to lie between 2.1% and 2.3% in 2005 , and between 1.6% and 2.6% in 2006 .
Po teh napovedih se bo povprečna medletna inflacija , merjena z indeksom HICP , gibala med 2,1% in 2,3% v letu 2005 ter med 1,6% in 2,6% v letu 2006 .
These results constitute an upward revision to the ECB staff projections of September 2005 .
V primerjavi s projekcijami strokovnjakov ECB , ki so bile objavljene septembra 2005 , so te napovedi višje .
They mainly reflect the fact that the effects of the statistical treatment of the 2006 health reform in the Netherlands are no longer expected to distort the inflation figures for 2006 .
To je predvsem posledica dejstva , da statistična obravnava načrtovane zdravstvene reforme na Nizozemskem leta 2006 predvidoma ne bo več vplivala na podatke o inflaciji za leto 2006 .
For 2007 an average inflation rate of between 1.4% and 2.6% is projected .
V letu 2007 se bo povprečna stopnja inflacije po napovedih gibala med 1,4% in 2,6% .
Underlying these projections is the assumption that wage increases will remain contained , as has been the case over recent quarters .
Te projekcije temeljijo na predpostavki , da bo rast plač ostala zmerna , podobno kot v zadnjih nekaj četrtletjih .
Most recent forecasts by international organisations give a broadly similar picture .
Najnovejše napovedi mednarodnih organizacij predvidevajo podobna gibanja .
In the view of the Governing Council , the main scenario for price stability emerging from the economic analysis remains subject to upside risks .
Svet ECB meni , da je osnovni scenarij glede stabilnosti cen , ki izhaja iz ekonomske analize , še vedno pod vplivom inflacijskih tveganj .
Such risks relate to uncertainties arising from oil market developments , the pass-through of previous oil price increases to consumers via the domestic production chain , the possibility of second-round effects in wage and price-setting behaviour , as well as further increases in administered prices and indirect taxes .
Ta tveganja so povezana z negotovostjo na trgu nafte , prenosom dosedanjih rasti cen na potrošnike prek domače proizvodne verige , možnostjo nastanka sekundarnih učinkov prek oblikovanja plač in cen ter z nadaljnjim povišanjem nadzorovanih cen in posrednih davkov .
Evidence pointing to increased upside risks to price stability over the medium to longer term comes from the monetary analysis .
Denarna analiza kaže , da je stabilnost cen v srednjeročnem in dolgoročnem obdobju pod vplivom povečanega tveganja inflacijskih pritiskov .
Liquidity in the euro area is ample by all plausible measures .
Obseg likvidnosti v euroobmočju je po vseh merilih velik .
The strengthening of monetary growth observed since mid-2004 has gained further momentum over the past months .
Rast denarja , ki se krepi že od sredine leta 2004 , pa je v zadnjih mesecih dobila še dodaten zagon .
Furthermore , the growth of borrowing -- especially mortgage loans -- remains very robust .
Poleg tega je rast zadolževanja še vedno močna , kar še zlasti velja za hipotekarna posojila .
In this context , price dynamics in a number of housing markets need to be monitored closely .
To pomeni , da je treba pozorno spremljati gibanja cen na številnih stanovanjskih trgih .
To sum up , increased risks to price stability identified by the economic analysis have been confirmed by cross-checking with the monetary analysis .
Če povzamemo , povečana tveganja za cenovno stabilnost , ki jih je razkrila ekonomska analiza , je z navzkrižnim preverjanjem potrdila tudi denarna analiza .
An adjustment of the ECB 's monetary policy stance was therefore warranted .
Prilagoditev stanja denarne politike ECB je bila tako potrebna .
The decision of 1 December will contribute to keeping medium and long-term inflation expectations in line with price stability .
Odločitev , sprejeta 1 . decembra , bo prispevala k ohranjanju srednjeročnih in dolgoročnih inflacijskih pričakovanj na ravni , ki je skladna s cenovno stabilnostjo .
Keeping inflation expectations firmly anchored at levels consistent with price stability will permit monetary policy to continue to make a significant contribution towards a sustainable recovery in economic growth and job creation in the euro area .
S trdnim zasidranjem inflacijskih pričakovanj na ravni , ki je skladna s cenovno stabilnostjo , bo lahko denarna politika še naprej znatno prispevala k trajnemu okrevanju gospodarske rasti in ustvarjanju delovnih mest v euroobmočju .
To this end , the Governing Council will continue to monitor closely all developments relevant to the medium-term outlook for price stability .
Svet ECB bo tako tudi v prihodnje pozorno spremljal vsa dogajanja , ki lahko vplivajo na srednjeročne obete za stabilnost cen .
As regards fiscal policies , euro area countries are now finalising their 2006 budgets and stability programmes .
Na področju javnofinančnih politik države euroobmočja oblikujejo končne proračune za leto 2006 in programe za stabilnost .
Plans in some countries to foster sound public finances and to undertake fiscal reforms that boost economic growth and prepare for the challenges related to population ageing are welcome .
Načrti nekaterih držav za spodbujanje vzdržnih javnih financ in izvajanje fiskalnih reform , ki podpirajo gospodarsko rast in državo pripravljajo na izzive v zvezi s staranjem prebivalstva , so dobrodošli .
However , in countries with fiscal imbalances , the speed of consolidation is disappointingly slow and there is a high risk that commitments are not being met .
V državah z javnofinančnimi neravnovesji pa je konsolidacija prepočasna in je izpostavljena precejšnjemu tveganju , da zastavljene obveznosti ne bodo izpolnjene .
It is , therefore , essential that fiscal consolidation is prioritised again as part of a comprehensive and growth-friendly reform programme .
Zato je nujno , da se javnofinančna konsolidacija kot del celovitega programa reform za rast spet uvrsti med prednostne naloge .
This would build confidence in the proper functioning of the Stability and Growth Pact and be the best way in which fiscal policies in the euro area can underpin economic growth .
To bi okrepilo zaupanje v dobro delovanje Pakta za stabilnost in rast ter bi bil najboljši način , s katerim lahko fiskalne politike v euroobmočju podpirajo gospodarsko rast .
With respect to structural reforms , the Governing Council welcomed the 2005-2008 Lisbon National Reform Programmes that were submitted by EU Member States in October and November 2005 , in line with the renewed Lisbon Strategy .
Glede strukturnih reform Svet ECB pozdravlja nacionalne programe reform za izvajanje Lizbonske strategije v obdobju 2005 -- 2008 , ki so jih države članice predložile oktobra in novembra 2005 v skladu s prenovljeno Lizbonsko strategijo .
These programmes present key country-specific challenges and structural reform measures to increase growth and employment .
Ti programi predstavljajo ključne izzive in ukrepe strukturnih reform , ki jih mora posamezna država sprejeti za povečanje rasti in zaposlenosti .
A parallel Community Lisbon Programme was adopted by the Commission in July 2005 to complement the national programmes with actions to be taken at the European level .
Komisija je julija 2005 sprejela vzporeden Lizbonski program Skupnosti , ki nacionalne programe dopolnjuje z ukrepi , ki jih je treba sprejeti na evropski ravni .
Taken together , the programmes show a welcome political commitment on the part of the Member States and the Community , which could give renewed impetus to the implementation of structural reforms .
Vsi programi skupaj so dobrodošla politična zaveza držav članic in Skupnosti , ki naj omogoči nov zagon pri izvajanju strukturnih reform .
To this end , it is important to match ambitious objectives with concrete policy measures and take new reform initiatives , and to monitor , evaluate and communicate the reform process effectively .
Za uresničitev tega je treba visoke cilje uskladiti s konkretnimi ukrepi politik , sprejeti nove reformske pobude ter učinkovito spremljati , ocenjevati in poročati o poteku reform .
Achieving the goals of the Lisbon Strategy is critical in the face of the triple challenge of accelerating globalisation , rapid technological change and ageing populations .
Doseganje ciljev Lizbonske strategije je odločilno za spopad z izzivi na treh ključnih področjih : vse hitrejše globalizacije , hitrih tehnoloških sprememb in staranja prebivalstva .
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