natgillin/translations-raw huggingface dataset:
Significant rate of increase of subsidised imports into the Union market indicating the likelihood of substantially increased imports
Tehtala in ocenila je ne le vse dejavnike iz drugega pododstavka člena 3(9) osnovne uredbe, ampak tudi dodatne nekatere dejavnike, kot sta količina naročil in dobičkonosnost (glej uvodno izjavo (540)), z namenom, da bi svojo skupno oceno oblikovala na trdni dejanski podlagi.
IP data
Absorpcijska zmogljivost LRK
Imports from the country concerned significantly increased from 246720 to 1519304 tonnes between 2012 and the investigation period, as shown in the table at recital (419) above.
Absorpcijska zmogljivost je premajhna tudi v LRK.
These imports have consistently taken place at continuously lowering prices.
Povpraševanje po jeklu na domačem trgu v LRK se upočasnjuje: po podatkih Svetovnega jeklarskega združenja naj bi se po pričakovanjih povpraševanje Kitajske po jeklu, ki je vrh doseglo leta 2013, prvič zmanjšalo za 3,5 % v letu 2015 in za 2,0 % v letu 2016 [83].
After disclosure, the GOC claimed that the HRF imports from China only resulted in a market share of 4,32 % during the IP whereas the Union industry held a dominant market share of 77,7 % during the IP.
To kaže, da bo leta 2017 povpraševanje po jeklu znašalo 626,1 milijona ton (15 % manj kot leta 2013), kar pomeni zmanjšanje na 41,9 % svetovne porabe jekla, ki je leta 2009 znašala 47,9 %, leta 2015 pa 44,8 %“ [84].
The GOC also claimed that the import volumes from China were consistently and substantially lower than the imports from Russia, and, with the exception of the IP, Ukraine.
Podatki o absorpcijski sposobnosti LRK, ki so bili dani na voljo po juliju 2016, so omejeni.
The Commission rejected these claims on the following ground.
Kljub temu je Komisija ugotovila, da se predvideno domače povpraševanje Kitajske po jeklu v naslednjih štirih do petih letih (2015–2020) ne bo povečalo ali pa se bo povečalo le malo, ker so naložbe (na primer v gradbeništvo) počasne, to pa bo bistveno vplivalo na domačo porabo Kitajske na področju končnih izdelkov iz jekla [85].
The Commission acknowledged that the HRF imports from China resulted in a market share of 4,32 % in recital (419) above.
Po razkritju je kitajska vlada ugotavljala, da se je Komisija opirala le na informacije v zvezi s celotnim jeklarskim sektorjem, ne da bi dala kakršne koli specifične podatke o povpraševanju po vroče valjanih ploščatih izdelkih.
However, in the same recital, the Commission also pointed to the fact that in absolute figures the imports from the country concerned increased significantly during the period considered from 246720 tonnes to 1519304 tonnes during the IP, leading to an increase by 516 % during the period considered.
Trdila je, da takšne splošne informacije niso nujno reprezentativne za sektor vroče valjanih ploščatih izdelkov, zato ni mogoče dati pripomb na to trditev in jo je treba zavrniti.
Second, it cannot be denied that China was the country with a substantial increase of imports into the Union: As such, the increase in Chinese imports between 2012 and the IP amounted to 1273000 tonnes (see recital (419) above), whereas the increase in Russian and Ukrainian imports amounted for the same period to 373000 tonnes and 178000 tonnes respectively (see recital (564) below).
Čeprav se je Komisija sklicevala na domače povpraševanje Kitajske po vseh vrstah jekla, se je v uvodni izjavi (512) sklicevala tudi na naložbe v gradbeništvu, ki je v skladu s statističnimi podatki pritožnika eden najpomembnejših sektorjev, ki uporabljajo vroče valjane ploščate izdelke.
Third, the argument that Chinese imports were lower than those of other countries is a question of causation; but not a relevant factor to consider in the threat of injury analysis, as Article 8(8) of the basic Regulation refers to the significant rate of subsidised imports into the Union market.
Poleg tega niti kitajska vlada, čeprav je glede tega bila v boljšem položaju, v svojih najnovejših pripombah ni predložila podatkov o zmogljivosti in/ali dala kredibilne alternativne razlage.
Post-IP data
Sklep o zmogljivosti
The volume of Chinese imports further increased (by 8,5 %) in the first half of 2016 (773275 tonnes) (source: Eurostat), compared to the first half of 2015 (712390 tonnes).
Verjetno bodo znatne količine obstoječe ogromne presežne zmogljivosti proizvodnje jekla, vključno s podobnim izdelkom, še naprej usmerjene na trg Unije.
The available data show that not only did Chinese subsidised imports see a substantial increase during the period considered, but also that this trend was not stopped or reversed up until June 2016.
Sedanje presežne zmogljivosti in nezadostna absorpcijska sposobnost tretjih držav ali same LRK kažejo, da bi se lahko subvencionirani izvoz iz Kitajske v Unijo znatno povečal, če ne bodo sprejeti nobeni ukrepi.
However, on the other hand, available data for the additional periods July-September 2016, October-December 2016 and January-February 2017 evidence that Chinese subsidised imports started to decrease as compared to the IP (2015) and to the post-IP period January-June 2016, when expressed on the basis of monthly averages.
Raven cene subvencioniranega uvoza
January-February 2017
Vir: izpolnjeni vprašalniki vzorčenih proizvajalcev Unije in proizvajalcev izvoznikov ter Eurostat.
Volume of imports from China
Glej uvodno izjavo
Average monthly Chinese imports
Prodajna cena petih vzorčenih proizvajalcev Unije (v EUR/tono)
The Commission thus found — in line with the statements of the Government of China in its submission [62] — that the trend of increasing import volumes stopped.
Povprečna cena uvoza iz Kitajske po podatkih Eurostata
However, when assessing the significance and the reliability of these figures for confirming or invalidating the threat of injury analysis, the Commission also observed that:
(v EUR/tono)
The average monthly Chinese import volumes in the period July-September 2016 are still twice as high as the average monthly imports in 2014;
Razlika (v EUR/tono)
The decrease in the average monthly Chinese import volumes from July 2016-September 2016 (compared to 2015) can be explained by:
Povprečne kitajske cene so bile leta 2012 precej višje od cen proizvajalcev Unije.
the chilling effect of the request for registration by the complainant on 5 April 2016 and its update in June 2016 on financial data in the anti-dumping proceeding against dumped imports from China on the product concerned (which, though, was withdrawn only in mid-August 2016);
Leta 2015 pa so se cene subvencioniranega uvoza iz Kitajske znižale pod ceno industrije Unije (404 EUR/tono v primerjavi s 427 EUR/tono).
the adoption by the Commission of Implementing Regulation (EU) 2016/1329 of 29 July 2016 levying the definitive anti-dumping duty on the registered imports of certain cold-rolled flat steel products originating in the People's Republic of China and the Russian Federation [63], under which anti-dumping duties were collected retroactively for the first time and;the knowledge of the intention of the Commission to decide on provisional measures within 8 months of initiation (instead of 9 months).
To potrjuje analiza nelojalnega nižanja cen iz uvodne izjave (425).
The significant decrease in the average monthly Chinese import volumes from October 2016-February 2017 can be explained by the imposition of provisional anti-dumping measures in the parallel ongoing anti-dumping proceeding on 7 October 2016 [64].
V naslednji preglednici so prikazani:
Concerning the rationale why the Chinese exports decreased mainly from the second half of 2016 onwards, the Commission pointed to the following four facts as probable explanation:
nadaljnje nenehno nižanje kitajskih cen na enoto v obdobju po preiskavi od januarja do junija 2016 ob vstopu na trg Unije,
As a result, due to the initiation of the anti-dumping proceeding against dumped imports from China on the product concerned on 13 February 2016, they had been aware that provisional measures could be imposed early October 2016 in the anti-dumping proceeding against dumped imports from China on the product concerned;
Preglednica 18
On 2 June 2016, the complainant updated the request by providing more recent information.
Povprečne cene uvoza iz Kitajske (prva polovica leta 2016)
As a result, well-informed exporting producers and exporters knew that there was a risk that — if they shipped the product concerned from the second half of 2016 onwards — their exported like products could become subject to retroactive duties 90 days prior to the potential imposition of provisional duties in October 2016 in the anti-dumping proceeding against dumped imports from China on the product concerned, i.e. by July 2016;
(v EUR/tono)
On 29 July 2016, the Commission adopted Implementing Regulation (EU) 2016/1329 [66], under which anti-dumping duties were collected retroactively for the first time on certain cold-rolled steel products, also a steel product.
Povprečne cene uvoza iz Kitajske
As a result, the risk that measures would apply as of early July 2016 in the anti-dumping proceeding against dumped imports from China on the product concerned became even more certain because of the retroactive collection in this case involving a steel product;On 7 October 2016, provisional anti-dumping measures were imposed in the parallel ongoing anti-dumping proceeding.
(druga polovica leta 2016 in prva dva meseca leta 2017)
However, the absolute level of Chinese import volumes for the periods October-December 2016 and January-February 2017 significantly decreased as a result of the imposition of measures in the parallel ongoing anti-dumping proceeding.
Februar 2016
This significant decrease during the periods October-December 2016 and January-February 2017 alone evidences that, taking into consideration the existing overcapacity in China (see below point 5.2.3.1.), it is likely that this decrease in subsidised import volumes would be only temporarily, and that the import volume trend observed for the period October 2016-February 2017 in particular would revert if no definitive countervailing measures are imposed.
Avgust 2016
Therefore, this consideration did not change the Commission's assessment that there was a clear and imminent threat of injury at the end of the investigation period.
Marec 2016
Sufficient freely disposable capacity
September 2016
Capacity in the PRC (crude steel and the like product)
April 2016
Concerning Chinese crude steel capacity, the available information indicates that the Chinese steel capacity has been increasing rapidly for a long time.
Oktober 2016
Whereas the PRC accounted for 25,6 % of the total world crude steel production in 2004 [67], it almost doubled its actual production and accounted for 50,3 % in 2015.
Maj 2016
In this respect, the Steel Communication from the Commission states the following: ‘… the spare production capacity in certain third countries, notably in China, has increased dramatically.
November 2016
The overcapacity in China alone has been estimated at around 350 million tonnes, almost the double of the Union's annual production.
Junij 2016
[68]’
December 2016
In this respect, the OECD estimated the total Chinese steelmaking capacity to be 1140 million tonnes [69] in 2014, whereas the actual Chinese production was calculated to be 822,8 million tonnes [70].
Januar 2017
For 2015, the available Chinese crude steel excess capacity is around 350 million tonnes, as shown in the table below.
Februar 2017
Table 16
Izkazalo se je, da je negativen vpliv nizkih cen uvoza iz Kitajske v OP in prvi polovici leta 2016 dvojen:
Actual production of the like product by third countries (in thousands of tonnes)
po eni strani precejšnja razlika v ceni verjetno povzroči (nadaljnjo) preusmeritev k temu subvencioniranemu uvozu, ker bodo uporabniki verjetneje kupovali vedno večje količine blaga, ki se prodaja po nizkih cenah,
Crude steel capacity estimated for the year 2015 [71]
Medtem ko so ti učinki vprašljivi, kadar razlike v ceni niso velike, pa bo v zadevnem primeru in ob upoštevanju ugotovljenega nelojalnega nižanja prodajnih cen posledična škoda za industrijo Unije po pričakovanjih zelo velika.
Crude steel production in 2015 [72]
Zato se je kljub zvišanju ravni cen do septembra 2016 še vedno ohranilo znatno nižanje cen.
Theoretical excess capacity in 2015
V zvezi s tem je treba poudariti, da so bili podatki o stroških proizvodnje industrije Unije na koncu OP najnovejši razpoložljivi podatki v tem postopku, ker se podatki o stroških proizvodnje industrije Unije po obdobju OP ne zbirajo.
HRF actual production in 2014
Kakor koli, tudi če bi se hipotetično stroški proizvodnje industrije Unije v zadnjem obdobju znižali, to ne bi spremenilo dejstva, da je raven kitajskih subvencioniranih cen septembra 2016 še vedno ustvarjala velik cenovni pritisk na jeklarsko industrijo Unije;
HRF actual production in 2015
po drugi strani je raven cen, dosežena v obdobju od oktobra 2016 do februarja 2017, precej višja od povprečnih stroškov proizvodnje industrije EU.
Russia
Kljub temu so ravni cen v tem obdobju povezane z zanemarljivim obsegom uvoza (1460 ton v obdobju od oktobra do decembra 2016 in 5024 ton v prvih dveh mesecih leta 2017, glej preglednico 15).
PRC
Morda se ti podatki nanašajo na uvoz manjšega števila dragih izdelkov.
Ukraine
Komisija je ugotovila tudi, da so izvozne cene drugih tretjih držav razen Japonske v obdobju od oktobra do decembra 2016 precej nižje (med 375 in 439 EUR/tono).
Iran
Zato ravni cen neznatnega obsega kitajskega izvoza v obdobju od oktobra 2016 do februarja 2017 ni mogoče šteti za dovolj reprezentativne, ter
Brazil
to svetovno zvišanje cen zadevnega izdelka je mogoče deloma pojasniti z zvišanjem cen surovin.
The above updated 2015 production figures for the like product show that the country concerned outnumbers by far all other large exporting countries; the above updated 2015 capacity figures for crude steel also indicate that only the PRC has such a massive crude steel excess capacity (amounting to almost 350 million tonnes in 2015, compared to 317 million tonnes in 2014).
Kljub višanju cen subvencioniranega uvoza iz Kitajske od julija 2016 podatki o cenah za obdobje po OP kot celota ne ovržejo ugotovitve, da je znižanje kitajskih cen povzročilo grožnjo škode.
Accordingly, the Commission reiterated that the overcapacity in steel production in the PRC constitutes an important indicator for the existence of a threat of an imminent injury to the Union industry.
Nedavno višanje cen uvoza iz Kitajske od julija 2016 te grožnje škode ni odpravilo.
Such steel overcapacity is also not in line with the demand for the like product in the PRC or in other countries.
Celo ta zvišana raven cen ne more ustaviti znatnega nižanja cen, zaradi katerega industrija Unije ni vzdržna, če se zvišane kitajske cene primerjajo s stroški proizvodnje proizvajalcev Unije ob koncu obdobja preiskave.
In fact there is a slowing demand growth in global markets and the capacity/demand gap has been widening, according to a recent OECD study [73].
Nazadnje, Komisija je sklenila, da se bo višanje uvoznih cen morda prenehalo, ko bo izzvenelo nihanje zaradi nedavnega zvišanja cen surovin.
The fact that the country concerned has a massive steel overcapacity is not challenged by the Chinese authorities: First, the Chinese State Council issued on 1 February 2016 an ‘Opinion for the steel industry to resolve excess capacity’ which lays down the overall Chinese approach for tackling more resolutely the overcapacity in the Chinese steel industry.
Brez sprejetja ukrepov in ob upoštevanju velike obstoječe presežne zmogljivosti Kitajske v jeklarstvu, vključno z zadevnim izdelkom, pa bi lahko kitajski proizvajalci izvozniki znova začeli izvajati agresivno cenovno strategijo in bi svoje subvencionirane prodajne cene znižali na minimalne ravni.
Measures would inter alia be a reduction of the crude steel capacity by 100-150 million tonnes over five years and the strict prohibition of new production capacity.
Po razkritju je kitajska vlada najprej navedla dejstvo, da so se uvozne cene iz drugih tretjih držav gibale podobno in da padec kitajskih cen le odraža splošno gibanje cen na trgu Unije in ni kazalnik agresivne cenovne strategije kitajskih proizvajalcev izvoznikov.
Second, CISA also mentioned in its submission that ‘in the last few years the Chinese government and the Chinese steel association have taken effective measures….
Drugič, trdila je, da so se kitajske cene gibale podobno kot stroški proizvodnje industrije Unije.
Since 2011 China has actively eliminated obsolete capacities and reinforced energy saving measures.’ [74] Furthermore, the Commission received anecdotal information that the PRC apparently started to reduce its overcapacity: In this respect, the EU Delegation in Beijing reported that a Deputy Director of CISA declared that the PRC is likely to cut off 70 millions of tonnes of steel overcapacity during 2016 (announcement on 28 October 2016).
Tretjič, trdila je, da v nasprotju s kitajskimi proizvajalci, industrija Unije v obravnavanem obdobju ni mogla v celoti odraziti tega znižanja cen surovin v svojih prodajnih cenah, saj ni bila sposobna nadzorovati svojih lastnih stroškov.
Furthermore, Baosteel Group and Wuhan Steel Group also announced that they completed their targeted capacity cuts for 2016 already in October 2016 (announcement on 24 October 2016).
Četrtič, kitajska vlada se ni strinjala s trditvijo Komisijo, da so kitajske cene ustvarjale pritisk na industrijo Unije.
Moreover, regard should be had to a recent OECD report, which states that two important Chinese steel makers scrapped facilities in the Jilin and in the Anshan provinces, amounting to a total of 2,68 million tonnes [75].
Komisija je zavrnila vse te trditve, kakor je podrobno navedeno v naslednjih uvodnih izjavah.
However, there are also developments pointing to the opposite direction, as follows:
Prvič, Komisija je v uvodni opombi (571) priznala, da je uvoz podobnega izdelka iz nekaterih drugih držav, kot so Iran, Rusija in Ukrajina, potekal po celo nižjih cenah kot uvoz iz zadevne države.
There are reports that the country concerned suffers from a phenomenon of ‘zombie’ steel mills [76]: these are mills that are forever said to be dying but never actually die.
Vendar kitajska vlada v svoji utemeljitvi ni upoštevala, kot je navedeno v uvodni izjavi (571), da je bila raven uvoza iz Irana v obdobju preiskave veliko nižja od ravni uvoza iz LRK.
Another source also reported that 41 blast furnaces have been reopened, and more recent reports even indicate that over 50 million tonnes of steel capacity has been restarted in the PRC since the start of 2016 [77].
Poleg tega se je obseg uvoza iz Rusije in Ukrajine v obravnavanem obdobju dejansko povečeval, a veliko počasneje kakor uvoz iz LRK.
The World Steel Association states the following on the world crude steel production for the first six months of 2016: ‘World crude steel production in the first six months of 2016 was 794,8 Mt, a decrease of – 1,9 % compared to the same period of 2015...
V nasprotju z uvozom iz LRK pa je uvoz iz Rusije in Ukrajine v obravnavanem obdobju tudi izgubil znaten delež v skupnem obsegu uvoza Unije.
Crude steel production … decreased by – 6,1 % in the EU 28… China's crude steel production for June 2016 was 69,5 Mt, an increase of 1,7 % compared to June 2015….
Drugič, glede domneve, da so se kitajske cene gibale v skladu s stroški proizvodnje industrije Unije, se je Komisija sklicevala na ugotovitve iz uvodne izjave (451): tudi če se potrdi, da so se kitajske uvozne cene in stroški proizvodnje industrije Unije gibali v podobni smeri, to ne spremeni dejstva, da so se stroški proizvodnje industrije Unije na splošno obdržali na višjih ravneh kot padajoče prodajne cene.
[78]’ A 2016 OECD projection [79] estimated that the Chinese capacity would even further increase in 2016, 2017 and 2018.
Tretjič, glede domnev, da proizvajalci Unije niso bili sposobni nadzorovati svojih lastnih stroškov je Komisija opozorila na protislovje v trditvah kitajske vlade.
A recent 2017 OECD report [80] mentioned that Chinese steelmaking capacity is expected to have stabilised at 1,16 billion tonnes per year (2016 compared to 2015).
Kitajska vlada je v odstavku 267 svojega prispevka navajala, da industrija Unije ni bila sposobna nadzorovati svojih stroškov, v odstavku 239 pa, da se je v obravnavanem obdobju produktivnost povečala za 7 %.
The Chinese side continued to avoid engaging in a bilateral platform between the Union and the PRC to monitor steel excess capacity.
Poleg tega se je Komisija sklicevala na povečanje produktivnosti, navedeno v uvodni izjavi (450).
In addition, the 13th Five-Year Plan in relation to ‘Steel industry adjustment and upgrading plan’ (2016-2020) assumes crude steel production volume forecast at 750-800 million tonnes in 2020 and crude steel production capacity reduction by 100-150 million till 2020.
Četrtič, Komisija se je sklicevala na argumentacijo iz uvodne opombe (571), v kateri je jasno priznala, da je uvoz podobnega izdelka iz nekaterih drugih držav, kot so Iran, Rusija in Ukrajina, potekal po nižjih cenah kot uvoz iz zadevne države.
It also encourages steel enterprises being in a good position to go overseas and set up steel production bases as well as processing and distribution centres.
Vendar je Komisija v isti uvodni opombi trdila tudi, da je bila raven uvoza iz Irana v obdobju preiskave veliko nižja od ravni uvoza iz LRK.
In conclusion, the issue of overcapacity in the steel sector in the PRC is widely-known and also acknowledged by the Chinese authorities.
Komisija je zavrnila trditev, da se je redno zatekala k hipotetičnim trditvam ali dajala splošne izjave, ki niso bile podprte s konkretnimi informacijami.
Despite some announcements by the latter, this issue is not likely to be resolved in the near future: the Chinese overcapacity is so large that it realistically cannot disappear in the short or medium-term period.
Sklepi Komisije so temeljili na dejstvih in ne na domnevah, ugibanjih ali oddaljenih možnostih.
Following disclosure, the GOC commented that CISA's submission of 21 March 2016 specified that around 77,8 million tonnes of capacity have been taken out of operation since 2011 and that Chinese steel producers have also taken action and decreased their output by more than 15 million tonnes between January and October 2015.
To zahteva njena funkcija neodvisnega preiskovalnega organa in med drugim izhaja iz obveznosti, ki ji jih nalaga člen 6(8) osnovne uredbe.
Therefore, it concluded that any overcapacity of HRF will likely decrease, rather than substantially increase as is required to establish a threat of injury within the meaning of subparagraph 2(c) of Article 8(8) of the basic Regulation.
V vsakem primeru pa Komisija ni analizirala gibanja kitajskih cen kot ločenega dejavnika, ampak je uporabila celovit pristop.
The Commission reiterated its previous findings, namely that despite some announcements by the Chinese authorities, the Chinese overcapacity issue is not likely to be resolved in the near future.
Raven zalog
The spare capacity is so large that it realistically cannot disappear in the short or medium-term period.
Komisija je menila, da ta dejavnik ni tako pomemben za analizo, ker zaloge običajno hranijo trgovci (skladiščniki) in ne proizvajalci.
Moreover, subparagraph 2(c) of Article 8(8) of the basic Regulation refers either to sufficient freely disposable capacity of the exporting producer on the part of the exporter or to an imminent and substantial increase in such capacity indicating the likelihood of substantially increased subsidised exports to the Union.
Poleg tega proizvajalci Unije večinoma proizvajajo po naročilu, kar jim omogoča, da vzdržujejo čim nižjo raven zalog.