natgillin/translations-raw huggingface dataset:
However, a comparison of overall domestic prices with overall exports would rather suggest that the export prices of Union producers have gone up by around 12 % in the period considered and that these prices, during the RIP were around 20 % higher than the domestic prices.
Vendar primerjava domačih cen v celoti z izvozom v celoti kaže, da so se v obravnavanem obdobju izvozne cene proizvajalcev Unije dvignile za približno 12 % in da so bile te cene med OPP za približno 20 % višje od domačih cen.
Export volumes have remained stable and absorb ca. 25 % of production.
Obseg izvoza je ostal stabilen in absorbira pribl. 25 % proizvodnje.
Considering that the investigation has shown that the export performance of Union producers has only seen a small decrease, the argument that export performance would be the cause of injury to the Union can not be sustained.
Glede na to, da je preiskava pokazala, da je izvoz proizvajalcev Unije doživel le manjši padec, argumenta, da je izvoz vzrok za škodo Unije, ni mogoče sprejeti.
Conclusion on impact of other factors
Sklep o vplivu drugih dejavnikov
As seen from the above, several interested parties have claimed that factors other than the dumped imports have been the major cause of injury to the Union industry.
Kot je navedeno zgoraj, je več zainteresiranih strank trdilo, da so vzrok za škodo, povzročeno industriji Unije, drugi dejavniki in ne dampinški uvoz.
The relevant other factors have been identified and carefully analysed.
Zadevni drugi dejavniki so bili opredeljeni in natančno analizirani.
However, the facts of the case show that none of the other known factors in isolation or seen together would be such as to break the causal link between the dumped imports and the injury suffered by Union producers
Vendar dejstva kažejo, da noben drug znan dejavnik sam ali v povezavi z drugimi ni tak, da bi prekinil vzročno zvezo med dampinškim uvozom in škodo, ki so jo utrpeli proizvajalci Unije.
LIKELIHOOD OF CONTINUATION OF INJURY
VERJETNOST NADALJEVANJA ŠKODE
IMPACT OF THE PROJECTED VOLUME AND PRICE EFFECTS IN CASE OF REPEAL OF MEASURES ON THE STATE OF THE UNION INDUSTRY
VPLIV PREDVIDENEGA OBSEGA IN CEN NA STANJE INDUSTRIJE UNIJE V PRIMERU RAZVELJAVITVE UKREPOV
In accordance with Article 11(2) of the basic Regulation, imports from the countries currently being reviewed were assessed in order to establish if there was a likelihood of continuation of injury.
V skladu s členom 11(2) osnovne uredbe je bil ocenjen uvoz iz držav v preiskavi, da se ugotovi, ali obstaja verjetnost nadaljevanja dampinga.
With regard to the likely effect on the Union industry of the expiry of the measures in force, the following factors were considered in line with the elements summarised above in respect of the likelihood of continuation of dumping.
V zvezi z mogočim učinkom izteka veljavnih ukrepov na industrijo Unije so bili preučeni naslednji dejavniki v skladu z zgoraj navedenimi elementi, kar zadeva verjetnost nadaljevanja dampinga.
As concluded above in recital 261-262, imports of large volumes at dumped prices from the PRC have continued during the RIP.
Kot je bilo ugotovljeno v uvodnih izjavah (261) in (262), se je med OPP uvoz iz Kitajske nadaljeval v velikem obsegu po dampinških cenah.
An analysis of capacities and the development of the domestic market in the PRC also revealed that this already high volume of exports would continue should measures be terminated.
Analiza zmogljivosti in razvoja domačega trga v LRK je tudi pokazala, da bi se ta, že zdaj velik izvoz, nadaljeval, če bi bili ukrepi ukinjeni.
Even in the event that imports, as alleged, would decrease by up to 30 % as a consequence of the market downturn, the volumes would still be very large.
Tudi v primeru, da bi se uvoz, kakor se je trdilo, zaradi upada trga zmanjšal za 30 %, bi bil njegov obseg še vedno velik.
It was also concluded that, due to its higher price level, when compared to the Chinese domestic market as well as third country markets, the Union would continue to be an attractive market for Chinese exports should measures be allowed to lapse.
Ugotovljeno je bilo tudi, da bi Unija v primeru izteka ukrepov zaradi visokih cen v primerjavi s kitajskim domačim trgom in trgi tretjih držav ostala privlačen trg za kitajske izvoznike.
While a certain increase in export price could not be ruled out it was nevertheless concluded that these exports would continue to be dumped.
Čeprav določenega zvišanja izvoznih cen ni bilo mogoče izključiti, je bilo kljub temu ugotovljeno, da bi bil ta izvoz še vedno dampinški.
The significant levels of dumping and undercutting observed indicate that the export volumes to the Union mentioned above would be made at dumped prices which would lie significantly below the prices and costs of the Union producers.
Ugotovljene znatne ravni dampinga in nelojalno nižanje cen kažejo na to, da bi zgoraj navedeni obseg izvoza v Unijo potekal po dampinških cenah, ki bi bile znatno nižje od cen in stroškov proizvajalcev Unije.
The combined effect of such volumes and prices would as such be capable to lead to a deterioration of the Union producers’ already precarious situation.
Skupni učinek obsega in cen bi lahko povzročil poslabšanje že tako negotovega položaja proizvajalcev Unije.
Also for the case of Vietnam, continuation of dumping in large volumes was established in the RIP.
Tudi za Vietnam je bilo v OPP ugotovljeno nadaljevanje dampinga v velikem obsegu.
It was also concluded that the Union continues to be the most important market for the Vietnamese exporters and that this is likely to continue to be the case in the event that measures are discontinued.
Ugotovljeno je bilo tudi, da je Unija še vedno najpomembnejši trg vietnamskih izvoznikov in da bo tako verjetno tudi ostalo, če bodo ukrepi ukinjeni.
Considering the existence of significant spare capacities and when considering the price level in the Union when compared to that in the Vietnamese domestic market as well as other export markets, it is likely that the imports of dumped products will increase further should measures lapse.
Glede na velike neizkoriščene zmogljivosti in ob upoštevanju ravni cen v Uniji v primerjavi s cenami na vietnamskem domačem trgu ter drugih izvoznih trgih je verjetno, da se bo v primeru izteka ukrepov uvoz dampinških izdelkov še povečal.
As it is the case for China, even in the event that imports, as alleged, would decrease as a consequence of the economic downturn the import volumes would still be very significant.
Kot iz Kitajske bi bil obseg uvoza iz Vietnama še vedno zelo velik, tudi če bi se zmanjšal zaradi gospodarskega upada, kakor se je trdilo.
As in the case of the PRC, the significant level of dumping and undercutting observed indicates that the export volumes to the Union mentioned above would be made at dumped prices which would lie significantly below the prices and costs of the Union producers.
Ugotovljena visoka stopnja dampinga in nelojalno nižanje cen tako kot v primeru LRK nakazujeta, da bi zgoraj navedeni obseg izvoza v Unijo potekal po dampinških cenah, znatno nižjih od cen in stroškov proizvajalcev Unije.
Similarly, the combined effect of such volumes and prices would as such be capable to lead to an deterioration of the Union producers’ already precarious situation
Prav tako bi lahko skupni učinek obsega in cen povzročil poslabšanje že tako negotovega položaja proizvajalcev Unije.
ARGUMENTS RAISED BY PARTIES
ARGUMENTI STRANK
A number of interested parties have put forward claims that other factors than dumped imports from the countries concerned would put into question the likely effect of dumped imports on the situation of the Union industry in the future.
Številne zainteresirane stranke so trdile, da bi drugi dejavniki, ki niso dampinški uvoz iz zadevnih držav, postavili pod vprašaj verjetni učinek dampinškega uvoza na položaj industrije Unije v prihodnosti.
The factors brought forward are to a large extent already addressed in the injury section G.5 and would therefore not need to be repeated in this section.
Zadevni dejavniki so v veliki meri že obravnavani v oddelku G.5 o škodi in jih v tem oddelku ni treba ponavljati.
Some of the arguments have, however, been linked to post-RIP events and have therefore been subject to additional analysis in terms of their likely future impact.
Nekateri argumenti pa so se navezovali na dogodke po OPP in so bili zato dodatno analizirani glede njihovega verjetnega učinka v prihodnosti.
Likely effect of the market downturn
Verjeten učinek upada trga
Several parties have held that the effects of the economic downturn should be distinguished from the alleged effects of imports as this event must be considered external to the likelihood of continuation/recurrence of injurious dumping.
Več strank je trdilo, da je treba učinke gospodarskega upada ločiti od domnevnega učinka uvoza, saj gre za zunanji dejavnik pri ugotavljanju verjetnosti nadaljevanja/ponovitve škodljivega dampinga.
According to these interested parties, the Union industry would be particularly affected by the downturn as the consumer in such circumstances would typically switch to a lower quality/price product as a consequence of the decrease in purchase power.
Po besedah teh zainteresiranih strank bi upad prizadel zlasti industrijo Unije, saj se potrošniki v takih okoliščinah zaradi zmanjšanja kupne moči običajno preusmerijo k nižjekakovostnim/cenejšim izdelkom.
The market downturn will most likely lead to a further decrease in consumption of the product concerned.
Upad trga bo najverjetneje povzročil nadaljnje zmanjšanje potrošnje zadevnega izdelka.
While leather shoes still will have a strong position in the market, sales are likely to go down significantly, more than the 7 % already seen in the period before the downturn.
Čeprav bo imela usnjena obutev še vedno močan položaj na trgu, se bo prodaja verjetno znižala za bistveno več kot 7 %, kar se je zgodilo že v obdobju pred upadom.
It is likely that the economic constraints will make consumers and retailers more sensitive to price and a decrease in purchasing power of the consumer could put a cap on prices at retail level.
Verjetno je, da bodo potrošniki in trgovci na drobno zaradi gospodarskih omejitev bolj občutljivi na ceno, zmanjšanje kupne moči potrošnikov pa bi lahko omejilo cene na ravni prodaje na drobno.
In turn this could trigger a segment shift (consumers moving from the high/medium segment to medium as well as from the medium to medium/low) and to more repairs.
To bi lahko postopoma sprožilo spremembo segmenta (preusmeritev potrošnikov z visokega/srednjega segmenta na srednji segment in s srednjega na srednji/nizki segment) in večje število popravil.
The competition between leather shoes and other cheaper products made of textile and synthetics would under such circumstances most likely increase.
Konkurenca med usnjeno obutvijo in drugimi cenejšimi izdelki iz tekstila in umetnih materialov se bi v takšnih okoliščinah najverjetneje povečala.
In short, it cannot be ruled out that the downturn in the market will contribute to the deterioration of the situation of the Union industry given the related consumption and price effects.
Skratka, ni mogoče izključiti, da bo upad trga prispeval k poslabšanju položaja industrije Unije zaradi s tem povezanih učinkov potrošnje in cene.
At the same time however, it is also likely that the economic downturn will magnify the effect of dumped imports even further.
Poleg tega je tudi verjetno, da bo gospodarski upad še povečal učinek dampinškega uvoza.
The reason for this is that the downturn is likely to put price pressure on all operators, including the exporters from the countries concerned, which may lower their already dumped prices even further.
To pa zato, ker bodo zaradi upada verjetno vsi gospodarski subjekti pod cenovnim pritiskom, vključno z izvozniki iz zadevnih držav, ki lahko še znižajo svoje že tako dampinške cene.
Even lower prices will put pressure also in the mid to high segment and would risk forcing Union producers back towards the mid to low segment.
Še nižje cene bodo ustvarile pritisk tudi na srednji do visoki segment in bi s tem lahko prisilile proizvajalce Unije, da se preusmerijo nazaj k srednjemu do nizkemu segmentu.
This in turn would lead to even fiercer product competition between Union production and the dumped imports.
To bi postopoma povzročilo še hujšo konkurenco izdelkov med proizvodnjo Unije in dampinškim uvozom.
Likely impact of changes in consumption patterns
Verjeten učinek sprememb v vzorcih potrošnje
Several interested parties claimed that any future decline in the performance of the Union industry, if any, would not be linked to imports from the countries concerned but rather to a decline in consumption in the Union.
Več zainteresiranih strank je trdilo, da zmanjšanje uspešnosti Unije v prihodnosti, če bi do njega prišlo, ne bi bilo povezano z uvozom iz zadevnih držav, ampak z upadom potrošnje v Uniji.
This decline in consumption would allegedly be linked, not only to changes in fashion trends that has moved from formal towards more casual footwear but also to the downturn in the market.
Upad potrošnje naj bi bil povezan ne le s spremembami modnih trendov, pri katerih je prišlo do preusmeritve s formalne obutve na obutev za prosti čas, ampak tudi z upadom na trgu.
This event would increase the tendency of the consumer to switch preference in favour of low price segment typically represented by imports from third countries
To bi povečalo verjetnost, da bi potrošnik spremenil prednostno izbiro v prid segmenta z nižjimi cenami, ki ga običajno predstavlja uvoz iz tretjih držav.
A drop in overall consumption would in all likelihood have a detrimental effect on the performance of the Union producers.
Upad celotne potrošnje bi najverjetneje imel škodljiv učinek na uspešnost proizvajalcev Unije.
It can however also be expected that a decrease in purchasing power of the consumer will make the market less responsive to short term fashion-trends leading to a revival of the classical ‘brown shoe’ which is the segment where the Union industry is the strongest.
Vendar se lahko pričakuje, da bo zaradi zmanjšanja kupne moči potrošnika trg postal manj prilagodljiv na kratkoročne modne trende, kar bi povzročilo oživitev klasičnega „rjavega čevlja“, segmenta, v katerem je industrija Unije najmočnejša.
It can thus not be concluded that a drop in consumption would hit Union produced shoes harder than those imported.
Zato ni mogoče zaključiti, da bi zmanjšanje potrošnje bolj prizadelo obutev, izdelano v Uniji, kot uvoženo obutev.
Overall, while the Union producers most likely will be affected by a drop in consumption the effect of large volumes of dumped imports from the countries concerned will still be a very significant cause of injury should measures be allowed to lapse.
Na splošno, čeprav bo zmanjšanje potrošnje najverjetneje vplivalo na proizvajalce Unije, bodo v primeru izteka ukrepov učinki velikega obsega dampinškega uvoza iz zadevnih držav še vedno zelo pomemben vzrok za škodo.
Likely impact of drop in export performance
Verjeten učinek upada izvoza
It has also been argued by some interested parties that the economic downturn will be particularly hard felt on the export side in the Union production.
Nekatere zainteresirane stranke so tudi trdile, da se bo gospodarski upad v industriji Unije občutil zlasti pri izvozu.
In this context it can be presumed that the financial downturn, which will be felt across the world, will also have an impact on Union exports.
V zvezi s tem se lahko domneva, da bo gospodarski upad, ki ga bo občutil ves svet, vplival tudi na izvoz Unije.
While a drop in export activity could certainly contribute negatively to the general development of the sector it should however be born in mind that three quarters of the Union producers’ activity is geared to the domestic Union market.
Čeprav lahko upad izvoza nedvomno negativno vpliva na splošni razvoj sektorja, je treba upoštevati, da so tri četrtine dejavnosti proizvajalcev Unije usmerjene na domači trg Unije.
Considering this, it cannot be concluded that the likely impact of the downturn of the export performance in itself would break the causal link between dumped imports and injury caused to the Union producers.
Glede na to ni mogoče zaključiti, da bi verjetni učinek upada izvoza sam po sebi prekinil vzročno zvezo med dampinškim uvozom in škodo, povzročeno proizvajalcem Unije.
Likely impact of structural problems and lack of efficiency amongst Union producers
Verjetni učinek strukturnih težav in pomanjkanje učinkovitosti proizvajalcev Unije
It has also been argued that the Union producers have had problems benefiting from measures in the past due to the fact that the source of the problems suffered are linked to structural problems and inefficiency in the industry rather than to the alleged dumping from China and Vietnam.
Trdilo se je, da proizvajalci Unije v preteklosti niso mogli izkoristiti uvedenih ukrepov, ker so bile njihove težave povezane s strukturnimi težavami in neučinkovitostjo industrije, ne pa z domnevnim dampingom iz Kitajske in Vietnama.
According to these claims, the event of the economic downturn will deepen the structural problems in the sector and further dilute the link between the injury suffered and the dumping.
V skladu s temi trditvami bo gospodarski upad poglobil strukturne težave v sektorju in še bolj oslabil povezavo med utrpelo škodo in dampingom.
First and foremost it is recalled that the investigation has shown that, irrespective of their competitive position, the Union producers have been materially injured by the imports of dumped imports.
Najprej je treba spomniti, da je preiskava pokazala, da so proizvajalci Unije ne glede na konkurenčni položaj utrpeli materialno škodo zaradi dampinškega uvoza.
In any event, it should be noted as demonstrated above, that the Union industry while still in a precarious situation has shown at least a partial recovery in the period considered and have been able to maintain a stable market share.
V vsakem primeru je treba opozoriti, kakor je pojasnjeno zgoraj, da je industrija Unije kljub negotovemu položaju v obravnavanem obdobju vsaj delno okrevala in je bila sposobna obdržati stabilen tržni delež.
Moreover a large part of the sector has been able to redefine business model or is trying to through (i) the grouping of resources in clusters making the most of specialisation and allowing the groups to benefit from economies of scale, (ii) the direct sales to retailers and (iii) the production of shoes in the mid-upper and upper segments.
Poleg tega je velikemu delu sektorja uspelo na novo opredeliti poslovni model ali pa to poskuša z (i) združevanjem sredstev v grozde, s čimer se kar najbolje izkoristi specializacija, skupine pa imajo dobiček od ekonomij obsega, (ii) neposredno prodajo trgovcem na drobno in (iii) s proizvodnjo obutve v srednje visokem in višjem segmentu.
It is highly unlikely that the industry would have been able to carry through with this process had the measures not been in place and in any case those which are now in the process of changing their business model will in all likelihood not be able to complete it.
Malo verjetno je, da bi industrija lahko izvedla ta proces brez uvedbe ukrepov, vsekakor pa tisti, ki so zdaj v procesu spreminjanja poslovnega modela, tega po vsej verjetnosti ne bodo mogli dokončati.
It can however also be expected that the market downturn will increase pressure and possibly also halt the process for the companies that have still not been able to refocus by way of a change in business model.
Pričakovati je, da bo upad trga povečal pritisk in morda tudi zaustavil proces v družbah, ki se jim še ni uspelo preusmeriti s spremembo poslovnega modela.
The situation of these companies will risk deteriorating even further and many companies in this group may even be going out of business as competition intensifies.
Položaj teh družb se tako lahko še poslabša in lahko se zgodi, da bo veliko družb v tej skupini zaradi okrepitve konkurence celo prenehalo poslovati.
The companies that have adopted the more advanced business models are not likely to escape the effects of the market downturn either as the prices in the high/medium segment in which they are specialised, also is likely to be subject to an overall downward pressure.
Tudi družbe, ki so sprejele naprednejše poslovne modele, verjetno ne bodo ubežale učinkom upada trga, saj bodo cene v visokem/srednjem segmentu, za katerega so specializirane, verjetno prav tako izpostavljene pritisku splošnega nižanja cen.
Nevertheless, as for the assessment of the situation seen in the period considered, it would be difficult to argue that, on its own, the event of the economic downturn would break the causal link with dumped imports.
Kljub temu bi bilo v zvezi z oceno ugotovljenega položaja v obravnavanem obdobju težko trditi, da bi gospodarski upad sam po sebi prekinil vzročno zvezo z dampinškim uvozom.
On the contrary, as detailed above in recital 302 downward pressure on price sustained by cheap dumped imports will most likely also, generate a domino effect, forcing an even larger share of the Union production towards the same segment as the dumped imports so as to increase the pressure of the dumped imports on the Union producers.
Nasprotno, kakor je navedeno v uvodni izjavi (302), bo pritisk na nižanje cen zaradi poceni dampinškega uvoza najverjetneje povzročil verižno reakcijo, s čimer bo še večji delež proizvodnje Unije prisiljen k preusmeritvi na isti segment kot dampinški uvoz, kar bo še povečalo pritisk dampinškega uvoza na proizvajalce Unije.
Under such circumstances Union producers would therefore be more dependent than ever on the existence of measures in the future.
V takšnih okoliščinah bi bili proizvajalci Unije bolj kot kdajkoli odvisni od ukrepov v prihodnosti.
Likely effects of imports from third countries
Verjetni učinki uvoza iz tretjih držav
It was also examined whether imports from third countries would be likely to have an impact on the situation of the Union industry should measures allow to lapse.
Preučeno je bilo tudi, ali bi uvoz iz tretjih držav v primeru izteka ukrepov lahko vplival na učinke dampinškega uvoza na položaj industrije Unije.
In this context it has been held that third countries exports to the Union have been constantly growing and that in the wake of higher costs in China and Vietnam and coupled with the economic downturn, these would be the main cause of concern to the Union in the future.
V zvezi s tem se je trdilo, da izvoz tretjih držav v Unijo stalno narašča in da bo zaradi višjih stroškov na Kitajskem in v Vietnamu v povezavi z gospodarskim upadom v prihodnosti glavni razlog za zaskrbljenost Unije.
Bearing in mind the price difference between the dumped imports from the countries concerned and those of third countries it would however rather be likely that Chinese and Vietnamese exports will gain a price edge over imports from third countries.
Vendar je ob upoštevanju razlike v ceni med dampinškim uvozom iz zadevnih držav in uvozom iz tretjih držav verjetneje, da bo izvoz iz Kitajske in Vietnama pridobil konkurenčno prednost pred uvozom iz drugih tretjih držav.
This would in turn point to a relative decrease of such imports in the future.
To bi verjetno pomenilo sorazmerno zmanjšanje tega uvoza v prihodnosti.
As demonstrated above in sections C.3 and C.4 there are no signs that the Chinese or Vietnamese exporters are likely to withdraw their presence on the Union market.
Kot je prikazano v oddelkih C.3 in C.4, nič ne kaže na verjetnost umika kitajskih ali vietnamskih izvoznikov s trga Unije.
On the contrary, the large capacities at hand would suggest that they have an incentive to stay in the market as long as possible.
Ravno nasprotno, velike razpoložljive zmogljivosti kažejo, da nameravajo ti na trgu ostati, dokler bo mogoče.
In view of the above, imports from third countries would in all likelihood have less of an impact on the situation of the Union industry should measures lapse.
Glede na zgoraj navedeno bi imel uvoz iz drugih tretjih držav v primeru izteka ukrepov najverjetneje manjši učinek na položaj industrije Unije.
Likely impact of fluctuations in exchange rates
Verjeten učinek nihanj v menjalnih tečajih