natgillin/translations-raw huggingface dataset:
The European crisis, spurred by financial turmoil, is putting the very survival of the Euro at risk. 
The European crisis, spurred by financial turmoil, is putting the very survival of the Euro at risk.
Unmanageable deficits and spiralling debts at a time when the EU is striving to assimilate new states and nurture key but still immature institutions. 
Unmanageable deficits and spiralling debts at a time when the EU is striving to assimilate new states and nurture key but still immature institutions.
We need to ask, from my point of view: Will we see a more introvert EU, more focused on solving its own problems than reaching out to the world? 
We need to ask, from my point of view: Will we see a more introvert EU, more focused on solving its own problems than reaching out to the world?
A critical spotlight is on the US and to the extent to which it manages to weather the storm, recharge its economy, create jobs and learn from the failures that led to the current crisis. 
A critical spotlight is on the US and to the extent to which it manages to weather the storm, recharge its economy, create jobs and learn from the failures that led to the current crisis.
Not only a public debt crisis, also a private sector debt crisis – multiple deficits. 
Not only a public debt crisis, also a private sector debt crisis – multiple deficits.
And then there is the wider and deeper question about the loss of US hegemony and power, a recurring issue in all presentations on today’s programme. 
And then there is the wider and deeper question about the loss of US hegemony and power, a recurring issue in all presentations on today’s programme.
The unpredictability of a multi-polar world that is gradually – but rapidly – replacing first the bi-polar world of the Cold War and the subsequent unipolar world of US/Western dominance. 
The unpredictability of a multi-polar world that is gradually – but rapidly – replacing first the bi-polar world of the Cold War and the subsequent unipolar world of US/Western dominance.
Brings new opportunities, but the major immediate footprint as of 2011 is one of complex uncertainty. 
Brings new opportunities, but the major immediate footprint as of 2011 is one of complex uncertainty.
Example: Who will now take the lead in the crucial fight against climate change? 
Example: Who will now take the lead in the crucial fight against climate change?
Sixth. 
Sixth.
Perhaps the biggest threat today: Failing states and failing efforts to build trust and sustain dialogue across ideological, cultural and religious divides: Lebanon, the Palestine Territory, Tunisia, Algeria, Egypt, Côte d’Ivoire, Pakistan, Afghanistan and Somalia. 
Perhaps the biggest threat today: Failing states and failing efforts to build trust and sustain dialogue across ideological, cultural and religious divides: Lebanon, the Palestine Territory, Tunisia, Algeria, Egypt, Côte d’Ivoire, Pakistan, Afghanistan and Somalia.
Financial turmoil and rising energy and food prices severely strain governments’ ability to meet rising expectations in already deeply troubled nations. 
Financial turmoil and rising energy and food prices severely strain governments’ ability to meet rising expectations in already deeply troubled nations.
Seventh. 
Seventh.
Still unresolved fight against rogue states and against global terrorism. 
Still unresolved fight against rogue states and against global terrorism.
North Korea, Iran, Yemen, Sudan – North and South – Somalia, Al Qaida. 
North Korea, Iran, Yemen, Sudan – North and South – Somalia, Al Qaida.
Multi-polarity and related lack of consensus on global rules of the game hampers our fight, and makes it easier for rogue actors to play responsible actors off against each other. 
Multi-polarity and related lack of consensus on global rules of the game hampers our fight, and makes it easier for rogue actors to play responsible actors off against each other.
Eighth. 
Eighth.
Cancun (COP16) brought us back on track, but only just. 
Cancun (COP16) brought us back on track, but only just.
An effective global deal is a distant hope at the moment. 
An effective global deal is a distant hope at the moment.
The business sector rightly questions governments’ ability to provide the investment framework they depend on to really become part of the solution to global warming. 
The business sector rightly questions governments’ ability to provide the investment framework they depend on to really become part of the solution to global warming.
The same can be said about the inability to finally deliver on the Doha Development Round – and the failing efforts to proceed on disarmament. 
The same can be said about the inability to finally deliver on the Doha Development Round – and the failing efforts to proceed on disarmament.
Now, let me move on to some perspectives on this geopolitical picture I have described. 
Now, let me move on to some perspectives on this geopolitical picture I have described.
Slide: Hu visits Obama. 
Slide: Hu visits Obama.
First perspective – the rise of China. 
First perspective – the rise of China.
No one can help being daunted by China’s phenomenal rise (as emphasised by the first speaker this morning). 
No one can help being daunted by China’s phenomenal rise (as emphasised by the first speaker this morning).
Consider the following facts: In 1820 US output per head was double that of China. 
Consider the following facts: In 1820 US output per head was double that of China.
In 1980 real income per head in China was only 6% that of the US. 
In 1980 real income per head in China was only 6% that of the US.
But by 2008, Chinese output per head had risen to 22% of the US figure. 
But by 2008, Chinese output per head had risen to 22% of the US figure.
The question is not if, but when, China will overtake the US as the world’s largest economy. 
The question is not if, but when, China will overtake the US as the world’s largest economy.
And China’s presence is increasing all over the world. 
And China’s presence is increasing all over the world.
In 2011, China is lending more to developing countries than the World Bank. 
In 2011, China is lending more to developing countries than the World Bank.
And it has already overtaken the US as the world’s largest producer of wind turbines. 
And it has already overtaken the US as the world’s largest producer of wind turbines.
But this leads me to the second perspective – challenging the widespread assumptions of the emerging East and a focus on the vulnerability of the BRICs’ growth. 
But this leads me to the second perspective – challenging the widespread assumptions of the emerging East and a focus on the vulnerability of the BRICs’ growth.
Brazil combines democratic maturity, economic growth, social improvements and societal stability. 
Brazil combines democratic maturity, economic growth, social improvements and societal stability.
Impressive! 
Impressive!
The same does not hold for all emerging economies. 
The same does not hold for all emerging economies.
Thailand is reeling on a knife’s edge. 
Thailand is reeling on a knife’s edge.
Indonesia has made significant progress, including against corruption, but achievements are vulnerable to counterattack and the balance between secular goals and the expectations of strong religious groups is difficult. 
Indonesia has made significant progress, including against corruption, but achievements are vulnerable to counterattack and the balance between secular goals and the expectations of strong religious groups is difficult.
The same applies to Turkey. 
The same applies to Turkey.
China looks strong and robust today, but balancing growing middle-class aspirations with societal stability in an authoritarian state is bound to create strains. 
China looks strong and robust today, but balancing growing middle-class aspirations with societal stability in an authoritarian state is bound to create strains.
What we see in Egypt and Tunisia is an illustration of how vulnerable even the strongest of authoritarian rulers might appear when things start to unravel. 
What we see in Egypt and Tunisia is an illustration of how vulnerable even the strongest of authoritarian rulers might appear when things start to unravel.
We tend to be somewhat “fascinated” by authoritarian states’ economic results, however, they are vulnerable – look at what is happening in Tunisia and Egypt. 
We tend to be somewhat “fascinated” by authoritarian states’ economic results, however, they are vulnerable – look at what is happening in Tunisia and Egypt.
How will China and others balance dynamic performance with a strong fear of losing control? 
How will China and others balance dynamic performance with a strong fear of losing control?
Vulnerability and the mass media, internet, social media. 
Vulnerability and the mass media, internet, social media.
Human rights, freedom of expression. 
Human rights, freedom of expression.
Nobel Peace Prize 2010. 
Nobel Peace Prize 2010.
(And: How can a Nobel Peace Prize announced by a committee in Norway threaten China’s stability?) 
(And: How can a Nobel Peace Prize announced by a committee in Norway threaten China’s stability?)
A third perspective – the underlying strengths of US and European economic and political organisation. 
A third perspective – the underlying strengths of US and European economic and political organisation.
It is far too early to give up on US dominance in many key aspects of global power. 
It is far too early to give up on US dominance in many key aspects of global power.
The US still has the world’s largest economy, the world’s leading universities and many of the world’s leading companies. 
The US still has the world’s largest economy, the world’s leading universities and many of the world’s leading companies.
The US military is unrivalled. 
The US military is unrivalled.
The country spends almost as much on its military as the rest of the world put together. 
The country spends almost as much on its military as the rest of the world put together.
And its intangible assets – the combination of entrepreneurial flair and technological prowess – have given it a strong lead in the technological revolution. 
And its intangible assets – the combination of entrepreneurial flair and technological prowess – have given it a strong lead in the technological revolution.
And do not underestimate the robustness of the political institutions of the Western world. 
And do not underestimate the robustness of the political institutions of the Western world.
The ability to renew and refine political life and legitimacy, the ability mobilise alliances around key political and foreign policy goals. 
The ability to renew and refine political life and legitimacy, the ability mobilise alliances around key political and foreign policy goals.
And take a closer look at the relatively weak regional institutions in these other parts of the world. 
And take a closer look at the relatively weak regional institutions in these other parts of the world.
The role of civil society movements for/in democracies. 
The role of civil society movements for/in democracies.
What are enlightened responses to geopolitical change? 
What are enlightened responses to geopolitical change?
What are the governance options? 
What are the governance options?
First, the question of global governance. 
First, the question of global governance.
And the impression that international cooperation has stalled. 
And the impression that international cooperation has stalled.
And that the UN is in a crisis. 
And that the UN is in a crisis.
And as Klaus Schwab and Mark Malloch-Brown pointed out in Foreign Affairs: “We’re trapped in a debilitating paradox. 
And as Klaus Schwab and Mark Malloch-Brown pointed out in Foreign Affairs: “We’re trapped in a debilitating paradox.
People around the world increasingly perceive their interconnectedness and interdependence. 
People around the world increasingly perceive their interconnectedness and interdependence.
In principle, they recognise that this implies a need for closer international cooperation. 
In principle, they recognise that this implies a need for closer international cooperation.
Yet governance at all levels – public and private as well as global, national and local – is struggling to adapt”. 
Yet governance at all levels – public and private as well as global, national and local – is struggling to adapt”.
Multi-polarity and complex uncertainty increase the need for effective global governance but at the same time make it more difficult to arrive at good governance solutions. 
Multi-polarity and complex uncertainty increase the need for effective global governance but at the same time make it more difficult to arrive at good governance solutions.
Effective and lasting governance solutions are not achieved in the absence of shared values, goals and political priorities. 
Effective and lasting governance solutions are not achieved in the absence of shared values, goals and political priorities.
The 1990s started out with strong optimism about global governance reform and what could be achieved through international cooperation. 
The 1990s started out with strong optimism about global governance reform and what could be achieved through international cooperation.
The fall of the Berlin Wall, the absence of major east/west tension and rivalry over global economic models have significantly boosted global cooperation in a range of important areas (UN reform, nuclear disarmament, effective deals on global health, the WTO’s Doha round negotiations, etc.). 
The fall of the Berlin Wall, the absence of major east/west tension and rivalry over global economic models have significantly boosted global cooperation in a range of important areas (UN reform, nuclear disarmament, effective deals on global health, the WTO’s Doha round negotiations, etc.).
Slide: COP15 Copenhagen, Obama, Merkel, table, etc. 
Slide: COP15 Copenhagen, Obama, Merkel, table, etc.
Look at this picture from Copenhagen, the mood around the table, the breakdown of decision making, at that point, at that level. 
Look at this picture from Copenhagen, the mood around the table, the breakdown of decision making, at that point, at that level.
The G8 countries were not able to reach a conclusion in the “green room”. 
The G8 countries were not able to reach a conclusion in the “green room”.
Many of the current problems in making global governance work are due to old frameworks that do not reflect the rise of emerging nations in global politics. 
Many of the current problems in making global governance work are due to old frameworks that do not reflect the rise of emerging nations in global politics.
Experiences with WTO in 2008. 
Experiences with WTO in 2008.
China, India, South Africa, Brazil and the like deserve at seat at the table and global institutions that respond to the aspirations of their populations. 
China, India, South Africa, Brazil and the like deserve at seat at the table and global institutions that respond to the aspirations of their populations.
We need to reform global governance structures to meet such legitimate demands. 
We need to reform global governance structures to meet such legitimate demands.
As such, the emergence of the G20 and similar newcomers on the global scene is understandable and in many regards welcome. 
As such, the emergence of the G20 and similar newcomers on the global scene is understandable and in many regards welcome.
Slide: G20 Seoul Summit 2010. 
Slide: G20 Seoul Summit 2010.
The G20 is a major improvement on the G7/8; it signals to the emerging powers of the world that there is in fact a place at the table, that they are legitimate parts of the solution and not the problem. 
The G20 is a major improvement on the G7/8; it signals to the emerging powers of the world that there is in fact a place at the table, that they are legitimate parts of the solution and not the problem.
The G20 sets the global agenda on behalf of the world’s most important governments, and delegates important problem-solving tasks to existing intergovernmental bodies. 
The G20 sets the global agenda on behalf of the world’s most important governments, and delegates important problem-solving tasks to existing intergovernmental bodies.
However, the shortcomings of the G20 are also well known. 
However, the shortcomings of the G20 are also well known.
The group is not fully representative, it is not very effective, it has few teeth, an unclear mandate and questions loom as to how it will fare as expectations arise for it to formalise, at least up to a point. 
The group is not fully representative, it is not very effective, it has few teeth, an unclear mandate and questions loom as to how it will fare as expectations arise for it to formalise, at least up to a point.
Now, some lessons for new and enlightened global governance: 
Now, some lessons for new and enlightened global governance:
We must not despair. 
We must not despair.
We face daunting challenges but we now have more experience, resources, technology and players to draw on in our quest for effective solutions. 
We face daunting challenges but we now have more experience, resources, technology and players to draw on in our quest for effective solutions.
And if it is correct that the UN has failed to reform the Security Council, it is also fair to say that the UN is making a huge difference to people’s lives all over the world – every day. 
And if it is correct that the UN has failed to reform the Security Council, it is also fair to say that the UN is making a huge difference to people’s lives all over the world – every day.
We must acknowledge the need for formally representative global institutions, the UN in particular (and the IMF), to form the overarching global governance framework. 
We must acknowledge the need for formally representative global institutions, the UN in particular (and the IMF), to form the overarching global governance framework.
We must acknowledge the legitimate aspirations of emerging powers for a stronger voice in global affairs. 
We must acknowledge the legitimate aspirations of emerging powers for a stronger voice in global affairs.
We must also acknowledge the need for institutional flexibility for effective problem solving. 
We must also acknowledge the need for institutional flexibility for effective problem solving.
We need to streamline organisations’ mandates to focus on core functions, decentralise, delegate and charge the most professional doers with actually implementing what is decided in global forums. 
We need to streamline organisations’ mandates to focus on core functions, decentralise, delegate and charge the most professional doers with actually implementing what is decided in global forums.
Private – public. 
Private – public.
We must maximise the opportunities for dialogue and related soft-power mechanisms, even in the most difficult of cases. 
We must maximise the opportunities for dialogue and related soft-power mechanisms, even in the most difficult of cases.
Sudan, Middle East, Afghanistan. 
Sudan, Middle East, Afghanistan.
We must maximise the value of informal networks, alliances and cooperation across conventional barriers, with due attention to comparative edge and the roles of NGOs, social networks, private sector players etc. 
We must maximise the value of informal networks, alliances and cooperation across conventional barriers, with due attention to comparative edge and the roles of NGOs, social networks, private sector players etc.
We should continually strengthen the links between political and economic processes at local/national level, and regional/global problem-solving, for example through the use of new technology and social networks. 
We should continually strengthen the links between political and economic processes at local/national level, and regional/global problem-solving, for example through the use of new technology and social networks.
The High North and the many innovative North European regional cooperation, the Barents Cooperation, Arctic Council, Baltic Sea Cooperation, the EU’s Northern Dimension, etc. 
The High North and the many innovative North European regional cooperation, the Barents Cooperation, Arctic Council, Baltic Sea Cooperation, the EU’s Northern Dimension, etc.
Slide: Energy and security. 
Slide: Energy and security.
Addressing the energy security challenges of 2011 
Addressing the energy security challenges of 2011
The picture: 
The picture:
complex uncertainty also in the energy world, along with many of the features of the geopolitical picture, 
complex uncertainty also in the energy world, along with many of the features of the geopolitical picture,
shale gas revolution, 
shale gas revolution,
nuclear revival? 
nuclear revival?
European energy transformation, 
European energy transformation,
the potency of climate change policies, 
the potency of climate change policies,
Nabucco or South Stream, 
Nabucco or South Stream,
Iraqi energy potential, 
Iraqi energy potential,
Chinese/Asian actions to strengthen energy security, 
Chinese/Asian actions to strengthen energy security,
Chinese/US/European struggle for renewable energy leadership. 
Chinese/US/European struggle for renewable energy leadership.
Let me add a few comments – and questions – on these issues, inspired by the perspectives I have raised: 
Let me add a few comments – and questions – on these issues, inspired by the perspectives I have raised:
The shale gas revolution reflects the best of global/American ingenuity and innovation, but also underlines how uncertain the energy situation is today and will continue to be tomorrow. 
The shale gas revolution reflects the best of global/American ingenuity and innovation, but also underlines how uncertain the energy situation is today and will continue to be tomorrow.
Will we be able to deal with the environmental side-effects of shale gas in an adequate way? 
Will we be able to deal with the environmental side-effects of shale gas in an adequate way?
The US. 
The US.
Will other countries and regions manage to follow the impressive US lead? 
Will other countries and regions manage to follow the impressive US lead?
How will shale gas developments impact on global gas and wider energy markets? 
How will shale gas developments impact on global gas and wider energy markets?
Europe. 
Europe.
The EU is in a whirl of energy strategy processes: focus on infrastructure, climate-induced reforms and energy security. 
The EU is in a whirl of energy strategy processes: focus on infrastructure, climate-induced reforms and energy security.
What is the EU’s direction? 
What is the EU’s direction?
Hard to say. 
Hard to say.
Heads of EU states and governments will meet in Brussels while you are winding up your proceedings on Friday. 
Heads of EU states and governments will meet in Brussels while you are winding up your proceedings on Friday.
But will the EU and its member countries live up to expectations? 
But will the EU and its member countries live up to expectations?
How will they square the Russia challenge? 
How will they square the Russia challenge?
Credibility at stake, need to rethink Europe/Russia energy relations? 
Credibility at stake, need to rethink Europe/Russia energy relations?
Who is most dependent (on whom)? 
Who is most dependent (on whom)?
Reciprocality. 
Reciprocality.
China. 
China.
Asia’s major energy importers – China, India, Japan, Korea – are driving up demand, energy prices, and are contributing to Norwegian revenues. 
Asia’s major energy importers – China, India, Japan, Korea – are driving up demand, energy prices, and are contributing to Norwegian revenues.
To what extent will they, particularly China, rewrite the rules of the game in terms of enhanced politicisation of energy markets in order to secure their energy futures? 
To what extent will they, particularly China, rewrite the rules of the game in terms of enhanced politicisation of energy markets in order to secure their energy futures?
And how will the US and the EU react? 
And how will the US and the EU react?
Stability. 
Stability.
Energy security challenges will always relate closely to energy price levels, particularly oil prices. 
Energy security challenges will always relate closely to energy price levels, particularly oil prices.