natgillin/translations-raw huggingface dataset:
Den interesserede part konkluderede derfor, at den påståede risiko for en omdirigering af handelen til Unionen er aftaget.
Nevertheless, the Commission found that the domestic Chinese steel demand forecast is one of ‘low to no growth’ in the coming 4-5 years (2015-2020) as investments (such as in construction business) are slow, what will impact dramatically the domestic Chinese finished steel consumption.
Disse påstande blev afvist: Som nævnt i betragtning 74, er det sandsynligt, at andre lande vil træffe foranstaltninger, hvilket gør det usandsynligt, at tredjelande selv vil begynde at absorbere den enorme kinesiske kapacitet.
[15]
Kommissionen modtog ingen bemærkninger fra interesserede parter om Kinas absorptionskapacitet.
The data concerning the absorption capacity of third countries that became available after July 2016 onwards indicated that:
Afslutningsvis bekræfter dataene fra perioden efter UP Kommissionens foreløbige analyse: I lyset af de begrænsede fremskridt med hensyn til at reducere den massive overkapacitet i 2016 er det sandsynligt, at betydelige mængder af den eksisterende massive overkapacitet af stål, herunder for samme vare, fortsat ville blive rettet mod EU-markedet, hvis der ikke blev truffet foranstaltninger.
On the one hand, Malaysia terminated in January 2016 a safeguard investigation with regard to hot-rolled coils against China and some other countries in January 2016, whereas Turkey terminated in April 2016 an anti-dumping investigation concerning imports of hot-rolled coils from China, France, Japan, Romania, Russia, Slovakia and Ukraine.
Den nuværende overkapacitet og den utilstrækkelige absorptionskapacitet i både tredjelande og Kina viser sandsynligheden for en betydelig stigning i den kinesiske eksport til Unionen, hvis der ikke blev truffet nogen foranstaltninger i den endelige fase.
On the other hand, India recently imposed final duty rates in a safeguard investigation of hot-rolled flat sheet and plates of alloy and non-alloy steel.
Prisniveauet for import
Furthermore, Brazil initiated an anti-subsidy investigation against imports of hot-rolled flat carbon steel.
De tilgængelige data vedrørende prisniveauet for import for perioden juli-september 2016 viser, at de gennemsnitlige kinesiske importpriser steg:
Finally, Turkish producers have filed new anti-dumping and countervailing duty petitions against imports of hot-rolled coils, originating, inter alia, in China.
Tabel 5
In this respect, following final disclosure, one interested party informed the Commission that the Turkish authorities had opened in the meantime a new dumping investigation on 21 December 2016, covering heavy plate and certain types of HRF.
Gennemsnitlige kinesiske importpriser efter undersøgelsesperioden
As a result, on the basis of this updated information, third countries are unlikely to be able to absorbing increasing Chinese exports as a result of the huge amount of free disposable Chinese capacity.
Januar 2016
Even if the status quo in Chinese exports to other third countries was maintained, if no measures were imposed, the Union market would likely continue to be among the primary targets of Chinese dumped exports.
Juni 2016
Comments from interested parties following the provisional Regulation and following definitive disclosure
Juli 2016
Following the provisional Regulation, the complainant referred to the fact that the PRC has announced since 2008 several plans to tackle the steel overcapacity, but that none of them has succeeded.
Gennemsnitlig kinesisk importpris
Following definitive disclosure, the complainant reiterated that previous Chinese attempts to limit the domestic steel overcapacity have also failed.
(EUR/ton)
As a consequence, according to this interested party, the Chinese government is likely to be unable to cure the huge overcapacity that has affected the steel sector for many years and which it has tried and failed to resolve a number of previous times.
Den seneste tids stigning i de kinesiske importpriser skal ses i følgende kontekst:
On the other hand, following definitive disclosure, another interested party mentioned that the Chinese government has recently announced that it had met his targets for the reduction of capacity in the steel sector in 2016 and that it was strongly committed to further reduce capacity in the steel sector.
Niveauet i de seneste tre måneder (juli-september 2016) lå stadig under de gennemsnitlige produktionsomkostninger for EU-erhvervsgrenen (ca. 431 EUR/ton ved udgangen af undersøgelsesperioden, som vist i tabel 11 i betragtning 104 i forordningen om midlertidig told).
Concerning the argument that the Chinese government has consistently failed to reduce the massive steel overcapacity, the Commission is required to perform a prospective analysis in a threat of injury-case.
En af de vigtigste grunde til disse globale prisstigninger for den pågældende vare er stigningen i råvarepriserne.
Concerning the opposite argument on the reduction of the Chinese capacity made by other interested parties, the Commission reiterated that the information and projections that are available concerning the Chinese capacity of crude steel and the product concerned show inconsistencies.
I denne forbindelse skal det bemærkes, at Kina og Australien er blandt de lande, der har den største produktion af kokskul i verden.
However, while not disputing the Chinese serious commitments to reduce its capacity, the fact remains that the existing Chinese overcapacity, as shown in Table 20 of the Provisional Regulation, is so massive that it cannot realistically disappear in the short or medium-term period.
Den voldsomme prisstigning for kokskul er vist i nedenstående figur [16].
Concerning the absorption capacity of third countries, one interested party referred to the fact that Malaysia and Turkey terminated two investigations on hot-rolled coils against the PRC.
Figur 1
Therefore, this interested party concluded that the alleged likelihood of a trade diversion to the Union has lessened.
Udviklingen i prisen på kokskul
These statements were rejected: As mentioned in recital (74), other countries are likely to adopt measures, which makes it unlikely that third countries would start absorbing on their own the huge Chinese capacity.
Kokskul af høj kvalitet, kontrakt (USD/t, fob Queensland)
Concerning the absorption capacity of the PRC, no comments were received from any interested party.
250 USD/t
Price level of imports
230 USD/t
Concerning the price level of imports, recital (142) of the provisional Regulation mentioned that the average import prices from the country concerned decreased by 33 %, from 600 EUR/tonne in 2012 to 404 EUR/tonne in 2015.
210 USD/t
Furthermore, the table in recital (145) of the provisional Regulation showed a further continuing decrease of Chinese unit prices during the post-investigation period January-June 2016 when entering the Union market.
170 USD/t
Table 5
150 USD/t
Average Chinese import prices during the post-IP
130 USD/t
January 2016
90 USD/t
July 2016
70 USD/t
August 2016
Derfor kan det antages, at priserne for den pågældende vare vil begynde at falde igen, når virkningerne af disse usædvanlige omstændigheder for kokskul er ebbet ud.
September 2016
En anden interesseret part nævnte også, at importpriserne for nyligt er begyndt at stige.
Average import prices of Chinese imports
Kommissionen bekræftede, som beskrevet i tabellen i betragtning 84, at de kinesiske importpriser steg i perioden juli-september 2016.
(EUR/tonne)
Disse interesserede parter nævner imidlertid ikke, at priserne steg globalt som følge af en stigning i råvarepriserne, navnlig for kokskul, som beskrevet i betragtning 85 ovenfor.
The recent rise in the Chinese import prices must be put in the following context:
For det andet gjorde den gældende, at Kommissionens udtalelse om, at den gennemsnitlige importpris i den seneste periode juli-september 2016 var lavere end EU-erhvervsgrenens produktionsomkostninger ved udgangen af UP, er misvisende, da en sådan sammenligning er baseret på to forskellige perioder, og den derfor sammenligner to forskellige ting.
The Chinese import prices were not the only ones to increase after 30 June 2016.
Kommissionen modtog lignende bemærkninger fra en italiensk bruger og fra andre kinesiske eksporterende producenter.
Import prices of other main exporting countries to the Union also increased after 30 June 2016.
En af de kinesiske eksporterende producenter anførte, at importpriserne faldt med 13,5 % mellem januar 2016 og september 2016.
The level reached in the last three months (July-September 2016) was still below the average costs of production of the EU industry (around 431 EUR/tonne at the end of the investigation period, as shown in Table 11 of recital (104) of the provisional Regulation).
En anden kinesisk eksporterende producent bemærkede også, at en tendens med stigende importpriser er en indikation på, at der ikke er nogen trussel om skade, og henviste i den forbindelse til retspraksis.
Hence, despite the increased in price levels, the enormous price depression remains, which puts the EU industry into an unsustainable position.
Hvad angår påstanden om, at Kommissionen har tilsidesat det almindelige princip i grundforordningens artikel 3, stk. 9, gentager Kommissionen for det første, at den har baseret sin afgørelse på kendsgerninger og ikke på påstande, formodninger eller fjerne muligheder.
One important reason for these global price increases of the product concerned is the increase in the raw material prices.
Kommissionen tog hensyn til forhold som dataene i tabel 5 og fortolkede disse data, hvor der var registreret et prisfald frem til juni 2016, og derefter en stigning, hvilket primært skyldtes en stigning råvarepriserne, jf. betragtning 85 ovenfor.
In particular, prices of coking coal nearly doubled (to about 200 EUR/tonne) in October 2016, compared to prices in the first half of 2016.
For det andet kom CISA ikke selv med en plausibel alternativ forklaring på udviklingen i de kinesiske importpriser.
This was caused by the combined effect of mandatory working hours' reductions for Chinese coal mines and a number of disruptions at Australian mines.
For det tredje har Kommissionen ikke analyseret udviklingen i de kinesiske priser som en enkeltstående faktor, men har anvendt en samlet tilgang.
In this context, it should be noted that the PRC and Australia are among the top producing countries of coking coal in the world.
Den vægtede og vurderede både alle de faktorer, der er anført i grundforordningens artikel 3, stk. 9, andet afsnit, samt nogle yderligere faktorer som f.eks. ordretilgang og rentabilitet (se afsnit 4.5. nedenfor), således at den har et solidt faktuelt grundlag for den samlede vurdering.
The dramatic price increase of coking coals is shown in the chart below [16].
Hvad angår påstanden om, at Kommissionen bevidst har vildledt de interesserede parter ved at sammenligne den gennemsnitlige importpris i perioden juli-september 2016 med EU-erhvervsgrenens produktionsomkostninger ved udgangen af UP, har Kommissionen klart skelnet mellem de to perioder.
Chart
I denne forbindelse er det endvidere vigtigt at fremhæve, at dataene om EU-erhvervsgrenens produktionsomkostninger ved udgangen af UP var de nyeste tilgængelige oplysninger i denne sag, eftersom dataene om perioden efter UP om EU-erhvervsgrenens produktionsomkostninger ikke er indsamlet.
Evolution of coking coal prices
Under alle omstændigheder gælder det, at selv hvis EU-erhvervsgrenens produktionsomkostninger hypotetisk set var faldet i den seneste periode, ville det ikke være et bevis for, at det kinesiske prisniveau i september 2016 ikke stadig lagde et enormt pres på EU's stålindustri.
Premium coking coal, contract (USD/t, fob Qld)
Denne påstand afvises derfor.
Premium coking coal (USD/t, fob Qld)
Selv med de stigende priser på kinesisk import fra juli 2016 og fremefter og da der ikke blev fremsat andre bemærkninger, afkræfter dataene for perioden efter UP ikke konklusionen om, at de kinesiske prisfald har ført til en trussel om skade.
USD 250/t
Denne trussel om skade blev ikke fjernet efter de nylige kinesiske importprisstigninger fra juli 2016 og fremefter.
USD 230/t
Lagerbeholdningernes størrelse
USD 170/t
Hvad angår lagerbeholdningerne, nævnte betragtning 147 i forordningen om midlertidig told, at Kommissionen fandt, at denne faktor ikke var særlig betydningsfuld for analysen, navnlig fordi EU-producenterne hovedsageligt fremstiller efter ordre, hvilket gør dem i stand til at holde deres lagerbeholdninger på så lavt et niveau som muligt.
USD 150/t
Med hensyn til lagerbeholdningerne i Kina var Kommissionen ikke i stand til at finde omfattende oplysninger om perioden efter undersøgelsesperioden, hvad angår lagre, til trods for anmodninger herom til samarbejdsvillige kinesiske producenter samt egne undersøgelser.
USD 130/t
Der blev ikke modtaget bemærkninger fra interesserede parter vedrørende lagerbeholdningernes størrelse.
USD 110/t
Som konklusion var lagrene af stål i Kina på omkring samme niveau efter den 30. juni 2016 som angivet i betragtning 150 i forordningen om midlertidig told.
USD 90/t
Kommissionen bekræftede derfor sin konklusion i betragtning 151 i forordningen om midlertidig told.
USD 70/t
Andre forhold: Rentabilitet og ordretilgange i Unionen for EU-erhvervsgrenen
Source: Platts, Bloomberg, CBA estimates Therefore, it can be assumed that prices for the product concerned will start to decrease again, once the impact of these exceptional circumstances concerning coking coal have faded out.
Opdatering af data for perioden efter UP
One interested party mentioned that the analysis of the Commission is limited to June 2016, whereas prices of imports of the product concerned have been continuously increasing after June 2016.
Som angivet i betragtning 155 i forordningen om midlertidig told faldt ordretilgangen.
It requested the Commission to take into consideration these most recent data.
Endvidere viste undersøgelsen en yderligere forværring af rentabiliteten for klagerne, som tegner sig for omkring 90 % af EU-erhvervsgrenens samlede produktion.
Another interested party also mentioned that the prices of imports recently started increasing.
De tilgængelige data for perioden juli 2015 frem til juni 2016 viser en yderligere forværring i rentabiliteten, trods en mere positiv tendens (i forhold til 2015) for ordretilgangen som følger:
The Commission confirmed, as laid out in the table under recital (84), that Chinese import prices increased in the period July-September 2016.
Tabel 6
However, these interested parties failed to mention that prices increased globally, due to a rise in raw material prices, in particular of coking coal, as laid out in recital (85) above.
Udviklingen i klagernes rentabilitet og ordretilgang
Following definitive disclosure, the China Iron and Steel Association (CISA) argued again that the Commission was violating the general principle of Article 3(9) of the basic Regulation since a determination of a threat of material must ‘be based on facts and not based on an allegation, conjecture or remote possibility’.
Kilde: Eurofer, alle kontrolleret bortset fra sidste kolonne.
It referred in this context to ‘a particular context, which is made up out of mere possibilities’.
Betegnelse
Second, it alleged that the statement of the Commission that the average import price during the most recent period July-September 2016 was below the cost of production of the Union industry at the end of the IP is misleading since such a comparison is based on two different periods, and therefore, it is not an ‘apple to apple’ comparison.
April 2015 — marts 2016
Similar comments were received from an Italian user and from the other Chinese exporting producers.
Juli 2015 — juni 2016
One of these Chinese exporting producers mentioned that the prices of imports have decreased by 13,5 % between January 2016 and September 2016.
Rentabilitet
Another Chinese exporting producer also commented that a trend of rising import prices is an indication that there is no threat of injury and referred in this respect to the case-law.
> 5 % til – 7 %
The Commission took into consideration facts such as the data in Table 5, and interpreted these data, whereby a decrease in prices had been noted till June 2016, and thereafter an increase, mainly due to an increase in raw material prices as laid out in recital (85) above.
7 til – 9 %
Second, CISA itself does not provide an alternative plausible explanation for the evolution of Chinese import prices.
Ordretilgang
Third, the Commission has not analysed the trend of Chinese prices as an isolated factor, but has taken a comprehensive approach.
Kommissionen var enig i, at ordretilgangen var steget lidt, men henviste samtidig til de rekordstore tab, som klagerne havde lidt, og som også fremgik af denne samme tabel.
Concerning the allegation that the Commission misled the interested parties intentionally by comparing the average import price during the period July-September 2016 with the cost of production of the Union industry at the end of the IP, the Commission clearly distinguished both periods.
Selv om der muligvis var en fremgang for EU-producenterne i den seneste periode efter UP, ville en sådan fremgang derfor ikke opveje de dramatisk stigende tab i samme periode.
Furthermore, in this context, it is important to highlight that the cost of production-data of the Union industry at the end of the IP were the most recent available data in this proceeding since post-IP data on the costs of production of the Union industry are not collected.
Som konklusion og da der ikke blev fremsat andre bemærkninger, fandt Kommissionen en yderligere forværring af klagernes rentabilitet i den seneste periode.
In any case, even if — hypothetically — the cost of production of the Union industry in the most recent period had decreased, this would not invalidate the fact that the level of Chinese prices in September 2016 had been still exerting an enormous prices pressure on the Union steel industry.
Derfor er vurderingen af, at der eksisterede en trussel om en umiddelbart forestående skade i slutningen af 2015, ikke blevet afkræftet.
Concerning the allegation that the Commission did not follow the case-law, the Commission noted that this argument is inoperative, as the Commission in the present case did analyse the development of prices of raw materials in the post-investigation period, as shown in recital (85).
Den yderligere forværring i rentabiliteten i hele første halvdel af 2016 bekræftede snarere rigtigheden af Kommissionens vurdering af denne indikator.
Hence, this argument is rejected.
Ændring i omstændighederne, som kan forudses og er umiddelbart forestående
Even with the rising prices of Chinese import prices from July 2016 onwards, and absent any other comments, the post-IP data on prices do as a whole not invalidate the finding that the Chinese price decreases had led to a threat of injury.
I grundforordningens artikel 3, stk. 9, hedder det: »Den ændring i omstændighederne, der vil kunne skabe en situation, hvor den pågældende dumping vil forvolde skade, skal klart have kunnet forudses og være umiddelbart forestående.«
This threat of injury was not removed by the recent rising Chinese import prices from July 2016 onwards.
Som angivet i betragtning 157 i forordningen om midlertidig told er alle ovennævnte faktorer blevet undersøgt og efterprøvet hvad angår undersøgelsesperioden.
As set out in recital (85), even this increased price level does not stop the enormous price depression which puts the EU industry into an unsustainable position when comparing the increased Chinese prices with the cost of production of the Union producers at the end of the investigation period.
Især faldt rentabiliteten hos EU-producenterne i stikprøven til et uholdbart niveau på – 10 % i fjerde kvartal 2015, hvor det kinesiske pristryk var på sit højeste.
Finally, the Commission concluded that increasing import prices might only be a temporary trend, which is likely to stop once the reasons for the raw material price increases have faded out.
Endvidere viste oplysningerne fra perioden efter undersøgelsesperioden, at denne negative tendens i EU-rentabiliteten, som begyndte i andet halvår af 2015, fortsatte i første halvår af 2016.
The Chinese exporting producers had an aggressive price setting in the Union market, in particular in the second half of 2015 and the first half of 2016.
De tilgængelige data for perioden juli-september 2016 viste et blandet billede.
If no measures are taken, and taking into account the massive existing Chinese excess capacity in steel, including the product concerned, Chinese exporting producers could maintain an aggressive price strategy, lowering their sales prices to minimal levels.
Selv om importmængderne fra Kina faldt, udgjorde overkapaciteten fortsat en trussel.
Level of inventories
For så vidt angår stigningen i de kinesiske priser i den samme periode, gælder det, at selv hvis EU-erhvervsgrenens produktionsomkostninger hypotetisk set var faldet i den seneste periode, er det et faktum, at det kinesiske prisniveau i september 2016 stadig lagde et enormt pres på EU's stålindustri.
Concerning the level of inventories, recital (147) of the provisional Regulation mentioned that the Commission did not consider this factor of any particular significance, mainly because Union producers produce on order, a feature which enables them to keep their inventory at low levels.
Det følger heraf, at truslen om skade var umiddelbart forestående og kunne forudses efter udgangen af undersøgelsesperioden.
With regards to stocks in the PRC, the Commission was again unable to find comprehensive post-investigation data on stocks despite requests to Chinese cooperating producers and its own researches.
Kommissionen bekræftede derfor, at der var en ændring i omstændighederne, som kunne forudses og var umiddelbart forestående ved udgangen af undersøgelsesperioden, hvilket ville have skabt en situation, hvori dumpingen ville havet forårsaget skade.
Nevertheless, the Commission found that steel inventories in the warehouses of 40 major Chinese cities reportedly decreased to 8,89 million tonnes late October 2016 from 9,41 million tonnes late September 2016.
Konklusioner vedrørende trussel om skade
Furthermore, the steel inventories of 80 major Chinese mills amounted to 13,46 million tonnes late September 2016 [17] compared to 16,07 million tonnes late September 2015.
Som nævnt i betragtning 158 i forordningen om midlertidig told, gælder det, at selv om EU-erhvervsgrenen begyndte at rejse sig igen i løbet af 2014 og i det første halvår af 2015, begyndte næsten alle skadesindikatorer at falde drastisk i andet halvår af 2015.
No comments were received from interested parties concerning the level of inventories.
De tilgængelige data for perioden juli-september 2016 viser et blandet billede.
In conclusion, steel inventories in the PRC remained at about the same levels after 30 June 2016 as the one laid out in recital (150) of the provisional Regulation.
De kinesiske importmængder faldt, men overkapaciteten udgjorde stadig en trussel, og priserne var fortsat lavere end EU-erhvervsgrenens produktionsomkostninger på trods af den seneste stigning.
The Commission therefore confirmed its finding in recital (151) of the provisional Regulation.
I lyset af denne analyse konkluderede Kommissionen, at der var en trussel om en ændring i omstændighederne, som kan forudses og er umiddelbart forestående, for EU-erhvervsgrenen ved udgangen af undersøgelsesperioden.
Other elements: Profitability and order intakes in the Union by the Union industry
Denne vurdering blev ikke afkræftet af udviklingen efter UP, som blev analyseret ovenfor.
Updating the post-IP data
Desuden afviste Kommissionen CISA's påstande — efter den endelige fremlæggelse af oplysninger — om, at Kommissionens vurdering ikke var i overensstemmelse med retspraksis, ved at bemærke følgende to forskelle mellem sin tilgang i denne sag og den, der førte til vedtagelsen af Rådets forordning (EF) nr. 926/2009 [18]:
As set out in recital (155) of the provisional Regulation, order intakes developed negatively.