natgillin/translations-raw huggingface dataset:
En række interesserede parter påstod, at en eventuel kommende forværring af EU-erhvervsgrenens resultater ikke vil skyldes importen fra de pågældende lande, men derimod med et fald i forbruget i Unionen.
Several interested parties claimed that any future decline in the performance of the Union industry, if any, would not be linked to imports from the countries concerned but rather to a decline in consumption in the Union.
Dette fald i forbruget skulle angiveligt hænge sammen med ikke blot ændringer i modetendenserne, som er skiftet fra formelt fodtøj til fritidssko, men også med markedsafmatningen.
This decline in consumption would allegedly be linked, not only to changes in fashion trends that has moved from formal towards more casual footwear but also to the downturn in the market.
Dette vil angiveligt skabe en øget tendens hos forbrugerne til at ændre præferencer til fordel for lavprissegmentet, som typisk er repræsenteret ved import fra tredjelande.
This event would increase the tendency of the consumer to switch preference in favour of low price segment typically represented by imports from third countries
Et fald i det samlede forbrug vil efter al sandsynlighed have en negativ virkning på EU-producenternes resultater.
A drop in overall consumption would in all likelihood have a detrimental effect on the performance of the Union producers.
Det kan dog også forventes, at et fald i forbrugernes købekraft vil gøre markedet mindre smidigt over for kortsigtede modetendenser, hvilket vil give den klassiske »brune sko« en genopblomstring, da det er EU-erhvervsgrenens stærkeste segment.
It can however also be expected that a decrease in purchasing power of the consumer will make the market less responsive to short term fashion-trends leading to a revival of the classical ‘brown shoe’ which is the segment where the Union industry is the strongest.
Det kan således ikke konkluderes, at et fald i forbruget vil ramme EU-producerede sko hårdere end de importerede sko.
It can thus not be concluded that a drop in consumption would hit Union produced shoes harder than those imported.
Mens EU-producenterne sandsynligvis vil blive påvirket af et fald i forbruget, vil virkningen af betydelige mængder af dumpingimport fra de pågældende lande stadig være en væsentlig årsag til skade, hvis foranstaltninger får lov at udløbe.
Overall, while the Union producers most likely will be affected by a drop in consumption the effect of large volumes of dumped imports from the countries concerned will still be a very significant cause of injury should measures be allowed to lapse.
Sandsynlig virkning af de forringede eksportresultater
Likely impact of drop in export performance
Enkelte interesserede parter har også påstået, at EU-producenterne vil mærke den økonomiske krise særligt hårdt på deres eksportresultater.
It has also been argued by some interested parties that the economic downturn will be particularly hard felt on the export side in the Union production.
Det kan i den forbindelse antages, at den økonomiske krise, som mærkes på verdensplan, også vil indvirke på Unionens samlede eksport.
In this context it can be presumed that the financial downturn, which will be felt across the world, will also have an impact on Union exports.
Et fald i eksportaktiviteten vil sandsynligvis bidrage negativt til den generelle udvikling i sektoren, men det skal dog erindres, at tre fjerdedele af EU-producenternes aktivitet er rettet mod hjemmemarkedet i Unionen.
While a drop in export activity could certainly contribute negatively to the general development of the sector it should however be born in mind that three quarters of the Union producers’ activity is geared to the domestic Union market.
På denne baggrund kan det ikke konkluderes, at den sandsynlige virkning af de forringede eksportresultater i sig selv vil bryde årsagssammenhængen mellem dumpingimporten og den skade, der påføres EU-producenterne.
Considering this, it cannot be concluded that the likely impact of the downturn of the export performance in itself would break the causal link between dumped imports and injury caused to the Union producers.
Sandsynlige virkninger af EU-producenternes strukturelle problemer og manglende effektivitet
Likely impact of structural problems and lack of efficiency amongst Union producers
Det er også blevet påstået, at EU-producenterne tidligere har haft problemer med at udnytte foranstaltningerne, hvilket skyldes, at deres problemer hænger sammen med strukturelle problemer og manglende effektivitet i erhvervsgrenen og ikke med den påståede dumping fra Kina og Vietnam.
It has also been argued that the Union producers have had problems benefiting from measures in the past due to the fact that the source of the problems suffered are linked to structural problems and inefficiency in the industry rather than to the alleged dumping from China and Vietnam.
Ifølge disse påstande vil den økonomiske krise forværre de strukturelle problemer i sektoren og yderligere løsne sammenhængen mellem den påførte skade og dumpingen.
According to these claims, the event of the economic downturn will deepen the structural problems in the sector and further dilute the link between the injury suffered and the dumping.
Det skal først og fremmes erindres, at det af undersøgelsen fremgik, at EU-producenterne uanset deres konkurrencemæssige position er blevet påført væsentlig skade af dumpingimporten.
First and foremost it is recalled that the investigation has shown that, irrespective of their competitive position, the Union producers have been materially injured by the imports of dumped imports.
Det skal dog under alle omstændigheder bemærkes, at EU-erhvervsgrenen, jf. ovenfor, har registeret en delvis genrejsning, selv om den stadig var i en vanskelig situation, i den betragtede periode og har været i stand til at opretholde en stabil markedsandel.
In any event, it should be noted as demonstrated above, that the Union industry while still in a precarious situation has shown at least a partial recovery in the period considered and have been able to maintain a stable market share.
En stor del af sektoren har desuden ændret forretningsmodel eller søger at gøre det i) ved at samle deres ressourcer i klynger for at udnytte specialiseringen bedst muligt og skabe stordriftsfordele for grupperne, ii) gennem direkte salg til detailhandlere og iii) ved at producere sko til det mellemste/dyreste og det dyreste segment.
Moreover a large part of the sector has been able to redefine business model or is trying to through (i) the grouping of resources in clusters making the most of specialisation and allowing the groups to benefit from economies of scale, (ii) the direct sales to retailers and (iii) the production of shoes in the mid-upper and upper segments.
Det er yderst usandsynligt, at erhvervsgrenen ville have kunnet fortsætte med denne proces, hvis foranstaltningerne ikke var blevet indført, og de virksomheder, som er i gang med at ændre deres forretningsmodel, vil med stor sandsynlighed ikke kunne gennemføre denne proces.
It is highly unlikely that the industry would have been able to carry through with this process had the measures not been in place and in any case those which are now in the process of changing their business model will in all likelihood not be able to complete it.
Det kan dog også forventes, at markedsafmatningen vil øge presset og muligvis også sætte en stopper for processen i de virksomheder, der endnu ikke har været i stand til at tilpasse sig ved at ændre forretningsmodel.
It can however also be expected that the market downturn will increase pressure and possibly also halt the process for the companies that have still not been able to refocus by way of a change in business model.
Situationen for disse virksomheder risikerer at blive forværret yderligere, og mange virksomheder i denne gruppe vil måske endda lukke, når konkurrencen forøges.
The situation of these companies will risk deteriorating even further and many companies in this group may even be going out of business as competition intensifies.
De virksomheder, der har indført de mere avancerede forretningsmodeller, vil sandsynligvis heller ikke undslippe virkningen af markedsafmatningen, idet priserne i det mellemste/højeste segment, som de er specialiserede i, sandsynligvis også vil blive udsat for et generelt pres i nedadgående retning.
The companies that have adopted the more advanced business models are not likely to escape the effects of the market downturn either as the prices in the high/medium segment in which they are specialised, also is likely to be subject to an overall downward pressure.
For så vidt angår vurderingen af situationen i den betragtede periode, vil det dog være vanskeligt at påstå, at den økonomiske krise alene vil kunne bryde årsagssammenhængen med dumpingimporten.
Nevertheless, as for the assessment of the situation seen in the period considered, it would be difficult to argue that, on its own, the event of the economic downturn would break the causal link with dumped imports.
Tværtimod vil det pres i nedadgående retning på priserne, som understøttes af dumpingimport til billige priser, sandsynligvis også skabe en dominoeffekt og tvinge en endnu større del af EU-produktionen til det samme segment som dumpingimporten og dermed dumpingimportens pres på EU-producenterne, jf. betragtning 302.
On the contrary, as detailed above in recital 302 downward pressure on price sustained by cheap dumped imports will most likely also, generate a domino effect, forcing an even larger share of the Union production towards the same segment as the dumped imports so as to increase the pressure of the dumped imports on the Union producers.
Under sådanne omstændigheder vil EU-producenterne derfor blive mere afhængige end nogensinde af foranstaltningerne i fremtiden.
Under such circumstances Union producers would therefore be more dependent than ever on the existence of measures in the future.
Sandsynlige følgevirkninger af importen fra tredjelande
Likely effects of imports from third countries
Det blev også undersøgt, om importen fra tredjelande kunne have indflydelse på EU-erhvervsgrenens situation, hvis foranstaltningerne får lov at udløbe.
It was also examined whether imports from third countries would be likely to have an impact on the situation of the Union industry should measures allow to lapse.
Det blev i den forbindelse påstået, at tredjelandenes eksport til Unionen er steget konstant og at der i kølvandet på de højere omkostninger i Kina og Vietnam og den økonomiske krise er den vigtigste kilde til bekymring for Unionen i fremtiden.
In this context it has been held that third countries exports to the Union have been constantly growing and that in the wake of higher costs in China and Vietnam and coupled with the economic downturn, these would be the main cause of concern to the Union in the future.
Med prisforskellen mellem dumpingimporten fra de pågældende lande og importen fra tredjelande in mente vil det dog være temmelig sandsynligt, at eksporten fra Kina og Vietnam vil vinde priskampen over importen fra tredjelande.
Bearing in mind the price difference between the dumped imports from the countries concerned and those of third countries it would however rather be likely that Chinese and Vietnamese exports will gain a price edge over imports from third countries.
Dette tyder til gengæld på et relativt fald i importen fra disse lande i fremtiden.
This would in turn point to a relative decrease of such imports in the future.
Som det fremgår af afsnit C.3 og C.4, tyder intet på, at de kinesiske eller vietnamesiske eksportører vil trække sig ud af EU-markedet.
As demonstrated above in sections C.3 and C.4 there are no signs that the Chinese or Vietnamese exporters are likely to withdraw their presence on the Union market.
Tværtimod kunne den omfattende ledige kapacitet antyde, at de har et incitament til at blive på markedet så længe som muligt.
On the contrary, the large capacities at hand would suggest that they have an incentive to stay in the market as long as possible.
Ud fra ovenstående vil virkningen af importen fra andre tredjelande på EU-erhvervsgrenens situation efter al sandsynlighed blive mindre, hvis foranstaltningerne får lov at udløbe.
In view of the above, imports from third countries would in all likelihood have less of an impact on the situation of the Union industry should measures lapse.
Sandsynlige virkninger af svingninger i valutakurserne
Likely impact of fluctuations in exchange rates
Det er også blevet påstået, at EU-producenternes skade sandsynligvis vil mindske som følge af dollarens opskrivning i forhold til euroen.
It has also been argued that the injury to the Union producers is likely to decrease as a result of the appreciation of the USD to the EURO.
Svingningerne i valutakurserne vil sætte priserne i vejret på den dumpingimport, der handles i euro og dermed indsnævre prisforskellen mellem dumpingimporten og EU-producenternes priser.
The fluctuation in currency would push up the prices of the dumped imports that are traded in Euro so as to close the price gap between the dumped imports and Union producer prices.
Der skal i den forbindelse mindes om, at undersøgelsen skal fastslå, om dumpingimporten (med hensyn til priser og mængde) har forvoldt (eller sandsynligvis vil forvolde) EU-erhvervsgrenen væsentlig skade, eller om en sådan væsentlig skade (eller sandsynlighed derfor) kan skyldes andre faktorer.
In this context it should be noted that the investigation has to establish whether the dumped imports (in terms of prices and volume) have caused (or are likely to cause) material injury to the Union industry or whether such material injury (or likelihood thereof) was due to other factors.
I den forbindelse fremgår det af grundforordningens artikel 3, stk. 6, at det skal dokumenteres, at dumpingimportens prisniveau forvolder (eller sandsynligvis vil forvolde) skade.
In this respect, Article 3(6) of the basic Regulation states that it is necessary to show that the price level of the dumped imports cause (or are likely to cause) injury.
Dumpingimportens sandsynlige virkninger for EU-erhvervsgrenens priser undersøges hovedsageligt gennem fastsættelse af prisunderbuddet, prisfaldet og pristrykket.
The likely effect of the dumped imports on the Union industry's prices is essentially examined by establishing price undercutting, price depression and price suppression.
Til dette formål sammenlignes de dumpede eksportpriser og EU-erhvervsgrenens salgspriser, og de eksportpriser, der anvendes til skadesberegningerne, skal i visse tilfælde omregnes til en anden valuta for at tilvejebringe et sammenligningsgrundlag.
For this purpose, the dumped export prices and the Union industry's sales prices are compared, and export prices used for the injury calculations may sometimes need to be converted into another currency in order to have a comparable basis.
Følgelig sikrer brugen af valutakurser i denne sammenhæng kun, at prisforskellen fastsættes på et sammenligneligt grundlag.
Consequently, the use of exchange rates in this context only ensures that the price difference is established on a comparable basis.
Selv hvis denne faktor blev taget i betragtning på grund af det sandsynlige pres på forbrugerpriserne på et marked i afmatning, er det dog usandsynligt, at importører, der køber deres varer fra de pågældende lande, ville være i stand til at øge priserne til detailhandlen som følge af dollarens opskrivning.
However, even in the event that this factor were taken into account, given the likely pressure on consumer prices in a context of a market downturn, it is unlikely that importers buying from the countries concerned would be able to increase prices to retail as a result of the appreciation of the USD.
Desuden er valutakurserne i sig selv vanskelige at forudsige, og der er i tiden efter undersøgelsesperioden sket en nedskrivning af dollaren i forhold til euroen, hvilket gør det umuligt at konkludere, at valutakurssvingningerne vil have en virkning i opadgående retning på priserne på dumpingimporten fra de pågældende lande.
Furthermore, exchange rates as such are very difficult to predict and a depreciation of the USD against the Euro has been seen post RIP making it impossible to conclude that the currency fluctuations will have an upwards effect on prices of dumped imports from the countries concerned.
Ud fra ovenstående kan det således ikke konkluderes, at udviklingen i valutakurserne kan være endnu en skadevoldende faktor.
In view of the foregoing it cannot be concluded that the development of exchange rate could be another factor causing injury.
KONKLUSION OM DEN SANDSYNLIGE VIRKNING AF ANDRE FAKTORER
CONCLUSION ON THE LIKELY IMPACT OF OTHER FACTORS
Ud fra ovenstående kan det ikke udelukkes, at andre faktorer såsom den økonomiske krise vil have en virkning på EU-producenternes økonomiske situation, men undersøgelsen har dog ikke vist, at de alene vil kunne bryde årsagssammenhængen mellem dumpingimporten og den fortsatte skade, som vil forvoldes EU-erhvervsgrenen.
As seen from the above, while it cannot be ruled out that other factors including the economic downturn will have an effect on the financial situation of the Union producers the investigation has not shown that on their own they would break the link between the dumped imports and the continued injury that the Union industry would suffer.
I. KONKLUSION OM FORTSAT SKADE
I. CONCLUSION ON THE CONTINUATION OF INJURY
Som det fremgår af afsnit G.4, har undersøgelsen vist, at EU-erhvervsgrenens skadelige situation er fortsat i undersøgelsesperioden.
As established above in section G4, the investigation has shown that the injurious situation of the Union industry has continued in the RIP.
Fortsat skade er i henhold til grundforordningens artikel 11, stk. 2, i sig selv en god indikator for, at skaden sandsynligvis også vil fortsatte i fremtiden, hvilket antyder, at foranstaltningerne bør bevares.
The continuation of injury is according to Article 11.2 of the basic Regulation in itself a strong indicator that injury is likely to also continue in the future which would suggest that measures should be kept in place.
Resultaterne vedrørende importen viser, at der sandsynligvis fortsat vil importeres store mængder til dumpingpriser, og at pristrykket (ikke mindst i forbindelse med den økonomiske krise) sandsynligvis vil forværre konkurrencen mellem dumpingimporterede sko og EU-producerede lædersko.
The findings pertaining to imports shows that imports of large volumes at dumped prices are likely to continue and that price pressure (not least in the context of the economic downturn) is likely to intensify the competition between dumped imports and Union produced leather shoes.
Undersøgelsen har også vist, at der ikke er andre kendte faktorer, der kan bryde årsagssammenhængen mellem dumpingimporten og den skade, der forvoldes EU-producenterne.
The investigation has also shown that there would be no other known factors that would break the strong link between the dumped imports and the injury Union producers would suffer.
En overordnet analyse af resultaterne af undersøgelsen antyder, at en ophævelse af foranstaltningerne sandsynligvis vil føre til fortsat import af store og måske endda øgede mængder fra både Kina og Vietnam til priser, der vil underbyde EU-erhvervsgrenens priser yderligere.
An overall analysis of the findings in the investigation indicates that the consequence of the lifting of measures would likely lead to continuously large and possibly increased volumes of imports from both China and Vietnam at prices which would even further undercut those of the Union industry.
Markedsafmatningen vil sandsynligvis forværre denne udvikling yderligere.
The market downturn would most likely further exacerbate this development.
Dumpingimporten ville derfor efter al sandsynlighed få en betydelig, skadevoldende indvirkning på EU-erhvervsgrenen.
The dumped imports would therefore most likely have significant detrimental effects on the Union industry.
Under disse omstændigheder ville EU-erhvervsgrenen enten også skulle sætte sine priser ned for at bevare sin markedsandel eller bibeholde salgspriserne på det nuværende niveau og i stedet miste kunder og i sidste instans omsætning.
Under such circumstances the Union industry would either have to follow the decrease in prices in order to maintain market share, or maintain sales prices at current levels and instead lose customers and eventually sales.
I førstnævnte tilfælde ville EU-erhvervsgrenen skulle operere med et tab, og i sidstnævnte tilfælde ville de mistede salgsmængder som sådan i sidste ende føre til øgede omkostninger efterfulgt af tab.
In the former case, the Union industry would have to operate at a loss and in the latter case the loss of sales as such would eventually lead to increased costs followed by losses.
Desuden har EU-erhvervsgrenen i mange år lidt under følgerne af dumpingimport og befinder sig nu i en vanskelig økonomisk situation.
Moreover, the Union industry has suffered the effects of dumped imports for many years and is currently in a precarious economic situation.
Det er dog også blevet konkluderet, at en stor del af EU-producenterne har været i stand til at omlægge deres forretningsmodel og koncentrere sig om det mellemste/dyreste varesegment med højere merværdi og med mere strømlinede distributionskanaler.
However, it has also been established that a large part of the Union producers have been able to redefine their business models, concentrating on higher added value, mid to high end product segment and with more streamlined distribution channels.
Denne gruppe absorberer desuden gradvist aktiviteten fra den del af erhvervsgrenen, der endnu ikke har været i stand til at tilpasse og gennemføre nye forretningsmodeller, og der vil være behov for en yderligere tilpasningsperiode for at afslutte denne ændringsproces i hele erhvervsgrenen.
This group is also gradually absorbing the activity of the part of industry that has not yet been able to adjust and implement new business models and a further adjustment period would be needed to complete this change-over across the entire industry.
Hvis foranstaltningerne ophører på dette vanskelige tidspunkt, vil EU-producenternes situation forværres, og der vil sandsynligvis blive sat en stopper for overgangen til en ny forretningsmodel og en stor del af erhvervsgrenens overlevelse vil blive bragt i fare.
Should the measures be terminated at this sensitive stage, the situation of the Union producers would deteriorate and the process of moving to a new business model would be likely halted and the very existence of a large part of the industry would be jeopardized.
Derfor har undersøgelsen vist, at der på grund af importen fra både Kina og Vietnam er en stor sandsynlighed for fortsat skade for EU-erhvervsgrenen på kort og mellemlang sigt, indtil tilpasningsprocessen er afsluttet.
Therefore the investigation has revealed that there is, due to imports from both China and Vietnam, a clear likelihood of continuation of injury to the Union industry for the short/medium term, until the process of adjustment has been completed.
BEMÆRKNINGER VEDRØRENDE FORMELLE OG PROCEDUREMÆSSIGE SPØRGSMÅL OG PARTERNES RET TIL AT FORSVARE SIG
COMMENTS RECEIVED PERTAINING TO FORMAL, PROCEDURAL AND RIGHTS OF DEFENCE MATTERS
Hemmeligholdelse af klagernes navne
Confidentiality of the names of the complainant
En række interesserede parter gentog deres bekymringer i forbindelse med den fortrolige behandling af klageren og påstod, at intet i det dokument, der støttede påstanden, tydede på, at klagernes situation ville blive forværret, hvis deres identitet blev offentliggjort.
Several interested parties repeated their concerns as to the confidentiality treatment granted to the complainant, claiming that there was no trace in the file in support of the allegation that the situation of the complainant would be negatively affected should their identity be disclosed.