nasa-gesdisc/es-publications-researchareas huggingface dataset:
Sulfur dioxide and primary carbonaceous aerosol emissions in China and India, 19962010 (2011)

Abstract. China and India are the two largest anthropogenic aerosol generating countries in the world. In this study, we develop a new inventory of sulfur dioxide (SO2) and primary carbonaceous aerosol (i.e., black and organic carbon, BC and OC) emissions from these two countries for the period 19962010, using a technology-based methodology. Emissions from major anthropogenic sources and open biomass burning are included, and time-dependent trends in activity rates and emission factors are incorporated in the calculation. Year-specific monthly temporal distributions for major sectors and gridded emissions at a resolution of 0.10.1 distributed by multiple year-by-year spatial proxies are also developed. In China, the interaction between economic development and environmental protection causes large temporal variations in the emission trends. From 1996 to 2000, emissions of all three species showed a decreasing trend (by 9 %17 %) due to a slowdown in economic growth, a decline in coal use in non-power sectors, and the implementation of air pollution control measures. With the economic boom after 2000, emissions from China changed dramatically. BC and OC emissions increased by 46 % and 33 % to 1.85 Tg and 4.03 Tg in 2010. SO2 emissions first increased by 61 % to 34.0 Tg in 2006, and then decreased by 9.2 % to 30.8 Tg in 2010 due to the wide application of flue-gas desulfurization (FGD) equipment in power plants. Driven by the remarkable energy consumption growth and relatively lax emission controls, emissions from India increased by 70 %, 41 %, and 35 % to 8.81 Tg, 1.02 Tg, and 2.74 Tg in 2010 for SO2, BC, and OC, respectively. Monte Carlo simulations are used to quantify the emission uncertainties. The average 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) of SO2, BC, and OC emissions are estimated to be 16 %17 %, 43 %93 %, and 43 %80 % for China, and 15 %16 %, 41 %87 %, and 44 %92 % for India, respectively. Sulfur content, fuel use, and sulfur retention of hard coal and the actual FGD removal efficiency are the main contributors to the uncertainties of SO2 emissions. Biofuel combustion related parameters (i.e., technology divisions, fuel use, and emission factor determinants) are the largest source of OC uncertainties, whereas BC emissions are also sensitive to the parameters of coal combustion in the residential and industrial sectors and the coke-making process. Comparing our results with satellite observations, we find that the trends of estimated emissions in both China and India are in good agreement with the trends of aerosol optical depth (AOD) and SO2 retrievals obtained from different satellites.

Research areas: Air Quality, Energy Production/Use, Environmental Impacts
Sulfur dioxide emissions in China and sulfur trends in East Asia since 2000 (2010)

Abstract. With the rapid development of the economy, the sulfur dioxide (SO2) emission from China since 2000 is of increasing concern. In this study, we estimate the annual SO2 emission in China after 2000 using a technology-based methodology specifically for China. From 2000 to 2006, total SO2 emission in China increased by 53%, from 21.7 Tg to 33.2 Tg, at an annual growth rate of 7.3%. Emissions from power plants are the main sources of SO2 in China and they increased from 10.6 Tg to 18.6 Tg in the same period. Geographically, emission from north China increased by 85%, whereas that from the south increased by only 28%. The emission growth rate slowed around 2005, and emissions began to decrease after 2006 mainly due to the wide application of flue-gas desulfurization (FGD) devices in power plants in response to a new policy of China's government. This paper shows that the trend of estimated SO2 emission in China is consistent with the trends of SO2 concentration and acid rain pH and frequency in China, as well as with the increasing trends of background SO2 and sulfate concentration in East Asia. A longitudinal gradient in the percentage change of urban SO2 concentration in Japan is found during 20002007, indicating that the decrease of urban SO2 is lower in areas close to the Asian continent. This implies that the transport of increasing SO2 from the Asian continent partially counteracts the local reduction of SO2 emission downwind. The aerosol optical depth (AOD) products of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) are found to be highly correlated with the surface solar radiation (SSR) measurements in East Asia. Using MODIS AOD data as a surrogate of SSR, we found that China and East Asia excluding Japan underwent a continuous dimming after 2000, which is in line with the dramatic increase in SO2 emission in East Asia. The trends of AOD from both satellite retrievals and model over East Asia are also consistent with the trend of SO2 emission in China, especially during the second half of the year, when sulfur contributes the largest fraction of AOD. The arrested growth in SO2 emissions since 2006 is also reflected in the decreasing trends of SO2 and SO42 concentrations, acid rain pH values and frequencies, and AOD over East Asia.

Research areas: Air Quality, Sun-Earth Interactions, Energy Production/Use
Sources of black carbon deposition to the Himalayan glaciers in current and future climates (2018)

The Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry and a modified version of the Evaluating the Climate and Air Quality Impacts of Short-Lived Pollutants (ECLIPSE) 5a emission inventory were used to investigate the sources impacting black carbon (BC) deposition to the Himalaya, Karakoram, and Hindu Kush (HKHK) region. This work extends previous studies by simulating deposition to the HKHK region not only under current conditions but also in the 20402050 period under two realistic emission scenarios and in three different phases of the El NinoSouthern Oscillation (ENSO). Under current conditions, sources from outside our South Asian modeling domain have a similar impact on total BC deposition to the HKHK region (3587%, varying with month) as South Asian anthropogenic sources (1362%). Industry (primarily brick kilns) and residential solid fuel burning combined account for 4566% of the in-domain anthropogenic BC deposition to the HKHK region. Under a no further control emission scenario for 20402050, the relative contributions to BC deposition in the HKHK region are more skewed toward in-domain anthropogenic sources (4565%) relative to sources outside the domain (2652%). The in-domain anthropogenic BC deposition has significant contributions from industry (3242%), solid fuel burning (1728%), and diesel fuel burning (1727%). Under a scenario in which emissions in South Asia are mitigated, the relative contribution from South Asian anthropogenic sources is significantly reduced to 1134%. The changes due to phase of ENSO do not seem to follow consistent patterns with ENSO. Future work will use the high-resolution deposition maps developed here to determine the impact of different sources of BC on glacier melt and water availability in the region.

Research areas: Energy Production/Use, Atmospheric/Ocean Indicators
Air pollution scenario over China during COVID-19 (2020)

The unprecedented slowdown in China during the COVID-19 period of November 2019 to April 2020 should have reduced pollution in smog-laden cities. However, moderate resolution imaging spectrometer (MODIS) satellite retrievals of aerosol optical depth (AOD) show a marked increase in aerosols over the BeijingTianjinHebei (BHT) region and most of Northeast and Central China, compared with the previous winter. Fine particulate (PM2.5) data from ground monitoring stations show an increase of 19.5% in Beijing during January and February 2020, and no reduction for Tianjin. In March and April 2020, a different spatial pattern emerges, with very high AOD levels observed over 50% of the Chinese mainland, and including peripheral regions in the northwest and southwest. At the same time, ozone monitoring instrument (OMI) satellite-derived NO2 concentrations fell drastically across China. The increase in PM2.5 while NO2 decreased in BTH and across China is likely due to enhanced production of secondary particulates. These are formed when reductions in NOx result in increased ozone formation, thus increasing the oxidizing capacity of the atmosphere. Support for this explanation is provided by ground level air quality data showing increased volume of fine mode aerosols throughout February and March 2020, and increased levels of PM2.5, relative humidity (RH), and ozone during haze episodes in the COVID-19 lockdown period. Backward trajectories show the origin of air masses affecting industrial centers of North and East China to be local. Other contributors to increased atmospheric particulates may include inflated industrial production in peripheral regions to compensate loss in the main population and industrial centers, and low wind speeds. Satellite monitoring of the extraordinary atmospheric conditions resulting from the COVID-19 shutdown could enhance understanding of smog formation and attempts to control it.

Research areas: Air Quality
Analysis of SO2 pollution changes of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region over China based on OMI observations from 2006 to 2017 (2018)

Sulfur dioxide (SO2) in the planetary boundary layer (PBL) as a kind of gaseous pollutant has a strong effect regarding atmospheric environment, air quality, and climate change. As one of the most polluted regions in China, air quality in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region has attracted more attention. This paper aims to study the characteristics of SO2 distribution and variation over BTH. Spatial and temporal variations for a long term (20062017) over BTH derived from OMI PBL SO2 products were discussed. The temporal trends confirm that the SO2 loading falls from average 0.88 DU to 0.16 DU in the past 12 years. Two ascending fluctuations in 2007 and 2011 appeared to be closely related to the economic stimulus of each five-year plan (FYP). The spatial analysis indicates an imbalanced spatial distribution pattern, with higher SO2 level in the southern BTH and lower in the northern. This is a result of both natural and human factors. Meanwhile, the SO2 concentration demonstrates a decreasing trend with 14.92%, 28.57%, and 27.43% compared with 2006, during the events of 2008 Olympic Games, 2014 Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit, and 2015 Military Parade, respectively. The improvement indicates that the direct effect is attributed to a series of long-term and short-term control measures, which have been implemented by the government. The findings of this study are desirable to assist local policy makers in the BTH for drawing up control strategies regarding the mitigation of environmental pollution in the future.

Research areas: Air Quality
Impact of aerosols on surface ozone during COVID-19 pandemic in southern India: A multi-instrumental approach from ground and satellite observations, and model simulations (2021)

The World Health Organization (WHO) declared the coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19) as a pandemic due to its widespread global infection. This has resulted in lockdown under different phases in many nations, including India, around the globe. In the present study, we report the impact of aerosols on surface ozone in the context of pre-lockdown (01st - 24th March 2020 (PLD)), lockdown phase1 (25th March to 14th April 2020 (LDP1)), and lockdown phase 2 (15th April to 03rd May 2020 (LDP2)) on clear days at a semi-arid site, Anantapur in southern India using both in situ observations and model simulations. Collocated measurements of surface ozone (O3), aerosol optical depth (AOD), black carbon mass concentration (BC), total columnar ozone (TCO), solar radiation (SR), and ultraviolet radiation (UV-A) data were collected using an Ozone analyzer, MICROTOPS sunphotometer, Ozonometer, Aethalometer, and net radiometer during the study period. The diurnal variations of O3 and BC exhibited an opposite trend during three phases. The concentrations of ozone were ~10.7% higher during LDP1 (44.8  5.2 ppbv) than the PLD (40.5  6.0 ppbv), which mainly due to an unprecedented reduction in NOx emissions leading to a lower O3 titration by NO. The prominent increase in the surface zone during LDP1 is reasonably consistent with the observed photolysis frequencies (j (O1D)) through Tropospheric Ultraviolet and Visible (TUV) model. The results show that a pronounced spectral and temporal variability in the AOD during three lockdown phases is mainly due to distinct aerosol sources. The increase in AOD during LDP2 due to long-range transport can bring large amounts of mineral dust and smoke aerosols from the west Asian region and central India, and which is reasonably consistent with the Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) air mass back trajectories and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) fire counts analysis over the measurement location. Overall, a drastic reduction in BC concentration (~8.4%) and AOD (10.8%) were observed in the semi-arid area during LDP1 with correspondence to PLD. The columnar aerosol size distributions retrieved from the spectral AODs followed power-law plus unimodal during three phases. The absorption angstrom exponent (AAE) analysis reveals a predominant contribution to the BC from biomass burning activities during the lockdown period over the measurement location.

Research areas: Air Quality, Environmental Impacts
Evaluation of the assimilation of conventional and satellite-based observations in simulating heavy rainfall event using WRFDA over the North-West Himalayan region (2021)

Present work elucidates the impact of 3DVAR data assimilation technique for the simulation of one of the heavy rainfall events reported over Kotdwara region in the North-West Himalayan (NWH) region on 4th August 2017. We have examined the impact of conventional and satellite-based radiance datasets on the simulated results with and without assimilating the observations into the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Three experiments have been designed with 3 nested domains of variable resolutions, one without assimilation (referred as control experiment) and other two experiments after assimilating conventional and satellite radiances observations (refer as DA-OBS and DA-SAT respectively). In the present study, assimilation of surface, upper air and the satellite-based radiance observations has been carried out for the outermost domain with horizontal resolution of 9 km. Statistical analysis suggests that the correlation coefficient is high (0.55) and root mean square error (RMSE) is low (17.12) for DA-SAT experiment as compared to other two experiments. Substantial improvement in the location, pattern and intensity of extreme rainfall event is noted after assimilation of both conventional and satellite observations with respect to the observed rainfall data. However, it is noted that the assimilation of satellite radiances has greater impact in simulating better intensity of the heavy rainfall event as compared to the assimilation of conventional observations. Plausible reason behind this could be the non-availability of the conventional observations close to the extreme rainfall event affected region.

Research areas: Atmospheric/Ocean Indicators
Evaluation of GPM-IMERG and TRMM-3B42 precipitation products over Pakistan (2021)

Understanding the performance of remotely-sensed precipitation with rain gauge as reference is essential before their application in estimating multiple processes. In current study, the Global Precipitation Measurements from Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals (GPM-IMERG) and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM-3B42) precipitation products were evaluated, taking the rain gauge data as a reference for the period of 2004 to 2018 over Pakistan. The data at daily, monthly, annual and seasonal timescales were evaluated using multiple statistical (three continuous and four categorical) error metrics. The Satellite Precipitation Products (SPPs) showed consistent precipitation climatology with some regional differences. All SPPs overall performed well in the central and southern regions compared to the northern region of study area. Evaluation revealed that the performance of SPPs was influenced by topography, while the error characteristics of SPPs were dependent on the precipitation intensity and climatic condition of the region. The SPPs were able to capture the extreme precipitation events (95th percentile) across different climatic regions. The highest values for probability of detection (POD), critical success index (CSI), and accuracy (ACC) at the rate of 0.7, 0.4, and 0.9 were observed respectively, while the lowest value for false alarm ratio (FAR) is 0.4. The IMERG final run harmonizes rain gauges very closely in plain and medium elevation regions, while root mean square difference greater than 20 mm/month were observed for high altitude. The spatial distribution of correlation coefficients with the values greater than 0.7 suggest that selected SPPs well captured the seasonality and mutual comparison shows that IMERG final run performed well, followed by TRMM-3B42, whereas in winter and pre-monsoon, the IMERG early run and IMERG late run captured higher precipitation values in the northeast of the study area. The results can help the researchers to select reliable SPPs as an alternate source of rain gauge in the country and other adjoining regions and the data evaluation information can help algorithm developers to rectify the errors and improve the selected SPPs.

Research areas: Validation
Phase-wise analysis of the COVID-19 lockdown impact on aerosol, radiation and trace gases and associated chemistry in a tropical rural environment (2021)

Phase-wise variations in different aerosol (BC, AOD, PM1, PM2.5 and PM10), radiation (direct and diffused) and trace gases (NO, NO2, CO, O3, SO2, CO2 and CH4) and their associated chemistry during the COVID-19 lockdown have been investigated over a tropical rural site Gadanki (13.5 N, 79.2 E), India. Unlike most of the other reported studies on COVID-19 lockdown, this study provides variations over a unique tropical rural environment located at a scientifically strategic location in the Southern Indian peninsula. Striking differences in the time series and diurnal variability have been observed in different phases of the lockdown. The levels of most species that are primarily emitted from anthropogenic activities reduced significantly during the lockdown which also impacted the levels and diurnal variability of secondary species like O3. When compared with the same periods in 2019, short-lived trace gas species such as NO, NO2, SO2 which have direct anthropogenic emission influence have shown the reduction over 50%, whereas species like CO and O3 which have direct as well as indirect impacts of anthropogenic emissions have shown reductions up to 10%. Long-lived species (CO2 and CH4) have shown negligible difference (<1%). BC and AOD have shown reductions over 20%. Particulate Matter (1, 2.5 and 10) reductions have been in the range of 40 to 50% when compared to the pre-lockdown period. The changes in shortwave downward radiation at the surface, diffuse component due to the scattering and diffuse fraction have been +2.2%, 4.1% and 2.4%, respectively, in comparison with 2019. In contrast with the studies over urban environments, air quality category over the rural environment remained same during the lockdown despite reduction in pollutants level. All the variations observed for different species and their associated chemistry provides an excellent demonstration of rural atmospheric chemistry and its intrinsic links with the precursor concentrations and dynamics.

Research areas: Air Quality
Assessment of the GPM IMERG and CHIRPS precipitation estimations for the steppe part of the Crimea (2021)

This paper compares the spatial distribution datasets on monthly precipitation totals derived from the Famine Early Warning System Network FEWS NET service (CHIRPS 2.0 product) and the International Mission of the Global Pre-cipitation Measurement GPM (IMERG v06 product) with ground-based...

Research areas: Validation
Aerosol-induced atmospheric heating rate decreases over South and East Asia as a result of changing content and composition (2020)

Aerosol emissions from human activities are extensive and changing rapidly over Asia. Model simulations and satellite observations indicate a dipole pattern in aerosol emissions and loading between South Asia and East Asia, two of the most heavily polluted regions of the world. We examine the previously unexplored diverging trends in the existing dipole pattern of aerosols between East and South Asia using the high quality, two-decade long ground-based time series of observations of aerosol properties from the Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET), from satellites (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI)), and from model simulations (Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2). The data cover the period since 2001 for Kanpur (South Asia) and Beijing (East Asia), two locations taken as being broadly representative of the respective regions. Since 2010 a dipole in aerosol optical depth (AOD) is maintained, but the trend is reversedthe decrease in AOD over Beijing (East Asia) is rapid since 2010, being 17% less in current decade compared to first decade of twenty-first century, while the AOD over South Asia increased by 12% during the same period. Furthermore, we find that the aerosol composition is also changing over time. The single scattering albedo (SSA), a measure of aerosols absorption capacity and related to aerosol composition, is slightly higher over Beijing than Kanpur, and has increased from 0.91 in 2002 to 0.93 in 2017 over Beijing and from 0.89 to 0.92 during the same period over Kanpur, confirming that aerosols in this region have on an average become more scattering in nature. These changes have led to a notable decrease in aerosol-induced atmospheric heating rate (HR) over both regions between the two decades, decreasing considerably more over East Asia ( 31%) than over South Asia ( 9%). The annual mean HR is lower now, it is still large ( 0.6 K per day), which has significant climate implications. The seasonal trends in AOD, SSA and HR are more pronounced than their respective annual trends over both regions. The seasonal trends are caused mainly by the increase/decrease in anthropogenic aerosol emissions (sulfate, black carbon and organic carbon) while the natural aerosols (dust and sea salt) did not change significantly over South and East Asia during the last two decades. The MERRA-2 model is able to simulate the observed trends in AODs well but not the magnitude, while it also did not simulate the SSA values or trends well. These robust findings based on observations of key aerosol parameters and previously unrecognized diverging trends over South and East Asia need to be accounted for in current state-of-the-art climate models to ensure accurate quantification of the complex and evolving impact of aerosols on the regional climate over Asia.

Research areas: Atmospheric/Ocean Indicators