# C-Reactive Protein to Prealbumin Ratio (CPR): A Novel Inflammatory-Nutritional Prognostic Factor for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival (CSS) and Overall Survival (OS) in Patients with Resectable Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Authors: Ji-Feng Feng; Liang Wang; You-Hua Jiang; Xun Yang
Journal: Journal of Oncology
 (2019)

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## Abstract

Background. The inflammation and nutrition play an important role in prognosis. A novel index combined with inflammatory and nutritional biomarkers, named C-reactive protein (CRP) to prealbumin (PALB) ratio (CPR), was initially reported to predict the prognosis in resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).Patients and Methods. A retrospective study was conducted including 346 resectable ESCC patients. The X-tile program was used to confirm the optimal cut-off value. The Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox regression analyses were performed to analyze the cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS).Results. The optimum cut-off point was 0.03 for CPR. Patients with a high level of CPR (> 0.03) were associated with poor CSS (12.0% vs. 43.0%,P<0.001) and OS (11.2% vs. 40.7%,P<0.001). Multivariate analyses revealed that CPR was an independent predictor in resectable ESCC patients (CSS,P=0.008; OS,P=0.007).Conclusion. This study, to the best of our knowledge, is the first to investigate prognostic role of CPR in patients with ESCC. Our retrospective observations indicate that CPR, with the optimal cut-off value of 0.03, is a useful potential predictor in resectable ESCC patients.


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## Body

## 1. Introduction

Esophageal cancer (EC) is one of the prevalent cancers worldwide, whose incidences vary widely in different countries and regions, with approximately 53.8% and 51.9% of all ECs occurring and dying in China [1]. The major kind of pathological type (90%-95%) is esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in China [2, 3]. Radical esophagectomy remains the most effective therapy for patients with EC. However, the prognosis for EC remains poor [4, 5]. Therefore, it is very important to find more and more useful and effective prognostic indicators for patients with EC.The inflammation and nutrition are associated with cancer prognosis [6]. As the most sensitive inflammatory biomarker, C-reactive protein (CRP) has been confirmed in a series of cancers to predict the prognosis, including EC [7–9]. Albumin (ALB) is an important nutritional biomarker. Several studies over the past few years have revealed that ALB serves as a prognostic factor for predicting prognosis in patients with EC [10, 11]. Over the recent years, a new index (combined with inflammatory and nutritional biomarkers) named CRP to ALB ratio (CAR) was reported to predict the prognosis for patients with EC [12, 13]. Additionally, recent studies reported that prealbumin (PALB), serving as another important biomarker for nutritional status, is more sensitive to malnutrition than ALB [14, 15].It is commonly recognized that CRP and PALB are both cheap and simple serum biomarkers which could be conducted in daily clinical practices. However, to our knowledge, no study has assessed the prognostic role of CPR (CRP/PALB ratio) in ESCC patients so far. Thus, the aim of our study was initially to explore the prognostic role of CPR for predicting prognosis with the optimal cut-off value in resectable ESCC patients.


## 2. Patients and Methods

### 2.1. Patients

From January 2007 to December 2010 in the Department of Thoracic Oncological Surgery, a retrospective study involving 346 resectable ESCC patients was conducted, along with the confirmation of levels of serum CRP, ALB, and PALB one week before surgery. Patients who received preoperative treatment, such as chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy, those who suffered from any form of inflammatory diseases or infections (acute or chronic) or systemic diseases, and those diagnosed with distant metastases were excluded. Written informed consent for the collection of specimen and other medical information were obtained from all patients before surgery. The current study was approved by the Ethics Committees of Zhejiang Cancer Hospital (IRB Approval No. IRB-2018-130).


### 2.2. Treatment and Follow-Up

The standard esophagectomy includes the Ivor Lewis procedure (for patients with ESCC in the middle or lower third) and McKeown procedure (for patients with ESCC in the upper third) [16, 17]. The two-field thoracoabdominal lymphadenectomy was the major method of lymphadenectomy [18]. Follow-up was performed in regular intervals, and the follow-up results were obtained through reviews of the hospital records and outpatient visit.


### 2.3. Data Collection

The main clinical characteristics, such as age, gender, tumor length and location, vessel invasion, differentiation, TNM stage, and serum CRP, ALB, and PALB, were collected in our medical records. The TNM stage in this study was in accordance with the 7th AJCC/UICC TNM staging system [19]. The levels of CRP, ALB, and PALB were obtained within one week before surgery. CAR was defined as CRP to ALB ratio. CPR was defined as CRP to PALB ratio. The data used to support the findings of this study are included within the article.


### 2.4. Statistical Analysis

The X-tile program was performed to calculate the optimum cut-off points for CRP, ALB, PALB, CAR, and CPR [20]. The chi-squared test was utilized to analyze the clinical characters grouped by CPR. Besides, the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analyses were utilized to analyze the cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS). The areas under the curve (AUC) for CPR, CAR, CRP, ALB, and PALB were calculated and compared by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Statistical analyses were conducted with SPSS 20.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) and MedCalc 15.2 (MedCalc Software bvba, Ostend, Belgium).


## 2.1. Patients

From January 2007 to December 2010 in the Department of Thoracic Oncological Surgery, a retrospective study involving 346 resectable ESCC patients was conducted, along with the confirmation of levels of serum CRP, ALB, and PALB one week before surgery. Patients who received preoperative treatment, such as chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy, those who suffered from any form of inflammatory diseases or infections (acute or chronic) or systemic diseases, and those diagnosed with distant metastases were excluded. Written informed consent for the collection of specimen and other medical information were obtained from all patients before surgery. The current study was approved by the Ethics Committees of Zhejiang Cancer Hospital (IRB Approval No. IRB-2018-130).


## 2.2. Treatment and Follow-Up

The standard esophagectomy includes the Ivor Lewis procedure (for patients with ESCC in the middle or lower third) and McKeown procedure (for patients with ESCC in the upper third) [16, 17]. The two-field thoracoabdominal lymphadenectomy was the major method of lymphadenectomy [18]. Follow-up was performed in regular intervals, and the follow-up results were obtained through reviews of the hospital records and outpatient visit.


## 2.3. Data Collection

The main clinical characteristics, such as age, gender, tumor length and location, vessel invasion, differentiation, TNM stage, and serum CRP, ALB, and PALB, were collected in our medical records. The TNM stage in this study was in accordance with the 7th AJCC/UICC TNM staging system [19]. The levels of CRP, ALB, and PALB were obtained within one week before surgery. CAR was defined as CRP to ALB ratio. CPR was defined as CRP to PALB ratio. The data used to support the findings of this study are included within the article.


## 2.4. Statistical Analysis

The X-tile program was performed to calculate the optimum cut-off points for CRP, ALB, PALB, CAR, and CPR [20]. The chi-squared test was utilized to analyze the clinical characters grouped by CPR. Besides, the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analyses were utilized to analyze the cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS). The areas under the curve (AUC) for CPR, CAR, CRP, ALB, and PALB were calculated and compared by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Statistical analyses were conducted with SPSS 20.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) and MedCalc 15.2 (MedCalc Software bvba, Ostend, Belgium).


## 3. Results

### 3.1. Patient Characteristics

There were 76 (22.0%) women and 270 (78.0%) men in all 346 patients. The mean values for CRP, ALB, PALB, CAR, and CPR were 8.55 ± 12.18 mg/L (range 0.10-107.34 mg/L), 40.3 ± 5.3 g/L (range 26.6-52.4 g/L), 260 ± 65 mg/L (range 126-426 mg/L), 0.22 ± 0.34 (range 0.002-2.670), and 0.0365 ± 0.0539 (range 0.0003-0.4993), respectively. The optimum cut-off points according to the X-tile program for CRP, ALB, PALB, CAR, and CPR were 10.5 mg/L, 40.5 g/L, 248 mg/L, 0.3, and 0.03, respectively (Figure1).Figure 1
X-tile analyses. The optimum cut-off points according to the X-tile program for CRP (a), ALB (b), PALB (c), CAR (d), and CPR (e) were 10.5 mg/L, 40.5 g/L, 248 mg/L, 0.3, and 0.03, respectively.
(a) (b) (c) (d)  (e)Patients then were divided into two groups (high and low group) for further analyses (CPR ≤0.03 and CPR >0.03). The clinicopathologic characters regarding CPR and other clinical characters were shown in Table1. Compared with the patients with CPR ≤ 0.03, patients with the CPR > 0.03 had even closer association with vessel invasion (P=0.025), TNM stage (P=0.035), and other indices (CRP,P<0.001; ALB,P=0.037; PALB,P<0.001; CAR,P<0.001).Table 1
Comparison of baseline clinical characteristics based on CPR in ESCC.
Cases (n, %) CPR P-value ≤ 0.03 (n, %) > 0.03 (n, %) Age (years)    0.108 ≤60 199 (57.5) 120 (54.3) 79 (63.2) >60 147 (42.5) 101 (45.7) 46 (36.8) Gender    0.077 Female 76 (22.0) 42 (19.0) 34 (27.2) Male 270 (78.0) 179 (81.0) 91 (72.8) Tumor length (cm)    0.242 ≤ 3.0 96 (27.7) 66 (29.9) 30 (24.0) > 3.0 250 (72.3) 155 (70.1) 95 (76.0) Tumor location    0.179 Upper 18 (5.2) 11 (5.0) 7 (5.6) Middle 164 (47.4) 97 (43.9) 67 (53.6) Lower 164 (47.4) 113 (51.1) 51 (40.8) Vessel invasion    0.025 Negative 289 (83.5) 192 (86.9) 97 (77.6) Positive 57 (16.5) 29 (13.1) 28 (22.4) Differentiation    0.750 Well 47 (13.6) 32 (14.5) 15 (12.0) Moderate 230 (66.5) 144 (65.2) 86 (68.8) Poor 69 (19.9) 45 (20.3) 24 (19.2) TNM stage    0.035 I 88 (25.4) 65 (29.4) 23 (18.4) II 116 (33.5) 75 (33.9) 41 (32.8) III 142 (41.1) 81 (36.7) 61 (48.8) CRP (mg/L)    <0.001 ≤ 10.5 250 (72.3) 219 (99.1) 31 (24.8) > 10.5 96 (27.7) 2 (0.9) 94 (75.2) ALB (g/L)    0.037 ≤ 40.5 179 (51.7) 105 (47.5) 74 (59.2) > 40.5 167 (48.3) 116 (52.5) 51 (40.8) PALB (mg/L)    <0.001 ≤ 248 161 (46.5) 81 (36.7) 80 (64.0) > 248 185 (53.5) 140 (63.3) 45 (36.0) CAR    <0.001 ≤ 0.3 272 (78.6) 221 (100) 51 (40.8) > 0.3 74 (21.4) 0 (0) 74 (59.2) ESCC: esophageal squamous cell carcinoma; CRP: C-reactive protein; PALB: prealbumin; ALB: albumin; CPR: C-reactive protein to prealbumin ratio; CAR: C-reactive protein to albumin ratio; TNM: tumor, node, metastasis.The mean values grouped by TNM stage for CPR were 0.0278 ± 0.0421, 0.0343 ± 0.0398, and 0.0437 ± 0.0680, respectively, with significant differences between TNM I and TNM III (P=0.030), but no significant differences regarding the CPR were found between the TNM I and TNM II (P=0.386) and TNM II and TNM III (P=0.166) (Figure 2(a)). Negative correlations between CRP and ALB (r=−0.166,P=0.002, Figure 2(b)) and CRP and PALB (r=−0.134,P=0.013, Figure 2(c)), respectively, and positive correlations between ALB and PALB (r=0.119,P=0.027, Figure 2(d)) were found in our study.Figure 2
Significant differences were found between TNM I and TNM III (P=0.030) (a). Negative correlations between CRP and ALB (b) and CRP and PALB (c), respectively, and positive correlations between ALB and PALB (d) were found.
(a) (b) (c) (d)


### 3.2. Cancer-Specific Survival and Overall Survival Analyses

Patients with a high level of CPR (>0.03) were associated with poor CSS (P<0.001). To be more specific, the 5-year CSS was 12.0% in patients with CPR >0.03 and 43.0% in those with CPR ≤0.03 (Figure 3(a)). It was revealed in subgroup analyses based on TNM stage that CPR was also significantly associated with CSS (Figures 3(b)–3(d)). The 5-year CSS were also significantly different for patients grouped by CRP (39.6% vs. 11.5%,P<0.001), ALB (25.1% vs. 38.9%,P=0.002), PALB (21.7% vs. 40.5%,P<0.001), and CAR (39.0% vs. 5.4%,P<0.001) (Figures 3(e)–3(h)). Patients with a high level of CPR (> 0.03) were associated with poor OS (11.2% vs. 40.7%,P<0.001) (Figure 4(a)). It was revealed that CPR was also significantly correlated with OS in the subgroup analyses based on TNM stage (Figures 4(b)–4(d)).Figure 3
CSS analyses. Patients with a high level of CPR (>0.03) were associated with poor CSS (P<0.001) (a). CPR was also significantly associated with CSS based on TNM stage (b–d). There were also significant differences for patients grouped by CRP (e), ALB (f), PALB (g), and CAR (h).
(a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f)  (g) (h)Figure 4
OS analyses. Patients with a high level of CPR (>0.03) were associated with poor OS (P<0.001) (a). CPR was also significantly associated with OS based on TNM stage (b–d).
(a) (b) (c) (d)


### 3.3. Cox Regression Analyses

It is generally recognized that several factors, such as tumor length, vessel invasion, CRP, ALB, PALB, CAR, CPR, and TNM stage, were significantly associated with CSS in univariate analyses (Table2). However, we found that CPR (HR=1.630,P=0.008) was an independent predictor for CSS in multivariate analyses (Table 2). Multivariate analyses regarding OS in patients with ESCC were also performed. It was revealed that CPR was also an independent predictor (Table 3).Table 2
Univariate and multivariate analyses of CSS in ESCC patients.
Univariate analysis P-value Multivariate analysis P-value HR (95% CI)  HR (95% CI) Age (years)  0.584 ≤ 60 1.000 > 60 0.930 (0.717-1.206) Gender  0.530 Female 1.000 Male 1.105 (0.809-1.510) Tumor length (cm)  0.001 ≤ 3.0 1.000 > 3.0 1.634 (1.208-2.211) Tumor location  0.845 Upper 1.000 Middle 1.160 (0.624-2.156) 0.638 Lower 1.197 (0.644-2.222) 0.569 Vessel invasion  0.003 Negative 1.000 Positive 1.636 (1.187-2.255) Differentiation  0.075 Well 1.000 Moderate 1.247 (0.834-1.864) 0.282 Poor 1.660 (1.045-2.638) 0.032 CRP (mg/L)  <0.001 ≤ 10.5 1.000 > 10.5 1.896 (1.450-2.479) ALB (g/L)  0.002 ≤ 40.5 1.000 > 40.5 0.669 (0.517-0.867) PALB (mg/L)  <0.001 ≤ 248 1.000 > 248 0.613 (0.474-0.792) CPR  <0.001  0.008 ≤ 0.03 1.000  1.000 > 0.03 2.116 (1.634-2.739)  1.630 (1.135-2.342) CAR  <0.001  0.052 ≤ 0.3   1.000 > 0.3   1.485 (0.997-2.212) Adjuvant therapy 1.000 0.329 No 1.149 (0.870-1.517) Yes TNM stage  <0.001  <0.001 I 1.000  1.000 II 1.804 (1.237-2.631) 0.002 1.628 (1.111-2.387) 0.012 III 3.067 (2.150-4.373) <0.001 2.559 (1.786-3.667) <0.001 BMI (kg/m2) ≥ 20 1.000 <0.001 1.000 <0.001 < 20 2.006 (1.551-2.595)  1.877 (1.444-2.440) ESCC: esophageal squamous cell carcinoma; CRP: C-reactive protein; PALB: prealbumin; ALB: albumin; CPR: C-reactive protein to prealbumin ratio; CAR: C-reactive protein to albumin ratio; TNM: tumor, node, metastasis; BMI: body mass index; CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio.Table 3
Multivariate analyses of OS in patients with ESCC.
HR (95% CI) P-value TNM stage II vs. I 1.518 (1.048-2.199) 0.027 III vs. I 2.386 (1.685-3.379) <0.001 BMI (kg/m2) (≤ 20 vs. > 20) 1.843 (1.422-2.388) <0.001 CPR (> 0.03 vs. ≤ 0.03) 1.630 (1.140-2.322) 0.007 CAR (> 0.3 vs. ≤ 0.3) 1.474 (0.992-2.189) 0.055 ESCC: esophageal squamous cell carcinoma; OS: overall survival; TNM: tumor, node, metastasis; BMI: body mass index; CPR: C-reactive protein to prealbumin ratio; CAR: C-reactive protein to albumin ratio; CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio.


### 3.4. ROC Analyses

The AUC area of the CPR (0.728, 95% CI: 0.678-0.774) was higher than that of CAR (0.702, 95% CI: 0.651-0.750), CRP (0.702, 95% CI: 0.651-0.750), ALB (0.573, 95% CI: 0.519-0.625), and PALB (0.686, 95% CI: 0.635-0.735) for all the ESCC patients (Figure5). Comparison of AUC areas for the prognostic factors in ESCC was shown in Table 4.Table 4
Comparison of AUC areas for the prognostic factors in ESCC.
AUC 95% CI P-value CPR 0.728 0.678-0.774 Reference CAR 0.702 0.651-0.750 0.0015 CRP 0.702 0.651-0.750 0.0008 ALB 0.573 0.519-0.625 0.0001 PALB 0.686 0.635-0.735 0.2161 ESCC: esophageal squamous cell carcinoma; CRP: C-reactive protein; PALB: prealbumin; ALB: albumin; CPR: C-reactive protein to prealbumin ratio; CAR: C-reactive protein to albumin ratio; AUC: area under the curve.Figure 5
ROC analyses. The AUC area of the CPR (0.728) was higher than the areas of CAR (0.702), CRP (0.702), ALB (0.573), and PALB (0.686) for all the ESCC patients.


## 3.1. Patient Characteristics

There were 76 (22.0%) women and 270 (78.0%) men in all 346 patients. The mean values for CRP, ALB, PALB, CAR, and CPR were 8.55 ± 12.18 mg/L (range 0.10-107.34 mg/L), 40.3 ± 5.3 g/L (range 26.6-52.4 g/L), 260 ± 65 mg/L (range 126-426 mg/L), 0.22 ± 0.34 (range 0.002-2.670), and 0.0365 ± 0.0539 (range 0.0003-0.4993), respectively. The optimum cut-off points according to the X-tile program for CRP, ALB, PALB, CAR, and CPR were 10.5 mg/L, 40.5 g/L, 248 mg/L, 0.3, and 0.03, respectively (Figure1).Figure 1
X-tile analyses. The optimum cut-off points according to the X-tile program for CRP (a), ALB (b), PALB (c), CAR (d), and CPR (e) were 10.5 mg/L, 40.5 g/L, 248 mg/L, 0.3, and 0.03, respectively.
(a) (b) (c) (d)  (e)Patients then were divided into two groups (high and low group) for further analyses (CPR ≤0.03 and CPR >0.03). The clinicopathologic characters regarding CPR and other clinical characters were shown in Table1. Compared with the patients with CPR ≤ 0.03, patients with the CPR > 0.03 had even closer association with vessel invasion (P=0.025), TNM stage (P=0.035), and other indices (CRP,P<0.001; ALB,P=0.037; PALB,P<0.001; CAR,P<0.001).Table 1
Comparison of baseline clinical characteristics based on CPR in ESCC.
Cases (n, %) CPR P-value ≤ 0.03 (n, %) > 0.03 (n, %) Age (years)    0.108 ≤60 199 (57.5) 120 (54.3) 79 (63.2) >60 147 (42.5) 101 (45.7) 46 (36.8) Gender    0.077 Female 76 (22.0) 42 (19.0) 34 (27.2) Male 270 (78.0) 179 (81.0) 91 (72.8) Tumor length (cm)    0.242 ≤ 3.0 96 (27.7) 66 (29.9) 30 (24.0) > 3.0 250 (72.3) 155 (70.1) 95 (76.0) Tumor location    0.179 Upper 18 (5.2) 11 (5.0) 7 (5.6) Middle 164 (47.4) 97 (43.9) 67 (53.6) Lower 164 (47.4) 113 (51.1) 51 (40.8) Vessel invasion    0.025 Negative 289 (83.5) 192 (86.9) 97 (77.6) Positive 57 (16.5) 29 (13.1) 28 (22.4) Differentiation    0.750 Well 47 (13.6) 32 (14.5) 15 (12.0) Moderate 230 (66.5) 144 (65.2) 86 (68.8) Poor 69 (19.9) 45 (20.3) 24 (19.2) TNM stage    0.035 I 88 (25.4) 65 (29.4) 23 (18.4) II 116 (33.5) 75 (33.9) 41 (32.8) III 142 (41.1) 81 (36.7) 61 (48.8) CRP (mg/L)    <0.001 ≤ 10.5 250 (72.3) 219 (99.1) 31 (24.8) > 10.5 96 (27.7) 2 (0.9) 94 (75.2) ALB (g/L)    0.037 ≤ 40.5 179 (51.7) 105 (47.5) 74 (59.2) > 40.5 167 (48.3) 116 (52.5) 51 (40.8) PALB (mg/L)    <0.001 ≤ 248 161 (46.5) 81 (36.7) 80 (64.0) > 248 185 (53.5) 140 (63.3) 45 (36.0) CAR    <0.001 ≤ 0.3 272 (78.6) 221 (100) 51 (40.8) > 0.3 74 (21.4) 0 (0) 74 (59.2) ESCC: esophageal squamous cell carcinoma; CRP: C-reactive protein; PALB: prealbumin; ALB: albumin; CPR: C-reactive protein to prealbumin ratio; CAR: C-reactive protein to albumin ratio; TNM: tumor, node, metastasis.The mean values grouped by TNM stage for CPR were 0.0278 ± 0.0421, 0.0343 ± 0.0398, and 0.0437 ± 0.0680, respectively, with significant differences between TNM I and TNM III (P=0.030), but no significant differences regarding the CPR were found between the TNM I and TNM II (P=0.386) and TNM II and TNM III (P=0.166) (Figure 2(a)). Negative correlations between CRP and ALB (r=−0.166,P=0.002, Figure 2(b)) and CRP and PALB (r=−0.134,P=0.013, Figure 2(c)), respectively, and positive correlations between ALB and PALB (r=0.119,P=0.027, Figure 2(d)) were found in our study.Figure 2
Significant differences were found between TNM I and TNM III (P=0.030) (a). Negative correlations between CRP and ALB (b) and CRP and PALB (c), respectively, and positive correlations between ALB and PALB (d) were found.
(a) (b) (c) (d)


## 3.2. Cancer-Specific Survival and Overall Survival Analyses

Patients with a high level of CPR (>0.03) were associated with poor CSS (P<0.001). To be more specific, the 5-year CSS was 12.0% in patients with CPR >0.03 and 43.0% in those with CPR ≤0.03 (Figure 3(a)). It was revealed in subgroup analyses based on TNM stage that CPR was also significantly associated with CSS (Figures 3(b)–3(d)). The 5-year CSS were also significantly different for patients grouped by CRP (39.6% vs. 11.5%,P<0.001), ALB (25.1% vs. 38.9%,P=0.002), PALB (21.7% vs. 40.5%,P<0.001), and CAR (39.0% vs. 5.4%,P<0.001) (Figures 3(e)–3(h)). Patients with a high level of CPR (> 0.03) were associated with poor OS (11.2% vs. 40.7%,P<0.001) (Figure 4(a)). It was revealed that CPR was also significantly correlated with OS in the subgroup analyses based on TNM stage (Figures 4(b)–4(d)).Figure 3
CSS analyses. Patients with a high level of CPR (>0.03) were associated with poor CSS (P<0.001) (a). CPR was also significantly associated with CSS based on TNM stage (b–d). There were also significant differences for patients grouped by CRP (e), ALB (f), PALB (g), and CAR (h).
(a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f)  (g) (h)Figure 4
OS analyses. Patients with a high level of CPR (>0.03) were associated with poor OS (P<0.001) (a). CPR was also significantly associated with OS based on TNM stage (b–d).
(a) (b) (c) (d)


## 3.3. Cox Regression Analyses

It is generally recognized that several factors, such as tumor length, vessel invasion, CRP, ALB, PALB, CAR, CPR, and TNM stage, were significantly associated with CSS in univariate analyses (Table2). However, we found that CPR (HR=1.630,P=0.008) was an independent predictor for CSS in multivariate analyses (Table 2). Multivariate analyses regarding OS in patients with ESCC were also performed. It was revealed that CPR was also an independent predictor (Table 3).Table 2
Univariate and multivariate analyses of CSS in ESCC patients.
Univariate analysis P-value Multivariate analysis P-value HR (95% CI)  HR (95% CI) Age (years)  0.584 ≤ 60 1.000 > 60 0.930 (0.717-1.206) Gender  0.530 Female 1.000 Male 1.105 (0.809-1.510) Tumor length (cm)  0.001 ≤ 3.0 1.000 > 3.0 1.634 (1.208-2.211) Tumor location  0.845 Upper 1.000 Middle 1.160 (0.624-2.156) 0.638 Lower 1.197 (0.644-2.222) 0.569 Vessel invasion  0.003 Negative 1.000 Positive 1.636 (1.187-2.255) Differentiation  0.075 Well 1.000 Moderate 1.247 (0.834-1.864) 0.282 Poor 1.660 (1.045-2.638) 0.032 CRP (mg/L)  <0.001 ≤ 10.5 1.000 > 10.5 1.896 (1.450-2.479) ALB (g/L)  0.002 ≤ 40.5 1.000 > 40.5 0.669 (0.517-0.867) PALB (mg/L)  <0.001 ≤ 248 1.000 > 248 0.613 (0.474-0.792) CPR  <0.001  0.008 ≤ 0.03 1.000  1.000 > 0.03 2.116 (1.634-2.739)  1.630 (1.135-2.342) CAR  <0.001  0.052 ≤ 0.3   1.000 > 0.3   1.485 (0.997-2.212) Adjuvant therapy 1.000 0.329 No 1.149 (0.870-1.517) Yes TNM stage  <0.001  <0.001 I 1.000  1.000 II 1.804 (1.237-2.631) 0.002 1.628 (1.111-2.387) 0.012 III 3.067 (2.150-4.373) <0.001 2.559 (1.786-3.667) <0.001 BMI (kg/m2) ≥ 20 1.000 <0.001 1.000 <0.001 < 20 2.006 (1.551-2.595)  1.877 (1.444-2.440) ESCC: esophageal squamous cell carcinoma; CRP: C-reactive protein; PALB: prealbumin; ALB: albumin; CPR: C-reactive protein to prealbumin ratio; CAR: C-reactive protein to albumin ratio; TNM: tumor, node, metastasis; BMI: body mass index; CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio.Table 3
Multivariate analyses of OS in patients with ESCC.
HR (95% CI) P-value TNM stage II vs. I 1.518 (1.048-2.199) 0.027 III vs. I 2.386 (1.685-3.379) <0.001 BMI (kg/m2) (≤ 20 vs. > 20) 1.843 (1.422-2.388) <0.001 CPR (> 0.03 vs. ≤ 0.03) 1.630 (1.140-2.322) 0.007 CAR (> 0.3 vs. ≤ 0.3) 1.474 (0.992-2.189) 0.055 ESCC: esophageal squamous cell carcinoma; OS: overall survival; TNM: tumor, node, metastasis; BMI: body mass index; CPR: C-reactive protein to prealbumin ratio; CAR: C-reactive protein to albumin ratio; CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio.


## 3.4. ROC Analyses

The AUC area of the CPR (0.728, 95% CI: 0.678-0.774) was higher than that of CAR (0.702, 95% CI: 0.651-0.750), CRP (0.702, 95% CI: 0.651-0.750), ALB (0.573, 95% CI: 0.519-0.625), and PALB (0.686, 95% CI: 0.635-0.735) for all the ESCC patients (Figure5). Comparison of AUC areas for the prognostic factors in ESCC was shown in Table 4.Table 4
Comparison of AUC areas for the prognostic factors in ESCC.
AUC 95% CI P-value CPR 0.728 0.678-0.774 Reference CAR 0.702 0.651-0.750 0.0015 CRP 0.702 0.651-0.750 0.0008 ALB 0.573 0.519-0.625 0.0001 PALB 0.686 0.635-0.735 0.2161 ESCC: esophageal squamous cell carcinoma; CRP: C-reactive protein; PALB: prealbumin; ALB: albumin; CPR: C-reactive protein to prealbumin ratio; CAR: C-reactive protein to albumin ratio; AUC: area under the curve.Figure 5
ROC analyses. The AUC area of the CPR (0.728) was higher than the areas of CAR (0.702), CRP (0.702), ALB (0.573), and PALB (0.686) for all the ESCC patients.


## 4. Discussion

To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the prognostic role of CPR in patients with ESCC. Our study demonstrated some important findings: (1) CPR was a strong predictor of CSS and OS; (2) CPR, instead of CAR, CRP, ALB, or PALB, was a useful independent predictive indicator.Related studies have shown that the presence of systematic inflammatory response and malnutrition are responsible for the poor prognosis in patients with cancers [6, 21]. CRP is the most sensitive inflammatory biomarker. However, the prognostic role of CRP remains controversial in EC [9, 22]. It was revealed in a meta-analysis conducted by us recently that CRP was significantly associated with overall survival in EC [23]. Recent published studies have reported that ALB was a nutritional factor, which reflected the nutritional status in several cancers, including EC [10, 11]. Furthermore, Xuet al. [12] and Weiet al. [13] reported that CAR is significantly associated with the prognosis in ESCC patients [12, 13]. Significant differences for patients grouped by CRP (39.6% vs. 11.5%,P<0.001), ALB (25.1% vs. 38.9%,P=0.002), and CAR (39.0% vs. 5.4%,P<0.001) were found in our study. However, CRP, ALB, and CAR were not independent predictive indicators.Currently, as a serum index for the assessment on nutritional status, PALB has become a research focus, with it being reported as another important biomarker for nutritional status in recent studies, which is more sensitive to malnutrition than ALB [14, 15]. Recently, Liet al. [24] reported that CPR was independently correlated with hospital mortality. Luet al. [25] revealed that the predictive value of CPR is significantly better than other biomarkers in the recurrence of gastric cancer. However, to our knowledge, no study has assessed the prognostic role of CPR in ESCC patients so far. Additionally, the predictive value between CPR (CRP/PALB) and CAR (CRP/ALB) remains unknown. Therefore, we conducted the current study to explore the prognostic value of CPR with the optimal cut-off value in resectable ESCC patients. In our results, patients with a high level of CPR (>0.03) were associated with poor CSS and OS (P<0.001). Even more, we found that CPR, instead of CAR, was an independent predictor for CSS and OS in multivariate analyses.Currently, PALB, serving as an important biomarker for nutritional status, has become a research focus due to shorter half-life than ALB [26, 27]. Additionally, ALB is not a nutritional biomarker if malnutrition develops in a short time. Furthermore, the weight loss that was used to define malnutrition negatively correlated with PALB, but not with ALB [15]. Therefore, PALB is a more sensitive biomarker than ALB to assess the nutritional status in patients with ESCC. It is generally recognized that CRP and PALB are both routinely tested serum enzymes in daily clinical practices, which makes them easily available. Therefore, we have firstly explored the prognostic value of CPR in patients with ESCC in the current study. Besides, it is commonly argued by plenty of researchers that CRP and PALB may be influenced by a variety of other noncancer related conditions, and the potential basis could be decreased by the CRP to PALB ratio (CPR).Another index for assessing nutritional status was BMI. Obesity is showing a rising trend worldwide with the improvement of living standards. It had been reported that the BMI was associated with the prognosis in EC [28]. This study suggested that BMI exerted a significant role in CSS and OS, with BMI being an independent factor for predicting CSS and OS in ESCC patients (P<0.001).Limitations should be acknowledged in this study. The study is mainly limited by its retrospective character and the relatively small samples in a single center. Moreover, patients who received preoperative treatment, such as chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy, were excluded, which might influence the result of this study. Moreover, it is commonly acknowledged that neoadjuvant treatment will generate a side effect on CRP, ALB, and PALB. However, neoadjuvant treatment can improve cancer prognosis for locally advanced ESCC, but not for ESCC at the early stage [29, 30].


## 5. Conclusions

The study is the first time for us to identify (CRP/PALB) CPR and determine its prognostic value in ESCC patients undergoing esophagectomy. Our results revealed that CPR was an effective and independent predictor in resectable ESCC patients with the optimum cut-off point of 0.03.



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*Source: 4359103-2019-07-14.xml*