# Socioeconomic Deprivation Status and Air Pollution by PM10 and NO2: An Assessment at Municipal Level of 11 Years in Italy

Authors: Alice Mannocci; Immacolata Ciarlo; Valeria D’Egidio; Angela Del Cimmuto; Maria de Giusti; Paolo Villari; Giuseppe La Torre
Journal: Journal of Environmental and Public Health
 (2019)

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## Abstract

The aim of this observational study was to assess the relationship between environmental risk factors and some aspects of social economic status (SES) of the population in different Italian municipalities. Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and particulate matter (PM10) annual means were extracted from ISPRA-BRACE (environmental information system of 483 Italian municipalities, 6% of the total amount of administrative units) from 2002 to 2012. As an indicator of sociodemographic and SES data, we collected the following: resident population, foreign nationality, low level of education, unemployment, nonhome ownership, single-parent family, and overcrowding. Low educational level, unemployment, and lack of home ownership were indirectly associated with the higher mean values of NO2 at the statistically significant level (p<0.05). Major resident population and rental housing percentage determined higher levels of PM10. Northern regions showed similar results compared to the national level, with the exception of foreign residency that showed direct correlation with the increase of PM10. The central regions showed a direct relationship between NO2 and PM10 levels and higher educational levels and between NO2 levels and percentage of single-parent family. In the southern areas, higher NO2 levels were correlated with a higher rental housing percentage, as well as higher PM10 levels with a higher percentage of unemployment and lower housing density. The study shows high heterogeneity in the findings but confirms the relationship between high educational level and employment with the increased concentration of pollutants. The higher rental housing percentage may increase the pollutants’ levels too. The housing density does not seem to be in relationship with NO2 and PM10 at the national level. The analysis stratified by geographical areas showed that the direction of the correlations was different over time as the analysis was at a national level. The study represents an example of how data from national information systems can provide a preliminary evaluation and be a comparative tool for policy-makers to assess environmental risk factors and social inequalities.


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## Body

## 1. Introduction

Air pollution, both indoors and outdoors, is caused by contamination by chemical, physical, or biological agents that modify the natural characteristics of the atmosphere.Primary pollutants are released into the atmosphere from a specific source (such as powders); secondary pollutants are the result of a modification (such as ozone). In particular, primary pollutants derive from human activities or from natural sources.Primary and secondary pollutants of major public health interest are particulate matter (PM), carbon monoxide (CO), ozone (O3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and sulfur (SO2) [1]. The present study focused on two of these substances, i.e., PM and NO2.The PM, due to its physiological and toxicological characteristics, is considered one of the most important pollutants. It is a suspension in the air of solids and liquids with a variable size distribution based on the emission sources. The size of the particles (10 or 2.5 microns of diameter, PM10 and PM2.5) reflects the toxicological properties, the depth of penetration and deposition in the airways. The chemical composition is an issue of particular health importance; in fact in the PM, polyaromatic hydrocarbons and metals do exist, whose carcinogenicity is certain or probable.NO2 is a toxic gas, irritant for mucous membranes. It is responsible for respiratory diseases (bronchitis, allergies, and irritations). NO2 derives both from natural sources (bacteria, volcanoes, and lightning) and from anthropogenic sources (thermoelectric power stations, domestic heating, and petrol and diesel vehicles).Despite the general reduction in emissions of air pollutants in recent decades, the concentrations are still high and air-quality problems are persistent particularly in urban areas [2].Epidemiological studies document the harmful effects on human health in the short and long terms; there is a direct correlation between exposure to these risk factors and pathological processes of different nature and intensities [3–7].In recent years, evidence has focused on vulnerable populations, such as elderly populations, children, patients with disabilities, and disadvantaged socioeconomic classes [8–18]. Health inequalities are unjust differences that determine lack of fairness in health.In the United States, a bipartisan coalition of academics, researchers, and political activists, called the Congressional Black Caucus, demonstrated that racial minorities and low-income populations were exposed to a higher environmental risk than the general population [19]. Further studies have documented that poorest population tends to concentrate in areas with higher levels of pollution [10, 19–23].Other surveys have confirmed that the most polluting companies and waste management plants are often located in more deprived residential areas, where green areas are often lacking or not fully accessible [24–28].Although the literature suggests that increased exposure to pollutants is associated with the ethnicity and socioeconomic status of individuals, many of these studies are limited to population living near monitoring networks. Furthermore, associations are often complex and difficult to refute.In order to specifically target welfare policies and apply the most appropriate measures to mitigate health inequalities, geographical models are particularly interesting; they explain how these determinants are distributed throughout the country and their temporal trends. These aspects are not yet adequately assessed in Italy. Therefore, the purpose of the present study is to carry out a preliminary investigation on the possible relations between PM10 and NO2 atmospheric pollution and some of the main characteristics of socioeconomic status (SES) of the population in a subset of Italian municipalities.


## 2. Materials and Methods

### 2.1. Data Collection

The observational study used the monitoring stations as statistical units; the stations were considered at a national level and for single municipalities.Data from each control unit and relative municipality have been collected:(i)
Air pollution(ii)
Socioeconomic characteristics(iii)
Demographic characteristicsAll the control units that had at least one year of data from 2002 to 2012 were collected for all macro-areas (Table1).Table 1
Description of sample size.
Macro-region
Region
No. of municipal districts
No. of air monitoring stations
Northern
Emilia Romagna
57
111
Friuli Venezia Giulia
24
38
Liguria
21
56
Lombardy
86
116
Piedmont
30
45
Trentino-South Tyrol
20
30
Aosta Valley
6
10
Veneto
43
67
Total
287
473
Central
Abruzzo
8
13
Latium
21
42
Marches
20
31
Tuscany
36
71
Umbria
8
21
Total
93
178
Southern
Basilicata
7
12
Calabria
7
9
Campania
6
20
Molise
6
11
Puglia
26
61
Sardinia
26
65
Sicily
25
69
Total
103
247
Total
483
898A database was created in the Excel format, containing all the parameters of the macro-areas available at the local level. Data were imported into the statistical software SPSS 21.0 for analysis.


### 2.2. Data on the Macro-Area: “Atmospheric Pollution”

PM10 and NO2 concentrations have been considered as indicators of air quality, detected in the network of monitoring stations located throughout the national territory, and contained in the online database BRACE, an Information System of the Italian Institute for Environmental Protection and Research (Istituto Superiore per la Protezione e la Ricerca Ambientale (ISPRA)) [28].The following statistical parameters available per year and per monitoring station inμg/m3 have been extrapolated from raw data available at http://www.brace.sinanet.apat.it/web/struttura.html?p_livello_1=3&p_main=web/sh_dg.inizio&p_scroll=yes:(i)
Total average annual concentration(ii)
Annual concentration per station: for NO2, the data are hourly, equal to 23 per day, about N=8298 per year; for PM10, the data are daily, one per die, approximately N=365 per yearThe BRACE statistics report that the average parameter is calculated when the annual series presents at least 50% of the values uniformly distributed over the year [29].Municipalities that have several monitoring stations in their territory have been considered several times (Table1).


### 2.3. Data on the Macro-Area: “Socioeconomic Characteristics”

The socioeconomic characteristics (SE) were used for the construction of the Synthetic Deprivation Index (IDS), as provided by Caranci et al. [30].The IDS was calculated as the sum of the standardized indicators listed in the following:(1)
Low educational level: percentage of the population with educational level equal to or less than the elementary license (6 years)(2)
Unemployment: percentage of unemployed or job-seeking active population(3)
Rented housing: percentage of rented dwellings as a proxy for nonpossession of the dwelling(4)
Single-parent family: percentage of single-parent families with cohabiting dependent children(5)
Housing density: number of occupants per 100 m2 in homesThese variables were collected in the census of 2001 at a national level and aggregated by municipality.


### 2.4. Data on the Macro-Area: “Demographic Characteristics”

Population data were obtained from the online database “Demo” of the National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) [31]. In particular, demographic data were available at http://demo.istat.it/ and extracted stratified for nationality: Italians and foreign citizens.The data collected at the municipality level refer to the following:(i)
Italian resident population on December 31 of each year. The resident population consists of Italian citizens, with residence in the national territory, even if temporarily absent.(ii)
Foreign citizens on December 31 of each year: non-Italian citizens having their usual residence in Italy.


### 2.5. Statistical Analysis

In order to assess the relationship between territorial distribution of NO2 and PM10 concentrations and the social/material deprivation of the local resident population, Pearson’s correlations (r) were performed.The relationship between the NO2 and PM10 atmospheric pollutants and social/material deprivation for the years 2002 to 2012 was studied by applying linear regression models. The concentration of pollutants was the dependent variable. The following variables were considered independent:(i)
IDS that includes the five indicators of social and material deprivation(ii)
Number of resident population (Italian citizens)(iii)
Number of foreign citizens(iv)
Geographical area of the municipality (northern, central, and southern regions)Therefore, twelve regression models (one for each year) were realized with the stepwise backward elimination method with the level of significance atp<0.1.The goodness of fit of the model was determined by evaluating theR2 coefficient. The multicollinearity was checked using variance inflation factors (VIFs). The homogeneity of variance was checked using the scatterplot of the residuals.In addition, the IDS or the five components of deprivation were considered in the models separately in order to avoid problems of collinearity. The model that showed the highestR2 value was chosen and reported in the present article.Finally, a comparison between the models at national and local levels (northern, central, or southern regions) was made (Table1). For these groups, defined as macro-regions, the same criteria of significance, analysis, and interpretation were adopted in the national model.The results of the statistical analyses have been summarized in tables. The level of significance was set atp<0.05.


## 2.1. Data Collection

The observational study used the monitoring stations as statistical units; the stations were considered at a national level and for single municipalities.Data from each control unit and relative municipality have been collected:(i)
Air pollution(ii)
Socioeconomic characteristics(iii)
Demographic characteristicsAll the control units that had at least one year of data from 2002 to 2012 were collected for all macro-areas (Table1).Table 1
Description of sample size.
Macro-region
Region
No. of municipal districts
No. of air monitoring stations
Northern
Emilia Romagna
57
111
Friuli Venezia Giulia
24
38
Liguria
21
56
Lombardy
86
116
Piedmont
30
45
Trentino-South Tyrol
20
30
Aosta Valley
6
10
Veneto
43
67
Total
287
473
Central
Abruzzo
8
13
Latium
21
42
Marches
20
31
Tuscany
36
71
Umbria
8
21
Total
93
178
Southern
Basilicata
7
12
Calabria
7
9
Campania
6
20
Molise
6
11
Puglia
26
61
Sardinia
26
65
Sicily
25
69
Total
103
247
Total
483
898A database was created in the Excel format, containing all the parameters of the macro-areas available at the local level. Data were imported into the statistical software SPSS 21.0 for analysis.


## 2.2. Data on the Macro-Area: “Atmospheric Pollution”

PM10 and NO2 concentrations have been considered as indicators of air quality, detected in the network of monitoring stations located throughout the national territory, and contained in the online database BRACE, an Information System of the Italian Institute for Environmental Protection and Research (Istituto Superiore per la Protezione e la Ricerca Ambientale (ISPRA)) [28].The following statistical parameters available per year and per monitoring station inμg/m3 have been extrapolated from raw data available at http://www.brace.sinanet.apat.it/web/struttura.html?p_livello_1=3&p_main=web/sh_dg.inizio&p_scroll=yes:(i)
Total average annual concentration(ii)
Annual concentration per station: for NO2, the data are hourly, equal to 23 per day, about N=8298 per year; for PM10, the data are daily, one per die, approximately N=365 per yearThe BRACE statistics report that the average parameter is calculated when the annual series presents at least 50% of the values uniformly distributed over the year [29].Municipalities that have several monitoring stations in their territory have been considered several times (Table1).


## 2.3. Data on the Macro-Area: “Socioeconomic Characteristics”

The socioeconomic characteristics (SE) were used for the construction of the Synthetic Deprivation Index (IDS), as provided by Caranci et al. [30].The IDS was calculated as the sum of the standardized indicators listed in the following:(1)
Low educational level: percentage of the population with educational level equal to or less than the elementary license (6 years)(2)
Unemployment: percentage of unemployed or job-seeking active population(3)
Rented housing: percentage of rented dwellings as a proxy for nonpossession of the dwelling(4)
Single-parent family: percentage of single-parent families with cohabiting dependent children(5)
Housing density: number of occupants per 100 m2 in homesThese variables were collected in the census of 2001 at a national level and aggregated by municipality.


## 2.4. Data on the Macro-Area: “Demographic Characteristics”

Population data were obtained from the online database “Demo” of the National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) [31]. In particular, demographic data were available at http://demo.istat.it/ and extracted stratified for nationality: Italians and foreign citizens.The data collected at the municipality level refer to the following:(i)
Italian resident population on December 31 of each year. The resident population consists of Italian citizens, with residence in the national territory, even if temporarily absent.(ii)
Foreign citizens on December 31 of each year: non-Italian citizens having their usual residence in Italy.


## 2.5. Statistical Analysis

In order to assess the relationship between territorial distribution of NO2 and PM10 concentrations and the social/material deprivation of the local resident population, Pearson’s correlations (r) were performed.The relationship between the NO2 and PM10 atmospheric pollutants and social/material deprivation for the years 2002 to 2012 was studied by applying linear regression models. The concentration of pollutants was the dependent variable. The following variables were considered independent:(i)
IDS that includes the five indicators of social and material deprivation(ii)
Number of resident population (Italian citizens)(iii)
Number of foreign citizens(iv)
Geographical area of the municipality (northern, central, and southern regions)Therefore, twelve regression models (one for each year) were realized with the stepwise backward elimination method with the level of significance atp<0.1.The goodness of fit of the model was determined by evaluating theR2 coefficient. The multicollinearity was checked using variance inflation factors (VIFs). The homogeneity of variance was checked using the scatterplot of the residuals.In addition, the IDS or the five components of deprivation were considered in the models separately in order to avoid problems of collinearity. The model that showed the highestR2 value was chosen and reported in the present article.Finally, a comparison between the models at national and local levels (northern, central, or southern regions) was made (Table1). For these groups, defined as macro-regions, the same criteria of significance, analysis, and interpretation were adopted in the national model.The results of the statistical analyses have been summarized in tables. The level of significance was set atp<0.05.


## 3. Results

The number of monitoring stations of the study was 898, which includes 483 municipalities. Table1 shows the regional frequency distribution.The correlation coefficients between IDS and its components towards the annual average values of pollutants per year are shown in Table2.Table 2
Pearson’s correlations (r) between annual pollutants mean values versus IDS and its five multidimensions per year.
Year
The annual mean of NO2
The annual mean of PM10
Synthetic Deprivation Index
% subjects with low level of education
% unemployment
% nonhome ownership
% single-parent family
Overcrowding 100 m2
Synthetic Deprivation Index
% subjects with low level of education
% unemployment
% nonhome ownership
% single-parent family
Overcrowding 100 m2
2002
r
0.290
−0.364
0.192
0.463
0.263
0.290
−0.112
−0.329
0.001
−0.006
0.150
−0.030
p
0.001
<0.001
0.034
<0.001
0.003
0.001
0.435
0.018
0.992
0.966
0.294
0.833
2003
r
0.106
−0.435
−0.103
0.462
0.093
0.106
−0.005
−0.001
−0.048
0.037
−0.138
−0.007
p
0.100
<0.001
0.108
<0.001
0.149
0.100
0.967
0.989
0.663
0.733
0.207
0.948
2004
r
0.046
−0.425
−0.196
0.480
0.057
0.046
0.048
−0.056
−0.055
0.226
0.045
−0.064
p
0.446
<0.001
0.001
<0.001
0.348
0.446
0.606
0.551
0.559
0.014
0.633
0.495
2005
r
0.017
−0.367
−0.157
0.437
0.177
0.017
−0.147
−0.252
−0.316
0.325
0.039
−0.159
p
0.755
<0.001
0.004
<0.001
0.001
0.755
0.049
0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.607
0.034
2006
r
−0.025
−0.359
−0.201
0.373
0.151
−0.025
0.191
−0.206
−0.337
0.236
−0.029
−0.201
p
0.605
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.002
0.605
0.001
0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.631
0.001
2007
r
−0.039
−0.356
−0.211
0.376
0.168
−0.039
−0.130
−0.125
−0.244
0.205
−0.035
−0.198
p
0.347
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.347
0.011
0.014
<0.001
<0.001
0.490
<0.001
2008
r
0.056
−0.340
−0.118
0.413
0.188
0.056
0.050
−0.116
−0.115
0.293
0.042
−0.029
p
0.179
<0.001
0.004
<0.001
<0.001
0.179
0.310
0.018
0.020
<0.001
0.396
0.551
2009
r
0.055
−0.388
−0.115
0.429
0.220
0.055
0.017
−0.164
−0.091
0.289
0.112
−0.082
p
0.182
<0.001
0.005
<0.001
<0.001
0.182
0.714
<0.001
0.050
<0.001
0.016
0.080
2010
r
0.060
−0.396
−0.234
0.387
0.165
0.060
0.059
−0.110
−0.049
0.287
0.109
−0.077
p
0.140
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.140
0.199
0.017
0.283
<0.001
0.017
0.093
2011
r
−0.065
−0.456
−0.259
0.465
0.196
−0.065
−0.163
−0.189
−0.251
0.262
0.008
−0.269
p
0.129
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.129
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.862
<0.001
2012
r
−0.027
−0.475
−0.219
0.477
0.221
−0.027
−0.184
−0.220
−0.283
0.277
0.013
−0.273
p
0.529
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.529
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.770
<0.001
Values whosep<0.05 are given in bold.The mean annual values of NO2 are inversely correlated with the percentage of low education (in all the years considered) and unemployment rate (in 10 out of 11 years). On the contrary, they are directly correlated with the percentage of rented housing and the percentage of single-parent families (9 out of 11 years).The annual average values of PM10 have similar correlations with those of NO2: low level of education (in 9 out of 11 years), rented accommodation (in 9 out of 11 years), and unemployment (in 6 out of 11 years), although there is greater discontinuity in terms of significance. Furthermore, the population density per 100 m2 is inversely associated with PM10 (in 5 out of 11 years).Linear regression analysis of IDS showedR2 values lower than those of the five individual components. Table 3 shows the results divided by year and by outcome of interest.Table 3
Linear regression models of dependent variables “annual mean of NO2” and “annual mean of PM10.”
Pollutants
Model for year
Covariates
% subjects with low level of education
% unemployment
% nonhome ownership
% single-parent family
Overcrowding 100 m2
Resident population
Foreign citizen
R
2 adj.
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
The annual mean of NO2
2002
−0.089
0.332
0.061
0.625
0.324
<0.001
−0.091
0.328
0.144
0.132
0.333
<0.001
0.043
0.882
0.294
2003
−0.126
0.079
−0.118
0.056
0.338
<0.001
−0.168
0.006
−0.239
0.811
0.336
<0.001
−0.272
0.138
0.340
2004
−0.113
0.087
−0.141
0.007
0.303
<0.001
−0.150
0.005
0.004
0.946
0.338
<0.001
−0.128
0.432
0.346
2005
−0.075
0.265
−0.149
0.002
0.324
<0.001
−0.044
0.402
0.013
0.835
0.296
<0.001
−0.141
0.343
0.280
2006
−0.12
0.036
−0.198
<0.001
0.256
<0.001
−0.101
0.056
0.035
0.551
0.310
<0.001
−0.073
0.641
0.277
2007
−0.128
0.008
−0.231
<0.001
0.254
<0.001
−0.088
0.047
0.004
0.937
0.296
<0.001
−0.206
0.125
0.281
2008
−0.120
0.014
−0.223
<0.001
0.306
<0.001
−0.096
0.036
0.031
0.543
0.619
<0.001
−0.366
0.012
0.268
2009
−0.118
0.007
−0.152
<0.001
0.280
<0.001
−0.061
0.157
0.033
0.488
0.269
<0.001
−0.219
0.139
0.285
2010
−0.173
<0.001
−0.199
<0.001
0.249
<0.001
−0.076
0.068
0.054
0.224
0.053
0.744
0.254
<0.001
0.291
2011
−0.204
<0.001
−0.182
<0.001
0.266
<0.001
−0.074
0.073
0.040
0.350
−0.066
0.702
0.260
<0.001
0.352
2012
−0.231
<0.001
−0.179
<0.001
0.300
<0.001
−0.085
0.049
0.015
0.732
0.223
<0.001
0.002
0.989
0.349
The annual mean of PM10
2002
−0.454
0.004
0.457
0.094
−0.146
0.460
−0.055
0.793
−0.442
0.099
0.240
<0.001
−0.106
0.924
0.110
2003
0.074
0.597
−0.066
0.544
0.072
0.661
−0.321
0.006
−0.086
0.667
0.402
<0.001
−0.441
0.324
0.126
2004
0.189
0.058
0.198
0.115
0.267
0.009
0.017
0.875
−0.211
0.020
−0.413
<0.001
0.401
<0.001
0.185
2005
0.007
0.938
−0.294
<0.001
0.303
<0.001
−0.011
0.884
−0.057
0.517
−0.315
<0.001
0.111
0.122
0.182
2006
−0.023
0.765
−0.211
0.004
0.253
<0.001
−0.144
0.021
−0.123
0.086
0.011
<0.001
0.197
0.001
0.193
2007
−0.033
0.616
−0.127
0.035
0.261
<0.001
−0.188
0.001
−0.200
0.001
0.197
<0.001
−0.096
0.641
0.151
2008
0.064
0.294
−0.168
<0.001
0.331
<0.001
−0.132
0.017
−0.069
0.286
0.157
<0.001
−0.114
0.572
0.134
2009
0.012
0.848
−0.023
0.680
0.292
<0.001
−0.075
0.143
−0.185
<0.001
0.128
<0.001
−0.088
0.643
0.118
2010
0.124
0.020
0.014
0.817
0.375
<0.001
−0.046
0.441
−0.211
<0.001
0.100
<0.001
−0.113
0.538
0.117
2011
−0.046
0.430
−0.008
0.875
0.350
<0.001
−0.187
<0.001
−0.342
<0.001
−0.308
<0.001
0.160
<0.001
0.205
2012
−0.094
0.094
−0.012
0.836
0.330
<0.001
−0.202
<0.001
−0.310
<0.001
−0.449
0.032
0.584
0.005
0.233
Values whosep<0.05 are given in bold.The percentage of individuals with a low level of education (covariate referred to as “low education %”) have negative coefficients in all models for the NO2 outcomes and are statistically significant since 2006. Instead, for the PM10, the association with low educational level changes sign over time and reaches significance in two years: it turns out to be inverse in 2002 (β = −0.454, p=0.004) and direct from 2010 (β = 0.124, p=0.020).The percentage of unemployment was significantly and inversely associated with NO2 in 9 out of 11 models. The PM10 concentration showed the opposite of the report over time and was statistically significant in four out of 11 models, from 2005 to 2008, with negative values.The percentage of “rented houses” were directly and significantly associated with both the average values of NO2 and PM10, respectively, in all and 9 out of 11 years examined.The covariate monoparenting families had an inverse association with the two pollutants, but this relationship had an inconsistent significance over time.The independent variable housing density was directly associated, but never significantly, with the annual average value of NO2. It was also inversely associated with PM10, which was constantly statistically significant from 2009 onwards.The resident population parameter had positive and statistically significant coefficients (p<0.001) in nine out of eleven models for the dependent variable NO2, while for PM10, these coefficients were statistically significant in all 11 years but with an inverse association in 4.The covariate foreign citizens presented an inconstant relation with both pollutants in terms of direction of the association and statistical significance.TheR2 of models, related to the NO2, ranged from 0.268 to 0.352, while for PM10, R2 of models ranged from 0.110 to 0.233.


### 3.1. Comparison by Geographical Area

#### 3.1.1. Northern Regions

Table4 shows the results about northern regions of Italy. Concerning the mean value of NO2, statistically significant relationships were observed:(i)
Direct association with “rented housing” and “resident population”(ii)
Indirect association with the “low level of education” from 2007Table 4
Linear regression models of dependent variables “annual mean of NO2” and “annual mean of PM10” in Northern Italian regions.
Pollutants
Model for year
Covariates
% subjects with low level of education
% unemployment
% nonhome ownership
% single-parent family
Overcrowding 100 m2
Resident population
Foreign citizen
R
2 adj.
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
The annual mean of NO2
2002
−0.081
0.514
0.064
0.604
0.118
0.328
−0.069
0.537
0.108
0.290
0.580
<0.001
−0.554
0.105
0.327
2003
−0.124
0.154
−0.138
0.079
0.287
<0.001
−0.153
0.035
−0.012
0.864
1.101
<0.001
−0.720
0.012
0.300
2004
−0.117
0.124
−0.175
0.008
0.283
<0.001
−0.129
0.033
0.001
0.996
1.058
<0.001
−0.661
0.005
0.342
2005
−0.102
0.243
−0.181
0.019
0.302
<0.001
−0.153
0.033
0.094
0.172
0.905
0.001
−0.594
0.023
0.235
2006
−0.111
0.154
−0.124
0.064
0.179
0.008
−0.095
0.150
0.063
0.306
0.830
0.001
−0.460
0.055
0.215
2007
−0.134
0.038
−0.130
0.020
0.145
0.022
−0.059
0.288
0.013
0.801
0.936
<0.001
−0.580
0.004
0.262
2008
−0.200
0.001
−0.104
0.052
0.152
0.011
−0.087
0.101
0.025
0.603
0.989
<0.001
−0.635
0.002
0.318
2009
−0.215
<0.001
−0.138
0.008
0.231
<0.001
−0.089
0.087
0.058
0.227
0.837
<0.001
−0.454
0.024
0.376
2010
−0.197
0.001
−0.109
0.032
0.281
<0.001
−0.094
0.059
0.049
0.303
0.710
0.001
−0.359
0.088
0.380
2011
−0.125
0.048
−0.085
0.097
0.369
<0.001
−0.113
0.027
0.095
0.050
0.822
<0.001
−0.484
0.022
0.424
2012
−0.186
0.004
−0.064
0.246
0.256
<0.001
−0.068
0.219
0.060
0.240
0.837
<0.001
−0.516
0.015
0.390
The annual mean of PM10
2002
−0.206
0.287
−0.240
0.253
−0.461
0.013
−0.285
0.165
−0.156
0.573
−0.162
0.913
0.707
<0.001
0.353
2003
0.421
<0.001
−0.082
0.515
−0.088
0.587
−0.054
0.733
−0.161
0.163
0.603
<0.001
−0.924
0.273
0.454
2004
0.350
0.002
−0.072
0.477
0.242
0.032
0.002
0.987
−0.164
0.122
0.560
<0.001
−0.080
0.851
0.357
2005
−0.008
0.947
−0.138
0.146
0.216
0.027
−0.146
0.153
0.070
0.454
−0.025
0.948
0.201
0.040
0.100
2006
0.003
0.973
−0.034
0.673
0.235
0.013
−0.296
0.001
0.064
0.439
−0.078
0.805
0.216
0.013
0.154
2007
−0.057
0.531
−0.036
0.665
0.115
0.170
−0.239
0.001
−0.158
0.029
−0.363
0.139
0.249
0.001
0.131
2008
0.024
0.774
−0.014
0.860
0.115
0.152
−0.091
0.176
−0.159
0.018
−0.883
<0.001
1.132
<0.001
0.146
2009
0.069
0.416
−0.034
0.640
0.257
0.001
−0.157
0.035
−0.119
0.069
−0.682
0.005
0.863
<0.001
0.166
2010
0.080
0.317
0.036
0.605
0.298
<0.001
−0.130
0.065
−0.189
0.003
−0.765
0.002
0.904
<0.001
0.190
2011
0.018
0.831
−0.025
0.708
0.357
<0.001
−0.254
<0.001
−0.187
0.002
−0.384
0.172
0.220
0.001
0.223
2012
−0.023
0.778
−0.074
0.286
0.396
<0.001
−0.237
0.001
−0.161
0.011
−0.491
0.088
0.667
0.020
0.216
Values whosep<0.05 are given in bold.The average concentration of PM10 results had statistically significant relationships too:(i)
Direct association with “rented housing” in 7 out of 11 years and “percentage of foreign citizens” in 9 out of 11 years(ii)
Indirect association with the “housing density per 100 m2” from 2007 onwards


#### 3.1.2. Central Regions

Table5 shows results about central regions of Italy. As regards the average value of NO2, a direct relationship with the “monoparent families” was observed, statistically significant in 6 out of 11 models, while an inverse association with the low level of education was observed in 5 out of 11 models. The mean PM10 concentration showed statistically significant inverse association with a low level of education from 2009 onwards.Table 5
Linear regression models of dependent variables “annual mean of NO2” and “annual mean of PM10” in Central Italian regions.
Pollutants
Model for year
Covariates
% subjects with low level of education
% unemployment
% nonhome ownership
% single-parent family
Overcrowding 100 m2
Resident population
Foreign citizen
R
2 adj.
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
The annual mean of NO2
2002
−0.561
0.001
−0.114
0.514
−0.301
0.568
0.283
0.527
0.244
0.172
2.626
0.557
−0.117
0.706
0.293
2003
−0.515
<0.001
0.092
0.665
−0.394
0.224
0.270
0.444
−0.060
0.682
0.250
0.182
−0.203
0.933
0.248
2004
−0.092
0.758
0.133
0.306
−0.237
0.556
0.496
<0.001
−0.223
0.227
−0.421
0.886
0.148
0.436
0.230
2005
−0.146
<0.001
−0.069
0.647
0.003
0.993
0.126
0.680
−0.043
0.804
0.263
0.133
−2.194
0.313
0.197
2006
−0.310
0.046
−0.065
0.668
−0.113
0.659
0.130
0.637
0.008
0.965
0.267
0.085
−0.723
0.791
0.260
2007
−0.097
0.511
0.044
0.696
0.014
0.928
0.305
0.004
0.123
0.189
−1.420
0.347
0.225
0.034
0.221
2008
−0.070
0.671
0.009
0.941
0.101
0.427
0.402
<0.001
0.098
0.308
−1.903
0.290
0.136
0.206
0.155
2009
−0.182
0.182
0.092
0.321
0.036
0.805
0.474
<0.001
−0.006
0.956
−2.684
0.123
0.147
0.155
0.219
2010
0.071
0.688
0.046
0.686
0.087
0.492
0.419
<0.001
0.108
0.238
−2.494
0.176
0.158
0.130
0.169
2011
−0.374
<0.001
0.161
0.076
0.032
0.819
0.203
0.181
−0.014
0.898
−4.119
0.010
4.309
0.007
0.333
2012
−0.102
0.564
0.187
0.031
0.200
0.105
0.451
<0.001
−0.024
0.816
−4.580
0.010
4.673
0.008
0.346
The annual mean of PM10
2002
−0.591
0.138
0.681
0.021
0.001
0.999
−1.118
0.418
0.001
0.999
0.001
0.999
−0.247
0.374
0.404
2003
−1.046
0.073
−0.099
0.806
−0.897
0.119
0.049
0.952
0.314
0.272
1.120
0.884
−0.703
0.164
0.100
2004
−0.438
0.053
0.133
0.852
−0.607
0.302
−0.308
0.591
0.152
0.554
−0.399
0.335
2.456
0.582
0.147
2005
−0.402
0.079
−0.121
0.611
−0.065
0.928
0.082
0.911
0.570
0.128
1.188
0.902
−0.252
0.386
0.115
2006
−0.104
0.785
0.129
0.385
0.347
0.079
−0.179
0.711
0.891
<0.001
−0.695
0.008
3.895
0.443
0.406
2007
−0.096
0.623
−0.088
0.583
0.031
0.864
0.165
0.126
0.261
0.012
1.732
0.428
−0.140
0.344
0.058
2008
−0.093
0.489
0.013
0.950
0.123
0.409
0.263
0.006
0.106
0.289
0.378
0.880
−0.133
0.322
0.060
2009
−0.391
<0.001
−0.173
0.092
0.138
0.391
0.218
0.217
0.136
0.249
0.327
0.889
−0.145
0.216
0.103
2010
−0.359
0.002
−0.161
0.109
0.109
0.512
0.174
0.329
0.158
0.185
−0.194
0.089
−0.068
0.979
0.065
2011
−0.280
0.003
0.082
0.407
−0.086
0.602
−0.022
0.912
−0.049
0.693
−0.110
0.343
1.849
0.321
0.070
2012
−0.357
<0.001
0.120
0.245
−0.112
0.497
0.096
0.614
−0.035
0.776
−0.148
0.187
1.782
0.322
0.120
Values whosep<0.05 are given in bold.


#### 3.1.3. Southern Regions

Table6 shows the models related to Southern Italy. The average value of NO2 was directly associated with the rented housing indicators (in 7 out of 11 years) and foreign nationality (in 9 out of 11 years). The average concentration of PM10 resulted to be inversely associated with the “housing density” in 5 out of 11 years and directly associated with the percentage of “unemployment.”Table 6
Linear regression models of dependent variables “annual mean of NO2” and “annual mean of PM10” in Southern Italian regions.
Pollutants
Model for year
Covariates
% subjects with low level of education
% unemployment
% nonhome ownership
% single-parent family
Overcrowding 100 m2
Resident population
Foreign citizen
R
2 adj.
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
The annual mean of NO2
2002
0.144
0.637
0.068
0.983
0.642
0.004
−0.259
0.204
−0.580
0.104
0.851
0.597
−0.381
0.189
0.760
2003
0.093
0.563
−0.626
0.002
0.691
<0.001
−0.169
0.153
−0.086
0.806
0.085
0.916
0.718
0.002
0.723
2004
0.093
0.562
−0.127
0.484
−0.241
0.551
0.204
0.025
0.116
0.660
0.880
<0.001
−5.897
0.116
0.765
2005
−0.032
0.777
0.206
0.025
0.397
<0.001
0.138
0.080
−0.098
0.469
−0.289
0.440
0.192
0.085
0.472
2006
−0.059
0.443
0.085
0.463
0.579
<0.001
−0.056
0.611
−0.067
0.615
−1.252
0.008
1.253
0.005
0.319
2007
−0.182
0.076
−0.060
0.516
0.454
0.002
−0.255
0.014
−0.190
0.080
−0.397
0.361
0.364
0.001
0.361
2008
0.020
0.803
0.062
0.405
0.283
0.004
0.016
0.855
0.013
0.907
−0.369
0.333
0.439
<0.001
0.458
2009
−0.071
0.400
0.041
0.564
0.233
0.023
−0.011
0.906
0.058
0.540
−0.621
0.097
1.071
0.003
0.421
2010
−0.150
0.045
−0.016
0.860
0.073
0.535
−0.156
0.134
0.045
0.720
−0.175
0.668
0.388
<0.001
0.187
2011
−0.110
0.190
−0.019
0.821
0.015
0.911
−0.034
0.739
0.116
0.123
0.047
0.796
0.468
<0.001
0.214
2012
−0.203
0.018
0.001
0.996
0.160
0.088
−0.168
0.038
0.020
0.834
−0.195
0.524
0.447
<0.001
0.346
The annual mean of PM10
2002
−0.380
0.715
0.001
0.999
0.001
0.999
−0.171
0.687
0.001
0.999
0.001
0.999
0.281
0.403
0.001
2003
−0.228
0.258
0.671
0.001
−0.731
0.139
0.089
0.748
0.276
0.574
−0.238
0.869
0.944
0.153
0.421
2004
0.245
0.531
1.216
0.023
−1.883
0.001
0.072
0.863
−0.220
0.376
21.085
0.002
−19.913
0.003
0.463
2005
0.153
0.408
−0.039
0.864
−0.650
0.021
0.511
0.001
0.092
0.740
0.873
0.001
−5.069
0.155
0.315
2006
−0.024
0.891
0.016
0.900
0.135
0.432
−0.121
0.336
−0.251
0.027
0.362
0.002
0.010
0.986
0.078
2007
−0.078
0.571
0.288
0.002
0.432
<0.001
−0.072
0.495
−0.277
0.008
0.041
0.940
0.078
0.584
0.223
2008
−0.015
0.895
0.035
0.719
0.664
<0.001
−0.030
0.700
−0.080
0.494
0.177
0.163
−0.001
0.999
0.436
2009
−0.104
0.321
0.133
0.120
0.253
0.040
−0.023
0.827
−0.242
0.008
−0.269
0.542
0.429
<0.001
0.286
2010
−0.002
0.983
0.370
<0.001
0.006
0.967
0.035
0.697
−0.176
0.024
0.001
0.999
0.479
<0.001
0.419
2011
−0.063
0.633
0.194
0.018
0.105
0.422
−0.089
0.325
−0.289
<0.001
0.366
<0.001
0.142
0.586
0.197
2012
−0.061
0.579
0.167
0.043
0.212
0.094
−0.238
0.011
−0.411
<0.001
0.062
0.855
0.217
0.033
0.165
Values whosep<0.05 are given in bold.


## 3.1. Comparison by Geographical Area

### 3.1.1. Northern Regions

Table4 shows the results about northern regions of Italy. Concerning the mean value of NO2, statistically significant relationships were observed:(i)
Direct association with “rented housing” and “resident population”(ii)
Indirect association with the “low level of education” from 2007Table 4
Linear regression models of dependent variables “annual mean of NO2” and “annual mean of PM10” in Northern Italian regions.
Pollutants
Model for year
Covariates
% subjects with low level of education
% unemployment
% nonhome ownership
% single-parent family
Overcrowding 100 m2
Resident population
Foreign citizen
R
2 adj.
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
The annual mean of NO2
2002
−0.081
0.514
0.064
0.604
0.118
0.328
−0.069
0.537
0.108
0.290
0.580
<0.001
−0.554
0.105
0.327
2003
−0.124
0.154
−0.138
0.079
0.287
<0.001
−0.153
0.035
−0.012
0.864
1.101
<0.001
−0.720
0.012
0.300
2004
−0.117
0.124
−0.175
0.008
0.283
<0.001
−0.129
0.033
0.001
0.996
1.058
<0.001
−0.661
0.005
0.342
2005
−0.102
0.243
−0.181
0.019
0.302
<0.001
−0.153
0.033
0.094
0.172
0.905
0.001
−0.594
0.023
0.235
2006
−0.111
0.154
−0.124
0.064
0.179
0.008
−0.095
0.150
0.063
0.306
0.830
0.001
−0.460
0.055
0.215
2007
−0.134
0.038
−0.130
0.020
0.145
0.022
−0.059
0.288
0.013
0.801
0.936
<0.001
−0.580
0.004
0.262
2008
−0.200
0.001
−0.104
0.052
0.152
0.011
−0.087
0.101
0.025
0.603
0.989
<0.001
−0.635
0.002
0.318
2009
−0.215
<0.001
−0.138
0.008
0.231
<0.001
−0.089
0.087
0.058
0.227
0.837
<0.001
−0.454
0.024
0.376
2010
−0.197
0.001
−0.109
0.032
0.281
<0.001
−0.094
0.059
0.049
0.303
0.710
0.001
−0.359
0.088
0.380
2011
−0.125
0.048
−0.085
0.097
0.369
<0.001
−0.113
0.027
0.095
0.050
0.822
<0.001
−0.484
0.022
0.424
2012
−0.186
0.004
−0.064
0.246
0.256
<0.001
−0.068
0.219
0.060
0.240
0.837
<0.001
−0.516
0.015
0.390
The annual mean of PM10
2002
−0.206
0.287
−0.240
0.253
−0.461
0.013
−0.285
0.165
−0.156
0.573
−0.162
0.913
0.707
<0.001
0.353
2003
0.421
<0.001
−0.082
0.515
−0.088
0.587
−0.054
0.733
−0.161
0.163
0.603
<0.001
−0.924
0.273
0.454
2004
0.350
0.002
−0.072
0.477
0.242
0.032
0.002
0.987
−0.164
0.122
0.560
<0.001
−0.080
0.851
0.357
2005
−0.008
0.947
−0.138
0.146
0.216
0.027
−0.146
0.153
0.070
0.454
−0.025
0.948
0.201
0.040
0.100
2006
0.003
0.973
−0.034
0.673
0.235
0.013
−0.296
0.001
0.064
0.439
−0.078
0.805
0.216
0.013
0.154
2007
−0.057
0.531
−0.036
0.665
0.115
0.170
−0.239
0.001
−0.158
0.029
−0.363
0.139
0.249
0.001
0.131
2008
0.024
0.774
−0.014
0.860
0.115
0.152
−0.091
0.176
−0.159
0.018
−0.883
<0.001
1.132
<0.001
0.146
2009
0.069
0.416
−0.034
0.640
0.257
0.001
−0.157
0.035
−0.119
0.069
−0.682
0.005
0.863
<0.001
0.166
2010
0.080
0.317
0.036
0.605
0.298
<0.001
−0.130
0.065
−0.189
0.003
−0.765
0.002
0.904
<0.001
0.190
2011
0.018
0.831
−0.025
0.708
0.357
<0.001
−0.254
<0.001
−0.187
0.002
−0.384
0.172
0.220
0.001
0.223
2012
−0.023
0.778
−0.074
0.286
0.396
<0.001
−0.237
0.001
−0.161
0.011
−0.491
0.088
0.667
0.020
0.216
Values whosep<0.05 are given in bold.The average concentration of PM10 results had statistically significant relationships too:(i)
Direct association with “rented housing” in 7 out of 11 years and “percentage of foreign citizens” in 9 out of 11 years(ii)
Indirect association with the “housing density per 100 m2” from 2007 onwards


### 3.1.2. Central Regions

Table5 shows results about central regions of Italy. As regards the average value of NO2, a direct relationship with the “monoparent families” was observed, statistically significant in 6 out of 11 models, while an inverse association with the low level of education was observed in 5 out of 11 models. The mean PM10 concentration showed statistically significant inverse association with a low level of education from 2009 onwards.Table 5
Linear regression models of dependent variables “annual mean of NO2” and “annual mean of PM10” in Central Italian regions.
Pollutants
Model for year
Covariates
% subjects with low level of education
% unemployment
% nonhome ownership
% single-parent family
Overcrowding 100 m2
Resident population
Foreign citizen
R
2 adj.
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
The annual mean of NO2
2002
−0.561
0.001
−0.114
0.514
−0.301
0.568
0.283
0.527
0.244
0.172
2.626
0.557
−0.117
0.706
0.293
2003
−0.515
<0.001
0.092
0.665
−0.394
0.224
0.270
0.444
−0.060
0.682
0.250
0.182
−0.203
0.933
0.248
2004
−0.092
0.758
0.133
0.306
−0.237
0.556
0.496
<0.001
−0.223
0.227
−0.421
0.886
0.148
0.436
0.230
2005
−0.146
<0.001
−0.069
0.647
0.003
0.993
0.126
0.680
−0.043
0.804
0.263
0.133
−2.194
0.313
0.197
2006
−0.310
0.046
−0.065
0.668
−0.113
0.659
0.130
0.637
0.008
0.965
0.267
0.085
−0.723
0.791
0.260
2007
−0.097
0.511
0.044
0.696
0.014
0.928
0.305
0.004
0.123
0.189
−1.420
0.347
0.225
0.034
0.221
2008
−0.070
0.671
0.009
0.941
0.101
0.427
0.402
<0.001
0.098
0.308
−1.903
0.290
0.136
0.206
0.155
2009
−0.182
0.182
0.092
0.321
0.036
0.805
0.474
<0.001
−0.006
0.956
−2.684
0.123
0.147
0.155
0.219
2010
0.071
0.688
0.046
0.686
0.087
0.492
0.419
<0.001
0.108
0.238
−2.494
0.176
0.158
0.130
0.169
2011
−0.374
<0.001
0.161
0.076
0.032
0.819
0.203
0.181
−0.014
0.898
−4.119
0.010
4.309
0.007
0.333
2012
−0.102
0.564
0.187
0.031
0.200
0.105
0.451
<0.001
−0.024
0.816
−4.580
0.010
4.673
0.008
0.346
The annual mean of PM10
2002
−0.591
0.138
0.681
0.021
0.001
0.999
−1.118
0.418
0.001
0.999
0.001
0.999
−0.247
0.374
0.404
2003
−1.046
0.073
−0.099
0.806
−0.897
0.119
0.049
0.952
0.314
0.272
1.120
0.884
−0.703
0.164
0.100
2004
−0.438
0.053
0.133
0.852
−0.607
0.302
−0.308
0.591
0.152
0.554
−0.399
0.335
2.456
0.582
0.147
2005
−0.402
0.079
−0.121
0.611
−0.065
0.928
0.082
0.911
0.570
0.128
1.188
0.902
−0.252
0.386
0.115
2006
−0.104
0.785
0.129
0.385
0.347
0.079
−0.179
0.711
0.891
<0.001
−0.695
0.008
3.895
0.443
0.406
2007
−0.096
0.623
−0.088
0.583
0.031
0.864
0.165
0.126
0.261
0.012
1.732
0.428
−0.140
0.344
0.058
2008
−0.093
0.489
0.013
0.950
0.123
0.409
0.263
0.006
0.106
0.289
0.378
0.880
−0.133
0.322
0.060
2009
−0.391
<0.001
−0.173
0.092
0.138
0.391
0.218
0.217
0.136
0.249
0.327
0.889
−0.145
0.216
0.103
2010
−0.359
0.002
−0.161
0.109
0.109
0.512
0.174
0.329
0.158
0.185
−0.194
0.089
−0.068
0.979
0.065
2011
−0.280
0.003
0.082
0.407
−0.086
0.602
−0.022
0.912
−0.049
0.693
−0.110
0.343
1.849
0.321
0.070
2012
−0.357
<0.001
0.120
0.245
−0.112
0.497
0.096
0.614
−0.035
0.776
−0.148
0.187
1.782
0.322
0.120
Values whosep<0.05 are given in bold.


### 3.1.3. Southern Regions

Table6 shows the models related to Southern Italy. The average value of NO2 was directly associated with the rented housing indicators (in 7 out of 11 years) and foreign nationality (in 9 out of 11 years). The average concentration of PM10 resulted to be inversely associated with the “housing density” in 5 out of 11 years and directly associated with the percentage of “unemployment.”Table 6
Linear regression models of dependent variables “annual mean of NO2” and “annual mean of PM10” in Southern Italian regions.
Pollutants
Model for year
Covariates
% subjects with low level of education
% unemployment
% nonhome ownership
% single-parent family
Overcrowding 100 m2
Resident population
Foreign citizen
R
2 adj.
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
The annual mean of NO2
2002
0.144
0.637
0.068
0.983
0.642
0.004
−0.259
0.204
−0.580
0.104
0.851
0.597
−0.381
0.189
0.760
2003
0.093
0.563
−0.626
0.002
0.691
<0.001
−0.169
0.153
−0.086
0.806
0.085
0.916
0.718
0.002
0.723
2004
0.093
0.562
−0.127
0.484
−0.241
0.551
0.204
0.025
0.116
0.660
0.880
<0.001
−5.897
0.116
0.765
2005
−0.032
0.777
0.206
0.025
0.397
<0.001
0.138
0.080
−0.098
0.469
−0.289
0.440
0.192
0.085
0.472
2006
−0.059
0.443
0.085
0.463
0.579
<0.001
−0.056
0.611
−0.067
0.615
−1.252
0.008
1.253
0.005
0.319
2007
−0.182
0.076
−0.060
0.516
0.454
0.002
−0.255
0.014
−0.190
0.080
−0.397
0.361
0.364
0.001
0.361
2008
0.020
0.803
0.062
0.405
0.283
0.004
0.016
0.855
0.013
0.907
−0.369
0.333
0.439
<0.001
0.458
2009
−0.071
0.400
0.041
0.564
0.233
0.023
−0.011
0.906
0.058
0.540
−0.621
0.097
1.071
0.003
0.421
2010
−0.150
0.045
−0.016
0.860
0.073
0.535
−0.156
0.134
0.045
0.720
−0.175
0.668
0.388
<0.001
0.187
2011
−0.110
0.190
−0.019
0.821
0.015
0.911
−0.034
0.739
0.116
0.123
0.047
0.796
0.468
<0.001
0.214
2012
−0.203
0.018
0.001
0.996
0.160
0.088
−0.168
0.038
0.020
0.834
−0.195
0.524
0.447
<0.001
0.346
The annual mean of PM10
2002
−0.380
0.715
0.001
0.999
0.001
0.999
−0.171
0.687
0.001
0.999
0.001
0.999
0.281
0.403
0.001
2003
−0.228
0.258
0.671
0.001
−0.731
0.139
0.089
0.748
0.276
0.574
−0.238
0.869
0.944
0.153
0.421
2004
0.245
0.531
1.216
0.023
−1.883
0.001
0.072
0.863
−0.220
0.376
21.085
0.002
−19.913
0.003
0.463
2005
0.153
0.408
−0.039
0.864
−0.650
0.021
0.511
0.001
0.092
0.740
0.873
0.001
−5.069
0.155
0.315
2006
−0.024
0.891
0.016
0.900
0.135
0.432
−0.121
0.336
−0.251
0.027
0.362
0.002
0.010
0.986
0.078
2007
−0.078
0.571
0.288
0.002
0.432
<0.001
−0.072
0.495
−0.277
0.008
0.041
0.940
0.078
0.584
0.223
2008
−0.015
0.895
0.035
0.719
0.664
<0.001
−0.030
0.700
−0.080
0.494
0.177
0.163
−0.001
0.999
0.436
2009
−0.104
0.321
0.133
0.120
0.253
0.040
−0.023
0.827
−0.242
0.008
−0.269
0.542
0.429
<0.001
0.286
2010
−0.002
0.983
0.370
<0.001
0.006
0.967
0.035
0.697
−0.176
0.024
0.001
0.999
0.479
<0.001
0.419
2011
−0.063
0.633
0.194
0.018
0.105
0.422
−0.089
0.325
−0.289
<0.001
0.366
<0.001
0.142
0.586
0.197
2012
−0.061
0.579
0.167
0.043
0.212
0.094
−0.238
0.011
−0.411
<0.001
0.062
0.855
0.217
0.033
0.165
Values whosep<0.05 are given in bold.


## 3.1.1. Northern Regions

Table4 shows the results about northern regions of Italy. Concerning the mean value of NO2, statistically significant relationships were observed:(i)
Direct association with “rented housing” and “resident population”(ii)
Indirect association with the “low level of education” from 2007Table 4
Linear regression models of dependent variables “annual mean of NO2” and “annual mean of PM10” in Northern Italian regions.
Pollutants
Model for year
Covariates
% subjects with low level of education
% unemployment
% nonhome ownership
% single-parent family
Overcrowding 100 m2
Resident population
Foreign citizen
R
2 adj.
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
The annual mean of NO2
2002
−0.081
0.514
0.064
0.604
0.118
0.328
−0.069
0.537
0.108
0.290
0.580
<0.001
−0.554
0.105
0.327
2003
−0.124
0.154
−0.138
0.079
0.287
<0.001
−0.153
0.035
−0.012
0.864
1.101
<0.001
−0.720
0.012
0.300
2004
−0.117
0.124
−0.175
0.008
0.283
<0.001
−0.129
0.033
0.001
0.996
1.058
<0.001
−0.661
0.005
0.342
2005
−0.102
0.243
−0.181
0.019
0.302
<0.001
−0.153
0.033
0.094
0.172
0.905
0.001
−0.594
0.023
0.235
2006
−0.111
0.154
−0.124
0.064
0.179
0.008
−0.095
0.150
0.063
0.306
0.830
0.001
−0.460
0.055
0.215
2007
−0.134
0.038
−0.130
0.020
0.145
0.022
−0.059
0.288
0.013
0.801
0.936
<0.001
−0.580
0.004
0.262
2008
−0.200
0.001
−0.104
0.052
0.152
0.011
−0.087
0.101
0.025
0.603
0.989
<0.001
−0.635
0.002
0.318
2009
−0.215
<0.001
−0.138
0.008
0.231
<0.001
−0.089
0.087
0.058
0.227
0.837
<0.001
−0.454
0.024
0.376
2010
−0.197
0.001
−0.109
0.032
0.281
<0.001
−0.094
0.059
0.049
0.303
0.710
0.001
−0.359
0.088
0.380
2011
−0.125
0.048
−0.085
0.097
0.369
<0.001
−0.113
0.027
0.095
0.050
0.822
<0.001
−0.484
0.022
0.424
2012
−0.186
0.004
−0.064
0.246
0.256
<0.001
−0.068
0.219
0.060
0.240
0.837
<0.001
−0.516
0.015
0.390
The annual mean of PM10
2002
−0.206
0.287
−0.240
0.253
−0.461
0.013
−0.285
0.165
−0.156
0.573
−0.162
0.913
0.707
<0.001
0.353
2003
0.421
<0.001
−0.082
0.515
−0.088
0.587
−0.054
0.733
−0.161
0.163
0.603
<0.001
−0.924
0.273
0.454
2004
0.350
0.002
−0.072
0.477
0.242
0.032
0.002
0.987
−0.164
0.122
0.560
<0.001
−0.080
0.851
0.357
2005
−0.008
0.947
−0.138
0.146
0.216
0.027
−0.146
0.153
0.070
0.454
−0.025
0.948
0.201
0.040
0.100
2006
0.003
0.973
−0.034
0.673
0.235
0.013
−0.296
0.001
0.064
0.439
−0.078
0.805
0.216
0.013
0.154
2007
−0.057
0.531
−0.036
0.665
0.115
0.170
−0.239
0.001
−0.158
0.029
−0.363
0.139
0.249
0.001
0.131
2008
0.024
0.774
−0.014
0.860
0.115
0.152
−0.091
0.176
−0.159
0.018
−0.883
<0.001
1.132
<0.001
0.146
2009
0.069
0.416
−0.034
0.640
0.257
0.001
−0.157
0.035
−0.119
0.069
−0.682
0.005
0.863
<0.001
0.166
2010
0.080
0.317
0.036
0.605
0.298
<0.001
−0.130
0.065
−0.189
0.003
−0.765
0.002
0.904
<0.001
0.190
2011
0.018
0.831
−0.025
0.708
0.357
<0.001
−0.254
<0.001
−0.187
0.002
−0.384
0.172
0.220
0.001
0.223
2012
−0.023
0.778
−0.074
0.286
0.396
<0.001
−0.237
0.001
−0.161
0.011
−0.491
0.088
0.667
0.020
0.216
Values whosep<0.05 are given in bold.The average concentration of PM10 results had statistically significant relationships too:(i)
Direct association with “rented housing” in 7 out of 11 years and “percentage of foreign citizens” in 9 out of 11 years(ii)
Indirect association with the “housing density per 100 m2” from 2007 onwards


## 3.1.2. Central Regions

Table5 shows results about central regions of Italy. As regards the average value of NO2, a direct relationship with the “monoparent families” was observed, statistically significant in 6 out of 11 models, while an inverse association with the low level of education was observed in 5 out of 11 models. The mean PM10 concentration showed statistically significant inverse association with a low level of education from 2009 onwards.Table 5
Linear regression models of dependent variables “annual mean of NO2” and “annual mean of PM10” in Central Italian regions.
Pollutants
Model for year
Covariates
% subjects with low level of education
% unemployment
% nonhome ownership
% single-parent family
Overcrowding 100 m2
Resident population
Foreign citizen
R
2 adj.
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
The annual mean of NO2
2002
−0.561
0.001
−0.114
0.514
−0.301
0.568
0.283
0.527
0.244
0.172
2.626
0.557
−0.117
0.706
0.293
2003
−0.515
<0.001
0.092
0.665
−0.394
0.224
0.270
0.444
−0.060
0.682
0.250
0.182
−0.203
0.933
0.248
2004
−0.092
0.758
0.133
0.306
−0.237
0.556
0.496
<0.001
−0.223
0.227
−0.421
0.886
0.148
0.436
0.230
2005
−0.146
<0.001
−0.069
0.647
0.003
0.993
0.126
0.680
−0.043
0.804
0.263
0.133
−2.194
0.313
0.197
2006
−0.310
0.046
−0.065
0.668
−0.113
0.659
0.130
0.637
0.008
0.965
0.267
0.085
−0.723
0.791
0.260
2007
−0.097
0.511
0.044
0.696
0.014
0.928
0.305
0.004
0.123
0.189
−1.420
0.347
0.225
0.034
0.221
2008
−0.070
0.671
0.009
0.941
0.101
0.427
0.402
<0.001
0.098
0.308
−1.903
0.290
0.136
0.206
0.155
2009
−0.182
0.182
0.092
0.321
0.036
0.805
0.474
<0.001
−0.006
0.956
−2.684
0.123
0.147
0.155
0.219
2010
0.071
0.688
0.046
0.686
0.087
0.492
0.419
<0.001
0.108
0.238
−2.494
0.176
0.158
0.130
0.169
2011
−0.374
<0.001
0.161
0.076
0.032
0.819
0.203
0.181
−0.014
0.898
−4.119
0.010
4.309
0.007
0.333
2012
−0.102
0.564
0.187
0.031
0.200
0.105
0.451
<0.001
−0.024
0.816
−4.580
0.010
4.673
0.008
0.346
The annual mean of PM10
2002
−0.591
0.138
0.681
0.021
0.001
0.999
−1.118
0.418
0.001
0.999
0.001
0.999
−0.247
0.374
0.404
2003
−1.046
0.073
−0.099
0.806
−0.897
0.119
0.049
0.952
0.314
0.272
1.120
0.884
−0.703
0.164
0.100
2004
−0.438
0.053
0.133
0.852
−0.607
0.302
−0.308
0.591
0.152
0.554
−0.399
0.335
2.456
0.582
0.147
2005
−0.402
0.079
−0.121
0.611
−0.065
0.928
0.082
0.911
0.570
0.128
1.188
0.902
−0.252
0.386
0.115
2006
−0.104
0.785
0.129
0.385
0.347
0.079
−0.179
0.711
0.891
<0.001
−0.695
0.008
3.895
0.443
0.406
2007
−0.096
0.623
−0.088
0.583
0.031
0.864
0.165
0.126
0.261
0.012
1.732
0.428
−0.140
0.344
0.058
2008
−0.093
0.489
0.013
0.950
0.123
0.409
0.263
0.006
0.106
0.289
0.378
0.880
−0.133
0.322
0.060
2009
−0.391
<0.001
−0.173
0.092
0.138
0.391
0.218
0.217
0.136
0.249
0.327
0.889
−0.145
0.216
0.103
2010
−0.359
0.002
−0.161
0.109
0.109
0.512
0.174
0.329
0.158
0.185
−0.194
0.089
−0.068
0.979
0.065
2011
−0.280
0.003
0.082
0.407
−0.086
0.602
−0.022
0.912
−0.049
0.693
−0.110
0.343
1.849
0.321
0.070
2012
−0.357
<0.001
0.120
0.245
−0.112
0.497
0.096
0.614
−0.035
0.776
−0.148
0.187
1.782
0.322
0.120
Values whosep<0.05 are given in bold.


## 3.1.3. Southern Regions

Table6 shows the models related to Southern Italy. The average value of NO2 was directly associated with the rented housing indicators (in 7 out of 11 years) and foreign nationality (in 9 out of 11 years). The average concentration of PM10 resulted to be inversely associated with the “housing density” in 5 out of 11 years and directly associated with the percentage of “unemployment.”Table 6
Linear regression models of dependent variables “annual mean of NO2” and “annual mean of PM10” in Southern Italian regions.
Pollutants
Model for year
Covariates
% subjects with low level of education
% unemployment
% nonhome ownership
% single-parent family
Overcrowding 100 m2
Resident population
Foreign citizen
R
2 adj.
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
β
p
The annual mean of NO2
2002
0.144
0.637
0.068
0.983
0.642
0.004
−0.259
0.204
−0.580
0.104
0.851
0.597
−0.381
0.189
0.760
2003
0.093
0.563
−0.626
0.002
0.691
<0.001
−0.169
0.153
−0.086
0.806
0.085
0.916
0.718
0.002
0.723
2004
0.093
0.562
−0.127
0.484
−0.241
0.551
0.204
0.025
0.116
0.660
0.880
<0.001
−5.897
0.116
0.765
2005
−0.032
0.777
0.206
0.025
0.397
<0.001
0.138
0.080
−0.098
0.469
−0.289
0.440
0.192
0.085
0.472
2006
−0.059
0.443
0.085
0.463
0.579
<0.001
−0.056
0.611
−0.067
0.615
−1.252
0.008
1.253
0.005
0.319
2007
−0.182
0.076
−0.060
0.516
0.454
0.002
−0.255
0.014
−0.190
0.080
−0.397
0.361
0.364
0.001
0.361
2008
0.020
0.803
0.062
0.405
0.283
0.004
0.016
0.855
0.013
0.907
−0.369
0.333
0.439
<0.001
0.458
2009
−0.071
0.400
0.041
0.564
0.233
0.023
−0.011
0.906
0.058
0.540
−0.621
0.097
1.071
0.003
0.421
2010
−0.150
0.045
−0.016
0.860
0.073
0.535
−0.156
0.134
0.045
0.720
−0.175
0.668
0.388
<0.001
0.187
2011
−0.110
0.190
−0.019
0.821
0.015
0.911
−0.034
0.739
0.116
0.123
0.047
0.796
0.468
<0.001
0.214
2012
−0.203
0.018
0.001
0.996
0.160
0.088
−0.168
0.038
0.020
0.834
−0.195
0.524
0.447
<0.001
0.346
The annual mean of PM10
2002
−0.380
0.715
0.001
0.999
0.001
0.999
−0.171
0.687
0.001
0.999
0.001
0.999
0.281
0.403
0.001
2003
−0.228
0.258
0.671
0.001
−0.731
0.139
0.089
0.748
0.276
0.574
−0.238
0.869
0.944
0.153
0.421
2004
0.245
0.531
1.216
0.023
−1.883
0.001
0.072
0.863
−0.220
0.376
21.085
0.002
−19.913
0.003
0.463
2005
0.153
0.408
−0.039
0.864
−0.650
0.021
0.511
0.001
0.092
0.740
0.873
0.001
−5.069
0.155
0.315
2006
−0.024
0.891
0.016
0.900
0.135
0.432
−0.121
0.336
−0.251
0.027
0.362
0.002
0.010
0.986
0.078
2007
−0.078
0.571
0.288
0.002
0.432
<0.001
−0.072
0.495
−0.277
0.008
0.041
0.940
0.078
0.584
0.223
2008
−0.015
0.895
0.035
0.719
0.664
<0.001
−0.030
0.700
−0.080
0.494
0.177
0.163
−0.001
0.999
0.436
2009
−0.104
0.321
0.133
0.120
0.253
0.040
−0.023
0.827
−0.242
0.008
−0.269
0.542
0.429
<0.001
0.286
2010
−0.002
0.983
0.370
<0.001
0.006
0.967
0.035
0.697
−0.176
0.024
0.001
0.999
0.479
<0.001
0.419
2011
−0.063
0.633
0.194
0.018
0.105
0.422
−0.089
0.325
−0.289
<0.001
0.366
<0.001
0.142
0.586
0.197
2012
−0.061
0.579
0.167
0.043
0.212
0.094
−0.238
0.011
−0.411
<0.001
0.062
0.855
0.217
0.033
0.165
Values whosep<0.05 are given in bold.


## 4. Discussion

The study shows linear correlations between the NO2 and PM10 concentrations and the indicators of social and material deprivation of the local resident population. The results are in line with the results of previous studies, including some conducted in the United States, North Carolina, and Spain [10, 20, 32]. The study confirms that higher education and employment are related to higher average annual values of PM10 and NO2, encouraging the interpretation about the association between pollution and anthropogenic activities. This report is also shown in the analysis carried out in the northern regions.In addition, the areas with a higher number of rented houses are linked to higher average values of PM10 and NO2. This situation is confirmed in the stratified analysis except for the central region. It could be explained from the fact that younger people often live in rented house and move more for work and for social activities, using motor vehicles, compared to older people. A higher number of residents seem to be associated with an increase of the annual average values of NO2 more than of PM10, even if this relationship is not confirmed in terms of the direction of relationship and its significance from the statistical point of view. It is therefore necessary to reflect on the fact that a higher number of residents may not correspond to a higher population density. Moreover, always with regard to the number of residents compared to PM10, a greater number of residents can lead to an increase in human activities, such as vehicular traffic, which is one of the main sources of the increase of this pollutant. However, this relationship in the stratified analysis by geographical area is not confirmed.The NO2 concentrations at the national level seem to be greater where a greater number of residents do exist, and this is confirmed in the analysis conducted on the regions of Northern Italy; probably, the atmospheric and climatic conditions contribute to a greater consumption of heat in homes or even greater to the presence of industrial combustion plants. A higher number of residents seem to increase the annual average values of NO2 more than of PM10, even if this relationship is not confirmed both in terms of sign and significance of population density per 100 m2. It is therefore necessary to consider that a higher number of residents may not correspond to a high population density. Moreover, a greater number of residents can lead to an increase in human activities, such as vehicular traffic, which is one of the main sources of increase of PM10. However, this relationship in the stratified analysis by geographical area is not confirmed. The NO2 concentrations at the national level seem to be greater where there are a greater number of residents, and this is confirmed in the analysis conducted on the northern regions; probably, the atmospheric and climatic conditions contribute to a greater consumption of heat in homes or even greater to the presence of industrial combustion plants.Probably, this variable as well as education, unemployment, rented housing, and single-parent families seem to be indicators influenced by geographical area. In this regard, in some respects, the northern regions seem to reproduce in small what is shown at the national level, while the central and southern regions show situations either reversing or discontinuous over time or changing in the statistical significance level. In conclusion, there is not a common trend, in sign and significance, between national level and the three areas, except for the population density that, at both national and subarea levels, does not show statistically significant relations about average NO2.In the analysis of stratified regression by macro-area, geographical position modifies the effect of some SES components on NO2 and PM10 levels. The relationships between dependent and independent variables are very different in the three groups in terms of sign, time, and significance and are not imputable to the case. The differences should be analyzed and weighted to reduce social disparities.The scientific literature reports that the relationships between the various social and environmental risk factors are not always constant and homogeneous over time in the geographical areas and in the territory [10, 20]. Differences documented are spatial and temporal and often depend on the historical social structure, the economic development of individual cities, and their evolution [23].One of the strength points of our study is the evaluation of relationships between variables not only on a national scale but also for territorial divisions. Moreover, the data refer to the individual local realities and are then aggregated by macro geographical areas.Another point of strength is that the study included observations from 483 Italian municipalities, around 6% of the total administrative units. Although the sample distribution among regions is not completely homogeneous, it is representative of the Italian municipal situation. In terms of data, northern regions gave the greatest contribution at a national level, considering geographical areas Emilia Romagna and Lombardy in the north, Tuscany in the center, and Puglia and Islands in the south.Furthermore, the linear regression model was generally suitable to describe the relationship between the dependent (mean NO2 and PM10 per year) and independent (deprivation index and related indicators) variables.Considering possible limitations, the study has a cross-sectional design that does not allow to highlight causal links between SES and pollution level. Data collected, thanks to the databases, are not exhaustive to explain the complexity of the causal link between environmental and social inequalities. Moreover, we cannot fully understand whether or not epidemiological measures obtained in the current study represent an under- or overestimation of the true effect and the potential magnitude of sources of bias. So, the results must be considered with care.Another limiting aspect is the lack of pollution estimates for small areas, which could have led to a misclassification of environmental exposure.Further variables could be included in the models to explain the relationships. The models show a reduced reliability of relationship using the linear function, in particular for PM10 that has an R2 that does not exceed the value of 0.233 in the national analysis. In this sense, it is possible that structural equation modeling (SEM) would yield better results than linear regression modeling. Other aspects to consider are the annual quantification of vehicular traffic, the urban setting (presence of parks, industries, etc.), and altitude and proximity to the coast, which could mitigate the effects of dispersed air pollution. Variables such as the nonuse or delay of dental care, often used as a proxy for the economic condition of a family, could be included to describe aspects related to SES.


## 5. Conclusion

The study confirms previous literature about the relationship between SES and atmospheric pollution from PM10 and NO2. In particular, low level of education, lack of possession of the home, and the population density seem to be related to high levels of PM10 and NO2. Furthermore, the geographic area appears as a modifier effect that changes the correlation sign between pollutants and SES components. The study represents a proposal for the possible use of data in Italian information systems to discuss environmental and social inequalities.The models proposed are a starting point for the analysis of the correlation between social determinants of health and environmental risk factors; therefore, we can limit ourselves to general statements about environmental and social inequalities. It is necessary to consider the specific local context in order to find data that are more robust.



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*Source: 2058467-2019-01-03.xml*